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Proclivity ID
18818001
Unpublish
Specialty Focus
Mental Health
Vaccines
Addiction Medicine
Geriatrics
Negative Keywords
gaming
gambling
compulsive behaviors
ammunition
assault rifle
black jack
Boko Haram
bondage
child abuse
cocaine
Daech
drug paraphernalia
explosion
gun
human trafficking
ISIL
ISIS
Islamic caliphate
Islamic state
mixed martial arts
MMA
molestation
national rifle association
NRA
nsfw
pedophile
pedophilia
poker
porn
pornography
psychedelic drug
recreational drug
sex slave rings
slot machine
terrorism
terrorist
Texas hold 'em
UFC
substance abuse
abuseed
abuseer
abusees
abuseing
abusely
abuses
aeolus
aeolused
aeoluser
aeoluses
aeolusing
aeolusly
aeoluss
ahole
aholeed
aholeer
aholees
aholeing
aholely
aholes
alcohol
alcoholed
alcoholer
alcoholes
alcoholing
alcoholly
alcohols
allman
allmaned
allmaner
allmanes
allmaning
allmanly
allmans
alted
altes
alting
altly
alts
analed
analer
anales
analing
anally
analprobe
analprobeed
analprobeer
analprobees
analprobeing
analprobely
analprobes
anals
anilingus
anilingused
anilinguser
anilinguses
anilingusing
anilingusly
anilinguss
anus
anused
anuser
anuses
anusing
anusly
anuss
areola
areolaed
areolaer
areolaes
areolaing
areolaly
areolas
areole
areoleed
areoleer
areolees
areoleing
areolely
areoles
arian
arianed
arianer
arianes
arianing
arianly
arians
aryan
aryaned
aryaner
aryanes
aryaning
aryanly
aryans
asiaed
asiaer
asiaes
asiaing
asialy
asias
ass
ass hole
ass lick
ass licked
ass licker
ass lickes
ass licking
ass lickly
ass licks
assbang
assbanged
assbangeded
assbangeder
assbangedes
assbangeding
assbangedly
assbangeds
assbanger
assbanges
assbanging
assbangly
assbangs
assbangsed
assbangser
assbangses
assbangsing
assbangsly
assbangss
assed
asser
asses
assesed
asseser
asseses
assesing
assesly
assess
assfuck
assfucked
assfucker
assfuckered
assfuckerer
assfuckeres
assfuckering
assfuckerly
assfuckers
assfuckes
assfucking
assfuckly
assfucks
asshat
asshated
asshater
asshates
asshating
asshatly
asshats
assholeed
assholeer
assholees
assholeing
assholely
assholes
assholesed
assholeser
assholeses
assholesing
assholesly
assholess
assing
assly
assmaster
assmastered
assmasterer
assmasteres
assmastering
assmasterly
assmasters
assmunch
assmunched
assmuncher
assmunches
assmunching
assmunchly
assmunchs
asss
asswipe
asswipeed
asswipeer
asswipees
asswipeing
asswipely
asswipes
asswipesed
asswipeser
asswipeses
asswipesing
asswipesly
asswipess
azz
azzed
azzer
azzes
azzing
azzly
azzs
babeed
babeer
babees
babeing
babely
babes
babesed
babeser
babeses
babesing
babesly
babess
ballsac
ballsaced
ballsacer
ballsaces
ballsacing
ballsack
ballsacked
ballsacker
ballsackes
ballsacking
ballsackly
ballsacks
ballsacly
ballsacs
ballsed
ballser
ballses
ballsing
ballsly
ballss
barf
barfed
barfer
barfes
barfing
barfly
barfs
bastard
bastarded
bastarder
bastardes
bastarding
bastardly
bastards
bastardsed
bastardser
bastardses
bastardsing
bastardsly
bastardss
bawdy
bawdyed
bawdyer
bawdyes
bawdying
bawdyly
bawdys
beaner
beanered
beanerer
beaneres
beanering
beanerly
beaners
beardedclam
beardedclamed
beardedclamer
beardedclames
beardedclaming
beardedclamly
beardedclams
beastiality
beastialityed
beastialityer
beastialityes
beastialitying
beastialityly
beastialitys
beatch
beatched
beatcher
beatches
beatching
beatchly
beatchs
beater
beatered
beaterer
beateres
beatering
beaterly
beaters
beered
beerer
beeres
beering
beerly
beeyotch
beeyotched
beeyotcher
beeyotches
beeyotching
beeyotchly
beeyotchs
beotch
beotched
beotcher
beotches
beotching
beotchly
beotchs
biatch
biatched
biatcher
biatches
biatching
biatchly
biatchs
big tits
big titsed
big titser
big titses
big titsing
big titsly
big titss
bigtits
bigtitsed
bigtitser
bigtitses
bigtitsing
bigtitsly
bigtitss
bimbo
bimboed
bimboer
bimboes
bimboing
bimboly
bimbos
bisexualed
bisexualer
bisexuales
bisexualing
bisexually
bisexuals
bitch
bitched
bitcheded
bitcheder
bitchedes
bitcheding
bitchedly
bitcheds
bitcher
bitches
bitchesed
bitcheser
bitcheses
bitchesing
bitchesly
bitchess
bitching
bitchly
bitchs
bitchy
bitchyed
bitchyer
bitchyes
bitchying
bitchyly
bitchys
bleached
bleacher
bleaches
bleaching
bleachly
bleachs
blow job
blow jobed
blow jober
blow jobes
blow jobing
blow jobly
blow jobs
blowed
blower
blowes
blowing
blowjob
blowjobed
blowjober
blowjobes
blowjobing
blowjobly
blowjobs
blowjobsed
blowjobser
blowjobses
blowjobsing
blowjobsly
blowjobss
blowly
blows
boink
boinked
boinker
boinkes
boinking
boinkly
boinks
bollock
bollocked
bollocker
bollockes
bollocking
bollockly
bollocks
bollocksed
bollockser
bollockses
bollocksing
bollocksly
bollockss
bollok
bolloked
bolloker
bollokes
bolloking
bollokly
bolloks
boner
bonered
bonerer
boneres
bonering
bonerly
boners
bonersed
bonerser
bonerses
bonersing
bonersly
bonerss
bong
bonged
bonger
bonges
bonging
bongly
bongs
boob
boobed
boober
boobes
boobies
boobiesed
boobieser
boobieses
boobiesing
boobiesly
boobiess
boobing
boobly
boobs
boobsed
boobser
boobses
boobsing
boobsly
boobss
booby
boobyed
boobyer
boobyes
boobying
boobyly
boobys
booger
boogered
boogerer
boogeres
boogering
boogerly
boogers
bookie
bookieed
bookieer
bookiees
bookieing
bookiely
bookies
bootee
booteeed
booteeer
booteees
booteeing
booteely
bootees
bootie
bootieed
bootieer
bootiees
bootieing
bootiely
booties
booty
bootyed
bootyer
bootyes
bootying
bootyly
bootys
boozeed
boozeer
boozees
boozeing
boozely
boozer
boozered
boozerer
boozeres
boozering
boozerly
boozers
boozes
boozy
boozyed
boozyer
boozyes
boozying
boozyly
boozys
bosomed
bosomer
bosomes
bosoming
bosomly
bosoms
bosomy
bosomyed
bosomyer
bosomyes
bosomying
bosomyly
bosomys
bugger
buggered
buggerer
buggeres
