ID Predictions for 2013

It is that time of year when 2013 predictions come your way, with insights into upcoming changes and/or developments in the specialty of pediatric infectious diseases. The theme this year: drugs, bugs, and the new immunization schedule.

Antimicrobial resistance for Gram negative organisms will reach new heights in 2013, new antibiotics will not likely appear on the market, and you will see an increase in emphasis on judicious antibiotic use in other venues such as the animal industry.

Particularly worrisome is the increased rate of hospital acquired carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae infections as few good therapeutic options currently exist for these pathogens. Judicious use of antibiotics in all instances is key, and pediatricians should particularly focus on their practice patterns for common infections (streptococcal pharyngitis, otitis media, and sinusitis), and avoiding antibiotics for upper respiratory infections and bronchitis.

The United States is the fifth greatest user of antibiotics in the world (France, Greece, Italy, and Belgium exceed us), and Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Louisiana are the states with the highest use. Check out the map of this data to see antibiotic use for your state.

The winter scourge of rotavirus infection has virtually disappeared following the introduction of rotavirus vaccine but two diarrheal pathogens you’ll likely hear more about in 2013 are norovirus and cryptosporidia.

Norovirus (think cruise ship diarrhea) moves front and center as the most important cause of diarrheal outbreaks in the United States. While foodborne disease occurs, most outbreaks relate to person-to-person transmission, and you are most likely to see disease this time of year (November through April). This might be explained by the fact that infected individuals shed billions of norovirus particles, and it only takes 18 particles to infect another, plus folks are more likely to be closely quartered in winter months.

In terms of cryptosporidiosis, famous outbreaks have followed contamination of drinking water, and sporadic cases are often seen in summer following recreational water exposure. While self-limited in the healthy child, cryptosporidiosis is hard to treat and causes significant morbidity in immunocompromised individuals, such as organ transplant patients. Pediatricians should alert parents to the risk related to recreational water exposure for high-risk patients who should avoid ingesting such water, and particularly avoid pools where diapered children may contaminate the water.

Speaking of diarrhea, as rates for Clostridium difficile associated disease (CDAD) in children have been increasing over the last decade, I suspect clinicians will need to gain a better understanding of the specifics regarding newer C. difficile tests. Many institutions have gone to molecular assays. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, for instance, has been introduced, which is very sensitive, and doubled the rate of positivity (compared with enzyme immunoassay) in some studies. We know that asymptomatic carriage of C. difficile is common in infants younger than 12 months of age, but several studies suggest that 25%-33% of 0- to 36-month control patients had stools that were positive for C. difficile toxin. Take a highly sensitive test, high rates of asymptomatic colonization, and the overall low prevalence CDAD, and you are likely to see diagnosis and treatment instituted inappropriately in some cases. The key to diagnosis of CDAD is to perform testing only on liquid stools and to make sure that other etiologies of diarrhea have been excluded in those less than 3 years of age. Don’t test young infants younger than 1 year (unless they have Hirschsprung’s disease), and do not perform tests to check for cure. See the new guideline published in the January issue of Pediatrics (2013; 131:196-200).

We may still be months away from knowing the full extent of the 2012 national fungal meningitis outbreak; however, based on what we know now, there is a clear need for legislation to ensure safe practices in compounding pharmacies, and I predict this will come in 2013. The first case of fungal meningitis cases was reported Sept. 18, 2012, in a man in Tennessee, and within a week, seven other cases were diagnosed; all had epidural steroid injections at the same center (N. Engl. J. Med. 2012 Dec. 19 [doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1213978]).

Since then, a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention investigation has found that more than 600 infected patients and 39 patients have died. Three lots of methylprednisolone products from a compounding pharmacy in New England were found to be the source, and the CDC investigation found that more than 14,000 individuals in 70-plus clinics in 22 states were exposed to the products, mostly adult patients with chronic back pain. The organism in all but one case is an unusual environmental fungus (Exserohilum rostratum) that likely was introduced into the products during drug preparation. The Food and Drug Administration has since inspected the company’s processing room and noted a number of different issues that may have resulted in contamination. Products have been recalled from the implicated pharmacy (New England Compounding Center), and a sister pharmacy (Ameridose) has voluntarily recalled its products. This is not the first time that an outbreak has been tracked to contamination at a compounding pharmacies, but the extent of this outbreak emphasizes the need for definitive action to prevent this from ever happening again.

