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STOCKHOLM – , according to an overview provided at the annual congress of the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis. Data consistently indicate that the time that elapses before a patient requires a cane for ambulation has increased, and survival has likewise improved. “Some of the improvement can be attributed confidently to treatment effect,” said Ilya Kister, MD, associate professor of neurology at NYU Langone Health in New York. “We hope to see an even greater change with newer therapies.”
At the same time, neurologists appear to be diagnosing more cases of MS than they previously did, said Dr. Kister, which suggests that neurologists probably are diagnosing milder cases. The overall societal burden of MS remains high.
The relative prevalence of mild disability has increased
About 25 years have elapsed since the first disease-modifying treatment (DMT) for MS became available, and treatment has become widespread during that time. Dr. Kister and colleagues sought to determine whether the current clinical population of patients with MS, who for the most part receive DMTs, has less disability than do untreated patients or patients from natural history studies do. They identified the MS Severity Score (MSSS) as a measure with which to compare populations. The MSSS assigns a patient a ranking according to his or her level of disability, using a reference population of patients with the same disease duration for comparison. “MSSS can be conceptualized as rate of disability accumulation,” said Dr. Kister. “Lower MSSS corresponds to relatively slower disability accumulation, and higher MSSS to higher disability accumulation.”
The MSSS was developed using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score as a measure of disability. Because many neurologists do not routinely obtain EDSS scores for their patients, Dr. Kister and colleagues used the Patient-Determined Disease Steps (PDDS) to measure disability. As its name implies, the PDDS is a patient-reported outcome measure that mainly measures ambulation. It correlates strongly with EDSS, said Dr. Kister. He and colleagues used the PDDS to develop a reference table of MS disability, which they called the Patient-Derived MSSS.
The investigators examined a large sample of patients at NYU MS Center and Barnabas MS Center in Livingston, N.J. They grouped patients into sextiles according to their Patient-Derived MSSS. Dr. Kister and colleagues found that, rather than arriving at sextiles that contained equal numbers of patients, as would be expected if disability were distributed as in the reference population, they had significantly more patients in the two lowest sextiles and significantly fewer patients in the two highest sextiles. “This [result] suggests that the disability curve has indeed shifted toward the more benign end of the spectrum in the contemporary clinic population,” said Dr. Kister.
Other researchers have observed a similar phenomenon. George et al. published the results of a large, international collaboration in Neurology Genetics in 2016. After examining more than 7,000 patients, the investigators noted a similar overrepresentation of patients with milder severity scores and underrepresentation of patients with higher severity scores. These results support the hypothesis of a shift toward milder disability, said Dr. Kister.
Trend toward milder disability
The investigators next examined whether the rate of accumulation of disability among patients with MS had changed from year to year since DMTs were introduced. They conducted a univariate analysis of MSSS for 6,238 patients who were enrolled in the N.Y. State MS Consortium during 1996-2007. They found that patients who were enrolled in more recent years had significantly lower MSSS than patients who were enrolled in earlier years, regardless of disease duration. When Dr. Kister and colleagues replicated their analysis using EDSS, they found significantly lower levels of disability for patients enrolled in more recent years, except for patients with disease duration of 26-30 years. A multivariate analysis showed that the median MSSS of enrollees into the N.Y. State MS Consortium decreased from 5.04 in 1996 to 3.78 in 2006.
In a subsequent study, Dr. Kister and colleagues examined the age at which patients in the MSBase registry reached various disability milestones (e.g., EDSS of 6, which indicates the need of a cane to walk outdoors), according to their year of enrollment in the registry. They found a significant increase in age at milestone achievement with each subsequent calendar year. For example, for every consecutive year of enrollment, the age at which patients attained an EDSS of 6 increased by 0.38 years. These analyses were confirmed for the subgroups of patients diagnosed according to the Poser and McDonald criteria. The increase in age “is probably not just related to the shift in diagnostic criteria,” said Dr. Kister. When the researchers calculated the net average gains in years over the 13-year follow-up period, they found that patients who entered at the end of the enrollment period were 4.9 years older when they reached an EDSS of 6, compared with patients with an EDSS of 6 who entered at the beginning of the enrollment period.
