Infectious Disease Practitioner

Certain plasma biomarkers of neuronal damage and neuroinflammation are markedly elevated in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with neurologic symptoms compared with hospitalized COVID-19 patients without such symptoms, a new study shows.

These results suggest that COVID-19 may accelerate Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology, said study investigator Thomas Wisniewski, MD, professor of neurology, pathology, and psychiatry at New York University.

The findings were presented here at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021.
 

Strong correlation

There’s a clear association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementia. Patients with Alzheimer’s disease are at threefold higher risk for the infection and have a twofold higher risk for death, Dr. Wisniewski told meeting delegates.

He and his colleagues conducted a prospective study of patients who had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and who experienced neurologic sequelae and SARS-CoV-2 patients who were without neurologic sequelae. All patients were hospitalized from March 10 to May 20, 2020. This was during a period when New York City was overwhelmed by COVID: About 35% of hospitalized patients had COVID.

Of those who experienced neurologic events, the most common “by far and away” (51%) was toxic metabolic encephalopathy (TME), said Dr. Wisniewski. Other associations included seizures, hypoxic/anoxic injury, and ischemic stroke.

The most common TMEs were septic and hypoxic ischemia. In most patients (78%), TME had more than one cause.

Researchers followed 196 patients with COVID and neurologic complications (case patients) and 186 matched control patients who had no neurologic complications over a period of 6 months.

“Unfortunately, both groups had poor outcomes,” said Dr. Wisniewski. About 50% had impaired cognition, and 56% experienced limitations in activities of daily living.

However, those patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic sequelae “fared even worse,” said Dr. Wisniewski. Compared with control patients, they had twofold worse Modified Rankin Scale scores and worse scores on activity of daily living, and they were much less likely to return to work.

Mechanisms by which COVID-19 affects longer-term cognitive dysfunction are unclear, but inflammation likely plays a role.

The research team compared a number of Alzheimer’s disease plasma biomarkers in 158 patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic symptoms and 152 COVID patients with COVID but no neurologic symptoms. They found marked elevations of neurofilament light, a marker of neuronal injury, in those with symptoms (P = .0003) as well as increased glial fibrillary acid protein, a marker of neuroinflammation (P = .0098).

Ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1, another marker of neuronal injury, was also elevated in those with neurologic symptoms. Regarding Alzheimer’s disease pathology, total tau (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau “also tracked with neurological sequelae,” said Dr. Wisniewski.

There was no difference in levels of amyloid beta 40 (A beta 40) between groups. However, A beta 42 plasma levels were significantly lower in those with neurologic effects, suggesting higher levels in the brain. In addition, the ratio of t-tau to A beta 42 “clearly differentiated the two groups,” he said.

“Serum biomarkers of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury and Alzheimer’s disease correlate strongly, perhaps suggesting that folks with COVID infection and neurological sequelae may have an acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology,” he said. “That’s something that needs longer follow-up.”
 

Important differentiation

Commenting on the research, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement, Alzheimer’s Association, said the study provides important information. The inclusion of plasma biomarkers in this research is “really critical to tease out what’s the impact of COVID itself on the brain,” said Dr. Edelmayer.

“We’re in an era of biomarkers when it comes to Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, and being able to define those changes that are happening in the brain over time is going to be really critical and aid in early detection and accurate diagnoses,” she said.

What is still to be learned is what these biomarkers reveal long term, said Dr. Edelmayer. “Do those biological markers change? Do they go back to normal? A lot of that is still unknown,” she said.

She noted that many diseases that are linked to inflammation produce similar biomarkers in the brain – for example, neurofilament light.

With other viral infections, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), similar associations between the infection and cognition have been reported, said Dr. Edelmayer.

“But there are still a lot of questions around cause and effect. Is it really a direct effect of the virus on the brain itself? Is it an effect of having an enormous amount of inflammation going on in the body? A lot of that still needs to be teased out,” she commented.

The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, the Alzheimer’s Association, and the State of New York. Dr. Wisniewski has consulted for Grifols, Amylon Pharmaceuticals, and Alzamed Neuro; 30 NYU patents are related to AD therapeutics.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Certain plasma biomarkers of neuronal damage and neuroinflammation are markedly elevated in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with neurologic symptoms compared with hospitalized COVID-19 patients without such symptoms, a new study shows.

These results suggest that COVID-19 may accelerate Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology, said study investigator Thomas Wisniewski, MD, professor of neurology, pathology, and psychiatry at New York University.

The findings were presented here at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021.
 

Strong correlation

There’s a clear association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementia. Patients with Alzheimer’s disease are at threefold higher risk for the infection and have a twofold higher risk for death, Dr. Wisniewski told meeting delegates.

He and his colleagues conducted a prospective study of patients who had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and who experienced neurologic sequelae and SARS-CoV-2 patients who were without neurologic sequelae. All patients were hospitalized from March 10 to May 20, 2020. This was during a period when New York City was overwhelmed by COVID: About 35% of hospitalized patients had COVID.

Of those who experienced neurologic events, the most common “by far and away” (51%) was toxic metabolic encephalopathy (TME), said Dr. Wisniewski. Other associations included seizures, hypoxic/anoxic injury, and ischemic stroke.

The most common TMEs were septic and hypoxic ischemia. In most patients (78%), TME had more than one cause.

Researchers followed 196 patients with COVID and neurologic complications (case patients) and 186 matched control patients who had no neurologic complications over a period of 6 months.

“Unfortunately, both groups had poor outcomes,” said Dr. Wisniewski. About 50% had impaired cognition, and 56% experienced limitations in activities of daily living.

However, those patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic sequelae “fared even worse,” said Dr. Wisniewski. Compared with control patients, they had twofold worse Modified Rankin Scale scores and worse scores on activity of daily living, and they were much less likely to return to work.

Mechanisms by which COVID-19 affects longer-term cognitive dysfunction are unclear, but inflammation likely plays a role.

The research team compared a number of Alzheimer’s disease plasma biomarkers in 158 patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic symptoms and 152 COVID patients with COVID but no neurologic symptoms. They found marked elevations of neurofilament light, a marker of neuronal injury, in those with symptoms (P = .0003) as well as increased glial fibrillary acid protein, a marker of neuroinflammation (P = .0098).

Ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1, another marker of neuronal injury, was also elevated in those with neurologic symptoms. Regarding Alzheimer’s disease pathology, total tau (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau “also tracked with neurological sequelae,” said Dr. Wisniewski.

There was no difference in levels of amyloid beta 40 (A beta 40) between groups. However, A beta 42 plasma levels were significantly lower in those with neurologic effects, suggesting higher levels in the brain. In addition, the ratio of t-tau to A beta 42 “clearly differentiated the two groups,” he said.

“Serum biomarkers of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury and Alzheimer’s disease correlate strongly, perhaps suggesting that folks with COVID infection and neurological sequelae may have an acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology,” he said. “That’s something that needs longer follow-up.”
 

Important differentiation

Commenting on the research, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement, Alzheimer’s Association, said the study provides important information. The inclusion of plasma biomarkers in this research is “really critical to tease out what’s the impact of COVID itself on the brain,” said Dr. Edelmayer.

“We’re in an era of biomarkers when it comes to Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, and being able to define those changes that are happening in the brain over time is going to be really critical and aid in early detection and accurate diagnoses,” she said.

What is still to be learned is what these biomarkers reveal long term, said Dr. Edelmayer. “Do those biological markers change? Do they go back to normal? A lot of that is still unknown,” she said.

She noted that many diseases that are linked to inflammation produce similar biomarkers in the brain – for example, neurofilament light.

With other viral infections, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), similar associations between the infection and cognition have been reported, said Dr. Edelmayer.

“But there are still a lot of questions around cause and effect. Is it really a direct effect of the virus on the brain itself? Is it an effect of having an enormous amount of inflammation going on in the body? A lot of that still needs to be teased out,” she commented.

The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, the Alzheimer’s Association, and the State of New York. Dr. Wisniewski has consulted for Grifols, Amylon Pharmaceuticals, and Alzamed Neuro; 30 NYU patents are related to AD therapeutics.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Certain plasma biomarkers of neuronal damage and neuroinflammation are markedly elevated in hospitalized COVID-19 patients with neurologic symptoms compared with hospitalized COVID-19 patients without such symptoms, a new study shows.

These results suggest that COVID-19 may accelerate Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology, said study investigator Thomas Wisniewski, MD, professor of neurology, pathology, and psychiatry at New York University.

The findings were presented here at the Alzheimer’s Association International Conference (AAIC) 2021.
 

Strong correlation

There’s a clear association between SARS-CoV-2 infection and Alzheimer’s disease-related dementia. Patients with Alzheimer’s disease are at threefold higher risk for the infection and have a twofold higher risk for death, Dr. Wisniewski told meeting delegates.

He and his colleagues conducted a prospective study of patients who had tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and who experienced neurologic sequelae and SARS-CoV-2 patients who were without neurologic sequelae. All patients were hospitalized from March 10 to May 20, 2020. This was during a period when New York City was overwhelmed by COVID: About 35% of hospitalized patients had COVID.

Of those who experienced neurologic events, the most common “by far and away” (51%) was toxic metabolic encephalopathy (TME), said Dr. Wisniewski. Other associations included seizures, hypoxic/anoxic injury, and ischemic stroke.

The most common TMEs were septic and hypoxic ischemia. In most patients (78%), TME had more than one cause.

Researchers followed 196 patients with COVID and neurologic complications (case patients) and 186 matched control patients who had no neurologic complications over a period of 6 months.

“Unfortunately, both groups had poor outcomes,” said Dr. Wisniewski. About 50% had impaired cognition, and 56% experienced limitations in activities of daily living.

However, those patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic sequelae “fared even worse,” said Dr. Wisniewski. Compared with control patients, they had twofold worse Modified Rankin Scale scores and worse scores on activity of daily living, and they were much less likely to return to work.

Mechanisms by which COVID-19 affects longer-term cognitive dysfunction are unclear, but inflammation likely plays a role.

The research team compared a number of Alzheimer’s disease plasma biomarkers in 158 patients with COVID-19 who had neurologic symptoms and 152 COVID patients with COVID but no neurologic symptoms. They found marked elevations of neurofilament light, a marker of neuronal injury, in those with symptoms (P = .0003) as well as increased glial fibrillary acid protein, a marker of neuroinflammation (P = .0098).

Ubiquitin carboxyl-terminal hydrolase L1, another marker of neuronal injury, was also elevated in those with neurologic symptoms. Regarding Alzheimer’s disease pathology, total tau (t-tau) and phosphorylated tau “also tracked with neurological sequelae,” said Dr. Wisniewski.

There was no difference in levels of amyloid beta 40 (A beta 40) between groups. However, A beta 42 plasma levels were significantly lower in those with neurologic effects, suggesting higher levels in the brain. In addition, the ratio of t-tau to A beta 42 “clearly differentiated the two groups,” he said.

“Serum biomarkers of neuroinflammation and neuronal injury and Alzheimer’s disease correlate strongly, perhaps suggesting that folks with COVID infection and neurological sequelae may have an acceleration of Alzheimer’s disease symptoms and pathology,” he said. “That’s something that needs longer follow-up.”
 

Important differentiation

Commenting on the research, Rebecca Edelmayer, PhD, senior director of scientific engagement, Alzheimer’s Association, said the study provides important information. The inclusion of plasma biomarkers in this research is “really critical to tease out what’s the impact of COVID itself on the brain,” said Dr. Edelmayer.

“We’re in an era of biomarkers when it comes to Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias, and being able to define those changes that are happening in the brain over time is going to be really critical and aid in early detection and accurate diagnoses,” she said.

What is still to be learned is what these biomarkers reveal long term, said Dr. Edelmayer. “Do those biological markers change? Do they go back to normal? A lot of that is still unknown,” she said.

She noted that many diseases that are linked to inflammation produce similar biomarkers in the brain – for example, neurofilament light.

With other viral infections, such as severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS), similar associations between the infection and cognition have been reported, said Dr. Edelmayer.

“But there are still a lot of questions around cause and effect. Is it really a direct effect of the virus on the brain itself? Is it an effect of having an enormous amount of inflammation going on in the body? A lot of that still needs to be teased out,” she commented.

The study was supported by the National Institutes of Health, the Alzheimer’s Association, and the State of New York. Dr. Wisniewski has consulted for Grifols, Amylon Pharmaceuticals, and Alzamed Neuro; 30 NYU patents are related to AD therapeutics.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

“One of the most important considerations before switching HIV patients to injectable long-acting cabotegravir/rilpivirine [CAB/RPV LA; Cabenuva, ViiV Healthcare] is for the patient and the clinician to arrive at this decision together,” Elliot DeHaan, MD, told this news organization. “This therapy is not necessarily for everyone.”

Dr. DeHaan is lead author of the newly released clinical guideline from the New York State Department of Health AIDS Institute for use of CAB/RPV LA as replacement antiretroviral therapy (ART) in virally suppressed adults with HIV. He explained that the guidance expands upon Health & Human Services’ Feb. 24 CAB/RPV LA recommendations, highlighting some of the most important clinical and patient considerations necessary to implement injectable ART. “There are a lot of things that need to be laid out beforehand,” he said.
 

Gaining consensus

Approved by the FDA in late January 2021, CAB/RPV LA is considered an optimization strategy for individuals with HIV whose virus is suppressed by oral ART and who might prefer monthly injections to daily oral therapy. While there are various reasons why patients might wish to switch to a long-acting injectable, one of the primary concerns is adherence. Of note, the guidance points to phase 3 clinical study findings that suggest high levels (86%-91%) of patient satisfaction with CAB/RPV LA, which portends a promising future for this therapeutic approach.

With regard to patient preference, recommendations focus on the need to thoroughly discuss several critical requisites with potential candidates, including a 4-week lead-in daily oral ART course (CAB [Vocabria] 30 mg, RPV [Edurant] 25 mg) before initiating a loading dose. Patients should be advised of the potential for development of resistance should dosing be interrupted for any reason (CAB and RPV have extended half-lives ranging from mean 5.6 to 11.5 weeks for CAB and 13 to 28 weeks for RPV), as well as the need to return to oral bridging therapy if subsequent injections are not administered within the 7-day window period. If the maintenance dose is delayed beyond 2 months, a loading dose and restart is necessary.

CAB/RPV LA therapy is administered into opposing gluteal muscles (CAB into one gluteus medius and RPV into the contralateral gluteus medius), and injection-site pain beginning 1 day post-injection and lasting 3-4 days is common. In phase 3 clinical trials, as many as 83% of patients experienced adverse effects (AEs), which also include nodules, induration, and swelling at the injection sites. Fortunately, 99% of AEs were of mild to moderate severity. While pain tends to decline over several injections, Dr. DeHaan said that it’s an important part of the initial discussion about switching therapies.
 

Other considerations

Prior resistance testing, ART treatment history, and/or baseline genotypic resistance testing that includes both reverse transcriptase and integrase genes should be reviewed or conducted before initiating treatment. K103 mutations alone are not considered exclusionary. Virologic failures (defined as two consecutive plasma HIV-1 RNA measurements greater than 200 copies/mL), while rare, were reported in 13 clinical trial participants. Recent data suggest that patients who developed resistance despite adherence had at least two of three factors: a body mass index greater than 30 kg/m², the HIV-1 subtype A6/A1, and the presence of proviral RPV RAMS.

CAB/RPV LA does not treat hepatitis B (HBV) coinfections, reinforcing the need for concurrent oral HBV therapy.

