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Researchers say they have developed a frailty index that can predict overall survival (OS) in patients newly diagnosed with multiple myeloma (MM).
An increasing frailty index score was significantly associated with an increased risk of death in these patients, and frailty retained a significant association with OS even after the researchers controlled for patients’ chronological age.
“Our goal was to create a tool that could be widely applied using data sources at hand and that helps doctors provide better informed treatment recommendations for their patients,” said Tanya S. Wildes, MD, of the Washington University School of Medicine in St Louis, Missouri.
“Our results demonstrate that, for patients with multiple myeloma, chronological age alone is not a good measure for assessing overall health.”
Dr Wildes and her colleagues reported these results in JCO Clinical Cancer Informatics.
Creating the index
The researchers began this study with data from 2,692,361 patients without cancer who were older than 66 years of age. The data were collected from the Medicare Health Outcomes Survey (MHOS), which is used to annually collect self-reported symptoms, functional status, and health-related quality of life data from Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans.
The researchers used the MHOS data to create a deficit accumulation frailty index made up of a 25-item scale and scoring system. The index includes criteria in 5 categories for scoring frailty:
- Activities of daily living (eg, difficulty dressing or eating)
- Chronic health conditions
- Functioning (eg, difficulty walking or climbing several sets of stairs)
- General health
- Mental health.
Patients whose scores exceed a certain threshold on the scale are classified as frail.
Applying the index
The researchers applied their frailty index to 305 patients with newly diagnosed MM. Data from these patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-MHOS linked database. In this dataset, data from MHOS are linked to demographics, tumor characteristics, and survival for individuals with a cancer diagnosis who reside in the coverage area of the 14 registries participating in the SEER-MHOS linkage.
The researchers compared findings in the MM patients to findings in the patients without cancer.
In the non-cancer patients, the median age was 74, and the mean frailty score was 0.23. In the MM patients, the median age was 76, and the mean frailty score was 0.28.
Chronological age was weakly correlated with a higher frailty score in MM patients. However, for non-cancer patients, an increase in chronological age was strongly correlated with a higher frailty score.
Among non-cancer patients, each 10% increase in frailty score was associated with a 40% increased risk for death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.397; P<0.001).
Among MM patients, each 10% increase in frailty score was associated with a 16% increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.159; P<0.001).
The median OS was 33 months for the entire MM cohort, 26.8 months for frail MM patients, and 43.7 months for non-frail MM patients (P=0.015 for the frail to non-frail comparison).
“These findings underscore the need to place more consideration on biological age versus chronological age in multiple myeloma, recognizing that frailty is dynamic and encompasses many factors beyond the disease itself,” Dr Wildes said.
“Ultimately, the hope is that this tool will help us to better personalize care based on a fuller picture of our patients’ health so that we are not under-treating an older adult who can tolerate a more intense therapy or over-treating one who’s going to be vulnerable to the toxicities of therapy.”
Limitations and next steps
The researchers believe there are several options for optimizing the data in the frailty index, including turning it into a computerized program and examining patients who are not newly diagnosed and have subsequent relapses, disease burden, and treatment toxicities.
This study is limited in the fact that researchers only assessed OS and not progression-free survival, chemotherapy toxicity, or hospitalization rates.
Additionally, the MM data was derived from patients enrolled in the Medicare Advantage program, which may have contributed to selecting participants who are, overall, lower-risk due to the way the program incentivizes lower-cost enrollees.
Researchers say they have developed a frailty index that can predict overall survival (OS) in patients newly diagnosed with multiple myeloma (MM).
An increasing frailty index score was significantly associated with an increased risk of death in these patients, and frailty retained a significant association with OS even after the researchers controlled for patients’ chronological age.
“Our goal was to create a tool that could be widely applied using data sources at hand and that helps doctors provide better informed treatment recommendations for their patients,” said Tanya S. Wildes, MD, of the Washington University School of Medicine in St Louis, Missouri.
“Our results demonstrate that, for patients with multiple myeloma, chronological age alone is not a good measure for assessing overall health.”
Dr Wildes and her colleagues reported these results in JCO Clinical Cancer Informatics.
Creating the index
The researchers began this study with data from 2,692,361 patients without cancer who were older than 66 years of age. The data were collected from the Medicare Health Outcomes Survey (MHOS), which is used to annually collect self-reported symptoms, functional status, and health-related quality of life data from Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans.
The researchers used the MHOS data to create a deficit accumulation frailty index made up of a 25-item scale and scoring system. The index includes criteria in 5 categories for scoring frailty:
- Activities of daily living (eg, difficulty dressing or eating)
- Chronic health conditions
- Functioning (eg, difficulty walking or climbing several sets of stairs)
- General health
- Mental health.
Patients whose scores exceed a certain threshold on the scale are classified as frail.
Applying the index
The researchers applied their frailty index to 305 patients with newly diagnosed MM. Data from these patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-MHOS linked database. In this dataset, data from MHOS are linked to demographics, tumor characteristics, and survival for individuals with a cancer diagnosis who reside in the coverage area of the 14 registries participating in the SEER-MHOS linkage.