The 2013 Immunization Schedule will be out soon, and I predict practitioners may be happy to see a comprehensive footnote table, a harmonized schedule for those 0-18 years, and separate tables for the high-risk patient and for those requiring catch-up schedules.

In terms of vaccines, an important goal for practitioners may be to increase vaccine coverage in teens. Human papillomavirus (HPV) coverage rates are still dismal; 35% of girls and 1% of boys completed three vaccines in 2011, according to the National Immunization Survey–Teen. Parents who refused HPV vaccines in their daughters more likely cited safety concerns, but those who refused for their sons were more likely not to be aware of the recommendation for vaccination, according to data from the NIS-Teen. Geographic disparities also have been noted, with the southeastern U.S. states having lowest rates for immunization and some of the highest rates for cervical cancer. Recommend HPV vaccine every time another teen platform vaccine is recommended, and use a standing order in your practice so every encounter is an opportunity to immunize.

I wish you blessings in the coming year and hope that at least some of my predictions have utility for those of you in practice.

Dr. Jackson is the chief of infectious diseases at Children’s Mercy Hospitals and Clinics in Kansas City, Mo., and professor of pediatrics at the University of Missouri–Kansas City. She said she has no relevant financial disclosures. E-mail her at [email protected].

It is that time of year when 2013 predictions come your way, with insights into upcoming changes and/or developments in the specialty of pediatric infectious diseases. The theme this year: drugs, bugs, and the new immunization schedule.

Antimicrobial resistance for Gram negative organisms will reach new heights in 2013, new antibiotics will not likely appear on the market, and you will see an increase in emphasis on judicious antibiotic use in other venues such as the animal industry.

Particularly worrisome is the increased rate of hospital acquired carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae infections as few good therapeutic options currently exist for these pathogens. Judicious use of antibiotics in all instances is key, and pediatricians should particularly focus on their practice patterns for common infections (streptococcal pharyngitis, otitis media, and sinusitis), and avoiding antibiotics for upper respiratory infections and bronchitis.

The United States is the fifth greatest user of antibiotics in the world (France, Greece, Italy, and Belgium exceed us), and Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Louisiana are the states with the highest use. Check out the map of this data to see antibiotic use for your state.

The winter scourge of rotavirus infection has virtually disappeared following the introduction of rotavirus vaccine but two diarrheal pathogens you’ll likely hear more about in 2013 are norovirus and cryptosporidia.

Norovirus (think cruise ship diarrhea) moves front and center as the most important cause of diarrheal outbreaks in the United States. While foodborne disease occurs, most outbreaks relate to person-to-person transmission, and you are most likely to see disease this time of year (November through April). This might be explained by the fact that infected individuals shed billions of norovirus particles, and it only takes 18 particles to infect another, plus folks are more likely to be closely quartered in winter months.

In terms of cryptosporidiosis, famous outbreaks have followed contamination of drinking water, and sporadic cases are often seen in summer following recreational water exposure. While self-limited in the healthy child, cryptosporidiosis is hard to treat and causes significant morbidity in immunocompromised individuals, such as organ transplant patients. Pediatricians should alert parents to the risk related to recreational water exposure for high-risk patients who should avoid ingesting such water, and particularly avoid pools where diapered children may contaminate the water.

Speaking of diarrhea, as rates for Clostridium difficile associated disease (CDAD) in children have been increasing over the last decade, I suspect clinicians will need to gain a better understanding of the specifics regarding newer C. difficile tests. Many institutions have gone to molecular assays. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, for instance, has been introduced, which is very sensitive, and doubled the rate of positivity (compared with enzyme immunoassay) in some studies. We know that asymptomatic carriage of C. difficile is common in infants younger than 12 months of age, but several studies suggest that 25%-33% of 0- to 36-month control patients had stools that were positive for C. difficile toxin. Take a highly sensitive test, high rates of asymptomatic colonization, and the overall low prevalence CDAD, and you are likely to see diagnosis and treatment instituted inappropriately in some cases. The key to diagnosis of CDAD is to perform testing only on liquid stools and to make sure that other etiologies of diarrhea have been excluded in those less than 3 years of age. Don’t test young infants younger than 1 year (unless they have Hirschsprung’s disease), and do not perform tests to check for cure. See the new guideline published in the January issue of Pediatrics (2013; 131:196-200).

