PCPs Who Adopted the Hospitalist Model

Although primary care physicians (PCPs) have traditionally treated patients in both ambulatory and hospital settings, many relinquished inpatient duties to hospitalists in recent decades.[1] Little is known about the PCPs who relinquished inpatient care duties or how the transition to the hospitalist model occurred. For example, what are the characteristics of PCPs who change? Do PCPs adopt the hospitalist model enthusiastically or cautiously? Characterizing PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model can help hospitalists understand their specialty's history and also inform health services research.

Much of the interest in the hospitalist model has been generated by studies reporting improved outcomes and lower hospital lengths of stay associated with hospitalist care.[2, 3, 4, 5] Conversely, detractors of the model point to reports of higher postacute care utilization among hospitalist patients.[6] Although these studies usually adjusted for differences among patients and hospitals, they did not account for PCP characteristics. As patients' access to PCPs and their PCP's capabilities are both plausible factors that could influence hospital length of stay (eg, decisions to complete more or less of a workup in the hospital), quality of care transitions, and postdischarge utilization, it is important to determine if PCPs who use hospitalists differ systematically from those who do not to correctly interpret health system utilization patterns that currently are attributed only to hospitalists.[7, 8]

We conducted this study to determine if observable PCP factors are associated with patients' use of hospitalists and to describe the trajectory by which PCPs referred their patients to hospitalists over time.

METHODS

RESULTS

During the 2001 through 2009 study period, between 2252 and 2848 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in any single year. Among these, 1172 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in every year of the study period. These 1172 PCPs were associated with 608,686 hospitalizations over the 9 years.

Table 1 presents the characteristics of the PCPs who contributed to the cross‐sectional analyses in 2001 (N=2252) and 2009 (N=2387), as well as the 1172 PCPs for whom we had data for all 9 years for the longitudinal analyses. Most PCPs were male, trained in the United States, and were board certified. The average number of Medicare patients seen by these PCPs and number of outpatient Medicare visits went up about 7% between 2001 and 2009.

Figure 1 graphs the percentage of PCPs as a function of what percent of their hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists, and how that changed from 2001 to 2009. For 70.9% of PCPs, fewer than 5% of their hospitalized patients received hospitalist care in 2001. By 2009, the percent of PCPs in this category had decreased to 15.2%. In contrast, in 2001, more than half of the patients for 2.1% of PCPs received hospitalist care, and the percent of PCPs in this category increased to 26.3% by 2009.

Figure 1

The pattern in Figure 1 shows that PCPs' use of hospitalists changed continuously and gradually over time. However, this pattern describes the PCPs as a group. When examined at the individual PCP level, different patterns emerge. Figure 2, which presents selected individual PCP's use of hospitalists over time, shows several distinct subpatterns of PCP practice behaviors. First, there are PCPs whose use of hospitalists was high in 2001 and stayed high or increased over time (eg, PCP A). There also were PCPs whose use of hospitalists stayed low over the entire study period (eg, PCP B). Finally, there were PCPs whose use of hospitalists was low in 2001 but high in 2009 (eg, PCP C). For this last group, the pattern of change in hospitalist utilization over time was discontinuous; that is, most of the increase occurred over a 1‐ or 2‐year period, instead of increasing gradually over time.

Figure 2

Among the 1172 PCPs associated with 20 hospitalized beneficiaries each year in all 9 years of the study period, group‐based trajectory modeling classified their practice patterns into 4 distinct trajectories (Figure 3). Among PCPs in group 1, more than one‐third of their hospitalized patients were cared for by hospitalists in 2001, and this increased to 60% by 2009. PCPs in groups 2 and 3 rarely used hospitalist care in 2001 but increased their use over time. The increase started early in the period for PCPs in group 2 and later for those in group 3. PCPs in group 4 were associated with little hospitalist use throughout the study period.

Figure 3

We constructed a model to describe the odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists during the study period using patients associated with these 1172 PCPs. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the residual intraclass correlation coefficient for PCP level was 0.334, which indicates that 33.4% of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. When adjusting for both patient and PCP characteristics, the overall odds of a patient receiving hospitalist care increased by 30% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29‐1.30) per year from 2001 through 2009.