International data show similar trends
Research conducted around the world shows similar trends, said Dr. Kister. In 2009, Veugelers et al. published the results of a study that included 1,752 patients with MS in Nova Scotia. Before the 1998 introduction of a drug insurance program that provides DMTs, the time to an EDSS of 6 was 14.4 years. After the introduction of this program, the time to EDSS of 6 was 18.6 years.
More recently, Capra et al. examined 1,324 patients with MS who attended an MS center in Brescia, Italy, during 1980-2010. They found that the age at which 50% of patients reached an EDSS of 6 was approximately 55 years in 1990. By 2010, the age at achieving this milestone had increased to approximately 63 years.
In a prospective study, Cree et al. examined the evolution of disability in 448 actively treated patients with relapsing-remitting MS and 69 patients with progressive MS. Approximately 45% of patients had no disability worsening during a 10-year follow-up period. Furthermore, a comparatively low 11% of patients had reached an EDSS of 6 at 10 years. The average disease duration of the cohort at that time was 17 years, said Dr. Kister. The results indicated that about 50% of patients would be expected to reach an EDSS of 6 after a disease duration of approximately 38 years, “which is much longer than in the natural history studies,” he added.
In 2019, Beiki et al. found that among patients with relapsing-remitting MS, the risk of reaching an EDSS of 6 decreased by 7% with each subsequent calendar year of diagnosis. The researchers did not observe a similar trend among patients with progressive MS. Their population-based, retrospective study included 7,331 patients in Sweden.
Two additional studies in Scandinavian populations add to the evidence of decreasing disability. In their examination of Swedish patients with MS who received a diagnosis of MS during 1968-2012, Burkill et al. found that the risk of death decreased over time. The hazard ratio of mortality for patients with MS, compared with a non-MS comparator group, decreased from 6.52 among those diagnosed during 1968-1980 to 2.08 for patients diagnosed during 2001-2012. The decrease in the risk of mortality was greater among patients with MS than in a matched comparator population. Similarly, in a nationwide, population-based study, Koch-Henriksen et al. found that all-cause excess mortality in Danish patients with MS decreased from 1950 through 1999.
The role of DMTs
The evidence suggests that DMTs are affecting the long-term progression of MS, said Dr. Kister. Palace et al. compared patients with MS in the UK who received treatment with interferon-beta with a modeled untreated cohort of patients in British Columbia. They found that treated patients reached an EDSS of 6 4 years later than did untreated patients.
Furthermore, an analysis by Brown et al. showed that the time to conversion to secondary progressive MS was longer among treated patients, compared with untreated patients. The risk of conversion was lower for patients treated with newer, more effective therapies (i.e., fingolimod, alemtuzumab, or natalizumab) than for those treated with glatiramer acetate or interferon beta.
Finally, Kingwell and colleagues examined the effect of treatment with interferon-beta on survival using an international cohort of approximately 6,000 patients with relapsing-remitting MS. They found that exposure to interferon-beta for more than 3 years was associated with a 32% reduction in the risk of mortality. They observed no similar risk reduction among patients exposed to interferon-beta for 6 months to 3 years.
Although these data are encouraging, other evidence indicates that the prevalence of MS in the United States has increased considerably in the past 40 years. Researchers estimate that 1 million Americans have MS, which “suggests that we are diagnosing many more mild cases,” said Dr. Kister. The burden of the disease remains high, he concluded.
Dr. Kister reported receiving consulting fees or research grants from Biogen, Roche, Genzyme and Genentech.
SOURCE: Kister I et al. ECTRIMS 2019. Abstract 281754.
