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Surgeon Recruitment Plagues Rural Hospitals
A projected shortage of almost 30,000 surgeons over the next 20 years may make things worse.

DETROITRural hospitals will need to devise unique strategies to enhance hiring and retention in the face of a looming shortage of almost 30,000 sur­geons over the next 20 years.

“We think this shortage will result in competition between urban and rural hospitals, maybe perpetuating in bid­ding wars,” Dr. Thomas E. Williams Jr. said at the annual meeting of the Central Surgical Association.

“In a sense, this shortage could be a perfect storm; an imperative for both the urban and rural hospitals we see in America today.”

The researchers previously reported that an estimated 101,838 surgeons will need to be trained by 2030 to address a projected shortage in the United States of 29,138 surgeons in seven surgical spe­cialties: obstetrics and gynecology, or­thopedic surgery, general surgery, otolaryngology, urology, neurosurgery,
and thoracic surgery (Ann. Surg. 2009;250:590-7). I’ve searched and can’t find the print reference. Help?—EW The trick is to search by the article name in Google. I got abut 5 different versions that way./CNW»

The current analysis went one step fur­ther, focusing on the average recruit­ment needs for the seven specialties in rural vs. urban hospitals in light of the projected U.S. population of 364 million by 2030. The model assumed that there will be equal population growth in urban and rural areas; that rural hospitals will need to recruit obstetric/gynecologic, orthopedic, and general surgeons; and that the percentage of the population re­ceiving care at urban and rural hospitals will remain constant, Dr. Williams ex­plained.

Currently, the American Hospital As­sociation estimates that there are 3,012 urban hospitals in the United States. serving 82% of the population or 253 million Americans, and 1,998 rural hos­pitals serving 18% or 56 million Ameri­cans.

Based on these assumptions, the total number of surgical hires over the next 19 years will be 83,507 for urban hospitals and 13,953 for rural hospitals. This means urban hospitals must hire and re­tain 4,175 surgeons per year or 27.7 sur­geons per hospital, while rural hospitals will need to hire 698 surgeons per year or 7 surgeons per hospital, said Dr. Williams «not facs»of the department of surgery at Ohio State University in Columbus.

While the recruitment goals for urban hospitals might appear more daunting, rural hospitals are already facing a dra­matic loss of general surgeons.

“In rural hospitals, general surgery is essential,” he said. “[General surgeons] account for 60% of the revenue. What’s happening now is that about 34% of general surgeons are notifying their ad­ministrators of retiring or leaving in 2 years. Thirty-three percent of rural hos­pitals are recruiting now.”

Factors that might make rural re­cruitment more difficult include profes­sional and social isolation, cross coverage, insufficient training for the va­riety of procedures performed and pathologies encountered, and women’s preference for urban areas, he said.

Factors that positively influence rural recruitment include the chance to be a critical part of the community, indepen­dence, the wide spectrum of procedures, and hailing from a rural area.

One strategy that can tip a surgeon to­ward a rural hospital is doing a residen­cy in a rural training program. The researchers estimate that half of gener­al surgery residents who rotate through such a program will go on to practice in rural towns.

“It’s to the advantage of rural hospital administrators to establish rotations with medical schools in their hospitals, so they can have the opportunity to recruit some of the people that rotate through their rural hospitals,” Dr. Williams said.

Consideration of the needs of the sur­geon’s family is another factor. Typical­
ly, this will be a two-income family that values education and will need either good public schools or the means to pay for private schools. Most couples will also have educational debts, some as high as $400,000 for a two-physician cou­ple. Thus, educational loan repayment could be a potential “trump card” for rur­al hospitals in the future, he said.

Rural hospitals are already throw­ing out the wel­come mat. Most offer hiring incen­tives such as a re­location allowance; signing bonus; health, dis­ability, and life in­surance; and malpractice coverage. Educational loan forgiveness was offered by 38% of hos­pitals last year, up 7% from 2009, Dr. Williams said. Still, competition for new hires is fierce.