The researchers compared findings in the MM patients to findings in the patients without cancer.
In the non-cancer patients, the median age was 74, and the mean frailty score was 0.23. In the MM patients, the median age was 76, and the mean frailty score was 0.28.
Chronological age was weakly correlated with a higher frailty score in MM patients. However, for non-cancer patients, an increase in chronological age was strongly correlated with a higher frailty score.
Among non-cancer patients, each 10% increase in frailty score was associated with a 40% increased risk for death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.397; P<0.001).
Among MM patients, each 10% increase in frailty score was associated with a 16% increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.159; P<0.001).
The median OS was 33 months for the entire MM cohort, 26.8 months for frail MM patients, and 43.7 months for non-frail MM patients (P=0.015 for the frail to non-frail comparison).
“These findings underscore the need to place more consideration on biological age versus chronological age in multiple myeloma, recognizing that frailty is dynamic and encompasses many factors beyond the disease itself,” Dr Wildes said.
“Ultimately, the hope is that this tool will help us to better personalize care based on a fuller picture of our patients’ health so that we are not under-treating an older adult who can tolerate a more intense therapy or over-treating one who’s going to be vulnerable to the toxicities of therapy.”
Limitations and next steps
The researchers believe there are several options for optimizing the data in the frailty index, including turning it into a computerized program and examining patients who are not newly diagnosed and have subsequent relapses, disease burden, and treatment toxicities.
This study is limited in the fact that researchers only assessed OS and not progression-free survival, chemotherapy toxicity, or hospitalization rates.
Additionally, the MM data was derived from patients enrolled in the Medicare Advantage program, which may have contributed to selecting participants who are, overall, lower-risk due to the way the program incentivizes lower-cost enrollees.
Researchers say they have developed a frailty index that can predict overall survival (OS) in patients newly diagnosed with multiple myeloma (MM).
An increasing frailty index score was significantly associated with an increased risk of death in these patients, and frailty retained a significant association with OS even after the researchers controlled for patients’ chronological age.
“Our goal was to create a tool that could be widely applied using data sources at hand and that helps doctors provide better informed treatment recommendations for their patients,” said Tanya S. Wildes, MD, of the Washington University School of Medicine in St Louis, Missouri.
“Our results demonstrate that, for patients with multiple myeloma, chronological age alone is not a good measure for assessing overall health.”
Dr Wildes and her colleagues reported these results in JCO Clinical Cancer Informatics.
Creating the index
The researchers began this study with data from 2,692,361 patients without cancer who were older than 66 years of age. The data were collected from the Medicare Health Outcomes Survey (MHOS), which is used to annually collect self-reported symptoms, functional status, and health-related quality of life data from Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Medicare Advantage plans.
The researchers used the MHOS data to create a deficit accumulation frailty index made up of a 25-item scale and scoring system. The index includes criteria in 5 categories for scoring frailty:
- Activities of daily living (eg, difficulty dressing or eating)
- Chronic health conditions
- Functioning (eg, difficulty walking or climbing several sets of stairs)
- General health
- Mental health.
Patients whose scores exceed a certain threshold on the scale are classified as frail.
Applying the index
The researchers applied their frailty index to 305 patients with newly diagnosed MM. Data from these patients were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-MHOS linked database. In this dataset, data from MHOS are linked to demographics, tumor characteristics, and survival for individuals with a cancer diagnosis who reside in the coverage area of the 14 registries participating in the SEER-MHOS linkage.
The researchers compared findings in the MM patients to findings in the patients without cancer.
In the non-cancer patients, the median age was 74, and the mean frailty score was 0.23. In the MM patients, the median age was 76, and the mean frailty score was 0.28.
Chronological age was weakly correlated with a higher frailty score in MM patients. However, for non-cancer patients, an increase in chronological age was strongly correlated with a higher frailty score.
Among non-cancer patients, each 10% increase in frailty score was associated with a 40% increased risk for death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.397; P<0.001).
Among MM patients, each 10% increase in frailty score was associated with a 16% increased risk of death (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.159; P<0.001).
The median OS was 33 months for the entire MM cohort, 26.8 months for frail MM patients, and 43.7 months for non-frail MM patients (P=0.015 for the frail to non-frail comparison).
“These findings underscore the need to place more consideration on biological age versus chronological age in multiple myeloma, recognizing that frailty is dynamic and encompasses many factors beyond the disease itself,” Dr Wildes said.
“Ultimately, the hope is that this tool will help us to better personalize care based on a fuller picture of our patients’ health so that we are not under-treating an older adult who can tolerate a more intense therapy or over-treating one who’s going to be vulnerable to the toxicities of therapy.”
Limitations and next steps
The researchers believe there are several options for optimizing the data in the frailty index, including turning it into a computerized program and examining patients who are not newly diagnosed and have subsequent relapses, disease burden, and treatment toxicities.
This study is limited in the fact that researchers only assessed OS and not progression-free survival, chemotherapy toxicity, or hospitalization rates.
Additionally, the MM data was derived from patients enrolled in the Medicare Advantage program, which may have contributed to selecting participants who are, overall, lower-risk due to the way the program incentivizes lower-cost enrollees.