And there’s a paucity of data on the safety and efficacy of CAB/RPV in children and adolescents, or during pregnancy/lactation, precluding its use in those patient populations.
 

Clinical, institutional considerations

Adaptation of CAB/RPV LA as ART requires specific clinical institutional planning, especially in light of current pandemic-related resource and staffing limitations. Monthly dosing must be done within a 7-day window and requires preparations akin to initial loading doses. In addition to pharmacy resources and onsite storage requirements, the guidance points to patient scheduling and reminder systems, access (patient transportation, work constraints, parking), and most importantly, contingency plans for care (including oral bridging therapy) should a clinic be forced to shut down for any reason. Additional factors include billing protocols, insurance or third party authorizations, and provision of counseling and education training.

“Given that this is a completely new way of thinking among providers, we’re all learning together,” said David Koren, PharmD, MPH, a clinical pharmacy specialist in infectious diseases at Temple University, Philadelphia. “The guidelines provide a nice framework for taking the next step to operationalize these processes into practice, taking into account that barriers to implementation are still unknown.” Dr. Koren was not involved in the development of the guidelines.

Dr. DeHaan has disclosed no relevant financial relationships. Dr. Koren disclosed serving on a prior Advisory Panel for ViiV Healthcare US.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

“One of the most important considerations before switching HIV patients to injectable long-acting cabotegravir/rilpivirine [CAB/RPV LA; Cabenuva, ViiV Healthcare] is for the patient and the clinician to arrive at this decision together,” Elliot DeHaan, MD, told this news organization. “This therapy is not necessarily for everyone.”

Dr. DeHaan is lead author of the newly released clinical guideline from the New York State Department of Health AIDS Institute for use of CAB/RPV LA as replacement antiretroviral therapy (ART) in virally suppressed adults with HIV. He explained that the guidance expands upon Health & Human Services’ Feb. 24 CAB/RPV LA recommendations, highlighting some of the most important clinical and patient considerations necessary to implement injectable ART. “There are a lot of things that need to be laid out beforehand,” he said.
 

Gaining consensus

Approved by the FDA in late January 2021, CAB/RPV LA is considered an optimization strategy for individuals with HIV whose virus is suppressed by oral ART and who might prefer monthly injections to daily oral therapy. While there are various reasons why patients might wish to switch to a long-acting injectable, one of the primary concerns is adherence. Of note, the guidance points to phase 3 clinical study findings that suggest high levels (86%-91%) of patient satisfaction with CAB/RPV LA, which portends a promising future for this therapeutic approach.

With regard to patient preference, recommendations focus on the need to thoroughly discuss several critical requisites with potential candidates, including a 4-week lead-in daily oral ART course (CAB [Vocabria] 30 mg, RPV [Edurant] 25 mg) before initiating a loading dose. Patients should be advised of the potential for development of resistance should dosing be interrupted for any reason (CAB and RPV have extended half-lives ranging from mean 5.6 to 11.5 weeks for CAB and 13 to 28 weeks for RPV), as well as the need to return to oral bridging therapy if subsequent injections are not administered within the 7-day window period. If the maintenance dose is delayed beyond 2 months, a loading dose and restart is necessary.

CAB/RPV LA therapy is administered into opposing gluteal muscles (CAB into one gluteus medius and RPV into the contralateral gluteus medius), and injection-site pain beginning 1 day post-injection and lasting 3-4 days is common. In phase 3 clinical trials, as many as 83% of patients experienced adverse effects (AEs), which also include nodules, induration, and swelling at the injection sites. Fortunately, 99% of AEs were of mild to moderate severity. While pain tends to decline over several injections, Dr. DeHaan said that it’s an important part of the initial discussion about switching therapies.
 

Other considerations

Prior resistance testing, ART treatment history, and/or baseline genotypic resistance testing that includes both reverse transcriptase and integrase genes should be reviewed or conducted before initiating treatment. K103 mutations alone are not considered exclusionary. Virologic failures (defined as two consecutive plasma HIV-1 RNA measurements greater than 200 copies/mL), while rare, were reported in 13 clinical trial participants. Recent data suggest that patients who developed resistance despite adherence had at least two of three factors: a body mass index greater than 30 kg/m², the HIV-1 subtype A6/A1, and the presence of proviral RPV RAMS.

CAB/RPV LA does not treat hepatitis B (HBV) coinfections, reinforcing the need for concurrent oral HBV therapy.

And there’s a paucity of data on the safety and efficacy of CAB/RPV in children and adolescents, or during pregnancy/lactation, precluding its use in those patient populations.
 

Clinical, institutional considerations

Adaptation of CAB/RPV LA as ART requires specific clinical institutional planning, especially in light of current pandemic-related resource and staffing limitations. Monthly dosing must be done within a 7-day window and requires preparations akin to initial loading doses. In addition to pharmacy resources and onsite storage requirements, the guidance points to patient scheduling and reminder systems, access (patient transportation, work constraints, parking), and most importantly, contingency plans for care (including oral bridging therapy) should a clinic be forced to shut down for any reason. Additional factors include billing protocols, insurance or third party authorizations, and provision of counseling and education training.

“Given that this is a completely new way of thinking among providers, we’re all learning together,” said David Koren, PharmD, MPH, a clinical pharmacy specialist in infectious diseases at Temple University, Philadelphia. “The guidelines provide a nice framework for taking the next step to operationalize these processes into practice, taking into account that barriers to implementation are still unknown.” Dr. Koren was not involved in the development of the guidelines.

Dr. DeHaan has disclosed no relevant financial relationships. Dr. Koren disclosed serving on a prior Advisory Panel for ViiV Healthcare US.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

“One of the most important considerations before switching HIV patients to injectable long-acting cabotegravir/rilpivirine [CAB/RPV LA; Cabenuva, ViiV Healthcare] is for the patient and the clinician to arrive at this decision together,” Elliot DeHaan, MD, told this news organization. “This therapy is not necessarily for everyone.”

Dr. DeHaan is lead author of the newly released clinical guideline from the New York State Department of Health AIDS Institute for use of CAB/RPV LA as replacement antiretroviral therapy (ART) in virally suppressed adults with HIV. He explained that the guidance expands upon Health & Human Services’ Feb. 24 CAB/RPV LA recommendations, highlighting some of the most important clinical and patient considerations necessary to implement injectable ART. “There are a lot of things that need to be laid out beforehand,” he said.
 

Gaining consensus

Approved by the FDA in late January 2021, CAB/RPV LA is considered an optimization strategy for individuals with HIV whose virus is suppressed by oral ART and who might prefer monthly injections to daily oral therapy. While there are various reasons why patients might wish to switch to a long-acting injectable, one of the primary concerns is adherence. Of note, the guidance points to phase 3 clinical study findings that suggest high levels (86%-91%) of patient satisfaction with CAB/RPV LA, which portends a promising future for this therapeutic approach.

With regard to patient preference, recommendations focus on the need to thoroughly discuss several critical requisites with potential candidates, including a 4-week lead-in daily oral ART course (CAB [Vocabria] 30 mg, RPV [Edurant] 25 mg) before initiating a loading dose. Patients should be advised of the potential for development of resistance should dosing be interrupted for any reason (CAB and RPV have extended half-lives ranging from mean 5.6 to 11.5 weeks for CAB and 13 to 28 weeks for RPV), as well as the need to return to oral bridging therapy if subsequent injections are not administered within the 7-day window period. If the maintenance dose is delayed beyond 2 months, a loading dose and restart is necessary.

CAB/RPV LA therapy is administered into opposing gluteal muscles (CAB into one gluteus medius and RPV into the contralateral gluteus medius), and injection-site pain beginning 1 day post-injection and lasting 3-4 days is common. In phase 3 clinical trials, as many as 83% of patients experienced adverse effects (AEs), which also include nodules, induration, and swelling at the injection sites. Fortunately, 99% of AEs were of mild to moderate severity. While pain tends to decline over several injections, Dr. DeHaan said that it’s an important part of the initial discussion about switching therapies.
 

Other considerations

Prior resistance testing, ART treatment history, and/or baseline genotypic resistance testing that includes both reverse transcriptase and integrase genes should be reviewed or conducted before initiating treatment. K103 mutations alone are not considered exclusionary. Virologic failures (defined as two consecutive plasma HIV-1 RNA measurements greater than 200 copies/mL), while rare, were reported in 13 clinical trial participants. Recent data suggest that patients who developed resistance despite adherence had at least two of three factors: a body mass index greater than 30 kg/m², the HIV-1 subtype A6/A1, and the presence of proviral RPV RAMS.

CAB/RPV LA does not treat hepatitis B (HBV) coinfections, reinforcing the need for concurrent oral HBV therapy.

And there’s a paucity of data on the safety and efficacy of CAB/RPV in children and adolescents, or during pregnancy/lactation, precluding its use in those patient populations.
 

Clinical, institutional considerations

Adaptation of CAB/RPV LA as ART requires specific clinical institutional planning, especially in light of current pandemic-related resource and staffing limitations. Monthly dosing must be done within a 7-day window and requires preparations akin to initial loading doses. In addition to pharmacy resources and onsite storage requirements, the guidance points to patient scheduling and reminder systems, access (patient transportation, work constraints, parking), and most importantly, contingency plans for care (including oral bridging therapy) should a clinic be forced to shut down for any reason. Additional factors include billing protocols, insurance or third party authorizations, and provision of counseling and education training.

“Given that this is a completely new way of thinking among providers, we’re all learning together,” said David Koren, PharmD, MPH, a clinical pharmacy specialist in infectious diseases at Temple University, Philadelphia. “The guidelines provide a nice framework for taking the next step to operationalize these processes into practice, taking into account that barriers to implementation are still unknown.” Dr. Koren was not involved in the development of the guidelines.

Dr. DeHaan has disclosed no relevant financial relationships. Dr. Koren disclosed serving on a prior Advisory Panel for ViiV Healthcare US.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The Centers for Disease Control has issued the first recommendations for the prevention and treatment of plague since 2000. The new guidelines focus on the possibility of bioterrorism with mass casualty events from an intentional release of Yersinia pestis.

Plague, a deadly infection caused by Y. pestis, has been feared throughout history because of large pandemics. The most well-known pandemic was the so-called Black Death in the fourteenth century, during which more than 50 million Europeans died. The biggest concern now is the spread of the bacteria by bioterrorism.

The CDC based their revised guidelines on an extensive systematic review of the literature and multiple sessions with about 90 experts in infectious disease, public health, emergency medicine, obgyn, maternal-fetal health, and pediatrics, in addition to representatives from a wide range of federal agencies.
 

Key changes

Christina Nelson, a medical officer with the CDC’s Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, told this news organization that now “we have been fortunate to have extended options for treatment.” Previously, “streptomycin and gentamicin were the first-line options for adults,” she said. Now, on the basis of additional evidence, “[we’re] able to … elevate the fluoroquinolones to first-line treatments.”

On the basis of the Animal Rule, which allows approval of antibiotics without human testing if such testing is not possible, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has approved several quinolones for both treatment and prophylaxis of plague.

The guidelines offer same-class alternative antibiotics to meet surge capacity. Similarly, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole is now an alternative for prophylaxis.

There are additional oral options to conserve IV medications and supplies in a mass casualty event.

For the first time, the CDC added specific recommendations for pregnant women. Gigi Kwik Gronvall, PhD, senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore, told this news organization that she was pleased to see this addition, because “effects on women and during pregnancy are not fully addressed, and it leads to problems down the road, like with COVID, [for which] they didn’t include pregnant people in their clinical trials for the vaccines [and] don’t have enough data to convince pregnant women to actually get the vaccine.”
 

Bubonic plague

Plague occurs globally, with natural sylvatic (wild animal) outbreaks occurring among rodents and small mammals. It is spread by fleas. When an infected flea bites a human, the person can become infected, most commonly as “bubonic” plague, with swollen lymph nodes, called buboes. Transmission can also occur between people by contact with infected fluids or inhalation of infectious droplets.

Gentamicin or streptomycin remain first-line agents for treating bubonic plague. When used as monotherapy, the survival rate is 91%. They have to be given parenterally and are associated with both nephroroxicity and ototoxicity; patients require monitoring.

Alternative first-line drugs now include high-dose ciprofloxicin, levofloxacin, moxifloxacin, and doxycycline. Each is administered either intravenously or orally.

Physicians should consider dual therapy and drainage for patients with large buboes. Treatment is for 10 to 14 days.
 

Pneumonic and septicemic plague

The pneumonic and septicemic forms of infection are deadlier than the bubonic. Pneumonic plague can be acquired from inhalation of infected bacteria from animals or people, from lab accidents, or from intentional aerosolization. Without treatment, these forms are almost always fatal. With treatment with aminoglycosides, fluoroquinolones, or tetracyclines, alone or in combination, survival is 82% to 83%. With naturally occurring pneumonic plague, the CDC now recommends levofloxacin or moxifloxacin to cover for community-acquired pneumonia if the source of the infection is uncertain.

Because plague is life threatening, doxycycline is not considered contraindicated in children. It has not been shown to cause tooth staining, unlike other tetracyclines, which should still be avoided if possible.
 

Meningitis

About 10% of people infected with bubonic plague develop plague meningitis. Symptoms are stiff neck, fever, headache, and coma. The current recommendation for treating plague meningitis is chloramphenicol and moxifloxacin or levofloxacin. However, quinolones can cause seizures, and clinicians should take that into account.

Infection control

Plague is transmitted between people by droplets, so caretakers should wear a mask in addition to taking standard precautions. They should add eye protection and a face shield if splashing is likely. Airborne precautions are not needed. Plague is not very transmissible from person to person; each infected person on average infects only 1.18 other people. In comparison, someone with chicken pox infects 9 to 10 people on average.

Bioterrorism

A deliberate attack would likely go undetected until a cluster or unusual pattern of disease became evident. With Y. pestis, the infectious dose is low. According to the guidelines, modeling suggests that a “release of 50 kg of Y. pestis into the air over a city of 5 million persons could result in 150,000 cases of pneumonic plague and 36,000 deaths.”

Because the former Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) engineered antibiotic-resistant Y. pestis, antibiotics from two different classes should be used empirically until sensitivity tests become available.

Antibiotic prophylaxis would also have to be considered for exposed individuals. Recommendations would be developed at the time by federal and state experts, based in part on the magnitude of the event and the availability of masks and different classes of antibiotics.

Dr. Gronvall stressed the need for awareness, saying, “It’s important for people to remember that the first sign of the potential attack could be somebody coming into your hospital.”

Dr. Nelson added, “One of the main take-home messages ... is that plague still happens, it still happens in the western United States, it still happens around the world ... It’s not just a relic of history.” She emphasized that clinicians need to be thinking about it, because “it’s very important to get antibiotics on board early ... Then patients generally have a good prognosis.”

Dr. Nelson and Dr. Gronvall have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The Centers for Disease Control has issued the first recommendations for the prevention and treatment of plague since 2000. The new guidelines focus on the possibility of bioterrorism with mass casualty events from an intentional release of Yersinia pestis.

Plague, a deadly infection caused by Y. pestis, has been feared throughout history because of large pandemics. The most well-known pandemic was the so-called Black Death in the fourteenth century, during which more than 50 million Europeans died. The biggest concern now is the spread of the bacteria by bioterrorism.

The CDC based their revised guidelines on an extensive systematic review of the literature and multiple sessions with about 90 experts in infectious disease, public health, emergency medicine, obgyn, maternal-fetal health, and pediatrics, in addition to representatives from a wide range of federal agencies.
 