There were also significant interactions between year of hospitalization and several PCP characteristics. These interactions are illustrated in Table 2, which stratifies each of those PCP characteristics by 3 time periods: 2001 to 2003, 2004 to 2006, and 2007 to 2009. In all time periods, patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was US trained (US vs international medical graduate: odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.19‐1.69 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.23‐1.73 in 20072009), or specialized in family medicine (family medicine vs internal medicine: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.72 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.70 in 20072009). Over time, the relative odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists decreased if their PCP was female (female vs male: OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.46‐2.50 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15‐1.95 in 20072009) or practiced in an urban area (largest vs smallest MSA: OR: 3.34, 95% CI: 2.72‐4.09 in 20012003; OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.82‐2.71 in 20072009). Although the longest‐practicing PCPs were most likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s, this effect disappeared by 2007 to 2009 (most vs least years in practice: OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.06‐1.72 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.73‐1.17 in 20072009).

In terms of PCP workload, patients of PCPs with high outpatient activity were more likely to receive hospitalists care throughout the study period, although the association had decreased by 2007 to 2009 (highest vs lowest outpatient volume: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.30‐1.63 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.20‐1.44 in 20072009). In contrast, PCPs with the lowest inpatient volumes became more likely to use hospitalists by the end of the study period (highest vs lowest inpatient volume: OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.95‐1.18 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.51‐0.60 in 20072009).

The characteristics of PCPs' practice panels also were associated with patients' likelihood of receiving care from hospitalists. PCPs whose practice panels consisted of patients who were predominantly male, white, or with more outpatient comorbidities were consistently more likely to use hospitalists throughout the study period. PCPs with older patient panels were less likely to use hospitalists in 2001 to 2003, but by 2007 to 2009, they were slightly more likely to do so (oldest vs youngest average outpatient panel age: OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64‐0.81 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05‐1.26 in 20072009).

CONCLUSIONS

Prior studies of the hospitalist model have shown that the likelihood of a patient receiving inpatient care from hospitalists is associated with patient characteristics, hospital characteristics, geographic region, and type of admission.[1, 16, 17] We found that PCP characteristics also predict whether patients receive care from hospitalists and that their use of hospitalists developed dynamically between 2001 to 2009. Although many factors (such as whether patients were admitted to a hospital where their PCP had admitting privileges) can influence the decision to use hospitalists, we found that over one‐third of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. In showing that systemic differences exist among PCPs who use hospitalists and those who do not, our study suggests that future research on the hospitalist model should, if possible, adjust for PCP characteristics in addition to hospital and patient factors.

Although this study identifies the existence and magnitude of differences in whether or not PCPs use hospitalists, it cannot explain why the differences exist. We only can offer hypotheses. For example, our finding that PCPs with the most years of practice experience were more likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s but not in more recent years suggests that in hospital medicine's early years, long‐practicing generalist physicians were choosing between practicing traditionalist medicine and adopting the hospitalists model, but by 2009, experienced generalist physicians had already specialized to either inpatient or outpatient settings earlier in their careers. On the other hand, the decreasing odds of urban PCPs using hospitalists may reflect a relative growth in hospitalist use in less populated areas rather than a change in urban PCPs' practice patterns.

PCPs trained in family medicine have reported less inpatient training and less comfort with providing hospital care,[18, 19] thus it is unsurprising that family physicians were more likely to refer patients to hospitalists. Although a recent study reported that family physicians' inpatient volumes remained constant, whereas those of outpatient internists declined between 2003 and 2012, the analysis used University Health Consortium data and thus reflects practice patterns in academic medical centers.[20] Our data suggest that outside of academia, family physicians have embraced the hospitalists as clinical partners.

Meltzer and Chung had previously proposed an economic model to describe the growing use of hospitalists in the United States. They posited that decisions to adopt the hospitalist model are governed by trade‐offs between coordination costs (eg, time and effort spent coordinating multiple providers across different settings) and switching costs (eg, time spent traveling between the office and the hospital or the effort of adjusting to different work settings).[16] The authors hypothesized that empirical testing of this model would show PCPs are more likely to use hospitalists if they have less available professional time (ie, work fewer hours per week), are female (due to competing demands from domestic responsibilities), have relatively few hospitalized patients, or live in areas with high traffic congestion. Our findings provide empirical evidence to support their division‐of‐labor model in showing that patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was female, practiced in an urban location, had higher outpatient practice volumes, or had lower inpatient volumes.