“In many general surgery programs in the United States, senior residents are re­ceiving as many as 50 offers for employ­ment today,” he said.

To illustrate the point, Dr. Williams showed a recent classified ad in the New England Journal of Medicine offering a starting base salary of $600,000 for an or­thopedic surgeon in coastal Georgia plus a sign-on and relocation bonus, full ben­efits, and a high-yield bonus. This is nearly double the median starting salary of $370,000 for an orthopedic surgeon identified in a recent Cejka Executive Search survey, he pointed out.

 

 

Median starting salaries for the seven surgical specialties studied ranged from a low of $260,000 for a general surgeon to a high of $450,000 for a neurosurgeon in the Cejka survey.

Invited discussant Dr. Nathaniel Sop­er, «facs»chair of the department of surgery at Northwestern University in Chicago, said, “It may end up being ultimately that these bidding wars are good for general surgeons, but I think it’s not going to be good for the population we serve, as there is going to be a shortage unless something is done.”

Dr. Sober suggested that the basic problem is not so much the division be­tween rural vs. urban, but the supply of surgeons, and asked what can be done to meet the estimated shortfall. He also questioned the model’s assumption that the population would remain equal in rural and urban areas.

Co-author and colleague Dr. Bhag­wan Satiani replied that the analysis in­cluded a simplified version of the federal model used to calculate supply and de­mand, but added that every projection in the last 50-75 years has been wrong. “You have to look at this model and say, ‘This is the best we can do right now,” he said.

According to Dr. Satiani, one of the best ways to increase the rural surgeon supply is through a comprehensive med­ical school rural program (MSRP). “If you took 10 medical students out of the class and put them into the MSRP pro­
gram, you could double the number of rural surgeons. That’s how important that is,” said Dr. Satiani, «facs»medical director of the vascular surgery laboratory and a professor of clinical surgery at Ohio State University.

A recently published report from the Physician Shortage Area Program (PSAP) at Jefferson Medical College in Philadelphia pro­vides a similar cal­culation for rural physicians and re­ports that 79%-87% of graduates from the two MSRPs with long-range rural out­comes – the PSAP and University of Minnesota at Duluth – remained in rur­al practice for up to 20 years (Acad. Med. 2011;86:272). It also notes that the Af­fordable Care Act authorized a new Rur­al Physician Training Grants program to provide grants to medical schools to de­velop or expand MSRPs.

Only 25 of the roughly 250 medical schools have general surgery programs, and just 10% of these could be consid­ered programs that attract rural sur­geons, according to Dr. Satiani. “I think American surgery is going to have to give this a separate tract within residency programs.”

Audience member Dr. Mark Malan­goni, «facs»associate executive director of the American Board of Surgery in Philadel­phia, pointed out that in such rural areas as Wyoming, the closest medical school is more than 1,000 miles away in Wash­ington state.

He suggested that one way to link rural hospitals and to counteract the professional isolation experienced by some rural physicians is through Web-based surgeon-to-surgeon consultations, an idea strongly supported by a recent survey of American College of Surgeons fellows.

If a new medical school were located in a rural area, Dr. Satiani said it could feed two to three nearby states, but not one of the new medical schools built in the last 5 years has been in truly rural ar­eas.

Finally, several audience members sug­gested that efforts need to be made to eliminate the perception among resi­dents that surgical specialists are some­how better than general surgeons.

“It’s the one-on-one thing that’s going to work with the residents, because all they see are these super-specialists,” Dr. Satiani said. “I think it has to come from the programs and the leadership; defin­ing general surgery better, even going as far as changing the name, if that be­comes an important issue.”

When asked in an interview what that new name might be, Dr. Satiani said the terms “master surgeon” and “omni sur­geon” have been floated, with master surgeon more likely to resonate with the general public.

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The authors reported no conflicts of interest. 