buggering
buggerly
buggers
bukkake
bukkakeed
bukkakeer
bukkakees
bukkakeing
bukkakely
bukkakes
bull shit
bull shited
bull shiter
bull shites
bull shiting
bull shitly
bull shits
bullshit
bullshited
bullshiter
bullshites
bullshiting
bullshitly
bullshits
bullshitsed
bullshitser
bullshitses
bullshitsing
bullshitsly
bullshitss
bullshitted
bullshitteded
bullshitteder
bullshittedes
bullshitteding
bullshittedly
bullshitteds
bullturds
bullturdsed
bullturdser
bullturdses
bullturdsing
bullturdsly
bullturdss
bung
bunged
bunger
bunges
bunging
bungly
bungs
busty
bustyed
bustyer
bustyes
bustying
bustyly
bustys
butt
butt fuck
butt fucked
butt fucker
butt fuckes
butt fucking
butt fuckly
butt fucks
butted
buttes
buttfuck
buttfucked
buttfucker
buttfuckered
buttfuckerer
buttfuckeres
buttfuckering
buttfuckerly
buttfuckers
buttfuckes
buttfucking
buttfuckly
buttfucks
butting
buttly
buttplug
buttpluged
buttpluger
buttpluges
buttpluging
buttplugly
buttplugs
butts
caca
cacaed
cacaer
cacaes
cacaing
cacaly
cacas
cahone
cahoneed
cahoneer
cahonees
cahoneing
cahonely
cahones
cameltoe
cameltoeed
cameltoeer
cameltoees
cameltoeing
cameltoely
cameltoes
carpetmuncher
carpetmunchered
carpetmuncherer
carpetmuncheres
carpetmunchering
carpetmuncherly
carpetmunchers
cawk
cawked
cawker
cawkes
cawking
cawkly
cawks
chinc
chinced
chincer
chinces
chincing
chincly
chincs
chincsed
chincser
chincses
chincsing
chincsly
chincss
chink
chinked
chinker
chinkes
chinking
chinkly
chinks
chode
chodeed
chodeer
chodees
chodeing
chodely
chodes
chodesed
chodeser
chodeses
chodesing
chodesly
chodess
clit
clited
cliter
clites
cliting
clitly
clitoris
clitorised
clitoriser
clitorises
clitorising
clitorisly
clitoriss
clitorus
clitorused
clitoruser
clitoruses
clitorusing
clitorusly
clitoruss
clits
clitsed
clitser
clitses
clitsing
clitsly
clitss
clitty
clittyed
clittyer
clittyes
clittying
clittyly
clittys
cocain
cocaine
cocained
cocaineed
cocaineer
cocainees
cocaineing
cocainely
cocainer
cocaines
cocaining
cocainly
cocains
cock
cock sucker
cock suckered
cock suckerer
cock suckeres
cock suckering
cock suckerly
cock suckers
cockblock
cockblocked
cockblocker
cockblockes
cockblocking
cockblockly
cockblocks
cocked
cocker
cockes
cockholster
cockholstered
cockholsterer
cockholsteres
cockholstering
cockholsterly
cockholsters
cocking
cockknocker
cockknockered
cockknockerer
cockknockeres
cockknockering
cockknockerly
cockknockers
cockly
cocks
cocksed
cockser
cockses
cocksing
cocksly
cocksmoker
cocksmokered
cocksmokerer
cocksmokeres
cocksmokering
cocksmokerly
cocksmokers
cockss
cocksucker
cocksuckered
cocksuckerer
cocksuckeres
cocksuckering
cocksuckerly
cocksuckers
coital
coitaled
coitaler
coitales
coitaling
coitally
coitals
commie
commieed
commieer
commiees
commieing
commiely
commies
condomed
condomer
condomes
condoming
condomly
condoms
coon
cooned
cooner
coones
cooning
coonly
coons
coonsed
coonser
coonses
coonsing
coonsly
coonss
corksucker
corksuckered
corksuckerer
corksuckeres
corksuckering
corksuckerly
corksuckers
cracked
crackwhore
crackwhoreed
crackwhoreer
crackwhorees
crackwhoreing
crackwhorely
crackwhores
crap
craped
craper
crapes
craping
craply
crappy
crappyed
crappyer
crappyes
crappying
crappyly
crappys
cum
cumed
cumer
cumes
cuming
cumly
cummin
cummined
cumminer
cummines
cumming
cumminged
cumminger
cumminges
cumminging
cummingly
cummings
cummining
cumminly
cummins
cums
cumshot
cumshoted
cumshoter
cumshotes
cumshoting
cumshotly
cumshots
cumshotsed
cumshotser
cumshotses
cumshotsing
cumshotsly
cumshotss
cumslut
cumsluted
cumsluter
cumslutes
cumsluting
cumslutly
cumsluts
cumstain
cumstained
cumstainer
cumstaines
cumstaining
cumstainly
cumstains
cunilingus
cunilingused
cunilinguser
cunilinguses
cunilingusing
cunilingusly
cunilinguss
cunnilingus
cunnilingused
cunnilinguser
cunnilinguses
cunnilingusing
cunnilingusly
cunnilinguss
cunny
cunnyed
cunnyer
cunnyes
cunnying
cunnyly
cunnys
cunt
cunted
cunter
cuntes
cuntface
cuntfaceed
cuntfaceer
cuntfacees
cuntfaceing
cuntfacely
cuntfaces
cunthunter
cunthuntered
cunthunterer
cunthunteres
cunthuntering
cunthunterly
cunthunters
cunting
cuntlick
cuntlicked
cuntlicker
cuntlickered
cuntlickerer
cuntlickeres
cuntlickering
cuntlickerly
cuntlickers
cuntlickes
cuntlicking
cuntlickly
cuntlicks
cuntly
cunts
cuntsed
cuntser
cuntses
cuntsing
cuntsly
cuntss
dago
dagoed
dagoer
dagoes
dagoing
dagoly
dagos
dagosed
dagoser
dagoses
dagosing
dagosly
dagoss
dammit
dammited
dammiter
dammites
dammiting
dammitly
dammits
damn
damned
damneded
damneder
damnedes
damneding
damnedly
damneds
damner
damnes
damning
damnit
damnited
damniter
damnites
damniting
damnitly
damnits
damnly
damns
dick
dickbag
dickbaged
dickbager
dickbages
dickbaging
dickbagly
dickbags
dickdipper
dickdippered
dickdipperer
dickdipperes
dickdippering
dickdipperly
dickdippers
dicked
dicker
dickes
dickface
dickfaceed
dickfaceer
dickfacees
dickfaceing
dickfacely
dickfaces
dickflipper
dickflippered
dickflipperer
dickflipperes
dickflippering
dickflipperly
dickflippers
dickhead
dickheaded
dickheader
dickheades
dickheading
dickheadly
dickheads
dickheadsed
dickheadser
dickheadses
dickheadsing
dickheadsly
dickheadss
dicking
dickish
dickished
dickisher
dickishes
dickishing
dickishly
dickishs
dickly
dickripper
dickrippered
dickripperer
dickripperes
dickrippering
dickripperly
dickrippers
dicks
dicksipper
dicksippered
dicksipperer
dicksipperes
dicksippering
dicksipperly
dicksippers
dickweed
dickweeded
dickweeder
dickweedes
dickweeding
dickweedly
dickweeds
dickwhipper
dickwhippered
dickwhipperer
dickwhipperes
dickwhippering
dickwhipperly
dickwhippers
dickzipper
dickzippered
dickzipperer
dickzipperes
dickzippering
dickzipperly
dickzippers
diddle
diddleed
diddleer