Key changes

Christina Nelson, a medical officer with the CDC’s Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, told this news organization that now “we have been fortunate to have extended options for treatment.” Previously, “streptomycin and gentamicin were the first-line options for adults,” she said. Now, on the basis of additional evidence, “[we’re] able to … elevate the fluoroquinolones to first-line treatments.”

On the basis of the Animal Rule, which allows approval of antibiotics without human testing if such testing is not possible, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has approved several quinolones for both treatment and prophylaxis of plague.

The guidelines offer same-class alternative antibiotics to meet surge capacity. Similarly, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole is now an alternative for prophylaxis.

There are additional oral options to conserve IV medications and supplies in a mass casualty event.

For the first time, the CDC added specific recommendations for pregnant women. Gigi Kwik Gronvall, PhD, senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore, told this news organization that she was pleased to see this addition, because “effects on women and during pregnancy are not fully addressed, and it leads to problems down the road, like with COVID, [for which] they didn’t include pregnant people in their clinical trials for the vaccines [and] don’t have enough data to convince pregnant women to actually get the vaccine.”
 

Bubonic plague

Plague occurs globally, with natural sylvatic (wild animal) outbreaks occurring among rodents and small mammals. It is spread by fleas. When an infected flea bites a human, the person can become infected, most commonly as “bubonic” plague, with swollen lymph nodes, called buboes. Transmission can also occur between people by contact with infected fluids or inhalation of infectious droplets.

Gentamicin or streptomycin remain first-line agents for treating bubonic plague. When used as monotherapy, the survival rate is 91%. They have to be given parenterally and are associated with both nephroroxicity and ototoxicity; patients require monitoring.

Alternative first-line drugs now include high-dose ciprofloxicin, levofloxacin, moxifloxacin, and doxycycline. Each is administered either intravenously or orally.

Physicians should consider dual therapy and drainage for patients with large buboes. Treatment is for 10 to 14 days.
 

Pneumonic and septicemic plague

The pneumonic and septicemic forms of infection are deadlier than the bubonic. Pneumonic plague can be acquired from inhalation of infected bacteria from animals or people, from lab accidents, or from intentional aerosolization. Without treatment, these forms are almost always fatal. With treatment with aminoglycosides, fluoroquinolones, or tetracyclines, alone or in combination, survival is 82% to 83%. With naturally occurring pneumonic plague, the CDC now recommends levofloxacin or moxifloxacin to cover for community-acquired pneumonia if the source of the infection is uncertain.

Because plague is life threatening, doxycycline is not considered contraindicated in children. It has not been shown to cause tooth staining, unlike other tetracyclines, which should still be avoided if possible.
 

Meningitis

About 10% of people infected with bubonic plague develop plague meningitis. Symptoms are stiff neck, fever, headache, and coma. The current recommendation for treating plague meningitis is chloramphenicol and moxifloxacin or levofloxacin. However, quinolones can cause seizures, and clinicians should take that into account.

Infection control

Plague is transmitted between people by droplets, so caretakers should wear a mask in addition to taking standard precautions. They should add eye protection and a face shield if splashing is likely. Airborne precautions are not needed. Plague is not very transmissible from person to person; each infected person on average infects only 1.18 other people. In comparison, someone with chicken pox infects 9 to 10 people on average.

Bioterrorism

A deliberate attack would likely go undetected until a cluster or unusual pattern of disease became evident. With Y. pestis, the infectious dose is low. According to the guidelines, modeling suggests that a “release of 50 kg of Y. pestis into the air over a city of 5 million persons could result in 150,000 cases of pneumonic plague and 36,000 deaths.”

Because the former Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) engineered antibiotic-resistant Y. pestis, antibiotics from two different classes should be used empirically until sensitivity tests become available.

Antibiotic prophylaxis would also have to be considered for exposed individuals. Recommendations would be developed at the time by federal and state experts, based in part on the magnitude of the event and the availability of masks and different classes of antibiotics.

Dr. Gronvall stressed the need for awareness, saying, “It’s important for people to remember that the first sign of the potential attack could be somebody coming into your hospital.”

Dr. Nelson added, “One of the main take-home messages ... is that plague still happens, it still happens in the western United States, it still happens around the world ... It’s not just a relic of history.” She emphasized that clinicians need to be thinking about it, because “it’s very important to get antibiotics on board early ... Then patients generally have a good prognosis.”

Dr. Nelson and Dr. Gronvall have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The Centers for Disease Control has issued the first recommendations for the prevention and treatment of plague since 2000. The new guidelines focus on the possibility of bioterrorism with mass casualty events from an intentional release of Yersinia pestis.

Plague, a deadly infection caused by Y. pestis, has been feared throughout history because of large pandemics. The most well-known pandemic was the so-called Black Death in the fourteenth century, during which more than 50 million Europeans died. The biggest concern now is the spread of the bacteria by bioterrorism.

The CDC based their revised guidelines on an extensive systematic review of the literature and multiple sessions with about 90 experts in infectious disease, public health, emergency medicine, obgyn, maternal-fetal health, and pediatrics, in addition to representatives from a wide range of federal agencies.
 

Key changes

Christina Nelson, a medical officer with the CDC’s Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, told this news organization that now “we have been fortunate to have extended options for treatment.” Previously, “streptomycin and gentamicin were the first-line options for adults,” she said. Now, on the basis of additional evidence, “[we’re] able to … elevate the fluoroquinolones to first-line treatments.”

On the basis of the Animal Rule, which allows approval of antibiotics without human testing if such testing is not possible, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration has approved several quinolones for both treatment and prophylaxis of plague.

The guidelines offer same-class alternative antibiotics to meet surge capacity. Similarly, trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole is now an alternative for prophylaxis.

There are additional oral options to conserve IV medications and supplies in a mass casualty event.

For the first time, the CDC added specific recommendations for pregnant women. Gigi Kwik Gronvall, PhD, senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore, told this news organization that she was pleased to see this addition, because “effects on women and during pregnancy are not fully addressed, and it leads to problems down the road, like with COVID, [for which] they didn’t include pregnant people in their clinical trials for the vaccines [and] don’t have enough data to convince pregnant women to actually get the vaccine.”
 

Bubonic plague

Plague occurs globally, with natural sylvatic (wild animal) outbreaks occurring among rodents and small mammals. It is spread by fleas. When an infected flea bites a human, the person can become infected, most commonly as “bubonic” plague, with swollen lymph nodes, called buboes. Transmission can also occur between people by contact with infected fluids or inhalation of infectious droplets.

Gentamicin or streptomycin remain first-line agents for treating bubonic plague. When used as monotherapy, the survival rate is 91%. They have to be given parenterally and are associated with both nephroroxicity and ototoxicity; patients require monitoring.

Alternative first-line drugs now include high-dose ciprofloxicin, levofloxacin, moxifloxacin, and doxycycline. Each is administered either intravenously or orally.

Physicians should consider dual therapy and drainage for patients with large buboes. Treatment is for 10 to 14 days.
 

Pneumonic and septicemic plague

The pneumonic and septicemic forms of infection are deadlier than the bubonic. Pneumonic plague can be acquired from inhalation of infected bacteria from animals or people, from lab accidents, or from intentional aerosolization. Without treatment, these forms are almost always fatal. With treatment with aminoglycosides, fluoroquinolones, or tetracyclines, alone or in combination, survival is 82% to 83%. With naturally occurring pneumonic plague, the CDC now recommends levofloxacin or moxifloxacin to cover for community-acquired pneumonia if the source of the infection is uncertain.

Because plague is life threatening, doxycycline is not considered contraindicated in children. It has not been shown to cause tooth staining, unlike other tetracyclines, which should still be avoided if possible.
 

Meningitis

About 10% of people infected with bubonic plague develop plague meningitis. Symptoms are stiff neck, fever, headache, and coma. The current recommendation for treating plague meningitis is chloramphenicol and moxifloxacin or levofloxacin. However, quinolones can cause seizures, and clinicians should take that into account.

Infection control

Plague is transmitted between people by droplets, so caretakers should wear a mask in addition to taking standard precautions. They should add eye protection and a face shield if splashing is likely. Airborne precautions are not needed. Plague is not very transmissible from person to person; each infected person on average infects only 1.18 other people. In comparison, someone with chicken pox infects 9 to 10 people on average.

Bioterrorism

A deliberate attack would likely go undetected until a cluster or unusual pattern of disease became evident. With Y. pestis, the infectious dose is low. According to the guidelines, modeling suggests that a “release of 50 kg of Y. pestis into the air over a city of 5 million persons could result in 150,000 cases of pneumonic plague and 36,000 deaths.”

Because the former Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR) engineered antibiotic-resistant Y. pestis, antibiotics from two different classes should be used empirically until sensitivity tests become available.

Antibiotic prophylaxis would also have to be considered for exposed individuals. Recommendations would be developed at the time by federal and state experts, based in part on the magnitude of the event and the availability of masks and different classes of antibiotics.

Dr. Gronvall stressed the need for awareness, saying, “It’s important for people to remember that the first sign of the potential attack could be somebody coming into your hospital.”

Dr. Nelson added, “One of the main take-home messages ... is that plague still happens, it still happens in the western United States, it still happens around the world ... It’s not just a relic of history.” She emphasized that clinicians need to be thinking about it, because “it’s very important to get antibiotics on board early ... Then patients generally have a good prognosis.”

Dr. Nelson and Dr. Gronvall have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The U.S. health care system ranked last overall among 11 high-income countries in an analysis by the nonprofit Commonwealth Fund, according to a report released on Aug. 4.

The report is the seventh international comparison of countries’ health systems by the Commonwealth Fund since 2004, and the United States has ranked last in every edition, David Blumenthal, MD, president of the Commonwealth Fund, told reporters during a press briefing.

Researchers analyzed survey answers from tens of thousands of patients and physicians in 11 countries. They analyzed performance on 71 measures across five categories – access to care, care process, administrative efficiency, equity, and health care outcomes. Administrative data were gathered from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and the World Health Organization.

Among contributors to the poor showing by the United States is that half (50%) of lower-income U.S. adults and 27% of higher-income U.S. adults say costs keep them from getting needed health care.

“In no other country does income inequality so profoundly limit access to care,” Dr. Blumenthal said.

In the United Kingdom, only 12% with lower incomes and 7% with higher incomes said costs kept them from care.

In a stark comparison, the researchers found that “a high-income person in the U.S. was more likely to report financial barriers than a low-income person in nearly all the other countries surveyed: Australia, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, and the U.K.”

Norway, the Netherlands, and Australia were ranked at the top overall in that order. Rounding out the 11 in overall ranking were the U.K., Germany, New Zealand, Sweden, France, Switzerland, Canada, and the United States.

“What this report tells us is that our health care system is not working for Americans, particularly those with lower incomes, who are at a severe disadvantage compared to citizens of other countries. And they are paying the price with their health and their lives,” Dr. Blumenthal said in a press release.

“To catch up with other high-income countries, the administration and Congress would have to expand access to health care, equitably, to all Americans, act aggressively to control costs, and invest in the social services we know can lead to a healthier population.”
 

High infant mortality, low life expectancy in U.S.

Several factors contributed to the U.S. ranking at the bottom of the outcomes category. Among them are that the United States has the highest infant mortality rate (5.7 deaths per 1,000 live births) and lowest life expectancy at age 60 (living on average 23.1 years after age 60), compared with the other countries surveyed. The U.S. rate of preventable mortality (177 deaths per 100,000 population) is more than double that of the best-performing country, Switzerland.

Lead author Eric Schneider, MD, senior vice president for policy and research at the Commonwealth Fund, pointed out that, in terms of the change in avoidable mortality over a decade, not only did the United States have the highest rate, compared with the other countries surveyed, “it also experienced the smallest decline in avoidable mortality over that 10-year period.”

The U.S. maternal mortality rate of 17.4 deaths per 100,000 live births is twice that of France, the country with the next-highest rate (7.6 deaths per 100,000 live births).
 

U.S. excelled in only one category

The only category in which the United States did not rank last was in “care process,” where it ranked second behind only New Zealand.

The care process category combines preventive care, safe care, coordinated care, and patient engagement and preferences. The category includes indicators such as mammography screening and influenza vaccination for older adults as well as the percentage of adults counseled by a health care provider about nutrition, smoking, or alcohol use.

The United States and Germany performed best on engagement and patient preferences, although U.S. adults have the lowest rates of continuity with the same doctor.

New Zealand and the United States ranked highest in the safe care category, with higher reported use of computerized alerts and routine review of medications.
 

‘Too little, too late’: Key recommendations for U.S. to improve

Reginald Williams, vice president of International Health Policy and Practice Innovations at the Commonwealth Fund, pointed out that the U.S. shortcomings in health care come despite spending more than twice as much of its GDP (17% in 2019) as the average OECD country.

“It appears that the US delivers too little of the care that is most needed and often delivers that care too late, especially for people with chronic illnesses,” he said.

He then summarized the team’s recommendations on how the United States can change course.

First is expanding insurance coverage, he said, noting that the United States is the only one of the 11 countries that lacks universal coverage and nearly 30 million people remain uninsured.

Top-performing countries in the survey have universal coverage, annual out-of-pocket caps on covered benefits, and full coverage for primary care and treatment for chronic conditions, he said.

The United States must also improve access to care, he said.

“Top-ranking countries like the Netherlands and Norway ensure timely availability to care by telephone on nights and weekends, and in-person follow-up at home, if needed,” he said.

Mr. Williams said reducing administrative burdens is also critical to free up resources for improving health. He gave an example: “Norway determines patient copayments or physician fees on a regional basis, applying standardized copayments to all physicians within a specialty in a geographic area.”

Reducing income-related barriers is important as well, he said.

The fear of unpredictably high bills and other issues prevent people in the United States from getting the care they ultimately need, he said, adding that top-performing countries invest more in social services to reduce health risks.

That could have implications for the COVID-19 response.

Responding effectively to COVID-19 requires that patients can access affordable health care services, Mr. Williams noted.

“We know from our research that more than two-thirds of U.S. adults say their potential out-of-pocket costs would figure prominently in their decisions to get care if they had coronavirus symptoms,” he said.

Dr. Schneider summed up in the press release: “This study makes clear that higher U.S. spending on health care is not producing better health especially as the U.S. continues on a path of deepening inequality. A country that spends as much as we do should have the best health system in the world. We should adapt what works in other high-income countries to build a better health care system that provides affordable, high-quality health care for everyone.”

Dr. Blumenthal, Dr. Schneider, and Mr. Williams reported no relevant financial relationships outside their employment with the Commonwealth Fund. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The U.S. health care system ranked last overall among 11 high-income countries in an analysis by the nonprofit Commonwealth Fund, according to a report released on Aug. 4.

The report is the seventh international comparison of countries’ health systems by the Commonwealth Fund since 2004, and the United States has ranked last in every edition, David Blumenthal, MD, president of the Commonwealth Fund, told reporters during a press briefing.

Researchers analyzed survey answers from tens of thousands of patients and physicians in 11 countries. They analyzed performance on 71 measures across five categories – access to care, care process, administrative efficiency, equity, and health care outcomes. Administrative data were gathered from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and the World Health Organization.

Among contributors to the poor showing by the United States is that half (50%) of lower-income U.S. adults and 27% of higher-income U.S. adults say costs keep them from getting needed health care.

“In no other country does income inequality so profoundly limit access to care,” Dr. Blumenthal said.

In the United Kingdom, only 12% with lower incomes and 7% with higher incomes said costs kept them from care.

In a stark comparison, the researchers found that “a high-income person in the U.S. was more likely to report financial barriers than a low-income person in nearly all the other countries surveyed: Australia, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, and the U.K.”