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A projected shortage of almost 30,000 surgeons over the next 20 years may make things worse.
A projected shortage of almost 30,000 surgeons over the next 20 years may make things worse.

DETROITRural hospitals will need to devise unique strategies to enhance hiring and retention in the face of a looming shortage of almost 30,000 sur­geons over the next 20 years.

“We think this shortage will result in competition between urban and rural hospitals, maybe perpetuating in bid­ding wars,” Dr. Thomas E. Williams Jr. said at the annual meeting of the Central Surgical Association.

“In a sense, this shortage could be a perfect storm; an imperative for both the urban and rural hospitals we see in America today.”

The researchers previously reported that an estimated 101,838 surgeons will need to be trained by 2030 to address a projected shortage in the United States of 29,138 surgeons in seven surgical spe­cialties: obstetrics and gynecology, or­thopedic surgery, general surgery, otolaryngology, urology, neurosurgery,
and thoracic surgery (Ann. Surg. 2009;250:590-7). I’ve searched and can’t find the print reference. Help?—EW The trick is to search by the article name in Google. I got abut 5 different versions that way./CNW»

The current analysis went one step fur­ther, focusing on the average recruit­ment needs for the seven specialties in rural vs. urban hospitals in light of the projected U.S. population of 364 million by 2030. The model assumed that there will be equal population growth in urban and rural areas; that rural hospitals will need to recruit obstetric/gynecologic, orthopedic, and general surgeons; and that the percentage of the population re­ceiving care at urban and rural hospitals will remain constant, Dr. Williams ex­plained.

Currently, the American Hospital As­sociation estimates that there are 3,012 urban hospitals in the United States. serving 82% of the population or 253 million Americans, and 1,998 rural hos­pitals serving 18% or 56 million Ameri­cans.

Based on these assumptions, the total number of surgical hires over the next 19 years will be 83,507 for urban hospitals and 13,953 for rural hospitals. This means urban hospitals must hire and re­tain 4,175 surgeons per year or 27.7 sur­geons per hospital, while rural hospitals will need to hire 698 surgeons per year or 7 surgeons per hospital, said Dr. Williams «not facs»of the department of surgery at Ohio State University in Columbus.

While the recruitment goals for urban hospitals might appear more daunting, rural hospitals are already facing a dra­matic loss of general surgeons.

“In rural hospitals, general surgery is essential,” he said. “[General surgeons] account for 60% of the revenue. What’s happening now is that about 34% of general surgeons are notifying their ad­ministrators of retiring or leaving in 2 years. Thirty-three percent of rural hos­pitals are recruiting now.”

Factors that might make rural re­cruitment more difficult include profes­sional and social isolation, cross coverage, insufficient training for the va­riety of procedures performed and pathologies encountered, and women’s preference for urban areas, he said.

Factors that positively influence rural recruitment include the chance to be a critical part of the community, indepen­dence, the wide spectrum of procedures, and hailing from a rural area.

One strategy that can tip a surgeon to­ward a rural hospital is doing a residen­cy in a rural training program. The researchers estimate that half of gener­al surgery residents who rotate through such a program will go on to practice in rural towns.

“It’s to the advantage of rural hospital administrators to establish rotations with medical schools in their hospitals, so they can have the opportunity to recruit some of the people that rotate through their rural hospitals,” Dr. Williams said.

Consideration of the needs of the sur­geon’s family is another factor. Typical­
ly, this will be a two-income family that values education and will need either good public schools or the means to pay for private schools. Most couples will also have educational debts, some as high as $400,000 for a two-physician cou­ple. Thus, educational loan repayment could be a potential “trump card” for rur­al hospitals in the future, he said.

Rural hospitals are already throw­ing out the wel­come mat. Most offer hiring incen­tives such as a re­location allowance; signing bonus; health, dis­ability, and life in­surance; and malpractice coverage. Educational loan forgiveness was offered by 38% of hos­pitals last year, up 7% from 2009, Dr. Williams said. Still, competition for new hires is fierce.