diddlees
diddleing
diddlely
diddles
dike
dikeed
dikeer
dikees
dikeing
dikely
dikes
dildo
dildoed
dildoer
dildoes
dildoing
dildoly
dildos
dildosed
dildoser
dildoses
dildosing
dildosly
dildoss
diligaf
diligafed
diligafer
diligafes
diligafing
diligafly
diligafs
dillweed
dillweeded
dillweeder
dillweedes
dillweeding
dillweedly
dillweeds
dimwit
dimwited
dimwiter
dimwites
dimwiting
dimwitly
dimwits
dingle
dingleed
dingleer
dinglees
dingleing
dinglely
dingles
dipship
dipshiped
dipshiper
dipshipes
dipshiping
dipshiply
dipships
dizzyed
dizzyer
dizzyes
dizzying
dizzyly
dizzys
doggiestyleed
doggiestyleer
doggiestylees
doggiestyleing
doggiestylely
doggiestyles
doggystyleed
doggystyleer
doggystylees
doggystyleing
doggystylely
doggystyles
dong
donged
donger
donges
donging
dongly
dongs
doofus
doofused
doofuser
doofuses
doofusing
doofusly
doofuss
doosh
dooshed
doosher
dooshes
dooshing
dooshly
dooshs
dopeyed
dopeyer
dopeyes
dopeying
dopeyly
dopeys
douchebag
douchebaged
douchebager
douchebages
douchebaging
douchebagly
douchebags
douchebagsed
douchebagser
douchebagses
douchebagsing
douchebagsly
douchebagss
doucheed
doucheer
douchees
doucheing
douchely
douches
douchey
doucheyed
doucheyer
doucheyes
doucheying
doucheyly
doucheys
drunk
drunked
drunker
drunkes
drunking
drunkly
drunks
dumass
dumassed
dumasser
dumasses
dumassing
dumassly
dumasss
dumbass
dumbassed
dumbasser
dumbasses
dumbassesed
dumbasseser
dumbasseses
dumbassesing
dumbassesly
dumbassess
dumbassing
dumbassly
dumbasss
dummy
dummyed
dummyer
dummyes
dummying
dummyly
dummys
dyke
dykeed
dykeer
dykees
dykeing
dykely
dykes
dykesed
dykeser
dykeses
dykesing
dykesly
dykess
erotic
eroticed
eroticer
erotices
eroticing
eroticly
erotics
extacy
extacyed
extacyer
extacyes
extacying
extacyly
extacys
extasy
extasyed
extasyer
extasyes
extasying
extasyly
extasys
fack
facked
facker
fackes
facking
fackly
facks
fag
faged
fager
fages
fagg
fagged
faggeded
faggeder
faggedes
faggeding
faggedly
faggeds
fagger
fagges
fagging
faggit
faggited
faggiter
faggites
faggiting
faggitly
faggits
faggly
faggot
faggoted
faggoter
faggotes
faggoting
faggotly
faggots
faggs
faging
fagly
fagot
fagoted
fagoter
fagotes
fagoting
fagotly
fagots
fags
fagsed
fagser
fagses
fagsing
fagsly
fagss
faig
faiged
faiger
faiges
faiging
faigly
faigs
faigt
faigted
faigter
faigtes
faigting
faigtly
faigts
fannybandit
fannybandited
fannybanditer
fannybandites
fannybanditing
fannybanditly
fannybandits
farted
farter
fartes
farting
fartknocker
fartknockered
fartknockerer
fartknockeres
fartknockering
fartknockerly
fartknockers
fartly
farts
felch
felched
felcher
felchered
felcherer
felcheres
felchering
felcherly
felchers
felches
felching
felchinged
felchinger
felchinges
felchinging
felchingly
felchings
felchly
felchs
fellate
fellateed
fellateer
fellatees
fellateing
fellately
fellates
fellatio
fellatioed
fellatioer
fellatioes
fellatioing
fellatioly
fellatios
feltch
feltched
feltcher
feltchered
feltcherer
feltcheres
feltchering
feltcherly
feltchers
feltches
feltching
feltchly
feltchs
feom
feomed
feomer
feomes
feoming
feomly
feoms
fisted
fisteded
fisteder
fistedes
fisteding
fistedly
fisteds
fisting
fistinged
fistinger
fistinges
fistinging
fistingly
fistings
fisty
fistyed
fistyer
fistyes
fistying
fistyly
fistys
floozy
floozyed
floozyer
floozyes
floozying
floozyly
floozys
foad
foaded
foader
foades
foading
foadly
foads
fondleed
fondleer
fondlees
fondleing
fondlely
fondles
foobar
foobared
foobarer
foobares
foobaring
foobarly
foobars
freex
freexed
freexer
freexes
freexing
freexly
freexs
frigg
frigga
friggaed
friggaer
friggaes
friggaing
friggaly
friggas
frigged
frigger
frigges
frigging
friggly
friggs
fubar
fubared
fubarer
fubares
fubaring
fubarly
fubars
fuck
fuckass
fuckassed
fuckasser
fuckasses
fuckassing
fuckassly
fuckasss
fucked
fuckeded
fuckeder
fuckedes
fuckeding
fuckedly
fuckeds
fucker
fuckered
fuckerer
fuckeres
fuckering
fuckerly
fuckers
fuckes
fuckface
fuckfaceed
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rumprammerer
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rums
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ruskiing
ruskily
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scaged
scager
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scaging
scagly
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scantily
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scantilyer
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scantilying
scantilyly
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schlonged
schlonger
schlonges
schlonging
schlongly
schlongs
scrog
scroged
scroger
scroges
scroging
scrogly
scrogs
scrot
scrote
scroted
scroteed
scroteer
scrotees
scroteing
scrotely
scroter
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scroting
scrotly
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scrotumed
scrotumer
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scrotuming
scrotumly
scrotums
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scruded
scruder
scrudes
scruding
scrudly
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scumer
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scuming
scumly
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seamanly
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seamener
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seamenly
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seduceer
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seduceing
seducely
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semened
semener
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semening
semenly
semens
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shamedamees