STOCKHOLM – , according to an overview provided at the annual congress of the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis. Data consistently indicate that the time that elapses before a patient requires a cane for ambulation has increased, and survival has likewise improved. “Some of the improvement can be attributed confidently to treatment effect,” said Ilya Kister, MD, associate professor of neurology at NYU Langone Health in New York. “We hope to see an even greater change with newer therapies.”
At the same time, neurologists appear to be diagnosing more cases of MS than they previously did, said Dr. Kister, which suggests that neurologists probably are diagnosing milder cases. The overall societal burden of MS remains high.
The relative prevalence of mild disability has increased
About 25 years have elapsed since the first disease-modifying treatment (DMT) for MS became available, and treatment has become widespread during that time. Dr. Kister and colleagues sought to determine whether the current clinical population of patients with MS, who for the most part receive DMTs, has less disability than do untreated patients or patients from natural history studies do. They identified the MS Severity Score (MSSS) as a measure with which to compare populations. The MSSS assigns a patient a ranking according to his or her level of disability, using a reference population of patients with the same disease duration for comparison. “MSSS can be conceptualized as rate of disability accumulation,” said Dr. Kister. “Lower MSSS corresponds to relatively slower disability accumulation, and higher MSSS to higher disability accumulation.”
The MSSS was developed using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score as a measure of disability. Because many neurologists do not routinely obtain EDSS scores for their patients, Dr. Kister and colleagues used the Patient-Determined Disease Steps (PDDS) to measure disability. As its name implies, the PDDS is a patient-reported outcome measure that mainly measures ambulation. It correlates strongly with EDSS, said Dr. Kister. He and colleagues used the PDDS to develop a reference table of MS disability, which they called the Patient-Derived MSSS.
The investigators examined a large sample of patients at NYU MS Center and Barnabas MS Center in Livingston, N.J. They grouped patients into sextiles according to their Patient-Derived MSSS. Dr. Kister and colleagues found that, rather than arriving at sextiles that contained equal numbers of patients, as would be expected if disability were distributed as in the reference population, they had significantly more patients in the two lowest sextiles and significantly fewer patients in the two highest sextiles. “This [result] suggests that the disability curve has indeed shifted toward the more benign end of the spectrum in the contemporary clinic population,” said Dr. Kister.
Other researchers have observed a similar phenomenon. George et al. published the results of a large, international collaboration in Neurology Genetics in 2016. After examining more than 7,000 patients, the investigators noted a similar overrepresentation of patients with milder severity scores and underrepresentation of patients with higher severity scores. These results support the hypothesis of a shift toward milder disability, said Dr. Kister.
Trend toward milder disability
The investigators next examined whether the rate of accumulation of disability among patients with MS had changed from year to year since DMTs were introduced. They conducted a univariate analysis of MSSS for 6,238 patients who were enrolled in the N.Y. State MS Consortium during 1996-2007. They found that patients who were enrolled in more recent years had significantly lower MSSS than patients who were enrolled in earlier years, regardless of disease duration. When Dr. Kister and colleagues replicated their analysis using EDSS, they found significantly lower levels of disability for patients enrolled in more recent years, except for patients with disease duration of 26-30 years. A multivariate analysis showed that the median MSSS of enrollees into the N.Y. State MS Consortium decreased from 5.04 in 1996 to 3.78 in 2006.
In a subsequent study, Dr. Kister and colleagues examined the age at which patients in the MSBase registry reached various disability milestones (e.g., EDSS of 6, which indicates the need of a cane to walk outdoors), according to their year of enrollment in the registry. They found a significant increase in age at milestone achievement with each subsequent calendar year. For example, for every consecutive year of enrollment, the age at which patients attained an EDSS of 6 increased by 0.38 years. These analyses were confirmed for the subgroups of patients diagnosed according to the Poser and McDonald criteria. The increase in age “is probably not just related to the shift in diagnostic criteria,” said Dr. Kister. When the researchers calculated the net average gains in years over the 13-year follow-up period, they found that patients who entered at the end of the enrollment period were 4.9 years older when they reached an EDSS of 6, compared with patients with an EDSS of 6 who entered at the beginning of the enrollment period.