“In many general surgery programs in the United States, senior residents are re­ceiving as many as 50 offers for employ­ment today,” he said.

To illustrate the point, Dr. Williams showed a recent classified ad in the New England Journal of Medicine offering a starting base salary of $600,000 for an or­thopedic surgeon in coastal Georgia plus a sign-on and relocation bonus, full ben­efits, and a high-yield bonus. This is nearly double the median starting salary of $370,000 for an orthopedic surgeon identified in a recent Cejka Executive Search survey, he pointed out.

 

 

Median starting salaries for the seven surgical specialties studied ranged from a low of $260,000 for a general surgeon to a high of $450,000 for a neurosurgeon in the Cejka survey.

Invited discussant Dr. Nathaniel Sop­er, «facs»chair of the department of surgery at Northwestern University in Chicago, said, “It may end up being ultimately that these bidding wars are good for general surgeons, but I think it’s not going to be good for the population we serve, as there is going to be a shortage unless something is done.”

Dr. Sober suggested that the basic problem is not so much the division be­tween rural vs. urban, but the supply of surgeons, and asked what can be done to meet the estimated shortfall. He also questioned the model’s assumption that the population would remain equal in rural and urban areas.

Co-author and colleague Dr. Bhag­wan Satiani replied that the analysis in­cluded a simplified version of the federal model used to calculate supply and de­mand, but added that every projection in the last 50-75 years has been wrong. “You have to look at this model and say, ‘This is the best we can do right now,” he said.

According to Dr. Satiani, one of the best ways to increase the rural surgeon supply is through a comprehensive med­ical school rural program (MSRP). “If you took 10 medical students out of the class and put them into the MSRP pro­
gram, you could double the number of rural surgeons. That’s how important that is,” said Dr. Satiani, «facs»medical director of the vascular surgery laboratory and a professor of clinical surgery at Ohio State University.

A recently published report from the Physician Shortage Area Program (PSAP) at Jefferson Medical College in Philadelphia pro­vides a similar cal­culation for rural physicians and re­ports that 79%-87% of graduates from the two MSRPs with long-range rural out­comes – the PSAP and University of Minnesota at Duluth – remained in rur­al practice for up to 20 years (Acad. Med. 2011;86:272). It also notes that the Af­fordable Care Act authorized a new Rur­al Physician Training Grants program to provide grants to medical schools to de­velop or expand MSRPs.

Only 25 of the roughly 250 medical schools have general surgery programs, and just 10% of these could be consid­ered programs that attract rural sur­geons, according to Dr. Satiani. “I think American surgery is going to have to give this a separate tract within residency programs.”

Audience member Dr. Mark Malan­goni, «facs»associate executive director of the American Board of Surgery in Philadel­phia, pointed out that in such rural areas as Wyoming, the closest medical school is more than 1,000 miles away in Wash­ington state.

He suggested that one way to link rural hospitals and to counteract the professional isolation experienced by some rural physicians is through Web-based surgeon-to-surgeon consultations, an idea strongly supported by a recent survey of American College of Surgeons fellows.

If a new medical school were located in a rural area, Dr. Satiani said it could feed two to three nearby states, but not one of the new medical schools built in the last 5 years has been in truly rural ar­eas.

Finally, several audience members sug­gested that efforts need to be made to eliminate the perception among resi­dents that surgical specialists are some­how better than general surgeons.

“It’s the one-on-one thing that’s going to work with the residents, because all they see are these super-specialists,” Dr. Satiani said. “I think it has to come from the programs and the leadership; defin­ing general surgery better, even going as far as changing the name, if that be­comes an important issue.”

When asked in an interview what that new name might be, Dr. Satiani said the terms “master surgeon” and “omni sur­geon” have been floated, with master surgeon more likely to resonate with the general public.