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shamedamely
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shit
shite
shiteater
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shiteaterer
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shiteaterly
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shites
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shitheader
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shithousely
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shitly
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shitted
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shittes
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shittly
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shittyly
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shized
shizer
shizes
shizing
shizly
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shooted
shooter
shootes
shooting
shootly
shoots
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sissyed
sissyer
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sissying
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skager
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skaging
skagly
skags
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skanker
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skanking
skankly
skanks
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slaveed
slaveer
slavees
slaveing
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spicer
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spicker
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spickly
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spoogees
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spoogely
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spunked
spunker
spunkes
spunking
spunkly
spunks
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steamyer
steamyes
steamying
steamyly
steamys
stfu
stfued
stfuer
stfues
stfuing
stfuly
stfus
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stiffyes
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stiffyly
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stonedly
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stupidly
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suckes
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suckinger
suckinges
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suckingly
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suckly
sucks
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sumofabiatching
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tarded
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tardes
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tawdryes
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tawdryly
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teabagginger
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teabaggingly
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terded
terder
terdes
terding
terdly
terds
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testee
testeed
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testeely
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testees
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testely
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testesly
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testiclely
testicles
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testised
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testises
testising
testisly
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thruster
thrustes
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thrustly
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thuger
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thugly
thugs
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tinkleed
tinkleer
tinklees
tinkleing
tinklely
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tit
tited
titer
tites
titfuck
titfucked
titfucker
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titfucking
titfuckly
titfucks
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titied
titier
tities
titiing
titily
titing
titis
titly
tits
titsed
titser
titses
titsing
titsly
titss
tittiefucker
tittiefuckered
tittiefuckerer
tittiefuckeres
tittiefuckering
tittiefuckerly
tittiefuckers
titties
tittiesed
tittieser
tittieses
tittiesing
tittiesly
tittiess
titty
tittyed
tittyer
tittyes
tittyfuck
tittyfucked
tittyfucker
tittyfuckered
tittyfuckerer
tittyfuckeres
tittyfuckering
tittyfuckerly
tittyfuckers
tittyfuckes
tittyfucking
tittyfuckly
tittyfucks
tittying
tittyly
tittys
toke
tokeed
tokeer
tokees
tokeing
tokely
tokes
toots
tootsed
tootser
tootses
tootsing
tootsly
tootss
tramp
tramped
tramper
trampes
tramping
tramply
tramps
transsexualed
transsexualer
transsexuales
transsexualing
transsexually
transsexuals
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trashyed
trashyer
trashyes
trashying
trashyly
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tubgirl
tubgirled
tubgirler
tubgirles
tubgirling
tubgirlly
tubgirls
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turded
turder
turdes
turding
turdly
turds
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tushed
tusher
tushes
tushing
tushly
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twater
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twatly
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twatser
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uzied
uzier
uzies
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uzily
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vaged