We may still be months away from knowing the full extent of the 2012 national fungal meningitis outbreak; however, based on what we know now, there is a clear need for legislation to ensure safe practices in compounding pharmacies, and I predict this will come in 2013. The first case of fungal meningitis cases was reported Sept. 18, 2012, in a man in Tennessee, and within a week, seven other cases were diagnosed; all had epidural steroid injections at the same center (N. Engl. J. Med. 2012 Dec. 19 [doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1213978]).

Since then, a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention investigation has found that more than 600 infected patients and 39 patients have died. Three lots of methylprednisolone products from a compounding pharmacy in New England were found to be the source, and the CDC investigation found that more than 14,000 individuals in 70-plus clinics in 22 states were exposed to the products, mostly adult patients with chronic back pain. The organism in all but one case is an unusual environmental fungus (Exserohilum rostratum) that likely was introduced into the products during drug preparation. The Food and Drug Administration has since inspected the company’s processing room and noted a number of different issues that may have resulted in contamination. Products have been recalled from the implicated pharmacy (New England Compounding Center), and a sister pharmacy (Ameridose) has voluntarily recalled its products. This is not the first time that an outbreak has been tracked to contamination at a compounding pharmacies, but the extent of this outbreak emphasizes the need for definitive action to prevent this from ever happening again.

The 2013 Immunization Schedule will be out soon, and I predict practitioners may be happy to see a comprehensive footnote table, a harmonized schedule for those 0-18 years, and separate tables for the high-risk patient and for those requiring catch-up schedules.

In terms of vaccines, an important goal for practitioners may be to increase vaccine coverage in teens. Human papillomavirus (HPV) coverage rates are still dismal; 35% of girls and 1% of boys completed three vaccines in 2011, according to the National Immunization Survey–Teen. Parents who refused HPV vaccines in their daughters more likely cited safety concerns, but those who refused for their sons were more likely not to be aware of the recommendation for vaccination, according to data from the NIS-Teen. Geographic disparities also have been noted, with the southeastern U.S. states having lowest rates for immunization and some of the highest rates for cervical cancer. Recommend HPV vaccine every time another teen platform vaccine is recommended, and use a standing order in your practice so every encounter is an opportunity to immunize.

I wish you blessings in the coming year and hope that at least some of my predictions have utility for those of you in practice.

Dr. Jackson is the chief of infectious diseases at Children’s Mercy Hospitals and Clinics in Kansas City, Mo., and professor of pediatrics at the University of Missouri–Kansas City. She said she has no relevant financial disclosures. E-mail her at [email protected].

It is that time of year when 2013 predictions come your way, with insights into upcoming changes and/or developments in the specialty of pediatric infectious diseases. The theme this year: drugs, bugs, and the new immunization schedule.

Antimicrobial resistance for Gram negative organisms will reach new heights in 2013, new antibiotics will not likely appear on the market, and you will see an increase in emphasis on judicious antibiotic use in other venues such as the animal industry.

Particularly worrisome is the increased rate of hospital acquired carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae infections as few good therapeutic options currently exist for these pathogens. Judicious use of antibiotics in all instances is key, and pediatricians should particularly focus on their practice patterns for common infections (streptococcal pharyngitis, otitis media, and sinusitis), and avoiding antibiotics for upper respiratory infections and bronchitis.

The United States is the fifth greatest user of antibiotics in the world (France, Greece, Italy, and Belgium exceed us), and Kentucky, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, and Louisiana are the states with the highest use. Check out the map of this data to see antibiotic use for your state.

The winter scourge of rotavirus infection has virtually disappeared following the introduction of rotavirus vaccine but two diarrheal pathogens you’ll likely hear more about in 2013 are norovirus and cryptosporidia.

Norovirus (think cruise ship diarrhea) moves front and center as the most important cause of diarrheal outbreaks in the United States. While foodborne disease occurs, most outbreaks relate to person-to-person transmission, and you are most likely to see disease this time of year (November through April). This might be explained by the fact that infected individuals shed billions of norovirus particles, and it only takes 18 particles to infect another, plus folks are more likely to be closely quartered in winter months.