Norway, the Netherlands, and Australia were ranked at the top overall in that order. Rounding out the 11 in overall ranking were the U.K., Germany, New Zealand, Sweden, France, Switzerland, Canada, and the United States.

“What this report tells us is that our health care system is not working for Americans, particularly those with lower incomes, who are at a severe disadvantage compared to citizens of other countries. And they are paying the price with their health and their lives,” Dr. Blumenthal said in a press release.

“To catch up with other high-income countries, the administration and Congress would have to expand access to health care, equitably, to all Americans, act aggressively to control costs, and invest in the social services we know can lead to a healthier population.”
 

High infant mortality, low life expectancy in U.S.

Several factors contributed to the U.S. ranking at the bottom of the outcomes category. Among them are that the United States has the highest infant mortality rate (5.7 deaths per 1,000 live births) and lowest life expectancy at age 60 (living on average 23.1 years after age 60), compared with the other countries surveyed. The U.S. rate of preventable mortality (177 deaths per 100,000 population) is more than double that of the best-performing country, Switzerland.

Lead author Eric Schneider, MD, senior vice president for policy and research at the Commonwealth Fund, pointed out that, in terms of the change in avoidable mortality over a decade, not only did the United States have the highest rate, compared with the other countries surveyed, “it also experienced the smallest decline in avoidable mortality over that 10-year period.”

The U.S. maternal mortality rate of 17.4 deaths per 100,000 live births is twice that of France, the country with the next-highest rate (7.6 deaths per 100,000 live births).
 

U.S. excelled in only one category

The only category in which the United States did not rank last was in “care process,” where it ranked second behind only New Zealand.

The care process category combines preventive care, safe care, coordinated care, and patient engagement and preferences. The category includes indicators such as mammography screening and influenza vaccination for older adults as well as the percentage of adults counseled by a health care provider about nutrition, smoking, or alcohol use.

The United States and Germany performed best on engagement and patient preferences, although U.S. adults have the lowest rates of continuity with the same doctor.

New Zealand and the United States ranked highest in the safe care category, with higher reported use of computerized alerts and routine review of medications.
 

‘Too little, too late’: Key recommendations for U.S. to improve

Reginald Williams, vice president of International Health Policy and Practice Innovations at the Commonwealth Fund, pointed out that the U.S. shortcomings in health care come despite spending more than twice as much of its GDP (17% in 2019) as the average OECD country.

“It appears that the US delivers too little of the care that is most needed and often delivers that care too late, especially for people with chronic illnesses,” he said.

He then summarized the team’s recommendations on how the United States can change course.

First is expanding insurance coverage, he said, noting that the United States is the only one of the 11 countries that lacks universal coverage and nearly 30 million people remain uninsured.

Top-performing countries in the survey have universal coverage, annual out-of-pocket caps on covered benefits, and full coverage for primary care and treatment for chronic conditions, he said.

The United States must also improve access to care, he said.

“Top-ranking countries like the Netherlands and Norway ensure timely availability to care by telephone on nights and weekends, and in-person follow-up at home, if needed,” he said.

Mr. Williams said reducing administrative burdens is also critical to free up resources for improving health. He gave an example: “Norway determines patient copayments or physician fees on a regional basis, applying standardized copayments to all physicians within a specialty in a geographic area.”

Reducing income-related barriers is important as well, he said.

The fear of unpredictably high bills and other issues prevent people in the United States from getting the care they ultimately need, he said, adding that top-performing countries invest more in social services to reduce health risks.

That could have implications for the COVID-19 response.

Responding effectively to COVID-19 requires that patients can access affordable health care services, Mr. Williams noted.

“We know from our research that more than two-thirds of U.S. adults say their potential out-of-pocket costs would figure prominently in their decisions to get care if they had coronavirus symptoms,” he said.

Dr. Schneider summed up in the press release: “This study makes clear that higher U.S. spending on health care is not producing better health especially as the U.S. continues on a path of deepening inequality. A country that spends as much as we do should have the best health system in the world. We should adapt what works in other high-income countries to build a better health care system that provides affordable, high-quality health care for everyone.”

Dr. Blumenthal, Dr. Schneider, and Mr. Williams reported no relevant financial relationships outside their employment with the Commonwealth Fund. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The U.S. health care system ranked last overall among 11 high-income countries in an analysis by the nonprofit Commonwealth Fund, according to a report released on Aug. 4.

The report is the seventh international comparison of countries’ health systems by the Commonwealth Fund since 2004, and the United States has ranked last in every edition, David Blumenthal, MD, president of the Commonwealth Fund, told reporters during a press briefing.

Researchers analyzed survey answers from tens of thousands of patients and physicians in 11 countries. They analyzed performance on 71 measures across five categories – access to care, care process, administrative efficiency, equity, and health care outcomes. Administrative data were gathered from the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and the World Health Organization.

Among contributors to the poor showing by the United States is that half (50%) of lower-income U.S. adults and 27% of higher-income U.S. adults say costs keep them from getting needed health care.

“In no other country does income inequality so profoundly limit access to care,” Dr. Blumenthal said.

In the United Kingdom, only 12% with lower incomes and 7% with higher incomes said costs kept them from care.

In a stark comparison, the researchers found that “a high-income person in the U.S. was more likely to report financial barriers than a low-income person in nearly all the other countries surveyed: Australia, Canada, France, Germany, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Sweden, Switzerland, and the U.K.”

Norway, the Netherlands, and Australia were ranked at the top overall in that order. Rounding out the 11 in overall ranking were the U.K., Germany, New Zealand, Sweden, France, Switzerland, Canada, and the United States.

“What this report tells us is that our health care system is not working for Americans, particularly those with lower incomes, who are at a severe disadvantage compared to citizens of other countries. And they are paying the price with their health and their lives,” Dr. Blumenthal said in a press release.

“To catch up with other high-income countries, the administration and Congress would have to expand access to health care, equitably, to all Americans, act aggressively to control costs, and invest in the social services we know can lead to a healthier population.”
 

High infant mortality, low life expectancy in U.S.

Several factors contributed to the U.S. ranking at the bottom of the outcomes category. Among them are that the United States has the highest infant mortality rate (5.7 deaths per 1,000 live births) and lowest life expectancy at age 60 (living on average 23.1 years after age 60), compared with the other countries surveyed. The U.S. rate of preventable mortality (177 deaths per 100,000 population) is more than double that of the best-performing country, Switzerland.

Lead author Eric Schneider, MD, senior vice president for policy and research at the Commonwealth Fund, pointed out that, in terms of the change in avoidable mortality over a decade, not only did the United States have the highest rate, compared with the other countries surveyed, “it also experienced the smallest decline in avoidable mortality over that 10-year period.”

The U.S. maternal mortality rate of 17.4 deaths per 100,000 live births is twice that of France, the country with the next-highest rate (7.6 deaths per 100,000 live births).
 

U.S. excelled in only one category

The only category in which the United States did not rank last was in “care process,” where it ranked second behind only New Zealand.

The care process category combines preventive care, safe care, coordinated care, and patient engagement and preferences. The category includes indicators such as mammography screening and influenza vaccination for older adults as well as the percentage of adults counseled by a health care provider about nutrition, smoking, or alcohol use.

The United States and Germany performed best on engagement and patient preferences, although U.S. adults have the lowest rates of continuity with the same doctor.

New Zealand and the United States ranked highest in the safe care category, with higher reported use of computerized alerts and routine review of medications.
 

‘Too little, too late’: Key recommendations for U.S. to improve

Reginald Williams, vice president of International Health Policy and Practice Innovations at the Commonwealth Fund, pointed out that the U.S. shortcomings in health care come despite spending more than twice as much of its GDP (17% in 2019) as the average OECD country.

“It appears that the US delivers too little of the care that is most needed and often delivers that care too late, especially for people with chronic illnesses,” he said.

He then summarized the team’s recommendations on how the United States can change course.

First is expanding insurance coverage, he said, noting that the United States is the only one of the 11 countries that lacks universal coverage and nearly 30 million people remain uninsured.

Top-performing countries in the survey have universal coverage, annual out-of-pocket caps on covered benefits, and full coverage for primary care and treatment for chronic conditions, he said.

The United States must also improve access to care, he said.

“Top-ranking countries like the Netherlands and Norway ensure timely availability to care by telephone on nights and weekends, and in-person follow-up at home, if needed,” he said.

Mr. Williams said reducing administrative burdens is also critical to free up resources for improving health. He gave an example: “Norway determines patient copayments or physician fees on a regional basis, applying standardized copayments to all physicians within a specialty in a geographic area.”

Reducing income-related barriers is important as well, he said.

The fear of unpredictably high bills and other issues prevent people in the United States from getting the care they ultimately need, he said, adding that top-performing countries invest more in social services to reduce health risks.

That could have implications for the COVID-19 response.

Responding effectively to COVID-19 requires that patients can access affordable health care services, Mr. Williams noted.

“We know from our research that more than two-thirds of U.S. adults say their potential out-of-pocket costs would figure prominently in their decisions to get care if they had coronavirus symptoms,” he said.

Dr. Schneider summed up in the press release: “This study makes clear that higher U.S. spending on health care is not producing better health especially as the U.S. continues on a path of deepening inequality. A country that spends as much as we do should have the best health system in the world. We should adapt what works in other high-income countries to build a better health care system that provides affordable, high-quality health care for everyone.”

Dr. Blumenthal, Dr. Schneider, and Mr. Williams reported no relevant financial relationships outside their employment with the Commonwealth Fund. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The World Health Organization is calling on wealthy nations to wait to give their citizens booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines until at least the end of September to give more people in other countries a chance to get a first dose of these lifesaving shots.

WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that more than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world had been distributed to high-income countries, though they represent less than half the world’s population.

“I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said. “But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected.”

So far, high-income countries have given about 100 vaccine doses for every 100 people, while low-income countries have given just 1.5 doses for every 100 people.

“Which means, in some of the most vulnerable countries in the world with the weakest health systems, health care workers are working without protection. … the older populations remain at high risk,” said Bruce Aylward, MD, the WHO’s senior adviser on organizational change.

But not everyone agrees.

Leana Wen, MD, a visiting professor at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, Washington, said there are doses already in the United States that won’t last long enough to be sent elsewhere.

“Yes, we need to get vaccines to the world (which also includes helping with distribution, not just supply), but there are doses expiring here in the U.S.,” she said on Twitter. “Why not allow those immunosuppressed to receive them?”

Israel became the first country to start giving some residents booster shots on Sunday, offering extra doses to seniors who are more than 5 months past their last vaccinations. On Monday, Germany announced it would also give booster doses to vulnerable patients, such as nursing home residents, beginning in September.

Dr. Aylward said the moratorium was all about “trying to put a hold on those policies until and unless we get the rest of the world caught up.”

He said it’s clear from the emergence of variant after variant that if we don’t stop the transmission of the virus around the world, the pandemic will continue to put pressure on the vaccines, making them less and less effective.

“We cannot get out of it unless the whole world gets out of it together,” Dr. Aylward said.

“We need an urgent reversal, from the majority of vaccines going to high-income countries, to the majority going to low-income countries,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said, asking leaders of high-income countries to wait on distributing booster doses until at least 10% of the world’s population is vaccinated.

“To make that happen, we need everyone’s cooperation, especially the handful of countries and companies that control the global supply of vaccines,” he said.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

The World Health Organization is calling on wealthy nations to wait to give their citizens booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines until at least the end of September to give more people in other countries a chance to get a first dose of these lifesaving shots.

WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that more than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world had been distributed to high-income countries, though they represent less than half the world’s population.

“I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said. “But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected.”

So far, high-income countries have given about 100 vaccine doses for every 100 people, while low-income countries have given just 1.5 doses for every 100 people.

“Which means, in some of the most vulnerable countries in the world with the weakest health systems, health care workers are working without protection. … the older populations remain at high risk,” said Bruce Aylward, MD, the WHO’s senior adviser on organizational change.

But not everyone agrees.

Leana Wen, MD, a visiting professor at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, Washington, said there are doses already in the United States that won’t last long enough to be sent elsewhere.

“Yes, we need to get vaccines to the world (which also includes helping with distribution, not just supply), but there are doses expiring here in the U.S.,” she said on Twitter. “Why not allow those immunosuppressed to receive them?”

Israel became the first country to start giving some residents booster shots on Sunday, offering extra doses to seniors who are more than 5 months past their last vaccinations. On Monday, Germany announced it would also give booster doses to vulnerable patients, such as nursing home residents, beginning in September.

Dr. Aylward said the moratorium was all about “trying to put a hold on those policies until and unless we get the rest of the world caught up.”

He said it’s clear from the emergence of variant after variant that if we don’t stop the transmission of the virus around the world, the pandemic will continue to put pressure on the vaccines, making them less and less effective.

“We cannot get out of it unless the whole world gets out of it together,” Dr. Aylward said.

“We need an urgent reversal, from the majority of vaccines going to high-income countries, to the majority going to low-income countries,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said, asking leaders of high-income countries to wait on distributing booster doses until at least 10% of the world’s population is vaccinated.

“To make that happen, we need everyone’s cooperation, especially the handful of countries and companies that control the global supply of vaccines,” he said.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

The World Health Organization is calling on wealthy nations to wait to give their citizens booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines until at least the end of September to give more people in other countries a chance to get a first dose of these lifesaving shots.

WHO Director-General Tedros Ghebreyesus, PhD, said that more than 80% of the 4 billion vaccine doses given around the world had been distributed to high-income countries, though they represent less than half the world’s population.

“I understand the concern of all governments to protect their people from the Delta variant,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said. “But we cannot accept countries that have already used most of the global supply of vaccines using even more of it, while the world’s most vulnerable people remain unprotected.”

So far, high-income countries have given about 100 vaccine doses for every 100 people, while low-income countries have given just 1.5 doses for every 100 people.

“Which means, in some of the most vulnerable countries in the world with the weakest health systems, health care workers are working without protection. … the older populations remain at high risk,” said Bruce Aylward, MD, the WHO’s senior adviser on organizational change.

But not everyone agrees.

Leana Wen, MD, a visiting professor at the Milken Institute School of Public Health at George Washington University, Washington, said there are doses already in the United States that won’t last long enough to be sent elsewhere.

“Yes, we need to get vaccines to the world (which also includes helping with distribution, not just supply), but there are doses expiring here in the U.S.,” she said on Twitter. “Why not allow those immunosuppressed to receive them?”

Israel became the first country to start giving some residents booster shots on Sunday, offering extra doses to seniors who are more than 5 months past their last vaccinations. On Monday, Germany announced it would also give booster doses to vulnerable patients, such as nursing home residents, beginning in September.

Dr. Aylward said the moratorium was all about “trying to put a hold on those policies until and unless we get the rest of the world caught up.”

He said it’s clear from the emergence of variant after variant that if we don’t stop the transmission of the virus around the world, the pandemic will continue to put pressure on the vaccines, making them less and less effective.

“We cannot get out of it unless the whole world gets out of it together,” Dr. Aylward said.

“We need an urgent reversal, from the majority of vaccines going to high-income countries, to the majority going to low-income countries,” Dr. Ghebreyesus said, asking leaders of high-income countries to wait on distributing booster doses until at least 10% of the world’s population is vaccinated.

“To make that happen, we need everyone’s cooperation, especially the handful of countries and companies that control the global supply of vaccines,” he said.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.

Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.

Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.

Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.

Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.

The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.

So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”

Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:

• Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
• Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
• September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
• Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
• Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”

The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
 

What a difference vaccination may make

An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)

But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.

Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.

Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.

“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.

It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?

That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
 

Roles of public policy, individual behavior

Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.

“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.

The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.

The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”

Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.

Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.

“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
 

Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?

It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.

There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.

Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
 

On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines

What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.

Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.

The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.

Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.

Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.

Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.

Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.

The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.

So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”

Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:

• Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
• Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
• September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
• Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
• Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”

The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
 

What a difference vaccination may make

An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)

But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.

Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.

Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.

“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.

It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?

That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
 

Roles of public policy, individual behavior

Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.

“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.

The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.

The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”

Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.

Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.

“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
 

Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?

It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.

There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.

Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
 

On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines

What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.

Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.

The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

When the Delta variant of the coronavirus was first identified in India in December 2020, the threat may have seemed too remote to trigger worry in the United States, although the horror of it ripping through the country was soon hard to ignore.

Within months, the Delta variant had spread to more than 98 countries, including Scotland, the United Kingdom, Israel, and now, of course, the United States. The CDC said this week the Delta variant now accounts for 93% of all COVID cases.

Fueled by Delta, COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are increasing in nearly all states, according to the latest CDC data. After the 7-day average number of cases dipped by June 22 to about 11,000, it rose by Aug. 3 to more than 85,000.

Some experts are heartened by the recent decrease in COVID-19 cases in the United Kingdom and India, both hard-hit with the Delta variant. COVID-19 cases in India peaked at more than 400,000 a day in May; by Aug. 2, that had dropped to about 30,500 daily.

Andy Slavitt, former Biden White House senior adviser for COVID-19 response, tweeted July 26 that, if the Delta variant acted the same in the United Kingdom as in India, it would have a quick rise and a quick drop.

The prediction seems to have come true. As of Aug. 3, U.K. cases have dropped to 7,467, compared with more than 46,800 July 19.

So the question of the summer has become: “When will Delta burn out here?”

Like other pandemic predictions, these are all over the board. Here are five predictions about when COVID cases will peak, then fall. They range from less than 2 weeks to more than 2 months:

• Mid-August: Among the most optimistic predictions of when the Delta-driven COVID-19 cases will decline is from Scott Gottlieb, MD, former FDA director. He told CNBC on July 28 that he would expect cases to decline in 2-3 weeks – so by August 11.
• Mid-August to mid-September: Ali Mokdad, PhD, chief strategy officer for population health at the University of Washington, Seattle, said that, “right now for the U.S. as a country, cases will peak mid-August” and then decline. He is citing projections by the university’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation. In its “most likely” scenario, it predicts COVID deaths will peak at about 1,000 daily by mid-September, then decline. (As of Aug. 3, daily deaths averaged 371.)
• September: “I am hoping we get over this Delta hump [by then],” says Eric Topol, MD, founder and director of the Scripps Research Translational Institute in La Jolla, Calif., and editor-in-chief of Medscape. “But sometimes, I am too much of an optimist.”
• Mid-October: Experts at the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub, a consortium of researchers from leading institutions who consult with the CDC, said the Delta-fueled pandemic will steadily increase through summer and fall, with a mid-October peak.
• Unclear: Because cases are underestimated, “I think it is unclear when we will see a peak of Delta,” says Amesh Adalja, MD, a senior scholar at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore. He predicts a decline in cases as “more people get infected and develop natural immunity.”

The predictions are based on different scenarios, such as most likely or worst case. Factors such as personal behaviors, public mandates, and vaccination rates could all alter the projections.
 

What a difference vaccination may make

An uptick in vaccinations could change all the models and predictions, experts agree. As of Aug. 3, almost half (49.7%) of the total U.S. population was fully vaccinated, the CDC said. (And 80.1% of those 65 and over were.)

But that’s a long way from the 70% or 80% figure often cited to reach herd immunity. Recently, Ricardo Franco, MD, of the University of Alabama at Birmingham, said at a briefing by the Infectious Diseases Society of America that the infectiousness of the Delta variant may mean the herd immunity threshold is actually closer to 90%.

Dr. Mokdad estimates that by Nov. 1, based on the current rate of infections, 64% of people in the United States will be immune to a variant like Delta, taking into account those already infected and those vaccinated against COVID-19.

Justin Lessler, PhD, a University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill epidemiologist involved in the modeling hub, says if enough people get vaccinated, it could stop the Delta variant in its tracks. But that percentage is high.

“I am relatively confident that if we could get 90% or more of the eligible population vaccinated that we would see the epidemic begin to recede,” he says.

It’s a huge leap from 50%, or even 64%, to 90%. Could the Delta surge really motivate that many people to head to a vaccination site?

That’s hard to predict, Dr. Topol said. Some unvaccinated people may feel like soldiers in a foxhole, especially if they are in hard-hit states like Louisiana, and rush to get the vaccine as soon as possible. Others, hearing about the “breakthrough” cases in the vaccinated, may dig in their heels and ask: “Why bother?” as they mistakenly conclude that the vaccine has not done its job.
 

Roles of public policy, individual behavior

Besides an increase in vaccinations, individual behaviors and mandates can change the scenario. Doctors can remind even vaccinated patients that behaviors such as social distancing and masks still matter, experts said.

“Don’t ‘stress test’ your vaccine, “ Dr. Topol said.

The vaccines against COVID are good but not perfect and, he notes, they offer less protection if many months have passed since the vaccines were given.

The best advice now, Dr. Topol said, is: “Don’t be inside without a mask.”

Even if outdoors, depending on how close others are and the level of the conversation, a mask might be wise, he says.

Dr. Mokdad finds that “when cases go up, people put on their best behavior,” such as going back to masks and social distancing.

“Unfortunately, we have two countries,” he said, referring to the way public health measures and mandates vary from state to state.
 

Once the Delta variant subsides, what’s next?

It’s not a matter of if there is another variant on the heels of Delta, but when, Dr. Topol and other experts said. A new variant, Lambda, was first identified in Peru in August 2020 but now makes up about 90% of the country’s infections.

There’s also Delta-plus, just found in two people in South Korea.

Future variants could be even more transmissible than Delta, “which would be a horror show,” Dr. Topol said. “This [Delta] is by far the worst version. The virus is going to keep evolving. It is not done with us.”
 

On the horizon: Variant-proof vaccines

What’s needed to tackle the next variant is another approach to vaccine development, according to Dr. Topol and his colleague, Dennis R. Burton, a professor of immunology and microbiology at Scripps Research Institute.

Writing a commentary in Nature published in 2021, the two propose using a special class of protective antibodies, known as broadly neutralizing antibodies, to develop these vaccines. The success of the current COVID-19 vaccines is likely because of the vaccine’s ability to prompt the body to make protective neutralizing antibodies. These proteins bind to the viruses and prevent them from infecting the body’s cells.

The broadly neutralizing antibodies, however, can act against many different strains of related viruses, Dr. Topol and Mr. Burton wrote. Using this approach, which is already under study, scientists could make vaccines that would be effective against a family of viruses. The goal: to stop future outbreaks from becoming epidemics and then pandemics.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.com.

America’s COVID-19 vaccination rate is around 60% for ages 12 and up. That’s not enough to reach so-called herd immunity, and in states like Missouri – where a number of counties have vaccination rates under 25% – hospitals are overwhelmed by serious outbreaks of the more contagious delta variant.

The vaccine resisters offer all kinds of reasons for refusing the free shots and for ignoring efforts to nudge them to get inoculated. Campaigns urging Americans to get vaccinated for their health, for their grandparents, for their neighbors, or to get free doughnuts or a free joint haven’t done the trick. States have even held lotteries with a chance to win millions or a college scholarship.

And yet there are still huge numbers of unvaccinated people. Federal, state, and municipal governments as well as private businesses continue to largely avoid mandates for their employees out of fears they will provoke a backlash.

So, how about an economic argument? Get a COVID shot to protect your wallet.

Getting hospitalized with COVID in the United States typically generates huge bills. Those submitted by COVID patients to the NPR-Kaiser Health News “Bill of the Month” project include a $17,000 bill for a brief hospital stay in Marietta, Ga., (reduced to about $4,000 for an uninsured patient under a “charity care” policy); a $104,000 bill for a 14-day hospitalization in Miami for an uninsured man; and a bill for possibly hundreds of thousands for a 2-week hospital stay – some of it on a ventilator – for a foreign tourist in Hawaii whose travel health insurance contained a “pandemic exclusion.”

Even though insurance companies negotiate lower prices and cover much of the cost of care, an over-$1,000 out-of-pocket bill for a deductible – plus more for copays and possibly some out-of-network care – should be a pretty scary incentive.

In 2020, before COVID vaccines, most major private insurers waived patient payments – from coinsurance to deductibles – for COVID treatment. But many, if not most, have allowed that policy to lapse. Aetna, for example, ended that policy Feb. 28; UnitedHealthcare began rolling back its waivers late last year and ended them by the end of March.

More than 97% of hospitalized patients last month were unvaccinated. Though the vaccines will not necessarily prevent you from catching the coronavirus, they are highly effective at assuring you will have a milder case and are kept out of the hospital.

For this reason, there’s logic behind insurers’ waiver rollback: Why should patients be kept financially unharmed from what is now a preventable hospitalization, thanks to a vaccine that the government paid for and made available free of charge? It is now in many drugstores, it’s popping up at highway rest stops and bus stops, and it can be delivered and administered at home in parts of the country.

A harsher society might impose tough penalties on people who refuse vaccinations and contract the virus. Recently, the National Football League decreed that teams will forfeit a game canceled because of a COVID outbreak among unvaccinated players – and neither team’s players will be paid.

But insurers could try to do more, like penalizing the unvaccinated. And there is precedent. Already, some policies won’t cover treatment necessitated by what insurance companies deem risky behavior, such as scuba diving and rock climbing.

The Affordable Care Act allows insurers to charge smokers up to 50% more than what nonsmokers pay for some health plans. Four-fifths of states follow that protocol, though most employer-based plans do not do so. In 49 states, people caught driving without auto insurance face fines, confiscation of their car, loss of their license, and even jail. And reckless drivers pay more for insurance.

The logic behind the policies is that the offenders’ behavior can hurt others and costs society a lot of money. If a person decides not to get vaccinated and contracts a bad case of COVID, they are not only exposing others in their workplace or neighborhoods; the tens or hundreds of thousands spent on their care could mean higher premiums for others as well in their insurance plans next year. What’s more, outbreaks in low-vaccination regions could help breed more vaccine-resistant variants that affect everyone.

Yes, we often cover people whose habits may have contributed to their illness – insurance regularly pays for drug and alcohol rehab and cancer treatment for smokers.

That’s one reason, perhaps, that insurers too have so far favored carrots, not sticks, to get people vaccinated. Some private insurers are offering people who get vaccinated a credit toward their medical premiums, or gift cards and sweepstakes prizes, according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an industry organization.

Tough love might be easier if the Food and Drug Administration gives vaccines full approval, rather than the current emergency use authorization. Even so, taxpayer-financed plans like Medicaid and Medicare must treat everyone the same and would encounter a lengthy process to secure federal waivers to experiment with incentives, according to Larry Levitt, executive vice president of Kaiser Family Foundation. These programs cannot charge different rates to different patients in a state.

KFF polling shows such incentives are of limited value, anyway. Many holdouts say they will be vaccinated only if required to do so by their employers.

But what if the financial cost of not getting vaccinated were just too high? If patients thought about the price they might need to pay for their own care, maybe they would reconsider remaining unprotected.
 

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

America’s COVID-19 vaccination rate is around 60% for ages 12 and up. That’s not enough to reach so-called herd immunity, and in states like Missouri – where a number of counties have vaccination rates under 25% – hospitals are overwhelmed by serious outbreaks of the more contagious delta variant.

The vaccine resisters offer all kinds of reasons for refusing the free shots and for ignoring efforts to nudge them to get inoculated. Campaigns urging Americans to get vaccinated for their health, for their grandparents, for their neighbors, or to get free doughnuts or a free joint haven’t done the trick. States have even held lotteries with a chance to win millions or a college scholarship.

And yet there are still huge numbers of unvaccinated people. Federal, state, and municipal governments as well as private businesses continue to largely avoid mandates for their employees out of fears they will provoke a backlash.

So, how about an economic argument? Get a COVID shot to protect your wallet.

Getting hospitalized with COVID in the United States typically generates huge bills. Those submitted by COVID patients to the NPR-Kaiser Health News “Bill of the Month” project include a $17,000 bill for a brief hospital stay in Marietta, Ga., (reduced to about $4,000 for an uninsured patient under a “charity care” policy); a $104,000 bill for a 14-day hospitalization in Miami for an uninsured man; and a bill for possibly hundreds of thousands for a 2-week hospital stay – some of it on a ventilator – for a foreign tourist in Hawaii whose travel health insurance contained a “pandemic exclusion.”

Even though insurance companies negotiate lower prices and cover much of the cost of care, an over-$1,000 out-of-pocket bill for a deductible – plus more for copays and possibly some out-of-network care – should be a pretty scary incentive.

In 2020, before COVID vaccines, most major private insurers waived patient payments – from coinsurance to deductibles – for COVID treatment. But many, if not most, have allowed that policy to lapse. Aetna, for example, ended that policy Feb. 28; UnitedHealthcare began rolling back its waivers late last year and ended them by the end of March.

More than 97% of hospitalized patients last month were unvaccinated. Though the vaccines will not necessarily prevent you from catching the coronavirus, they are highly effective at assuring you will have a milder case and are kept out of the hospital.

For this reason, there’s logic behind insurers’ waiver rollback: Why should patients be kept financially unharmed from what is now a preventable hospitalization, thanks to a vaccine that the government paid for and made available free of charge? It is now in many drugstores, it’s popping up at highway rest stops and bus stops, and it can be delivered and administered at home in parts of the country.

A harsher society might impose tough penalties on people who refuse vaccinations and contract the virus. Recently, the National Football League decreed that teams will forfeit a game canceled because of a COVID outbreak among unvaccinated players – and neither team’s players will be paid.

But insurers could try to do more, like penalizing the unvaccinated. And there is precedent. Already, some policies won’t cover treatment necessitated by what insurance companies deem risky behavior, such as scuba diving and rock climbing.

The Affordable Care Act allows insurers to charge smokers up to 50% more than what nonsmokers pay for some health plans. Four-fifths of states follow that protocol, though most employer-based plans do not do so. In 49 states, people caught driving without auto insurance face fines, confiscation of their car, loss of their license, and even jail. And reckless drivers pay more for insurance.

The logic behind the policies is that the offenders’ behavior can hurt others and costs society a lot of money. If a person decides not to get vaccinated and contracts a bad case of COVID, they are not only exposing others in their workplace or neighborhoods; the tens or hundreds of thousands spent on their care could mean higher premiums for others as well in their insurance plans next year. What’s more, outbreaks in low-vaccination regions could help breed more vaccine-resistant variants that affect everyone.

Yes, we often cover people whose habits may have contributed to their illness – insurance regularly pays for drug and alcohol rehab and cancer treatment for smokers.

That’s one reason, perhaps, that insurers too have so far favored carrots, not sticks, to get people vaccinated. Some private insurers are offering people who get vaccinated a credit toward their medical premiums, or gift cards and sweepstakes prizes, according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an industry organization.

Tough love might be easier if the Food and Drug Administration gives vaccines full approval, rather than the current emergency use authorization. Even so, taxpayer-financed plans like Medicaid and Medicare must treat everyone the same and would encounter a lengthy process to secure federal waivers to experiment with incentives, according to Larry Levitt, executive vice president of Kaiser Family Foundation. These programs cannot charge different rates to different patients in a state.