vager
vages
vaging
vagly
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valiumed
valiumer
valiumes
valiuming
valiumly
valiums
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virgined
virginer
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virgining
virginly
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vixen
vixened
vixener
vixenes
vixening
vixenly
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vodkaer
vodkaes
vodkaing
vodkaly
vodkas
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voyeured
voyeurer
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voyeuring
voyeurly
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vulgared
vulgarer
vulgares
vulgaring
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wang
wanged
wanger
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wanging
wangly
wangs
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wanked
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wankerer
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wankerly
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wanking
wankly
wanks
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wazooed
wazooer
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wazooing
wazooly
wazoos
wedgie
wedgieed
wedgieer
wedgiees
wedgieing
wedgiely
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weeder
weedes
weeding
weedly
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weenie
weenieed
weenieer
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weenieing
weeniely
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weewee
weeweeed
weeweeer
weeweees
weeweeing
weeweely
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weiner
weinered
weinerer
weineres
weinering
weinerly
weiners
weirdo
weirdoed
weirdoer
weirdoes
weirdoing
weirdoly
weirdos
wench
wenched
wencher
wenches
wenching
wenchly
wenchs
wetback
wetbacked
wetbacker
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wetbacking
wetbackly
wetbacks
whitey
whiteyed
whiteyer
whiteyes
whiteying
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whized
whizer
whizes
whizing
whizly
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whoralicioused
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whoraliciousing
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whore
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whorealicioused
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whorealiciousing
whorealiciously
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whoreded
whoreder
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whoreding
whoredly
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whorefaceed
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whorefaceing
whorefacely
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whorehopper
whorehoppered
whorehopperer
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whorehoppering
whorehopperly
whorehoppers
whorehouse
whorehouseed
whorehouseer
whorehousees
whorehouseing
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whoreing
whorely
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whoresed
whoreser
whoreses
whoresing
whoresly
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whoringing
whoringly
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wigger
wiggered
wiggerer
wiggeres
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wiggerly
wiggers
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woodyed
woodyer
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woodying
woodyly
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woped
woper
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woping
woply
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wtf
wtfed
wtfer
wtfes
wtfing
wtfly
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xxx
xxxed
xxxer
xxxes
xxxing
xxxly
xxxs
yeasty
yeastyed
yeastyer
yeastyes
yeastying
yeastyly
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yobbo
yobboed
yobboer
yobboes
yobboing
yobboly
yobbos
zoophile
zoophileed
zoophileer
zoophilees
zoophileing
zoophilely
zoophiles
anal
ass
ass lick
balls
ballsac
bisexual
bleach
causas
cheap
cost of miracles
cunt
display network stats
fart
fda and death
fda AND warn
fda AND warning
fda AND warns
feom
fuck
gfc
humira AND expensive
illegal
madvocate
masturbation
nuccitelli
overdose
porn
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snort
texarkana
effective for the treatment of a baby
effective for the treatment of a boy
effective for the treatment of a child
effective for the treatment of a female
effective for the treatment of a girl
effective for the treatment of a kid
effective for the treatment of a minor
effective for the treatment of a newborn
effective for the treatment of a teen
effective for the treatment of a teenager
effective for the treatment of a toddler
effective for the treatment of a woman
effective for the treatment of adolescents
effective for the treatment of an adolescent
effective for the treatment of an infant
effective for the treatment of babies
effective for the treatment of baby
effective for the treatment of body building
effective for the treatment of boys
effective for the treatment of breast feeding
effective for the treatment of children
effective for the treatment of females
effective for the treatment of fetus
effective for the treatment of girls
effective for the treatment of infants
effective for the treatment of kids
effective for the treatment of minors
effective for the treatment of newborn
effective for the treatment of pediatric
effective for the treatment of pregnancy
effective for the treatment of pregnant