At first glance, some of our findings appear to contradict our earlier study, which showed that younger, black, male patients are more likely to receive inpatient care from hospitalists.[1] However, that study included patients regardless of whether they had a PCP. This study shows that when patients have a PCP, their PCPs are more likely to refer them to hospitalists if they are older, white, male, and have more comorbid conditions. A potential explanation for this finding is that PCPs may preferentially use hospitalists when caring for older and sicker hospitalized patients. For example, commentators often cite hospitalists' constant availability in the hospital as a valuable resource when caring for acutely ill patients.[21, 22]

Another potential explanation is that despite their preferences, PCPs who care for younger, minority patients lack access to hospitalist services. One large study of Medicare beneficiaries reported that physicians who care for black patients are less well‐trained clinically and often lack access to important clinical resources such as diagnostic imaging and nonemergency hospital admissions.[23] Similarly, international medical graduates are more likely than their US‐trained counterparts to care for underserved patients and to practice in small, independent offices.[24, 25, 26] As hospitalist groups often rely on cross‐subsidization from sources within a large healthcare organization, independent PCPs may have less access to their services when compared with PCPs in managed care organizations or large integrated groups. Viewed in this context, our findings imply that although hospitalists often care for socioeconomically vulnerable patients (eg, younger, uninsured, black men) who lack access to primary care services,[1] they also appear to share care responsibilities for more complex hospitalized patients with PCPs in more affluent communities. Further research may determine if the availability of hospitalists influences racial disparities in hospital care.

Our study has limitations. It is an observational study and thus subject to bias and confounding. As our cohort was formed using fee‐for‐service Medicare data in a single, large state, it may not be generalizable to PCPs who practice in other states, who care for a younger population, or who do not accept Medicare. Our findings also may not reflect the practice patterns of physicians‐in‐training, PCP populations with high board‐certification rates, those employed in temporary positions, or those who interrupt their practices for personal reasons, as we restricted our study to established PCPs who had been in practice long and consistently enough to be associated with 20 hospitalized patients during every year of the study. For example, the lower proportion of female PCPs in our cohort (15.6% in our study in 2009 vs 27.5% reported in a nationally representative 2008 survey[27]) may be explained by our exclusion of women who take prolonged time off for childcare duties. We also did not establish whether patient outcomes or healthcare costs differ between PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model and traditionalists. Finally, we could not examine the effect of a number of PCP factors that could plausibly influence whether or not PCPs relinquish inpatient care to hospitalists, such as their comfort with providing inpatient care, having hospital admitting privileges, having office‐based access to hospitals' electronic medical records, or the distance between their office and the hospital. However, this study lays the groundwork for future studies to explore these factors.

In summary, this study is the first, to our knowledge, to characterize PCPs who relinquished inpatient responsibilities to hospitalists. Our findings suggest that some groups of PCPs are more likely to refer patient to hospitalists, that the relationship between hospitalists and PCPs has evolved over time, and that the hospitalist model still has ample room to grow.

Although primary care physicians (PCPs) have traditionally treated patients in both ambulatory and hospital settings, many relinquished inpatient duties to hospitalists in recent decades.[1] Little is known about the PCPs who relinquished inpatient care duties or how the transition to the hospitalist model occurred. For example, what are the characteristics of PCPs who change? Do PCPs adopt the hospitalist model enthusiastically or cautiously? Characterizing PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model can help hospitalists understand their specialty's history and also inform health services research.

Much of the interest in the hospitalist model has been generated by studies reporting improved outcomes and lower hospital lengths of stay associated with hospitalist care.[2, 3, 4, 5] Conversely, detractors of the model point to reports of higher postacute care utilization among hospitalist patients.[6] Although these studies usually adjusted for differences among patients and hospitals, they did not account for PCP characteristics. As patients' access to PCPs and their PCP's capabilities are both plausible factors that could influence hospital length of stay (eg, decisions to complete more or less of a workup in the hospital), quality of care transitions, and postdischarge utilization, it is important to determine if PCPs who use hospitalists differ systematically from those who do not to correctly interpret health system utilization patterns that currently are attributed only to hospitalists.[7, 8]

We conducted this study to determine if observable PCP factors are associated with patients' use of hospitalists and to describe the trajectory by which PCPs referred their patients to hospitalists over time.

METHODS

RESULTS

During the 2001 through 2009 study period, between 2252 and 2848 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in any single year. Among these, 1172 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in every year of the study period. These 1172 PCPs were associated with 608,686 hospitalizations over the 9 years.