In terms of cryptosporidiosis, famous outbreaks have followed contamination of drinking water, and sporadic cases are often seen in summer following recreational water exposure. While self-limited in the healthy child, cryptosporidiosis is hard to treat and causes significant morbidity in immunocompromised individuals, such as organ transplant patients. Pediatricians should alert parents to the risk related to recreational water exposure for high-risk patients who should avoid ingesting such water, and particularly avoid pools where diapered children may contaminate the water.

Speaking of diarrhea, as rates for Clostridium difficile associated disease (CDAD) in children have been increasing over the last decade, I suspect clinicians will need to gain a better understanding of the specifics regarding newer C. difficile tests. Many institutions have gone to molecular assays. Polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing, for instance, has been introduced, which is very sensitive, and doubled the rate of positivity (compared with enzyme immunoassay) in some studies. We know that asymptomatic carriage of C. difficile is common in infants younger than 12 months of age, but several studies suggest that 25%-33% of 0- to 36-month control patients had stools that were positive for C. difficile toxin. Take a highly sensitive test, high rates of asymptomatic colonization, and the overall low prevalence CDAD, and you are likely to see diagnosis and treatment instituted inappropriately in some cases. The key to diagnosis of CDAD is to perform testing only on liquid stools and to make sure that other etiologies of diarrhea have been excluded in those less than 3 years of age. Don’t test young infants younger than 1 year (unless they have Hirschsprung’s disease), and do not perform tests to check for cure. See the new guideline published in the January issue of Pediatrics (2013; 131:196-200).

We may still be months away from knowing the full extent of the 2012 national fungal meningitis outbreak; however, based on what we know now, there is a clear need for legislation to ensure safe practices in compounding pharmacies, and I predict this will come in 2013. The first case of fungal meningitis cases was reported Sept. 18, 2012, in a man in Tennessee, and within a week, seven other cases were diagnosed; all had epidural steroid injections at the same center (N. Engl. J. Med. 2012 Dec. 19 [doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1213978]).

Since then, a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention investigation has found that more than 600 infected patients and 39 patients have died. Three lots of methylprednisolone products from a compounding pharmacy in New England were found to be the source, and the CDC investigation found that more than 14,000 individuals in 70-plus clinics in 22 states were exposed to the products, mostly adult patients with chronic back pain. The organism in all but one case is an unusual environmental fungus (Exserohilum rostratum) that likely was introduced into the products during drug preparation. The Food and Drug Administration has since inspected the company’s processing room and noted a number of different issues that may have resulted in contamination. Products have been recalled from the implicated pharmacy (New England Compounding Center), and a sister pharmacy (Ameridose) has voluntarily recalled its products. This is not the first time that an outbreak has been tracked to contamination at a compounding pharmacies, but the extent of this outbreak emphasizes the need for definitive action to prevent this from ever happening again.

The 2013 Immunization Schedule will be out soon, and I predict practitioners may be happy to see a comprehensive footnote table, a harmonized schedule for those 0-18 years, and separate tables for the high-risk patient and for those requiring catch-up schedules.

In terms of vaccines, an important goal for practitioners may be to increase vaccine coverage in teens. Human papillomavirus (HPV) coverage rates are still dismal; 35% of girls and 1% of boys completed three vaccines in 2011, according to the National Immunization Survey–Teen. Parents who refused HPV vaccines in their daughters more likely cited safety concerns, but those who refused for their sons were more likely not to be aware of the recommendation for vaccination, according to data from the NIS-Teen. Geographic disparities also have been noted, with the southeastern U.S. states having lowest rates for immunization and some of the highest rates for cervical cancer. Recommend HPV vaccine every time another teen platform vaccine is recommended, and use a standing order in your practice so every encounter is an opportunity to immunize.

I wish you blessings in the coming year and hope that at least some of my predictions have utility for those of you in practice.

Dr. Jackson is the chief of infectious diseases at Children’s Mercy Hospitals and Clinics in Kansas City, Mo., and professor of pediatrics at the University of Missouri–Kansas City. She said she has no relevant financial disclosures. E-mail her at [email protected].