effective for the treatment of teenagers
effective for the treatment of teens
effective for the treatment of toddlers
effective for the treatment of women
effective for the treatment of youths
for the relief of a baby
for the relief of a boy
for the relief of a child
for the relief of a female
for the relief of a girl
for the relief of a kid
for the relief of a minor
for the relief of a newborn
for the relief of a teen
for the relief of a teenager
for the relief of a toddler
for the relief of a woman
for the relief of adolescents
for the relief of an adolescent
for the relief of an infant
for the relief of babies
for the relief of baby
for the relief of body building
for the relief of boys
for the relief of breast feeding
for the relief of children
for the relief of females
for the relief of fetus
for the relief of girls
for the relief of infants
for the relief of kids
for the relief of minors
for the relief of newborn
for the relief of pediatric
for the relief of pregnancy
for the relief of pregnant
for the relief of teenagers
for the relief of teens
for the relief of toddlers
for the relief of women
for the relief of youths
medicating a baby
medicating a boy
medicating a child
medicating a female
medicating a girl
medicating a kid
medicating a minor
medicating a newborn
medicating a teen
medicating a teenager
medicating a toddler
medicating a woman
medicating adolescents
medicating an adolescent
medicating an infant
medicating babies
medicating baby
medicating body building
medicating boys
medicating breast feeding
medicating children
medicating females
medicating fetus
medicating girls
medicating infants
medicating kids
medicating minors
medicating newborn
medicating pediatric
medicating pregnancy
medicating pregnant
medicating teenagers
medicating teens
medicating toddlers
medicating women
medicating youths
at risk for a baby
at risk for a boy
at risk for a child
at risk for a female
at risk for a girl
at risk for a kid
at risk for a minor
at risk for a newborn
at risk for a teen
at risk for a teenager
at risk for a toddler
at risk for a woman
at risk for adolescents
at risk for an adolescent
at risk for an infant
at risk for babies
at risk for baby
at risk for body building
at risk for boys
at risk for breast feeding
at risk for children
at risk for females
at risk for fetus
at risk for girls
at risk for infants
at risk for kids
at risk for minors
at risk for newborn
at risk for pediatric
at risk for pregnancy
at risk for pregnant
at risk for teenagers
at risk for teens
at risk for toddlers
at risk for women
at risk for youths
treating a baby
treating a boy
treating a child
treating a female
treating a girl
treating a kid
treating a minor
treating a newborn
treating a teen
treating a teenager
treating a toddler
treating a woman
treating adolescents
treating an adolescent
treating an infant
treating babies
treating baby
treating body building
treating boys
treating breast feeding
treating children
treating females
treating fetus
treating girls
treating infants
treating kids
treating minors
treating newborn
treating pediatric
treating pregnancy
treating pregnant
treating teenagers
treating teens
treating toddlers
treating women
treating youths
treatment for a baby
treatment for a boy
treatment for a child
treatment for a female
treatment for a girl
treatment for a kid
treatment for a minor
treatment for a newborn
treatment for a teen
treatment for a teenager
treatment for a toddler
treatment for a woman
treatment for adolescents
treatment for an adolescent
treatment for an infant
treatment for babies
treatment for baby
treatment for body building
treatment for boys
treatment for breast feeding
treatment for children
treatment for females
treatment for fetus
treatment for girls
treatment for infants
treatment for kids
treatment for minors
treatment for newborn
treatment for pediatric
treatment for pregnancy
treatment for pregnant
treatment for teenagers
treatment for teens
treatment for toddlers
treatment for women
treatment for youths
treatments for a baby
treatments for a boy
treatments for a child
treatments for a female
treatments for a girl
treatments for a kid
treatments for a minor
treatments for a newborn
treatments for a teen
treatments for a teenager
treatments for a toddler
treatments for a woman
treatments for adolescents
treatments for an adolescent
treatments for an infant
treatments for babies
treatments for baby
treatments for body building
treatments for boys
treatments for breast feeding
treatments for children
treatments for females
treatments for fetus
treatments for girls
treatments for infants
treatments for kids
treatments for minors
treatments for newborn
treatments for pediatric
treatments for pregnancy
treatments for pregnant
treatments for teenagers
treatments for teens
treatments for toddlers
treatments for women
treatments for youths
diagnosing a baby
diagnosing a boy
diagnosing a child
diagnosing a female
diagnosing a girl
diagnosing a kid
diagnosing a minor
diagnosing a newborn
diagnosing a teen
diagnosing a teenager
diagnosing a toddler
diagnosing a woman
diagnosing adolescents
diagnosing an adolescent
diagnosing an infant
diagnosing babies
diagnosing baby
diagnosing body building
diagnosing boys
diagnosing breast feeding
diagnosing children
diagnosing females
diagnosing fetus
diagnosing girls
diagnosing infants
diagnosing kids
diagnosing minors
diagnosing newborn
diagnosing pediatric
diagnosing pregnancy
diagnosing pregnant
diagnosing teenagers
diagnosing teens
diagnosing toddlers
diagnosing women
diagnosing youths
indicated for a baby
indicated for a boy
indicated for a child
indicated for a female
indicated for a girl