Table 1 presents the characteristics of the PCPs who contributed to the cross‐sectional analyses in 2001 (N=2252) and 2009 (N=2387), as well as the 1172 PCPs for whom we had data for all 9 years for the longitudinal analyses. Most PCPs were male, trained in the United States, and were board certified. The average number of Medicare patients seen by these PCPs and number of outpatient Medicare visits went up about 7% between 2001 and 2009.

Figure 1 graphs the percentage of PCPs as a function of what percent of their hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists, and how that changed from 2001 to 2009. For 70.9% of PCPs, fewer than 5% of their hospitalized patients received hospitalist care in 2001. By 2009, the percent of PCPs in this category had decreased to 15.2%. In contrast, in 2001, more than half of the patients for 2.1% of PCPs received hospitalist care, and the percent of PCPs in this category increased to 26.3% by 2009.

Figure 1

The pattern in Figure 1 shows that PCPs' use of hospitalists changed continuously and gradually over time. However, this pattern describes the PCPs as a group. When examined at the individual PCP level, different patterns emerge. Figure 2, which presents selected individual PCP's use of hospitalists over time, shows several distinct subpatterns of PCP practice behaviors. First, there are PCPs whose use of hospitalists was high in 2001 and stayed high or increased over time (eg, PCP A). There also were PCPs whose use of hospitalists stayed low over the entire study period (eg, PCP B). Finally, there were PCPs whose use of hospitalists was low in 2001 but high in 2009 (eg, PCP C). For this last group, the pattern of change in hospitalist utilization over time was discontinuous; that is, most of the increase occurred over a 1‐ or 2‐year period, instead of increasing gradually over time.

Figure 2

Among the 1172 PCPs associated with 20 hospitalized beneficiaries each year in all 9 years of the study period, group‐based trajectory modeling classified their practice patterns into 4 distinct trajectories (Figure 3). Among PCPs in group 1, more than one‐third of their hospitalized patients were cared for by hospitalists in 2001, and this increased to 60% by 2009. PCPs in groups 2 and 3 rarely used hospitalist care in 2001 but increased their use over time. The increase started early in the period for PCPs in group 2 and later for those in group 3. PCPs in group 4 were associated with little hospitalist use throughout the study period.

Figure 3

We constructed a model to describe the odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists during the study period using patients associated with these 1172 PCPs. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the residual intraclass correlation coefficient for PCP level was 0.334, which indicates that 33.4% of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. When adjusting for both patient and PCP characteristics, the overall odds of a patient receiving hospitalist care increased by 30% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29‐1.30) per year from 2001 through 2009.

There were also significant interactions between year of hospitalization and several PCP characteristics. These interactions are illustrated in Table 2, which stratifies each of those PCP characteristics by 3 time periods: 2001 to 2003, 2004 to 2006, and 2007 to 2009. In all time periods, patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was US trained (US vs international medical graduate: odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.19‐1.69 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.23‐1.73 in 20072009), or specialized in family medicine (family medicine vs internal medicine: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.72 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.70 in 20072009). Over time, the relative odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists decreased if their PCP was female (female vs male: OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.46‐2.50 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15‐1.95 in 20072009) or practiced in an urban area (largest vs smallest MSA: OR: 3.34, 95% CI: 2.72‐4.09 in 20012003; OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.82‐2.71 in 20072009). Although the longest‐practicing PCPs were most likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s, this effect disappeared by 2007 to 2009 (most vs least years in practice: OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.06‐1.72 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.73‐1.17 in 20072009).

In terms of PCP workload, patients of PCPs with high outpatient activity were more likely to receive hospitalists care throughout the study period, although the association had decreased by 2007 to 2009 (highest vs lowest outpatient volume: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.30‐1.63 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.20‐1.44 in 20072009). In contrast, PCPs with the lowest inpatient volumes became more likely to use hospitalists by the end of the study period (highest vs lowest inpatient volume: OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.95‐1.18 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.51‐0.60 in 20072009).

The characteristics of PCPs' practice panels also were associated with patients' likelihood of receiving care from hospitalists. PCPs whose practice panels consisted of patients who were predominantly male, white, or with more outpatient comorbidities were consistently more likely to use hospitalists throughout the study period. PCPs with older patient panels were less likely to use hospitalists in 2001 to 2003, but by 2007 to 2009, they were slightly more likely to do so (oldest vs youngest average outpatient panel age: OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64‐0.81 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05‐1.26 in 20072009).