International data show similar trends
Research conducted around the world shows similar trends, said Dr. Kister. In 2009, Veugelers et al. published the results of a study that included 1,752 patients with MS in Nova Scotia. Before the 1998 introduction of a drug insurance program that provides DMTs, the time to an EDSS of 6 was 14.4 years. After the introduction of this program, the time to EDSS of 6 was 18.6 years.
More recently, Capra et al. examined 1,324 patients with MS who attended an MS center in Brescia, Italy, during 1980-2010. They found that the age at which 50% of patients reached an EDSS of 6 was approximately 55 years in 1990. By 2010, the age at achieving this milestone had increased to approximately 63 years.
In a prospective study, Cree et al. examined the evolution of disability in 448 actively treated patients with relapsing-remitting MS and 69 patients with progressive MS. Approximately 45% of patients had no disability worsening during a 10-year follow-up period. Furthermore, a comparatively low 11% of patients had reached an EDSS of 6 at 10 years. The average disease duration of the cohort at that time was 17 years, said Dr. Kister. The results indicated that about 50% of patients would be expected to reach an EDSS of 6 after a disease duration of approximately 38 years, “which is much longer than in the natural history studies,” he added.
In 2019, Beiki et al. found that among patients with relapsing-remitting MS, the risk of reaching an EDSS of 6 decreased by 7% with each subsequent calendar year of diagnosis. The researchers did not observe a similar trend among patients with progressive MS. Their population-based, retrospective study included 7,331 patients in Sweden.
Two additional studies in Scandinavian populations add to the evidence of decreasing disability. In their examination of Swedish patients with MS who received a diagnosis of MS during 1968-2012, Burkill et al. found that the risk of death decreased over time. The hazard ratio of mortality for patients with MS, compared with a non-MS comparator group, decreased from 6.52 among those diagnosed during 1968-1980 to 2.08 for patients diagnosed during 2001-2012. The decrease in the risk of mortality was greater among patients with MS than in a matched comparator population. Similarly, in a nationwide, population-based study, Koch-Henriksen et al. found that all-cause excess mortality in Danish patients with MS decreased from 1950 through 1999.
The role of DMTs
The evidence suggests that DMTs are affecting the long-term progression of MS, said Dr. Kister. Palace et al. compared patients with MS in the UK who received treatment with interferon-beta with a modeled untreated cohort of patients in British Columbia. They found that treated patients reached an EDSS of 6 4 years later than did untreated patients.
Furthermore, an analysis by Brown et al. showed that the time to conversion to secondary progressive MS was longer among treated patients, compared with untreated patients. The risk of conversion was lower for patients treated with newer, more effective therapies (i.e., fingolimod, alemtuzumab, or natalizumab) than for those treated with glatiramer acetate or interferon beta.
Finally, Kingwell and colleagues examined the effect of treatment with interferon-beta on survival using an international cohort of approximately 6,000 patients with relapsing-remitting MS. They found that exposure to interferon-beta for more than 3 years was associated with a 32% reduction in the risk of mortality. They observed no similar risk reduction among patients exposed to interferon-beta for 6 months to 3 years.
Although these data are encouraging, other evidence indicates that the prevalence of MS in the United States has increased considerably in the past 40 years. Researchers estimate that 1 million Americans have MS, which “suggests that we are diagnosing many more mild cases,” said Dr. Kister. The burden of the disease remains high, he concluded.
Dr. Kister reported receiving consulting fees or research grants from Biogen, Roche, Genzyme and Genentech.
SOURCE: Kister I et al. ECTRIMS 2019. Abstract 281754.
