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Late sepsis death not explained by pre-existing conditions

Doctor and patient in hospital
Photo courtesy of the CDC

A new study sheds light on whether an increased risk of death in the 30 days to 2 years after contracting sepsis is caused by sepsis itself, or because of pre-existing health conditions the patients had before acquiring the complication.

Using detailed survey data and medical records of more than 30,000 older Americans, the researchers conducted a propensity matched cohort study to investigate the phenomenon of late death after sepsis.

Late death refers to deaths that take place months to years after the acute infection has resolved.

"We know sicker patients are more likely to develop sepsis," lead author Hallie Prescott, MD, of the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, said. "And that made us wonder: Perhaps those previous health conditions are driving the risk of late death after sepsis?"

So the investigators compared 960 patients aged 65 or older who were admitted to the hospital with sepsis to 3 control groups: 777 adults not currently hospitalized, 788 patients hospitalized with non-sepsis infections, and 504 patients admitted with acute sterile inflammatory conditions.

All patients had participated in the US Health and Retirement Study, a longitudinal survey of 37,000 adults aged over 50 in 23,000 households. The survey is considered broadly representative of the older US population.

The current study included Medicare beneficiaries who had participated in at least one survey between 1998 and 2008.

The main outcome measure was late mortality 31 days to 2 years after sepsis and odds of death at various intervals.

Results

In the sepsis cohort, the mean age was 79, 54% were women, 81% were white, and 12% were nursing home residents.

There were no significant differences among the cohorts in terms of demographics, socioeconomic characteristics, baseline health status, or recent healthcare use.

The sepsis cohort had a 25.4% mortality rate at 30 days, 35.3% at 90 days, 41.3% at 180 days, 48.5% at 1 year, and 56.5% at 2 years.

Over 40% of sepsis patients who survived 30 days after their hospitalization died in the next 2 years. If sepsis patients survived to a year, the adjusted 2-year mortality was 16.0% versus 10.7% for controls not in the hospital.

When investigators compared these mortality rates to matched patients who were not hospitalized, they found that those with sepsis experienced a 22.1% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into a 2.2-fold relative increase in late mortality.

And when they compared the sepsis patients to patients hospitalized for non-sepsis infections, the investigators determined that sepsis patients experienced a 10.4% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into a 1.3-fold relative increase in late mortality.

Finally, they compared the sepsis patients to those patients hospitalized for sterile inflammatory conditions and found that the sepsis patients who survived to 31 days experienced a 16.2% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into 1.6-fold relative increase.

The investigators said this high rate of late mortality could not be explained by the patients’ age, socio-demographics, or their pre-sepsis health status.

"Rather, we found that, compared to the group of adults not in the hospital,” Dr Prescott said, “1 in 5 patients who survived sepsis had a late death that was not explained by their baseline characteristics.”

The investigators said this suggests that late mortality after sepsis could be more amendable to intervention than previously thought.

The investigators published their findings in BMJ.

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Doctor and patient in hospital
Photo courtesy of the CDC

A new study sheds light on whether an increased risk of death in the 30 days to 2 years after contracting sepsis is caused by sepsis itself, or because of pre-existing health conditions the patients had before acquiring the complication.

Using detailed survey data and medical records of more than 30,000 older Americans, the researchers conducted a propensity matched cohort study to investigate the phenomenon of late death after sepsis.

Late death refers to deaths that take place months to years after the acute infection has resolved.

"We know sicker patients are more likely to develop sepsis," lead author Hallie Prescott, MD, of the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, said. "And that made us wonder: Perhaps those previous health conditions are driving the risk of late death after sepsis?"

So the investigators compared 960 patients aged 65 or older who were admitted to the hospital with sepsis to 3 control groups: 777 adults not currently hospitalized, 788 patients hospitalized with non-sepsis infections, and 504 patients admitted with acute sterile inflammatory conditions.

All patients had participated in the US Health and Retirement Study, a longitudinal survey of 37,000 adults aged over 50 in 23,000 households. The survey is considered broadly representative of the older US population.

The current study included Medicare beneficiaries who had participated in at least one survey between 1998 and 2008.

The main outcome measure was late mortality 31 days to 2 years after sepsis and odds of death at various intervals.

Results

In the sepsis cohort, the mean age was 79, 54% were women, 81% were white, and 12% were nursing home residents.