CONCLUSIONS

Prior studies of the hospitalist model have shown that the likelihood of a patient receiving inpatient care from hospitalists is associated with patient characteristics, hospital characteristics, geographic region, and type of admission.[1, 16, 17] We found that PCP characteristics also predict whether patients receive care from hospitalists and that their use of hospitalists developed dynamically between 2001 to 2009. Although many factors (such as whether patients were admitted to a hospital where their PCP had admitting privileges) can influence the decision to use hospitalists, we found that over one‐third of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. In showing that systemic differences exist among PCPs who use hospitalists and those who do not, our study suggests that future research on the hospitalist model should, if possible, adjust for PCP characteristics in addition to hospital and patient factors.

Although this study identifies the existence and magnitude of differences in whether or not PCPs use hospitalists, it cannot explain why the differences exist. We only can offer hypotheses. For example, our finding that PCPs with the most years of practice experience were more likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s but not in more recent years suggests that in hospital medicine's early years, long‐practicing generalist physicians were choosing between practicing traditionalist medicine and adopting the hospitalists model, but by 2009, experienced generalist physicians had already specialized to either inpatient or outpatient settings earlier in their careers. On the other hand, the decreasing odds of urban PCPs using hospitalists may reflect a relative growth in hospitalist use in less populated areas rather than a change in urban PCPs' practice patterns.

PCPs trained in family medicine have reported less inpatient training and less comfort with providing hospital care,[18, 19] thus it is unsurprising that family physicians were more likely to refer patients to hospitalists. Although a recent study reported that family physicians' inpatient volumes remained constant, whereas those of outpatient internists declined between 2003 and 2012, the analysis used University Health Consortium data and thus reflects practice patterns in academic medical centers.[20] Our data suggest that outside of academia, family physicians have embraced the hospitalists as clinical partners.

Meltzer and Chung had previously proposed an economic model to describe the growing use of hospitalists in the United States. They posited that decisions to adopt the hospitalist model are governed by trade‐offs between coordination costs (eg, time and effort spent coordinating multiple providers across different settings) and switching costs (eg, time spent traveling between the office and the hospital or the effort of adjusting to different work settings).[16] The authors hypothesized that empirical testing of this model would show PCPs are more likely to use hospitalists if they have less available professional time (ie, work fewer hours per week), are female (due to competing demands from domestic responsibilities), have relatively few hospitalized patients, or live in areas with high traffic congestion. Our findings provide empirical evidence to support their division‐of‐labor model in showing that patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was female, practiced in an urban location, had higher outpatient practice volumes, or had lower inpatient volumes.

At first glance, some of our findings appear to contradict our earlier study, which showed that younger, black, male patients are more likely to receive inpatient care from hospitalists.[1] However, that study included patients regardless of whether they had a PCP. This study shows that when patients have a PCP, their PCPs are more likely to refer them to hospitalists if they are older, white, male, and have more comorbid conditions. A potential explanation for this finding is that PCPs may preferentially use hospitalists when caring for older and sicker hospitalized patients. For example, commentators often cite hospitalists' constant availability in the hospital as a valuable resource when caring for acutely ill patients.[21, 22]

Another potential explanation is that despite their preferences, PCPs who care for younger, minority patients lack access to hospitalist services. One large study of Medicare beneficiaries reported that physicians who care for black patients are less well‐trained clinically and often lack access to important clinical resources such as diagnostic imaging and nonemergency hospital admissions.[23] Similarly, international medical graduates are more likely than their US‐trained counterparts to care for underserved patients and to practice in small, independent offices.[24, 25, 26] As hospitalist groups often rely on cross‐subsidization from sources within a large healthcare organization, independent PCPs may have less access to their services when compared with PCPs in managed care organizations or large integrated groups. Viewed in this context, our findings imply that although hospitalists often care for socioeconomically vulnerable patients (eg, younger, uninsured, black men) who lack access to primary care services,[1] they also appear to share care responsibilities for more complex hospitalized patients with PCPs in more affluent communities. Further research may determine if the availability of hospitalists influences racial disparities in hospital care.