STOCKHOLM – , according to an overview provided at the annual congress of the European Committee for Treatment and Research in Multiple Sclerosis. Data consistently indicate that the time that elapses before a patient requires a cane for ambulation has increased, and survival has likewise improved. “Some of the improvement can be attributed confidently to treatment effect,” said Ilya Kister, MD, associate professor of neurology at NYU Langone Health in New York. “We hope to see an even greater change with newer therapies.”
At the same time, neurologists appear to be diagnosing more cases of MS than they previously did, said Dr. Kister, which suggests that neurologists probably are diagnosing milder cases. The overall societal burden of MS remains high.
The relative prevalence of mild disability has increased
About 25 years have elapsed since the first disease-modifying treatment (DMT) for MS became available, and treatment has become widespread during that time. Dr. Kister and colleagues sought to determine whether the current clinical population of patients with MS, who for the most part receive DMTs, has less disability than do untreated patients or patients from natural history studies do. They identified the MS Severity Score (MSSS) as a measure with which to compare populations. The MSSS assigns a patient a ranking according to his or her level of disability, using a reference population of patients with the same disease duration for comparison. “MSSS can be conceptualized as rate of disability accumulation,” said Dr. Kister. “Lower MSSS corresponds to relatively slower disability accumulation, and higher MSSS to higher disability accumulation.”
The MSSS was developed using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score as a measure of disability. Because many neurologists do not routinely obtain EDSS scores for their patients, Dr. Kister and colleagues used the Patient-Determined Disease Steps (PDDS) to measure disability. As its name implies, the PDDS is a patient-reported outcome measure that mainly measures ambulation. It correlates strongly with EDSS, said Dr. Kister. He and colleagues used the PDDS to develop a reference table of MS disability, which they called the Patient-Derived MSSS.
The investigators examined a large sample of patients at NYU MS Center and Barnabas MS Center in Livingston, N.J. They grouped patients into sextiles according to their Patient-Derived MSSS. Dr. Kister and colleagues found that, rather than arriving at sextiles that contained equal numbers of patients, as would be expected if disability were distributed as in the reference population, they had significantly more patients in the two lowest sextiles and significantly fewer patients in the two highest sextiles. “This [result] suggests that the disability curve has indeed shifted toward the more benign end of the spectrum in the contemporary clinic population,” said Dr. Kister.
Other researchers have observed a similar phenomenon. George et al. published the results of a large, international collaboration in Neurology Genetics in 2016. After examining more than 7,000 patients, the investigators noted a similar overrepresentation of patients with milder severity scores and underrepresentation of patients with higher severity scores. These results support the hypothesis of a shift toward milder disability, said Dr. Kister.
Trend toward milder disability
The investigators next examined whether the rate of accumulation of disability among patients with MS had changed from year to year since DMTs were introduced. They conducted a univariate analysis of MSSS for 6,238 patients who were enrolled in the N.Y. State MS Consortium during 1996-2007. They found that patients who were enrolled in more recent years had significantly lower MSSS than patients who were enrolled in earlier years, regardless of disease duration. When Dr. Kister and colleagues replicated their analysis using EDSS, they found significantly lower levels of disability for patients enrolled in more recent years, except for patients with disease duration of 26-30 years. A multivariate analysis showed that the median MSSS of enrollees into the N.Y. State MS Consortium decreased from 5.04 in 1996 to 3.78 in 2006.
In a subsequent study, Dr. Kister and colleagues examined the age at which patients in the MSBase registry reached various disability milestones (e.g., EDSS of 6, which indicates the need of a cane to walk outdoors), according to their year of enrollment in the registry. They found a significant increase in age at milestone achievement with each subsequent calendar year. For example, for every consecutive year of enrollment, the age at which patients attained an EDSS of 6 increased by 0.38 years. These analyses were confirmed for the subgroups of patients diagnosed according to the Poser and McDonald criteria. The increase in age “is probably not just related to the shift in diagnostic criteria,” said Dr. Kister. When the researchers calculated the net average gains in years over the 13-year follow-up period, they found that patients who entered at the end of the enrollment period were 4.9 years older when they reached an EDSS of 6, compared with patients with an EDSS of 6 who entered at the beginning of the enrollment period.