There were no significant differences among the cohorts in terms of demographics, socioeconomic characteristics, baseline health status, or recent healthcare use.

The sepsis cohort had a 25.4% mortality rate at 30 days, 35.3% at 90 days, 41.3% at 180 days, 48.5% at 1 year, and 56.5% at 2 years.

Over 40% of sepsis patients who survived 30 days after their hospitalization died in the next 2 years. If sepsis patients survived to a year, the adjusted 2-year mortality was 16.0% versus 10.7% for controls not in the hospital.

When investigators compared these mortality rates to matched patients who were not hospitalized, they found that those with sepsis experienced a 22.1% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into a 2.2-fold relative increase in late mortality.

And when they compared the sepsis patients to patients hospitalized for non-sepsis infections, the investigators determined that sepsis patients experienced a 10.4% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into a 1.3-fold relative increase in late mortality.

Finally, they compared the sepsis patients to those patients hospitalized for sterile inflammatory conditions and found that the sepsis patients who survived to 31 days experienced a 16.2% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into 1.6-fold relative increase.

The investigators said this high rate of late mortality could not be explained by the patients’ age, socio-demographics, or their pre-sepsis health status.

"Rather, we found that, compared to the group of adults not in the hospital,” Dr Prescott said, “1 in 5 patients who survived sepsis had a late death that was not explained by their baseline characteristics.”

The investigators said this suggests that late mortality after sepsis could be more amendable to intervention than previously thought.

The investigators published their findings in BMJ.

Doctor and patient in hospital
Photo courtesy of the CDC

A new study sheds light on whether an increased risk of death in the 30 days to 2 years after contracting sepsis is caused by sepsis itself, or because of pre-existing health conditions the patients had before acquiring the complication.

Using detailed survey data and medical records of more than 30,000 older Americans, the researchers conducted a propensity matched cohort study to investigate the phenomenon of late death after sepsis.

Late death refers to deaths that take place months to years after the acute infection has resolved.

"We know sicker patients are more likely to develop sepsis," lead author Hallie Prescott, MD, of the University of Michigan in Ann Arbor, said. "And that made us wonder: Perhaps those previous health conditions are driving the risk of late death after sepsis?"

So the investigators compared 960 patients aged 65 or older who were admitted to the hospital with sepsis to 3 control groups: 777 adults not currently hospitalized, 788 patients hospitalized with non-sepsis infections, and 504 patients admitted with acute sterile inflammatory conditions.

All patients had participated in the US Health and Retirement Study, a longitudinal survey of 37,000 adults aged over 50 in 23,000 households. The survey is considered broadly representative of the older US population.

The current study included Medicare beneficiaries who had participated in at least one survey between 1998 and 2008.

The main outcome measure was late mortality 31 days to 2 years after sepsis and odds of death at various intervals.

Results

In the sepsis cohort, the mean age was 79, 54% were women, 81% were white, and 12% were nursing home residents.

There were no significant differences among the cohorts in terms of demographics, socioeconomic characteristics, baseline health status, or recent healthcare use.

The sepsis cohort had a 25.4% mortality rate at 30 days, 35.3% at 90 days, 41.3% at 180 days, 48.5% at 1 year, and 56.5% at 2 years.

Over 40% of sepsis patients who survived 30 days after their hospitalization died in the next 2 years. If sepsis patients survived to a year, the adjusted 2-year mortality was 16.0% versus 10.7% for controls not in the hospital.

When investigators compared these mortality rates to matched patients who were not hospitalized, they found that those with sepsis experienced a 22.1% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into a 2.2-fold relative increase in late mortality.

And when they compared the sepsis patients to patients hospitalized for non-sepsis infections, the investigators determined that sepsis patients experienced a 10.4% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into a 1.3-fold relative increase in late mortality.

Finally, they compared the sepsis patients to those patients hospitalized for sterile inflammatory conditions and found that the sepsis patients who survived to 31 days experienced a 16.2% absolute increase in late mortality. This translated into 1.6-fold relative increase.

The investigators said this high rate of late mortality could not be explained by the patients’ age, socio-demographics, or their pre-sepsis health status.

"Rather, we found that, compared to the group of adults not in the hospital,” Dr Prescott said, “1 in 5 patients who survived sepsis had a late death that was not explained by their baseline characteristics.”

The investigators said this suggests that late mortality after sepsis could be more amendable to intervention than previously thought.

The investigators published their findings in BMJ.

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