KFF polling shows such incentives are of limited value, anyway. Many holdouts say they will be vaccinated only if required to do so by their employers.

But what if the financial cost of not getting vaccinated were just too high? If patients thought about the price they might need to pay for their own care, maybe they would reconsider remaining unprotected.
 

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

America’s COVID-19 vaccination rate is around 60% for ages 12 and up. That’s not enough to reach so-called herd immunity, and in states like Missouri – where a number of counties have vaccination rates under 25% – hospitals are overwhelmed by serious outbreaks of the more contagious delta variant.

The vaccine resisters offer all kinds of reasons for refusing the free shots and for ignoring efforts to nudge them to get inoculated. Campaigns urging Americans to get vaccinated for their health, for their grandparents, for their neighbors, or to get free doughnuts or a free joint haven’t done the trick. States have even held lotteries with a chance to win millions or a college scholarship.

And yet there are still huge numbers of unvaccinated people. Federal, state, and municipal governments as well as private businesses continue to largely avoid mandates for their employees out of fears they will provoke a backlash.

So, how about an economic argument? Get a COVID shot to protect your wallet.

Getting hospitalized with COVID in the United States typically generates huge bills. Those submitted by COVID patients to the NPR-Kaiser Health News “Bill of the Month” project include a $17,000 bill for a brief hospital stay in Marietta, Ga., (reduced to about $4,000 for an uninsured patient under a “charity care” policy); a $104,000 bill for a 14-day hospitalization in Miami for an uninsured man; and a bill for possibly hundreds of thousands for a 2-week hospital stay – some of it on a ventilator – for a foreign tourist in Hawaii whose travel health insurance contained a “pandemic exclusion.”

Even though insurance companies negotiate lower prices and cover much of the cost of care, an over-$1,000 out-of-pocket bill for a deductible – plus more for copays and possibly some out-of-network care – should be a pretty scary incentive.

In 2020, before COVID vaccines, most major private insurers waived patient payments – from coinsurance to deductibles – for COVID treatment. But many, if not most, have allowed that policy to lapse. Aetna, for example, ended that policy Feb. 28; UnitedHealthcare began rolling back its waivers late last year and ended them by the end of March.

More than 97% of hospitalized patients last month were unvaccinated. Though the vaccines will not necessarily prevent you from catching the coronavirus, they are highly effective at assuring you will have a milder case and are kept out of the hospital.

For this reason, there’s logic behind insurers’ waiver rollback: Why should patients be kept financially unharmed from what is now a preventable hospitalization, thanks to a vaccine that the government paid for and made available free of charge? It is now in many drugstores, it’s popping up at highway rest stops and bus stops, and it can be delivered and administered at home in parts of the country.

A harsher society might impose tough penalties on people who refuse vaccinations and contract the virus. Recently, the National Football League decreed that teams will forfeit a game canceled because of a COVID outbreak among unvaccinated players – and neither team’s players will be paid.

But insurers could try to do more, like penalizing the unvaccinated. And there is precedent. Already, some policies won’t cover treatment necessitated by what insurance companies deem risky behavior, such as scuba diving and rock climbing.

The Affordable Care Act allows insurers to charge smokers up to 50% more than what nonsmokers pay for some health plans. Four-fifths of states follow that protocol, though most employer-based plans do not do so. In 49 states, people caught driving without auto insurance face fines, confiscation of their car, loss of their license, and even jail. And reckless drivers pay more for insurance.

The logic behind the policies is that the offenders’ behavior can hurt others and costs society a lot of money. If a person decides not to get vaccinated and contracts a bad case of COVID, they are not only exposing others in their workplace or neighborhoods; the tens or hundreds of thousands spent on their care could mean higher premiums for others as well in their insurance plans next year. What’s more, outbreaks in low-vaccination regions could help breed more vaccine-resistant variants that affect everyone.

Yes, we often cover people whose habits may have contributed to their illness – insurance regularly pays for drug and alcohol rehab and cancer treatment for smokers.

That’s one reason, perhaps, that insurers too have so far favored carrots, not sticks, to get people vaccinated. Some private insurers are offering people who get vaccinated a credit toward their medical premiums, or gift cards and sweepstakes prizes, according to America’s Health Insurance Plans, an industry organization.

Tough love might be easier if the Food and Drug Administration gives vaccines full approval, rather than the current emergency use authorization. Even so, taxpayer-financed plans like Medicaid and Medicare must treat everyone the same and would encounter a lengthy process to secure federal waivers to experiment with incentives, according to Larry Levitt, executive vice president of Kaiser Family Foundation. These programs cannot charge different rates to different patients in a state.

KFF polling shows such incentives are of limited value, anyway. Many holdouts say they will be vaccinated only if required to do so by their employers.

But what if the financial cost of not getting vaccinated were just too high? If patients thought about the price they might need to pay for their own care, maybe they would reconsider remaining unprotected.
 

KHN (Kaiser Health News) is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues. Together with Policy Analysis and Polling, KHN is one of the three major operating programs at KFF (Kaiser Family Foundation). KFF is an endowed nonprofit organization providing information on health issues to the nation.

After SARS-CoV-2 spread at a sleepaway camp in Georgia last summer, researchers described the efficient spread and high attack rates at camp.

In a report published online in The New England Journal of Medicine, researchers found that campers spread COVID to household members after returning home – but transmission was more likely from some than others. Distancing and masking helped reduce the risk.

Victoria T. Chu, MD, MPH, with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, and colleagues with the agency and the Georgia Department of Health followed up with 224 camp attendees, aged 7 to 19 years, who had evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection on laboratory testing.

These index patients – 88% of whom had symptoms – had 526 household contacts, mainly parents and siblings. Of 377 household contacts who underwent testing, 46 (12%) tested positive. Another two cases in household contacts were identified using clinical and epidemiologic criteria.
 

Family members hospitalized

Of the 41 adult household contacts who were infected, four (about 10%) were hospitalized. Their hospital stays ranged from 5 to 11 days. Of the seven infected household contacts who were younger than 18 years, none were hospitalized.

The four hospitalized adults were parents and grandparents aged 45 to 80 years, Dr. Chu said. Two of the four had underlying conditions. None of the household contacts died.

In an adjusted analysis, campers who had practiced physical distancing were less likely to transmit the virus at home, compared with those who had not practiced physical distancing (adjusted odds ratio, 0.4). Household members who had had close or direct contact with the index patients were more than 5 times more likely to become infected, compared with family members with minimal or no contact, analyses showed.

“This retrospective study showed that the efficient transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from school-age children and adolescents to household members led to the hospitalization of adults with secondary cases of COVID-19,” the researchers write. “In households in which transmission occurred, half the household contacts were infected.”

The secondary attack rates in this report may be an underestimate because testing was voluntary and participants reported the results themselves, the authors note. It is possible that infected household contacts spread the virus further, but this study did not address that question, Dr. Chu said.

For the study, investigators interviewed all camp attendees and their parents or guardians by phone between July 17, 2020 and Aug. 24, 2020, to collect information about demographic and clinical characteristics, SARS-CoV-2 testing, and preventive measures. The researchers’ analysis excluded households in which illness onset in a household contact occurred before or less than 2 days after a camper became sick.

About a third of the index patients began to have symptoms while still at camp. These campers may have been less infectious by the time they got home, compared with those whose symptoms started after they returned.

Two-thirds of the index patients adopted physical distancing at home, which “probably reduced the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the household,” Dr. Chu and colleagues wrote.

“Children who have had a known COVID-19 exposure should quarantine and obtain testing if they develop symptoms within the 14 days of returning home,” Dr. Chu advised. “If a child develops COVID-19, the child should be cared for and monitored using the proper combination of physical distancing, isolation when feasible, and mask use to prevent household transmission as much as possible. In addition, any person over the age of 12 is now eligible for vaccination in the United States. If eligible, children attending camp and their family members should get vaccinated to protect themselves and others, as vaccinations are our most effective public health prevention strategy.”
 

Mitigation can help

Another report regarding four overnight camps in Maine – in which three campers tested positive after they arrived last summer – shows that “aggressive mitigation strategies can be effective” in limiting transmission of the virus, William T. Basco Jr., MD, writes in a commentary for this news organization.

This summer, a range of factors, including vaccination rates at the camp, may influence transmission dynamics, Dr. Chu said in an interview. In July, the Associated Press reported outbreaks tied to summer camps in several states.

“Transmission dynamics will probably vary from summer camp to summer camp depending on many factors, such as vaccination rates of camp attendees, the mitigation measures in place, and the number of individual introductions during camp,” Dr. Chu said. “We would expect that a camp with a low vaccination rate among attendees and no enforcement of mitigation measures” still may experience a large outbreak.

“On the other hand, a large proportion of vaccinated individuals and appropriate implementation of multiple mitigation measures, such as wearing masks, may be quite effective at keeping their transmission rates low,” Dr. Chu added. “For camps with younger children who are not currently eligible for vaccination, implementing layered prevention strategies (e.g., mask use, physical distancing, and encouraging outdoor activities when feasible) is important to prevent transmission.”

Although COVID-19 transmission from children to adults, potentially leading to hospitalization, is not a new phenomenon, “data on the extent of transmission driven by children and adolescents in different settings are still quite sparse,” Dr. Chu said. “A better understanding of their impact on household and community transmission to help guide public health recommendations is particularly important, as most children are still not eligible for vaccination, and in-person schools will be reopening this fall.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

After SARS-CoV-2 spread at a sleepaway camp in Georgia last summer, researchers described the efficient spread and high attack rates at camp.

In a report published online in The New England Journal of Medicine, researchers found that campers spread COVID to household members after returning home – but transmission was more likely from some than others. Distancing and masking helped reduce the risk.

Victoria T. Chu, MD, MPH, with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, and colleagues with the agency and the Georgia Department of Health followed up with 224 camp attendees, aged 7 to 19 years, who had evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection on laboratory testing.

These index patients – 88% of whom had symptoms – had 526 household contacts, mainly parents and siblings. Of 377 household contacts who underwent testing, 46 (12%) tested positive. Another two cases in household contacts were identified using clinical and epidemiologic criteria.
 

Family members hospitalized

Of the 41 adult household contacts who were infected, four (about 10%) were hospitalized. Their hospital stays ranged from 5 to 11 days. Of the seven infected household contacts who were younger than 18 years, none were hospitalized.

The four hospitalized adults were parents and grandparents aged 45 to 80 years, Dr. Chu said. Two of the four had underlying conditions. None of the household contacts died.

In an adjusted analysis, campers who had practiced physical distancing were less likely to transmit the virus at home, compared with those who had not practiced physical distancing (adjusted odds ratio, 0.4). Household members who had had close or direct contact with the index patients were more than 5 times more likely to become infected, compared with family members with minimal or no contact, analyses showed.

“This retrospective study showed that the efficient transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from school-age children and adolescents to household members led to the hospitalization of adults with secondary cases of COVID-19,” the researchers write. “In households in which transmission occurred, half the household contacts were infected.”

The secondary attack rates in this report may be an underestimate because testing was voluntary and participants reported the results themselves, the authors note. It is possible that infected household contacts spread the virus further, but this study did not address that question, Dr. Chu said.

For the study, investigators interviewed all camp attendees and their parents or guardians by phone between July 17, 2020 and Aug. 24, 2020, to collect information about demographic and clinical characteristics, SARS-CoV-2 testing, and preventive measures. The researchers’ analysis excluded households in which illness onset in a household contact occurred before or less than 2 days after a camper became sick.

About a third of the index patients began to have symptoms while still at camp. These campers may have been less infectious by the time they got home, compared with those whose symptoms started after they returned.

Two-thirds of the index patients adopted physical distancing at home, which “probably reduced the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the household,” Dr. Chu and colleagues wrote.

“Children who have had a known COVID-19 exposure should quarantine and obtain testing if they develop symptoms within the 14 days of returning home,” Dr. Chu advised. “If a child develops COVID-19, the child should be cared for and monitored using the proper combination of physical distancing, isolation when feasible, and mask use to prevent household transmission as much as possible. In addition, any person over the age of 12 is now eligible for vaccination in the United States. If eligible, children attending camp and their family members should get vaccinated to protect themselves and others, as vaccinations are our most effective public health prevention strategy.”
 

Mitigation can help

Another report regarding four overnight camps in Maine – in which three campers tested positive after they arrived last summer – shows that “aggressive mitigation strategies can be effective” in limiting transmission of the virus, William T. Basco Jr., MD, writes in a commentary for this news organization.

This summer, a range of factors, including vaccination rates at the camp, may influence transmission dynamics, Dr. Chu said in an interview. In July, the Associated Press reported outbreaks tied to summer camps in several states.

“Transmission dynamics will probably vary from summer camp to summer camp depending on many factors, such as vaccination rates of camp attendees, the mitigation measures in place, and the number of individual introductions during camp,” Dr. Chu said. “We would expect that a camp with a low vaccination rate among attendees and no enforcement of mitigation measures” still may experience a large outbreak.

“On the other hand, a large proportion of vaccinated individuals and appropriate implementation of multiple mitigation measures, such as wearing masks, may be quite effective at keeping their transmission rates low,” Dr. Chu added. “For camps with younger children who are not currently eligible for vaccination, implementing layered prevention strategies (e.g., mask use, physical distancing, and encouraging outdoor activities when feasible) is important to prevent transmission.”

Although COVID-19 transmission from children to adults, potentially leading to hospitalization, is not a new phenomenon, “data on the extent of transmission driven by children and adolescents in different settings are still quite sparse,” Dr. Chu said. “A better understanding of their impact on household and community transmission to help guide public health recommendations is particularly important, as most children are still not eligible for vaccination, and in-person schools will be reopening this fall.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

After SARS-CoV-2 spread at a sleepaway camp in Georgia last summer, researchers described the efficient spread and high attack rates at camp.

In a report published online in The New England Journal of Medicine, researchers found that campers spread COVID to household members after returning home – but transmission was more likely from some than others. Distancing and masking helped reduce the risk.

Victoria T. Chu, MD, MPH, with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, and colleagues with the agency and the Georgia Department of Health followed up with 224 camp attendees, aged 7 to 19 years, who had evidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection on laboratory testing.

These index patients – 88% of whom had symptoms – had 526 household contacts, mainly parents and siblings. Of 377 household contacts who underwent testing, 46 (12%) tested positive. Another two cases in household contacts were identified using clinical and epidemiologic criteria.
 

Family members hospitalized

Of the 41 adult household contacts who were infected, four (about 10%) were hospitalized. Their hospital stays ranged from 5 to 11 days. Of the seven infected household contacts who were younger than 18 years, none were hospitalized.

The four hospitalized adults were parents and grandparents aged 45 to 80 years, Dr. Chu said. Two of the four had underlying conditions. None of the household contacts died.

In an adjusted analysis, campers who had practiced physical distancing were less likely to transmit the virus at home, compared with those who had not practiced physical distancing (adjusted odds ratio, 0.4). Household members who had had close or direct contact with the index patients were more than 5 times more likely to become infected, compared with family members with minimal or no contact, analyses showed.

“This retrospective study showed that the efficient transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from school-age children and adolescents to household members led to the hospitalization of adults with secondary cases of COVID-19,” the researchers write. “In households in which transmission occurred, half the household contacts were infected.”

The secondary attack rates in this report may be an underestimate because testing was voluntary and participants reported the results themselves, the authors note. It is possible that infected household contacts spread the virus further, but this study did not address that question, Dr. Chu said.