International data show similar trends
Research conducted around the world shows similar trends, said Dr. Kister. In 2009, Veugelers et al. published the results of a study that included 1,752 patients with MS in Nova Scotia. Before the 1998 introduction of a drug insurance program that provides DMTs, the time to an EDSS of 6 was 14.4 years. After the introduction of this program, the time to EDSS of 6 was 18.6 years.
More recently, Capra et al. examined 1,324 patients with MS who attended an MS center in Brescia, Italy, during 1980-2010. They found that the age at which 50% of patients reached an EDSS of 6 was approximately 55 years in 1990. By 2010, the age at achieving this milestone had increased to approximately 63 years.
In a prospective study, Cree et al. examined the evolution of disability in 448 actively treated patients with relapsing-remitting MS and 69 patients with progressive MS. Approximately 45% of patients had no disability worsening during a 10-year follow-up period. Furthermore, a comparatively low 11% of patients had reached an EDSS of 6 at 10 years. The average disease duration of the cohort at that time was 17 years, said Dr. Kister. The results indicated that about 50% of patients would be expected to reach an EDSS of 6 after a disease duration of approximately 38 years, “which is much longer than in the natural history studies,” he added.
In 2019, Beiki et al. found that among patients with relapsing-remitting MS, the risk of reaching an EDSS of 6 decreased by 7% with each subsequent calendar year of diagnosis. The researchers did not observe a similar trend among patients with progressive MS. Their population-based, retrospective study included 7,331 patients in Sweden.
Two additional studies in Scandinavian populations add to the evidence of decreasing disability. In their examination of Swedish patients with MS who received a diagnosis of MS during 1968-2012, Burkill et al. found that the risk of death decreased over time. The hazard ratio of mortality for patients with MS, compared with a non-MS comparator group, decreased from 6.52 among those diagnosed during 1968-1980 to 2.08 for patients diagnosed during 2001-2012. The decrease in the risk of mortality was greater among patients with MS than in a matched comparator population. Similarly, in a nationwide, population-based study, Koch-Henriksen et al. found that all-cause excess mortality in Danish patients with MS decreased from 1950 through 1999.
The role of DMTs
The evidence suggests that DMTs are affecting the long-term progression of MS, said Dr. Kister. Palace et al. compared patients with MS in the UK who received treatment with interferon-beta with a modeled untreated cohort of patients in British Columbia. They found that treated patients reached an EDSS of 6 4 years later than did untreated patients.
Furthermore, an analysis by Brown et al. showed that the time to conversion to secondary progressive MS was longer among treated patients, compared with untreated patients. The risk of conversion was lower for patients treated with newer, more effective therapies (i.e., fingolimod, alemtuzumab, or natalizumab) than for those treated with glatiramer acetate or interferon beta.
Finally, Kingwell and colleagues examined the effect of treatment with interferon-beta on survival using an international cohort of approximately 6,000 patients with relapsing-remitting MS. They found that exposure to interferon-beta for more than 3 years was associated with a 32% reduction in the risk of mortality. They observed no similar risk reduction among patients exposed to interferon-beta for 6 months to 3 years.
Although these data are encouraging, other evidence indicates that the prevalence of MS in the United States has increased considerably in the past 40 years. Researchers estimate that 1 million Americans have MS, which “suggests that we are diagnosing many more mild cases,” said Dr. Kister. The burden of the disease remains high, he concluded.
Dr. Kister reported receiving consulting fees or research grants from Biogen, Roche, Genzyme and Genentech.
SOURCE: Kister I et al. ECTRIMS 2019. Abstract 281754.
EXPERT ANALYSIS FROM ECTRIMS 2019