I have checked the following facts in my story: (Please initial each.)

 

The authors reported no conflicts of interest. 

DETROITRural hospitals will need to devise unique strategies to enhance hiring and retention in the face of a looming shortage of almost 30,000 sur­geons over the next 20 years.

“We think this shortage will result in competition between urban and rural hospitals, maybe perpetuating in bid­ding wars,” Dr. Thomas E. Williams Jr. said at the annual meeting of the Central Surgical Association.

“In a sense, this shortage could be a perfect storm; an imperative for both the urban and rural hospitals we see in America today.”

The researchers previously reported that an estimated 101,838 surgeons will need to be trained by 2030 to address a projected shortage in the United States of 29,138 surgeons in seven surgical spe­cialties: obstetrics and gynecology, or­thopedic surgery, general surgery, otolaryngology, urology, neurosurgery,
and thoracic surgery (Ann. Surg. 2009;250:590-7). I’ve searched and can’t find the print reference. Help?—EW The trick is to search by the article name in Google. I got abut 5 different versions that way./CNW»

The current analysis went one step fur­ther, focusing on the average recruit­ment needs for the seven specialties in rural vs. urban hospitals in light of the projected U.S. population of 364 million by 2030. The model assumed that there will be equal population growth in urban and rural areas; that rural hospitals will need to recruit obstetric/gynecologic, orthopedic, and general surgeons; and that the percentage of the population re­ceiving care at urban and rural hospitals will remain constant, Dr. Williams ex­plained.

Currently, the American Hospital As­sociation estimates that there are 3,012 urban hospitals in the United States. serving 82% of the population or 253 million Americans, and 1,998 rural hos­pitals serving 18% or 56 million Ameri­cans.

Based on these assumptions, the total number of surgical hires over the next 19 years will be 83,507 for urban hospitals and 13,953 for rural hospitals. This means urban hospitals must hire and re­tain 4,175 surgeons per year or 27.7 sur­geons per hospital, while rural hospitals will need to hire 698 surgeons per year or 7 surgeons per hospital, said Dr. Williams «not facs»of the department of surgery at Ohio State University in Columbus.

While the recruitment goals for urban hospitals might appear more daunting, rural hospitals are already facing a dra­matic loss of general surgeons.

“In rural hospitals, general surgery is essential,” he said. “[General surgeons] account for 60% of the revenue. What’s happening now is that about 34% of general surgeons are notifying their ad­ministrators of retiring or leaving in 2 years. Thirty-three percent of rural hos­pitals are recruiting now.”

Factors that might make rural re­cruitment more difficult include profes­sional and social isolation, cross coverage, insufficient training for the va­riety of procedures performed and pathologies encountered, and women’s preference for urban areas, he said.

Factors that positively influence rural recruitment include the chance to be a critical part of the community, indepen­dence, the wide spectrum of procedures, and hailing from a rural area.

One strategy that can tip a surgeon to­ward a rural hospital is doing a residen­cy in a rural training program. The researchers estimate that half of gener­al surgery residents who rotate through such a program will go on to practice in rural towns.

“It’s to the advantage of rural hospital administrators to establish rotations with medical schools in their hospitals, so they can have the opportunity to recruit some of the people that rotate through their rural hospitals,” Dr. Williams said.

Consideration of the needs of the sur­geon’s family is another factor. Typical­
ly, this will be a two-income family that values education and will need either good public schools or the means to pay for private schools. Most couples will also have educational debts, some as high as $400,000 for a two-physician cou­ple. Thus, educational loan repayment could be a potential “trump card” for rur­al hospitals in the future, he said.

Rural hospitals are already throw­ing out the wel­come mat. Most offer hiring incen­tives such as a re­location allowance; signing bonus; health, dis­ability, and life in­surance; and malpractice coverage. Educational loan forgiveness was offered by 38% of hos­pitals last year, up 7% from 2009, Dr. Williams said. Still, competition for new hires is fierce.