For the study, investigators interviewed all camp attendees and their parents or guardians by phone between July 17, 2020 and Aug. 24, 2020, to collect information about demographic and clinical characteristics, SARS-CoV-2 testing, and preventive measures. The researchers’ analysis excluded households in which illness onset in a household contact occurred before or less than 2 days after a camper became sick.

About a third of the index patients began to have symptoms while still at camp. These campers may have been less infectious by the time they got home, compared with those whose symptoms started after they returned.

Two-thirds of the index patients adopted physical distancing at home, which “probably reduced the transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in the household,” Dr. Chu and colleagues wrote.

“Children who have had a known COVID-19 exposure should quarantine and obtain testing if they develop symptoms within the 14 days of returning home,” Dr. Chu advised. “If a child develops COVID-19, the child should be cared for and monitored using the proper combination of physical distancing, isolation when feasible, and mask use to prevent household transmission as much as possible. In addition, any person over the age of 12 is now eligible for vaccination in the United States. If eligible, children attending camp and their family members should get vaccinated to protect themselves and others, as vaccinations are our most effective public health prevention strategy.”
 

Mitigation can help

Another report regarding four overnight camps in Maine – in which three campers tested positive after they arrived last summer – shows that “aggressive mitigation strategies can be effective” in limiting transmission of the virus, William T. Basco Jr., MD, writes in a commentary for this news organization.

This summer, a range of factors, including vaccination rates at the camp, may influence transmission dynamics, Dr. Chu said in an interview. In July, the Associated Press reported outbreaks tied to summer camps in several states.

“Transmission dynamics will probably vary from summer camp to summer camp depending on many factors, such as vaccination rates of camp attendees, the mitigation measures in place, and the number of individual introductions during camp,” Dr. Chu said. “We would expect that a camp with a low vaccination rate among attendees and no enforcement of mitigation measures” still may experience a large outbreak.

“On the other hand, a large proportion of vaccinated individuals and appropriate implementation of multiple mitigation measures, such as wearing masks, may be quite effective at keeping their transmission rates low,” Dr. Chu added. “For camps with younger children who are not currently eligible for vaccination, implementing layered prevention strategies (e.g., mask use, physical distancing, and encouraging outdoor activities when feasible) is important to prevent transmission.”

Although COVID-19 transmission from children to adults, potentially leading to hospitalization, is not a new phenomenon, “data on the extent of transmission driven by children and adolescents in different settings are still quite sparse,” Dr. Chu said. “A better understanding of their impact on household and community transmission to help guide public health recommendations is particularly important, as most children are still not eligible for vaccination, and in-person schools will be reopening this fall.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

School-aged children with SARS-CoV-2 infection had only a few mild symptoms and typically recovered in 6 days, with more than 98% recovering in 8 weeks, a large U.K. study of smartphone data reassuringly reports.

In a small proportion (4.4%), however, COVID-19 symptoms such as fatigue, headache, or loss of smell persisted beyond a month, highlighting the need for ongoing pediatric care, according to Erika Molteni, PhD, a research fellow at King’s College, London, and colleagues.

The results, published online in The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health, also indicated that some children who had non-COVID infections were also susceptible to prolonged symptoms. “Our data highlight that other illnesses, such as colds and flu, can also have prolonged symptoms in children and it is important to consider this when planning for pediatric health services during the pandemic and beyond,” Michael Absoud, PhD, a senior coauthor and a King’s College consultant and senior lecturer, said in a news release. “All children who have persistent symptoms – from any illness – need timely multidisciplinary support linked with education, to enable them to find their individual pathway to recovery.”

Using a “citizen science” approach, the study extracted data from a smartphone app for tracking COVID symptoms in the ZOE COVID Study. The researchers looked at 258,790 children aged 5-17 years whose details were reported by adult proxies such as parents and carers from March 24, 2020, to Feb. 22, 2021. Of these, 75,529 had undergone a valid SARS-CoV-2 test.

The study also assessed symptoms in a randomly selected, age- and sex-matched cohort of 1,734 children in the app database who tested negative for COVID-19 but may have had other illnesses such as colds or flu.

In the 1,734 children testing positive for COVID-19 (approximately 50% each boys and girls), the most common symptoms were headache (62.2%) and fatigue (55.0%). More than 10% of the entire cohort had underlying asthma, but other comorbidities were very rare.

To assess the effect of age, the children were assessed in two groups: 5-11 years (n = 588) and 12-17 years (n = 1,146).

While unable to cross-check app reporting against actual medical records, the study suggested that illness lasted longer in COVID-positive than COVID-negative children, with a median of 6 days (interquartile range, 3-11) versus 3 days (IQR, 2-7). Furthermore, illness duration was positively associated with age: older children (median, 7 days; IQR, 3-12) versus younger children (median, 5 days; IQR, 2-9).

In 77 (4.4%) of the 1,734 COVID-positive children, illness persisted for at least 28 days, again more often in older than younger children: 5.1% of older children versus 3.1% of younger children (P = .046).

In addition, those with COVID-19 were more likely than children with non-COVID illness to be sick for more than 4 weeks: 4.4% versus 0.9%. At 4 weeks, however, the few children with other illnesses tended to have more symptoms, exhibiting a median of five symptoms versus two symptoms in the COVID-positive group.

“I tend to agree with the U.K. findings. COVID-19 in most school-age children is asymptomatic or a brief, self-limiting illness,” Sindhu Mohandas, MD, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Children’s Hospital Los Angeles, said in an interview. “The few children who need hospitalization have also mostly fully recovered by the time they are seen for their first outpatient clinic follow-up visit.”

Dr. Mohandas, who was not involved in the U.K. study, added that in her experience a small percentage, particularly adolescents, have some lingering symptoms after infection including fatigue, loss of appetite, and changes in smell and taste. “Identifying children with persistent illness and providing support and multidisciplinary care based on their symptomatology can make a positive impact on patients and their families.”

Recent research has suggested that long symptoms can persist for 3 months in 6% of children with COVID-19. And data from China have indicated that the prevalence of coinfection may be higher than in older patients.

In an accompanying comment, Dana Mahr, PhD, and Bruno J. Strasser, PhD, researchers in the faculty of science at the University of Geneva, said the app-based study “illustrates the potential and challenges of what has been called citizenship science,” in which projects rely on data input from nonscientists.

But while potentially democratizing participation in medical research, this subjective approach has the inherent bias of self-reporting (and in the case of the current study, proxy reporting), and can introduce potential conflicts of interest owing to the politicization of certain diseases.

In the case of the current study, Dr. Mahr and Dr. Strasser argued that, since the COVID-19 test result is known to participants, a pediatrician using objective criteria is better positioned to control for reporting biases than a parent asking a child about symptoms. “Entering data on a smartphone app is not equivalent to discussing with a pediatrician or health care worker who can answer further questions and concerns of participants, an especially important factor for underserved communities,” they wrote. “Citizen science will continue to require a close interaction with professional medical researchers to turn unique illness experiences into research data.”

This study was funded by Zoe Limited, the U.K. Government Department of Health and Social Care, Wellcome Trust, the U.K. Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, the U.K. Research and Innovation London Medical Imaging and Artificial Intelligence Centre for Value Based Healthcare, the U.K. National Institute for Health Research, the U.K. Medical Research Council, the British Heart Foundation, and the Alzheimer’s Society. Several study authors have disclosed support from various research-funding agencies and Zoe Limited supported all aspects of building and running the symptom-tracking application. Dr. Mahr and Dr. Strasser declared no competing interests. Dr. Mohandas disclosed no competing interests with regard to her comments.
 

School-aged children with SARS-CoV-2 infection had only a few mild symptoms and typically recovered in 6 days, with more than 98% recovering in 8 weeks, a large U.K. study of smartphone data reassuringly reports.

In a small proportion (4.4%), however, COVID-19 symptoms such as fatigue, headache, or loss of smell persisted beyond a month, highlighting the need for ongoing pediatric care, according to Erika Molteni, PhD, a research fellow at King’s College, London, and colleagues.

The results, published online in The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health, also indicated that some children who had non-COVID infections were also susceptible to prolonged symptoms. “Our data highlight that other illnesses, such as colds and flu, can also have prolonged symptoms in children and it is important to consider this when planning for pediatric health services during the pandemic and beyond,” Michael Absoud, PhD, a senior coauthor and a King’s College consultant and senior lecturer, said in a news release. “All children who have persistent symptoms – from any illness – need timely multidisciplinary support linked with education, to enable them to find their individual pathway to recovery.”

Using a “citizen science” approach, the study extracted data from a smartphone app for tracking COVID symptoms in the ZOE COVID Study. The researchers looked at 258,790 children aged 5-17 years whose details were reported by adult proxies such as parents and carers from March 24, 2020, to Feb. 22, 2021. Of these, 75,529 had undergone a valid SARS-CoV-2 test.

The study also assessed symptoms in a randomly selected, age- and sex-matched cohort of 1,734 children in the app database who tested negative for COVID-19 but may have had other illnesses such as colds or flu.

In the 1,734 children testing positive for COVID-19 (approximately 50% each boys and girls), the most common symptoms were headache (62.2%) and fatigue (55.0%). More than 10% of the entire cohort had underlying asthma, but other comorbidities were very rare.

To assess the effect of age, the children were assessed in two groups: 5-11 years (n = 588) and 12-17 years (n = 1,146).

While unable to cross-check app reporting against actual medical records, the study suggested that illness lasted longer in COVID-positive than COVID-negative children, with a median of 6 days (interquartile range, 3-11) versus 3 days (IQR, 2-7). Furthermore, illness duration was positively associated with age: older children (median, 7 days; IQR, 3-12) versus younger children (median, 5 days; IQR, 2-9).

In 77 (4.4%) of the 1,734 COVID-positive children, illness persisted for at least 28 days, again more often in older than younger children: 5.1% of older children versus 3.1% of younger children (P = .046).

In addition, those with COVID-19 were more likely than children with non-COVID illness to be sick for more than 4 weeks: 4.4% versus 0.9%. At 4 weeks, however, the few children with other illnesses tended to have more symptoms, exhibiting a median of five symptoms versus two symptoms in the COVID-positive group.

“I tend to agree with the U.K. findings. COVID-19 in most school-age children is asymptomatic or a brief, self-limiting illness,” Sindhu Mohandas, MD, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Children’s Hospital Los Angeles, said in an interview. “The few children who need hospitalization have also mostly fully recovered by the time they are seen for their first outpatient clinic follow-up visit.”

Dr. Mohandas, who was not involved in the U.K. study, added that in her experience a small percentage, particularly adolescents, have some lingering symptoms after infection including fatigue, loss of appetite, and changes in smell and taste. “Identifying children with persistent illness and providing support and multidisciplinary care based on their symptomatology can make a positive impact on patients and their families.”

Recent research has suggested that long symptoms can persist for 3 months in 6% of children with COVID-19. And data from China have indicated that the prevalence of coinfection may be higher than in older patients.

In an accompanying comment, Dana Mahr, PhD, and Bruno J. Strasser, PhD, researchers in the faculty of science at the University of Geneva, said the app-based study “illustrates the potential and challenges of what has been called citizenship science,” in which projects rely on data input from nonscientists.

But while potentially democratizing participation in medical research, this subjective approach has the inherent bias of self-reporting (and in the case of the current study, proxy reporting), and can introduce potential conflicts of interest owing to the politicization of certain diseases.

In the case of the current study, Dr. Mahr and Dr. Strasser argued that, since the COVID-19 test result is known to participants, a pediatrician using objective criteria is better positioned to control for reporting biases than a parent asking a child about symptoms. “Entering data on a smartphone app is not equivalent to discussing with a pediatrician or health care worker who can answer further questions and concerns of participants, an especially important factor for underserved communities,” they wrote. “Citizen science will continue to require a close interaction with professional medical researchers to turn unique illness experiences into research data.”

This study was funded by Zoe Limited, the U.K. Government Department of Health and Social Care, Wellcome Trust, the U.K. Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, the U.K. Research and Innovation London Medical Imaging and Artificial Intelligence Centre for Value Based Healthcare, the U.K. National Institute for Health Research, the U.K. Medical Research Council, the British Heart Foundation, and the Alzheimer’s Society. Several study authors have disclosed support from various research-funding agencies and Zoe Limited supported all aspects of building and running the symptom-tracking application. Dr. Mahr and Dr. Strasser declared no competing interests. Dr. Mohandas disclosed no competing interests with regard to her comments.
 

School-aged children with SARS-CoV-2 infection had only a few mild symptoms and typically recovered in 6 days, with more than 98% recovering in 8 weeks, a large U.K. study of smartphone data reassuringly reports.

In a small proportion (4.4%), however, COVID-19 symptoms such as fatigue, headache, or loss of smell persisted beyond a month, highlighting the need for ongoing pediatric care, according to Erika Molteni, PhD, a research fellow at King’s College, London, and colleagues.

The results, published online in The Lancet Child & Adolescent Health, also indicated that some children who had non-COVID infections were also susceptible to prolonged symptoms. “Our data highlight that other illnesses, such as colds and flu, can also have prolonged symptoms in children and it is important to consider this when planning for pediatric health services during the pandemic and beyond,” Michael Absoud, PhD, a senior coauthor and a King’s College consultant and senior lecturer, said in a news release. “All children who have persistent symptoms – from any illness – need timely multidisciplinary support linked with education, to enable them to find their individual pathway to recovery.”

Using a “citizen science” approach, the study extracted data from a smartphone app for tracking COVID symptoms in the ZOE COVID Study. The researchers looked at 258,790 children aged 5-17 years whose details were reported by adult proxies such as parents and carers from March 24, 2020, to Feb. 22, 2021. Of these, 75,529 had undergone a valid SARS-CoV-2 test.

The study also assessed symptoms in a randomly selected, age- and sex-matched cohort of 1,734 children in the app database who tested negative for COVID-19 but may have had other illnesses such as colds or flu.

In the 1,734 children testing positive for COVID-19 (approximately 50% each boys and girls), the most common symptoms were headache (62.2%) and fatigue (55.0%). More than 10% of the entire cohort had underlying asthma, but other comorbidities were very rare.

To assess the effect of age, the children were assessed in two groups: 5-11 years (n = 588) and 12-17 years (n = 1,146).

While unable to cross-check app reporting against actual medical records, the study suggested that illness lasted longer in COVID-positive than COVID-negative children, with a median of 6 days (interquartile range, 3-11) versus 3 days (IQR, 2-7). Furthermore, illness duration was positively associated with age: older children (median, 7 days; IQR, 3-12) versus younger children (median, 5 days; IQR, 2-9).

In 77 (4.4%) of the 1,734 COVID-positive children, illness persisted for at least 28 days, again more often in older than younger children: 5.1% of older children versus 3.1% of younger children (P = .046).

In addition, those with COVID-19 were more likely than children with non-COVID illness to be sick for more than 4 weeks: 4.4% versus 0.9%. At 4 weeks, however, the few children with other illnesses tended to have more symptoms, exhibiting a median of five symptoms versus two symptoms in the COVID-positive group.

“I tend to agree with the U.K. findings. COVID-19 in most school-age children is asymptomatic or a brief, self-limiting illness,” Sindhu Mohandas, MD, a pediatric infectious disease specialist at the Children’s Hospital Los Angeles, said in an interview. “The few children who need hospitalization have also mostly fully recovered by the time they are seen for their first outpatient clinic follow-up visit.”

Dr. Mohandas, who was not involved in the U.K. study, added that in her experience a small percentage, particularly adolescents, have some lingering symptoms after infection including fatigue, loss of appetite, and changes in smell and taste. “Identifying children with persistent illness and providing support and multidisciplinary care based on their symptomatology can make a positive impact on patients and their families.”