Our study has limitations. It is an observational study and thus subject to bias and confounding. As our cohort was formed using fee‐for‐service Medicare data in a single, large state, it may not be generalizable to PCPs who practice in other states, who care for a younger population, or who do not accept Medicare. Our findings also may not reflect the practice patterns of physicians‐in‐training, PCP populations with high board‐certification rates, those employed in temporary positions, or those who interrupt their practices for personal reasons, as we restricted our study to established PCPs who had been in practice long and consistently enough to be associated with 20 hospitalized patients during every year of the study. For example, the lower proportion of female PCPs in our cohort (15.6% in our study in 2009 vs 27.5% reported in a nationally representative 2008 survey[27]) may be explained by our exclusion of women who take prolonged time off for childcare duties. We also did not establish whether patient outcomes or healthcare costs differ between PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model and traditionalists. Finally, we could not examine the effect of a number of PCP factors that could plausibly influence whether or not PCPs relinquish inpatient care to hospitalists, such as their comfort with providing inpatient care, having hospital admitting privileges, having office‐based access to hospitals' electronic medical records, or the distance between their office and the hospital. However, this study lays the groundwork for future studies to explore these factors.

In summary, this study is the first, to our knowledge, to characterize PCPs who relinquished inpatient responsibilities to hospitalists. Our findings suggest that some groups of PCPs are more likely to refer patient to hospitalists, that the relationship between hospitalists and PCPs has evolved over time, and that the hospitalist model still has ample room to grow.

Although primary care physicians (PCPs) have traditionally treated patients in both ambulatory and hospital settings, many relinquished inpatient duties to hospitalists in recent decades.[1] Little is known about the PCPs who relinquished inpatient care duties or how the transition to the hospitalist model occurred. For example, what are the characteristics of PCPs who change? Do PCPs adopt the hospitalist model enthusiastically or cautiously? Characterizing PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model can help hospitalists understand their specialty's history and also inform health services research.

Much of the interest in the hospitalist model has been generated by studies reporting improved outcomes and lower hospital lengths of stay associated with hospitalist care.[2, 3, 4, 5] Conversely, detractors of the model point to reports of higher postacute care utilization among hospitalist patients.[6] Although these studies usually adjusted for differences among patients and hospitals, they did not account for PCP characteristics. As patients' access to PCPs and their PCP's capabilities are both plausible factors that could influence hospital length of stay (eg, decisions to complete more or less of a workup in the hospital), quality of care transitions, and postdischarge utilization, it is important to determine if PCPs who use hospitalists differ systematically from those who do not to correctly interpret health system utilization patterns that currently are attributed only to hospitalists.[7, 8]

We conducted this study to determine if observable PCP factors are associated with patients' use of hospitalists and to describe the trajectory by which PCPs referred their patients to hospitalists over time.

METHODS

RESULTS

During the 2001 through 2009 study period, between 2252 and 2848 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in any single year. Among these, 1172 PCPs were associated with at least 20 hospitalized beneficiaries in every year of the study period. These 1172 PCPs were associated with 608,686 hospitalizations over the 9 years.

Table 1 presents the characteristics of the PCPs who contributed to the cross‐sectional analyses in 2001 (N=2252) and 2009 (N=2387), as well as the 1172 PCPs for whom we had data for all 9 years for the longitudinal analyses. Most PCPs were male, trained in the United States, and were board certified. The average number of Medicare patients seen by these PCPs and number of outpatient Medicare visits went up about 7% between 2001 and 2009.

Figure 1 graphs the percentage of PCPs as a function of what percent of their hospitalized patients received care from hospitalists, and how that changed from 2001 to 2009. For 70.9% of PCPs, fewer than 5% of their hospitalized patients received hospitalist care in 2001. By 2009, the percent of PCPs in this category had decreased to 15.2%. In contrast, in 2001, more than half of the patients for 2.1% of PCPs received hospitalist care, and the percent of PCPs in this category increased to 26.3% by 2009.

Figure 1

The pattern in Figure 1 shows that PCPs' use of hospitalists changed continuously and gradually over time. However, this pattern describes the PCPs as a group. When examined at the individual PCP level, different patterns emerge. Figure 2, which presents selected individual PCP's use of hospitalists over time, shows several distinct subpatterns of PCP practice behaviors. First, there are PCPs whose use of hospitalists was high in 2001 and stayed high or increased over time (eg, PCP A). There also were PCPs whose use of hospitalists stayed low over the entire study period (eg, PCP B). Finally, there were PCPs whose use of hospitalists was low in 2001 but high in 2009 (eg, PCP C). For this last group, the pattern of change in hospitalist utilization over time was discontinuous; that is, most of the increase occurred over a 1‐ or 2‐year period, instead of increasing gradually over time.