indicated for a kid
indicated for a minor
indicated for a newborn
indicated for a teen
indicated for a teenager
indicated for a toddler
indicated for a woman
indicated for adolescents
indicated for an adolescent
indicated for an infant
indicated for babies
indicated for baby
indicated for body building
indicated for boys
indicated for breast feeding
indicated for children
indicated for females
indicated for fetus
indicated for girls
indicated for infants
indicated for kids
indicated for minors
indicated for newborn
indicated for pediatric
indicated for pregnancy
indicated for pregnant
indicated for teenagers
indicated for teens
indicated for toddlers
indicated for women
indicated for youths
useful for a baby
useful for a boy
useful for a child
useful for a female
useful for a girl
useful for a kid
useful for a minor
useful for a newborn
useful for a teen
useful for a teenager
useful for a toddler
useful for a woman
useful for adolescents
useful for an adolescent
useful for an infant
useful for babies
useful for baby
useful for body building
useful for boys
useful for breast feeding
useful for children
useful for females
useful for fetus
useful for girls
useful for infants
useful for kids
useful for minors
useful for newborn
useful for pediatric
useful for pregnancy
useful for pregnant
useful for teenagers
useful for teens
useful for toddlers
useful for women
useful for youths
effective for a baby
effective for a boy
effective for a child
effective for a female
effective for a girl
effective for a kid
effective for a minor
effective for a newborn
effective for a teen
effective for a teenager
effective for a toddler
effective for a woman
effective for adolescents
effective for an adolescent
effective for an infant
effective for babies
effective for baby
effective for body building
effective for boys
effective for breast feeding
effective for children
effective for females
effective for fetus
effective for girls
effective for infants
effective for kids
effective for minors
effective for newborn
effective for pediatric
effective for pregnancy
effective for pregnant
effective for teenagers
effective for teens
effective for toddlers
effective for women
effective for youths
cures for a baby
cures for a boy
cures for a child
cures for a female
cures for a girl
cures for a kid
cures for a minor
cures for a newborn
cures for a teen
cures for a teenager
cures for a toddler
cures for a woman
cures for adolescents
cures for an adolescent
cures for an infant
cures for babies
cures for baby
cures for body building
cures for boys
cures for breast feeding
cures for children
cures for females
cures for fetus
cures for girls
cures for infants
cures for kids
cures for minors
cures for newborn
cures for pediatric
cures for pregnancy
cures for pregnant
cures for teenagers
cures for teens
cures for toddlers
cures for women
cures for youths
use in a baby
use in a boy
use in a child
use in a female
use in a girl
use in a kid
use in a minor
use in a newborn
use in a teen
use in a teenager
use in a toddler
use in a woman
use in adolescents
use in an adolescent
use in an infant
use in babies
use in baby
use in body building
use in boys
use in breast feeding
use in children
use in females
use in fetus
use in girls
use in infants
use in kids
use in minors
use in newborn
use in pediatric
use in pregnancy
use in pregnant
use in teenagers
use in teens
use in toddlers
use in women
use in youths
use in patients with a baby
use in patients with a boy
use in patients with a child
use in patients with a female
use in patients with a girl
use in patients with a kid
use in patients with a minor
use in patients with a newborn
use in patients with a teen
use in patients with a teenager
use in patients with a toddler
use in patients with a woman
use in patients with adolescents
use in patients with an adolescent
use in patients with an infant
use in patients with babies
use in patients with baby
use in patients with body building
use in patients with boys
use in patients with breast feeding
use in patients with children
use in patients with females
use in patients with fetus
use in patients with girls
use in patients with infants
use in patients with kids
use in patients with minors
use in patients with newborn
use in patients with pediatric
use in patients with pregnancy
use in patients with pregnant
use in patients with teenagers
use in patients with teens
use in patients with toddlers
use in patients with women
use in patients with youths
a baby diagnosis
a boy diagnosis
a child diagnosis
a female diagnosis
a girl diagnosis
a kid diagnosis
a minor diagnosis
a newborn diagnosis
a teen diagnosis
a teenager diagnosis
a toddler diagnosis
a woman diagnosis
adolescents diagnosis
an adolescent diagnosis
an infant diagnosis
babies diagnosis
baby diagnosis
body building diagnosis
boys diagnosis
breast feeding diagnosis
children diagnosis
females diagnosis
fetus diagnosis
girls diagnosis
infants diagnosis
kids diagnosis
minors diagnosis
newborn diagnosis
pediatric diagnosis
pregnancy diagnosis
pregnant diagnosis
teenagers diagnosis
teens diagnosis
toddlers diagnosis
women diagnosis
youths diagnosis
a baby medication
a boy medication
a child medication
a female medication
a girl medication
a kid medication
a minor medication
a newborn medication
a teen medication
a teenager medication
a toddler medication
a woman medication
adolescents medication
an adolescent medication
an infant medication
babies medication
baby medication
body building medication
boys medication
breast feeding medication
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NT-proBNP May Predict Atrial Fibrillation Risk Early