“In many general surgery programs in the United States, senior residents are re­ceiving as many as 50 offers for employ­ment today,” he said.

To illustrate the point, Dr. Williams showed a recent classified ad in the New England Journal of Medicine offering a starting base salary of $600,000 for an or­thopedic surgeon in coastal Georgia plus a sign-on and relocation bonus, full ben­efits, and a high-yield bonus. This is nearly double the median starting salary of $370,000 for an orthopedic surgeon identified in a recent Cejka Executive Search survey, he pointed out.

 

 

Median starting salaries for the seven surgical specialties studied ranged from a low of $260,000 for a general surgeon to a high of $450,000 for a neurosurgeon in the Cejka survey.

Invited discussant Dr. Nathaniel Sop­er, «facs»chair of the department of surgery at Northwestern University in Chicago, said, “It may end up being ultimately that these bidding wars are good for general surgeons, but I think it’s not going to be good for the population we serve, as there is going to be a shortage unless something is done.”

Dr. Sober suggested that the basic problem is not so much the division be­tween rural vs. urban, but the supply of surgeons, and asked what can be done to meet the estimated shortfall. He also questioned the model’s assumption that the population would remain equal in rural and urban areas.

Co-author and colleague Dr. Bhag­wan Satiani replied that the analysis in­cluded a simplified version of the federal model used to calculate supply and de­mand, but added that every projection in the last 50-75 years has been wrong. “You have to look at this model and say, ‘This is the best we can do right now,” he said.

According to Dr. Satiani, one of the best ways to increase the rural surgeon supply is through a comprehensive med­ical school rural program (MSRP). “If you took 10 medical students out of the class and put them into the MSRP pro­
gram, you could double the number of rural surgeons. That’s how important that is,” said Dr. Satiani, «facs»medical director of the vascular surgery laboratory and a professor of clinical surgery at Ohio State University.

A recently published report from the Physician Shortage Area Program (PSAP) at Jefferson Medical College in Philadelphia pro­vides a similar cal­culation for rural physicians and re­ports that 79%-87% of graduates from the two MSRPs with long-range rural out­comes – the PSAP and University of Minnesota at Duluth – remained in rur­al practice for up to 20 years (Acad. Med. 2011;86:272). It also notes that the Af­fordable Care Act authorized a new Rur­al Physician Training Grants program to provide grants to medical schools to de­velop or expand MSRPs.

Only 25 of the roughly 250 medical schools have general surgery programs, and just 10% of these could be consid­ered programs that attract rural sur­geons, according to Dr. Satiani. “I think American surgery is going to have to give this a separate tract within residency programs.”

Audience member Dr. Mark Malan­goni, «facs»associate executive director of the American Board of Surgery in Philadel­phia, pointed out that in such rural areas as Wyoming, the closest medical school is more than 1,000 miles away in Wash­ington state.

He suggested that one way to link rural hospitals and to counteract the professional isolation experienced by some rural physicians is through Web-based surgeon-to-surgeon consultations, an idea strongly supported by a recent survey of American College of Surgeons fellows.

If a new medical school were located in a rural area, Dr. Satiani said it could feed two to three nearby states, but not one of the new medical schools built in the last 5 years has been in truly rural ar­eas.

Finally, several audience members sug­gested that efforts need to be made to eliminate the perception among resi­dents that surgical specialists are some­how better than general surgeons.

“It’s the one-on-one thing that’s going to work with the residents, because all they see are these super-specialists,” Dr. Satiani said. “I think it has to come from the programs and the leadership; defin­ing general surgery better, even going as far as changing the name, if that be­comes an important issue.”

When asked in an interview what that new name might be, Dr. Satiani said the terms “master surgeon” and “omni sur­geon” have been floated, with master surgeon more likely to resonate with the general public.

I have checked the following facts in my story: (Please initial each.)

 

The authors reported no conflicts of interest. 

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