Figure 2

Among the 1172 PCPs associated with 20 hospitalized beneficiaries each year in all 9 years of the study period, group‐based trajectory modeling classified their practice patterns into 4 distinct trajectories (Figure 3). Among PCPs in group 1, more than one‐third of their hospitalized patients were cared for by hospitalists in 2001, and this increased to 60% by 2009. PCPs in groups 2 and 3 rarely used hospitalist care in 2001 but increased their use over time. The increase started early in the period for PCPs in group 2 and later for those in group 3. PCPs in group 4 were associated with little hospitalist use throughout the study period.

Figure 3

We constructed a model to describe the odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists during the study period using patients associated with these 1172 PCPs. After adjusting for patient characteristics, the residual intraclass correlation coefficient for PCP level was 0.334, which indicates that 33.4% of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. When adjusting for both patient and PCP characteristics, the overall odds of a patient receiving hospitalist care increased by 30% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.29‐1.30) per year from 2001 through 2009.

There were also significant interactions between year of hospitalization and several PCP characteristics. These interactions are illustrated in Table 2, which stratifies each of those PCP characteristics by 3 time periods: 2001 to 2003, 2004 to 2006, and 2007 to 2009. In all time periods, patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was US trained (US vs international medical graduate: odds ratio [OR]: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.19‐1.69 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.23‐1.73 in 20072009), or specialized in family medicine (family medicine vs internal medicine: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.72 in 20012003; OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.25‐1.70 in 20072009). Over time, the relative odds of a patient receiving care from hospitalists decreased if their PCP was female (female vs male: OR: 1.91, 95% CI: 1.46‐2.50 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.15‐1.95 in 20072009) or practiced in an urban area (largest vs smallest MSA: OR: 3.34, 95% CI: 2.72‐4.09 in 20012003; OR: 2.22, 95% CI: 1.82‐2.71 in 20072009). Although the longest‐practicing PCPs were most likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s, this effect disappeared by 2007 to 2009 (most vs least years in practice: OR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.06‐1.72 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.92, 95% CI: 0.73‐1.17 in 20072009).

In terms of PCP workload, patients of PCPs with high outpatient activity were more likely to receive hospitalists care throughout the study period, although the association had decreased by 2007 to 2009 (highest vs lowest outpatient volume: OR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.30‐1.63 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.20‐1.44 in 20072009). In contrast, PCPs with the lowest inpatient volumes became more likely to use hospitalists by the end of the study period (highest vs lowest inpatient volume: OR: 1.05, 95% CI: 0.95‐1.18 in 20012003 vs OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.51‐0.60 in 20072009).

The characteristics of PCPs' practice panels also were associated with patients' likelihood of receiving care from hospitalists. PCPs whose practice panels consisted of patients who were predominantly male, white, or with more outpatient comorbidities were consistently more likely to use hospitalists throughout the study period. PCPs with older patient panels were less likely to use hospitalists in 2001 to 2003, but by 2007 to 2009, they were slightly more likely to do so (oldest vs youngest average outpatient panel age: OR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64‐0.81 in 20012003 vs OR: 1.15, 95% CI: 1.05‐1.26 in 20072009).

CONCLUSIONS

Prior studies of the hospitalist model have shown that the likelihood of a patient receiving inpatient care from hospitalists is associated with patient characteristics, hospital characteristics, geographic region, and type of admission.[1, 16, 17] We found that PCP characteristics also predict whether patients receive care from hospitalists and that their use of hospitalists developed dynamically between 2001 to 2009. Although many factors (such as whether patients were admitted to a hospital where their PCP had admitting privileges) can influence the decision to use hospitalists, we found that over one‐third of the variance in whether a hospitalized patient received care from a hospitalist is explained by which PCP the patient saw. In showing that systemic differences exist among PCPs who use hospitalists and those who do not, our study suggests that future research on the hospitalist model should, if possible, adjust for PCP characteristics in addition to hospital and patient factors.

Although this study identifies the existence and magnitude of differences in whether or not PCPs use hospitalists, it cannot explain why the differences exist. We only can offer hypotheses. For example, our finding that PCPs with the most years of practice experience were more likely to use hospitalists in the early 2000s but not in more recent years suggests that in hospital medicine's early years, long‐practicing generalist physicians were choosing between practicing traditionalist medicine and adopting the hospitalists model, but by 2009, experienced generalist physicians had already specialized to either inpatient or outpatient settings earlier in their careers. On the other hand, the decreasing odds of urban PCPs using hospitalists may reflect a relative growth in hospitalist use in less populated areas rather than a change in urban PCPs' practice patterns.