Recent research has suggested that long symptoms can persist for 3 months in 6% of children with COVID-19. And data from China have indicated that the prevalence of coinfection may be higher than in older patients.

In an accompanying comment, Dana Mahr, PhD, and Bruno J. Strasser, PhD, researchers in the faculty of science at the University of Geneva, said the app-based study “illustrates the potential and challenges of what has been called citizenship science,” in which projects rely on data input from nonscientists.

But while potentially democratizing participation in medical research, this subjective approach has the inherent bias of self-reporting (and in the case of the current study, proxy reporting), and can introduce potential conflicts of interest owing to the politicization of certain diseases.

In the case of the current study, Dr. Mahr and Dr. Strasser argued that, since the COVID-19 test result is known to participants, a pediatrician using objective criteria is better positioned to control for reporting biases than a parent asking a child about symptoms. “Entering data on a smartphone app is not equivalent to discussing with a pediatrician or health care worker who can answer further questions and concerns of participants, an especially important factor for underserved communities,” they wrote. “Citizen science will continue to require a close interaction with professional medical researchers to turn unique illness experiences into research data.”

This study was funded by Zoe Limited, the U.K. Government Department of Health and Social Care, Wellcome Trust, the U.K. Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, the U.K. Research and Innovation London Medical Imaging and Artificial Intelligence Centre for Value Based Healthcare, the U.K. National Institute for Health Research, the U.K. Medical Research Council, the British Heart Foundation, and the Alzheimer’s Society. Several study authors have disclosed support from various research-funding agencies and Zoe Limited supported all aspects of building and running the symptom-tracking application. Dr. Mahr and Dr. Strasser declared no competing interests. Dr. Mohandas disclosed no competing interests with regard to her comments.
 

Bother me, I’m working 

Although some of us have been comfortably functioning in a virtual work environment, others are now trickling back into the office. And you know what that means? People come to your desk to show you pictures of their cat or tell you about their kid’s birthday party. You may sneer at the interruption, but a study shows you actually like it.

Rawpixel/Thinkstock

A team of researchers at the University of Cincinnati surveyed 111 full-time employees twice a day for 3 weeks about their work experience. They asked about mental exhaustion, workplace interruptions, sense of belonging, and overall job satisfaction. They found that employees had a higher sense of belonging and job satisfaction when interrupted with a social versus work interruption.

“Interruptions can actually benefit individuals from an interpersonal perspective – people feel like they belong when others come and talk to them or ask them questions, even while being distracted from their tasks,” said Heather C. Vough, senior investigator and a former university faculty member.

Chitchatting at work is often seen as a distraction, but this study suggests that it’s not like heating up fish in the breakroom microwave.

So the next time someone hits you with the “Hey, do you have a sec?,” do yourself a favor and enjoy the interruption.
 

A smorgasbord of science

It’s probably difficult to recruit patients for some medical trials. Try this new drug and potentially get all sorts of interesting and unpleasant side effects. Pass. We suggest the approach a group of researchers from the University of Kansas took for a recent study into weight gain: Invite a bunch of 20-something adults to an all-you-can-eat buffet. They’ll be beating down your door in no time.

pxfuel

Their study, published in Appetite, focused on hyperpalatable food – the sort of food you can keep eating – and compared it with high-energy-dense food and ultra processed food. The test patients had their body composition measured, were let loose on the buffet, and were measured again a year later.

The patients who favored salty/carbohydrate-filled hyperpalatable food (such as pretzels or popcorn) were much more likely to gain weight, compared with those who focused on salty/fat-filled food of any variety. As a matter of fact, those who stuck to fatty food during the buffet had no change in weight over the 1-year study period. The researchers noted that those who ate the carb-filled food tended more toward hedonic eating, or the act of eating simply for pleasure.

The study is no doubt helpful in the long battle against obesity and overeating, but it’s also a very helpful guide to getting the most bang for your buck at the buffet. Stay away from the cheap salty snack food. Go for the steak and seafood. Get your money’s worth. In the long run you won’t even gain any weight. No promises about tomorrow though.
 

There’s a cheat code for that

For a large percentage of kids and young adults, and maybe even older adults (we don’t judge), a storm warning means a cozy night in playing video games. Staying inside is probably the safest bet when there’s a storm, and the weatherman never says to avoid playing video games when there’s lightning.

xresch/Pixabay

Maybe he should, though, since a man from Tennessee reportedly got struck by lightning through his game controller. Emergency crews determined that lightning either hit the man’s house or struck near it and went through the controller. The type of console was not revealed, even though some people may want to know the specifics before playing during the next storm.

Luckily, the man was not seriously hurt and did not need to go to the hospital. This is apparently not unheard of, as a professional gamer was shocked through a wired controller last year, causing burns on her hands and a broken controller.

This might be our cue to do less electrical types of activities during thunderstorms, like knitting or reading by candlelight.
 

Freeze, squeeze, and enjoy … cramping

As you were ingesting last week’s installment of the never-ending buffet that is LOTME, you probably wondered: What’s going on? Where’s the latest bodily insult being perpetuated by the gang over at TikTok?

Daria-Yakovleva/Pixabay

Have no fear, good readers. We would never make you go 2 straight weeks without serving up some hyperpalatable TikTok tidbits.

Our bodily insult du jour is frozen honey, and it’s exploding all over TikTok … and a few other places. “The hashtag ‘#FrozenHoney’ has been viewed nearly 600 million times, and the hashtag ‘#FrozenHoneyChallenge’ has been viewed more than 80 million times,” NBC News recently reported.

After a few hours in the freezer, honey can be squeezed out of a plastic bottle as a semisolid, toothpastelike goo – it’s stiff enough to rise out of a container that’s pointed straight up – and bitten off in large chunks. And therein lies the problem.

Some people are overdoing it. “Honey is great, but having it in small amounts to sweeten is really a healthy relationship with food, and using it to get a lot of followers and a lot of attention and having it in excess amounts is crazy,” Kristin Kirkpatrick, a registered dietitian at the Cleveland Clinic, told NBC.

Besides the possible weight gain from eating massive amounts of sugar, experts warned that “gobbling up bottles of frozen honey” could lead to stomach cramping, bloating, and diarrhea. Some TikTokers, NBC noted, said that they “were running for the bathroom.”

As we said, it’s a trend that is exploding.

Be sure to tune in next week, when we learn how TikTokers use ground meat as a skin moisturizer.
 

Bother me, I’m working 

Although some of us have been comfortably functioning in a virtual work environment, others are now trickling back into the office. And you know what that means? People come to your desk to show you pictures of their cat or tell you about their kid’s birthday party. You may sneer at the interruption, but a study shows you actually like it.

Rawpixel/Thinkstock

A team of researchers at the University of Cincinnati surveyed 111 full-time employees twice a day for 3 weeks about their work experience. They asked about mental exhaustion, workplace interruptions, sense of belonging, and overall job satisfaction. They found that employees had a higher sense of belonging and job satisfaction when interrupted with a social versus work interruption.

“Interruptions can actually benefit individuals from an interpersonal perspective – people feel like they belong when others come and talk to them or ask them questions, even while being distracted from their tasks,” said Heather C. Vough, senior investigator and a former university faculty member.

Chitchatting at work is often seen as a distraction, but this study suggests that it’s not like heating up fish in the breakroom microwave.

So the next time someone hits you with the “Hey, do you have a sec?,” do yourself a favor and enjoy the interruption.
 

A smorgasbord of science

It’s probably difficult to recruit patients for some medical trials. Try this new drug and potentially get all sorts of interesting and unpleasant side effects. Pass. We suggest the approach a group of researchers from the University of Kansas took for a recent study into weight gain: Invite a bunch of 20-something adults to an all-you-can-eat buffet. They’ll be beating down your door in no time.

pxfuel

Their study, published in Appetite, focused on hyperpalatable food – the sort of food you can keep eating – and compared it with high-energy-dense food and ultra processed food. The test patients had their body composition measured, were let loose on the buffet, and were measured again a year later.

The patients who favored salty/carbohydrate-filled hyperpalatable food (such as pretzels or popcorn) were much more likely to gain weight, compared with those who focused on salty/fat-filled food of any variety. As a matter of fact, those who stuck to fatty food during the buffet had no change in weight over the 1-year study period. The researchers noted that those who ate the carb-filled food tended more toward hedonic eating, or the act of eating simply for pleasure.

The study is no doubt helpful in the long battle against obesity and overeating, but it’s also a very helpful guide to getting the most bang for your buck at the buffet. Stay away from the cheap salty snack food. Go for the steak and seafood. Get your money’s worth. In the long run you won’t even gain any weight. No promises about tomorrow though.
 

There’s a cheat code for that

For a large percentage of kids and young adults, and maybe even older adults (we don’t judge), a storm warning means a cozy night in playing video games. Staying inside is probably the safest bet when there’s a storm, and the weatherman never says to avoid playing video games when there’s lightning.

xresch/Pixabay

Maybe he should, though, since a man from Tennessee reportedly got struck by lightning through his game controller. Emergency crews determined that lightning either hit the man’s house or struck near it and went through the controller. The type of console was not revealed, even though some people may want to know the specifics before playing during the next storm.

Luckily, the man was not seriously hurt and did not need to go to the hospital. This is apparently not unheard of, as a professional gamer was shocked through a wired controller last year, causing burns on her hands and a broken controller.

This might be our cue to do less electrical types of activities during thunderstorms, like knitting or reading by candlelight.
 

Freeze, squeeze, and enjoy … cramping

As you were ingesting last week’s installment of the never-ending buffet that is LOTME, you probably wondered: What’s going on? Where’s the latest bodily insult being perpetuated by the gang over at TikTok?

Daria-Yakovleva/Pixabay

Have no fear, good readers. We would never make you go 2 straight weeks without serving up some hyperpalatable TikTok tidbits.

Our bodily insult du jour is frozen honey, and it’s exploding all over TikTok … and a few other places. “The hashtag ‘#FrozenHoney’ has been viewed nearly 600 million times, and the hashtag ‘#FrozenHoneyChallenge’ has been viewed more than 80 million times,” NBC News recently reported.

After a few hours in the freezer, honey can be squeezed out of a plastic bottle as a semisolid, toothpastelike goo – it’s stiff enough to rise out of a container that’s pointed straight up – and bitten off in large chunks. And therein lies the problem.

Some people are overdoing it. “Honey is great, but having it in small amounts to sweeten is really a healthy relationship with food, and using it to get a lot of followers and a lot of attention and having it in excess amounts is crazy,” Kristin Kirkpatrick, a registered dietitian at the Cleveland Clinic, told NBC.

Besides the possible weight gain from eating massive amounts of sugar, experts warned that “gobbling up bottles of frozen honey” could lead to stomach cramping, bloating, and diarrhea. Some TikTokers, NBC noted, said that they “were running for the bathroom.”

As we said, it’s a trend that is exploding.

Be sure to tune in next week, when we learn how TikTokers use ground meat as a skin moisturizer.
 

Bother me, I’m working 

Although some of us have been comfortably functioning in a virtual work environment, others are now trickling back into the office. And you know what that means? People come to your desk to show you pictures of their cat or tell you about their kid’s birthday party. You may sneer at the interruption, but a study shows you actually like it.

Rawpixel/Thinkstock

A team of researchers at the University of Cincinnati surveyed 111 full-time employees twice a day for 3 weeks about their work experience. They asked about mental exhaustion, workplace interruptions, sense of belonging, and overall job satisfaction. They found that employees had a higher sense of belonging and job satisfaction when interrupted with a social versus work interruption.

“Interruptions can actually benefit individuals from an interpersonal perspective – people feel like they belong when others come and talk to them or ask them questions, even while being distracted from their tasks,” said Heather C. Vough, senior investigator and a former university faculty member.

Chitchatting at work is often seen as a distraction, but this study suggests that it’s not like heating up fish in the breakroom microwave.

So the next time someone hits you with the “Hey, do you have a sec?,” do yourself a favor and enjoy the interruption.
 

A smorgasbord of science

It’s probably difficult to recruit patients for some medical trials. Try this new drug and potentially get all sorts of interesting and unpleasant side effects. Pass. We suggest the approach a group of researchers from the University of Kansas took for a recent study into weight gain: Invite a bunch of 20-something adults to an all-you-can-eat buffet. They’ll be beating down your door in no time.

pxfuel

Their study, published in Appetite, focused on hyperpalatable food – the sort of food you can keep eating – and compared it with high-energy-dense food and ultra processed food. The test patients had their body composition measured, were let loose on the buffet, and were measured again a year later.

The patients who favored salty/carbohydrate-filled hyperpalatable food (such as pretzels or popcorn) were much more likely to gain weight, compared with those who focused on salty/fat-filled food of any variety. As a matter of fact, those who stuck to fatty food during the buffet had no change in weight over the 1-year study period. The researchers noted that those who ate the carb-filled food tended more toward hedonic eating, or the act of eating simply for pleasure.

The study is no doubt helpful in the long battle against obesity and overeating, but it’s also a very helpful guide to getting the most bang for your buck at the buffet. Stay away from the cheap salty snack food. Go for the steak and seafood. Get your money’s worth. In the long run you won’t even gain any weight. No promises about tomorrow though.
 

There’s a cheat code for that

For a large percentage of kids and young adults, and maybe even older adults (we don’t judge), a storm warning means a cozy night in playing video games. Staying inside is probably the safest bet when there’s a storm, and the weatherman never says to avoid playing video games when there’s lightning.

xresch/Pixabay

Maybe he should, though, since a man from Tennessee reportedly got struck by lightning through his game controller. Emergency crews determined that lightning either hit the man’s house or struck near it and went through the controller. The type of console was not revealed, even though some people may want to know the specifics before playing during the next storm.

Luckily, the man was not seriously hurt and did not need to go to the hospital. This is apparently not unheard of, as a professional gamer was shocked through a wired controller last year, causing burns on her hands and a broken controller.

This might be our cue to do less electrical types of activities during thunderstorms, like knitting or reading by candlelight.
 

Freeze, squeeze, and enjoy … cramping

As you were ingesting last week’s installment of the never-ending buffet that is LOTME, you probably wondered: What’s going on? Where’s the latest bodily insult being perpetuated by the gang over at TikTok?

Daria-Yakovleva/Pixabay

Have no fear, good readers. We would never make you go 2 straight weeks without serving up some hyperpalatable TikTok tidbits.

Our bodily insult du jour is frozen honey, and it’s exploding all over TikTok … and a few other places. “The hashtag ‘#FrozenHoney’ has been viewed nearly 600 million times, and the hashtag ‘#FrozenHoneyChallenge’ has been viewed more than 80 million times,” NBC News recently reported.

After a few hours in the freezer, honey can be squeezed out of a plastic bottle as a semisolid, toothpastelike goo – it’s stiff enough to rise out of a container that’s pointed straight up – and bitten off in large chunks. And therein lies the problem.

Some people are overdoing it. “Honey is great, but having it in small amounts to sweeten is really a healthy relationship with food, and using it to get a lot of followers and a lot of attention and having it in excess amounts is crazy,” Kristin Kirkpatrick, a registered dietitian at the Cleveland Clinic, told NBC.

Besides the possible weight gain from eating massive amounts of sugar, experts warned that “gobbling up bottles of frozen honey” could lead to stomach cramping, bloating, and diarrhea. Some TikTokers, NBC noted, said that they “were running for the bathroom.”

As we said, it’s a trend that is exploding.

Be sure to tune in next week, when we learn how TikTokers use ground meat as a skin moisturizer.