PCPs trained in family medicine have reported less inpatient training and less comfort with providing hospital care,[18, 19] thus it is unsurprising that family physicians were more likely to refer patients to hospitalists. Although a recent study reported that family physicians' inpatient volumes remained constant, whereas those of outpatient internists declined between 2003 and 2012, the analysis used University Health Consortium data and thus reflects practice patterns in academic medical centers.[20] Our data suggest that outside of academia, family physicians have embraced the hospitalists as clinical partners.

Meltzer and Chung had previously proposed an economic model to describe the growing use of hospitalists in the United States. They posited that decisions to adopt the hospitalist model are governed by trade‐offs between coordination costs (eg, time and effort spent coordinating multiple providers across different settings) and switching costs (eg, time spent traveling between the office and the hospital or the effort of adjusting to different work settings).[16] The authors hypothesized that empirical testing of this model would show PCPs are more likely to use hospitalists if they have less available professional time (ie, work fewer hours per week), are female (due to competing demands from domestic responsibilities), have relatively few hospitalized patients, or live in areas with high traffic congestion. Our findings provide empirical evidence to support their division‐of‐labor model in showing that patients were more likely to receive hospitalist care if their PCP was female, practiced in an urban location, had higher outpatient practice volumes, or had lower inpatient volumes.

At first glance, some of our findings appear to contradict our earlier study, which showed that younger, black, male patients are more likely to receive inpatient care from hospitalists.[1] However, that study included patients regardless of whether they had a PCP. This study shows that when patients have a PCP, their PCPs are more likely to refer them to hospitalists if they are older, white, male, and have more comorbid conditions. A potential explanation for this finding is that PCPs may preferentially use hospitalists when caring for older and sicker hospitalized patients. For example, commentators often cite hospitalists' constant availability in the hospital as a valuable resource when caring for acutely ill patients.[21, 22]

Another potential explanation is that despite their preferences, PCPs who care for younger, minority patients lack access to hospitalist services. One large study of Medicare beneficiaries reported that physicians who care for black patients are less well‐trained clinically and often lack access to important clinical resources such as diagnostic imaging and nonemergency hospital admissions.[23] Similarly, international medical graduates are more likely than their US‐trained counterparts to care for underserved patients and to practice in small, independent offices.[24, 25, 26] As hospitalist groups often rely on cross‐subsidization from sources within a large healthcare organization, independent PCPs may have less access to their services when compared with PCPs in managed care organizations or large integrated groups. Viewed in this context, our findings imply that although hospitalists often care for socioeconomically vulnerable patients (eg, younger, uninsured, black men) who lack access to primary care services,[1] they also appear to share care responsibilities for more complex hospitalized patients with PCPs in more affluent communities. Further research may determine if the availability of hospitalists influences racial disparities in hospital care.

Our study has limitations. It is an observational study and thus subject to bias and confounding. As our cohort was formed using fee‐for‐service Medicare data in a single, large state, it may not be generalizable to PCPs who practice in other states, who care for a younger population, or who do not accept Medicare. Our findings also may not reflect the practice patterns of physicians‐in‐training, PCP populations with high board‐certification rates, those employed in temporary positions, or those who interrupt their practices for personal reasons, as we restricted our study to established PCPs who had been in practice long and consistently enough to be associated with 20 hospitalized patients during every year of the study. For example, the lower proportion of female PCPs in our cohort (15.6% in our study in 2009 vs 27.5% reported in a nationally representative 2008 survey[27]) may be explained by our exclusion of women who take prolonged time off for childcare duties. We also did not establish whether patient outcomes or healthcare costs differ between PCPs who adopted the hospitalist model and traditionalists. Finally, we could not examine the effect of a number of PCP factors that could plausibly influence whether or not PCPs relinquish inpatient care to hospitalists, such as their comfort with providing inpatient care, having hospital admitting privileges, having office‐based access to hospitals' electronic medical records, or the distance between their office and the hospital. However, this study lays the groundwork for future studies to explore these factors.

In summary, this study is the first, to our knowledge, to characterize PCPs who relinquished inpatient responsibilities to hospitalists. Our findings suggest that some groups of PCPs are more likely to refer patient to hospitalists, that the relationship between hospitalists and PCPs has evolved over time, and that the hospitalist model still has ample room to grow.