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Fri, 12/13/2024 - 13:33

TOPLINE:

Elevated levels of N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), a key biomarker for diagnosing heart failure, show a nearly fourfold increased risk for atrial fibrillation (AF) in at-risk individuals. The utility of this biomarker was particularly evident in older adults and when serum-based measurements were used.

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers conducted a meta-analysis of prospective cohort, case-cohort, or nested case-control studies to examine the association between NT-proBNP and the incidence of AF.
  • They also explored the potential of NT-proBNP in improving risk prediction models for AF.
  • Overall, 136,089 adults were included from 16 cohorts, and 8017 cases of incident AF were reported over a median follow-up of 4-20 years.
  • Most of the included cohorts were from Europe (n = 12), followed by America (n = 3) and Asia (n = 1).
  • The accuracy of the risk prediction models was evaluated using C-indexes, with values in the range of 0.50-0.70, low accuracy; 0.70-0.90, moderate accuracy; and > 0.90, high accuracy.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Elevated NT-proBNP levels showed a strong association with the risk for AF, with individuals in the highest quintile of NT-proBNP facing a 3.84-fold higher risk for incident AF (pooled relative risk [RR], 3.84; 95% CI, 3.03-4.87) than those in the lowest quintile.
  • The risk increased by 9% for each 10 pg/mL increase in NT-proBNP (RR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.14), with a significant nonlinear dose-response association found between NT-proBNP and the risk for AF (P for nonlinearity < .001).
  • The association was stronger in the subgroups of older adults and when the biomarker was measured in serum samples.
  • The addition of NT-proBNP to traditional risk prediction models for AF may improve predictive accuracy, with the ΔC-indexes ranging from 0.010 to 0.060.

IN PRACTICE:

“The significance of NT-proBNP in enhancing AF risk stratification deserves greater attention, with potential expansion to routine health screening,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Wanyue Wang, Department of Epidemiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China, and was published online on December 06, 2024, in Heart.

LIMITATIONS:

Significant heterogeneity was observed in this meta-analysis, with the subgroup articles only providing exploratory and indicative findings. Due to the observational nature of this study, residual confounding could not be excluded. None of the prospective studies included differentiated subtypes of AF, such as paroxysmal and asymptomatic forms, which might have influenced the observed outcomes.

DISCLOSURES:

This study was supported by grants from the National Key Research and Development Program of China, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding. The authors declared no conflicts of interest.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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TOPLINE:

Elevated levels of N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), a key biomarker for diagnosing heart failure, show a nearly fourfold increased risk for atrial fibrillation (AF) in at-risk individuals. The utility of this biomarker was particularly evident in older adults and when serum-based measurements were used.

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers conducted a meta-analysis of prospective cohort, case-cohort, or nested case-control studies to examine the association between NT-proBNP and the incidence of AF.
  • They also explored the potential of NT-proBNP in improving risk prediction models for AF.
  • Overall, 136,089 adults were included from 16 cohorts, and 8017 cases of incident AF were reported over a median follow-up of 4-20 years.
  • Most of the included cohorts were from Europe (n = 12), followed by America (n = 3) and Asia (n = 1).
  • The accuracy of the risk prediction models was evaluated using C-indexes, with values in the range of 0.50-0.70, low accuracy; 0.70-0.90, moderate accuracy; and > 0.90, high accuracy.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Elevated NT-proBNP levels showed a strong association with the risk for AF, with individuals in the highest quintile of NT-proBNP facing a 3.84-fold higher risk for incident AF (pooled relative risk [RR], 3.84; 95% CI, 3.03-4.87) than those in the lowest quintile.
  • The risk increased by 9% for each 10 pg/mL increase in NT-proBNP (RR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.14), with a significant nonlinear dose-response association found between NT-proBNP and the risk for AF (P for nonlinearity < .001).
  • The association was stronger in the subgroups of older adults and when the biomarker was measured in serum samples.
  • The addition of NT-proBNP to traditional risk prediction models for AF may improve predictive accuracy, with the ΔC-indexes ranging from 0.010 to 0.060.

IN PRACTICE:

“The significance of NT-proBNP in enhancing AF risk stratification deserves greater attention, with potential expansion to routine health screening,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Wanyue Wang, Department of Epidemiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China, and was published online on December 06, 2024, in Heart.

LIMITATIONS:

Significant heterogeneity was observed in this meta-analysis, with the subgroup articles only providing exploratory and indicative findings. Due to the observational nature of this study, residual confounding could not be excluded. None of the prospective studies included differentiated subtypes of AF, such as paroxysmal and asymptomatic forms, which might have influenced the observed outcomes.

DISCLOSURES:

This study was supported by grants from the National Key Research and Development Program of China, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding. The authors declared no conflicts of interest.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Elevated levels of N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), a key biomarker for diagnosing heart failure, show a nearly fourfold increased risk for atrial fibrillation (AF) in at-risk individuals. The utility of this biomarker was particularly evident in older adults and when serum-based measurements were used.

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers conducted a meta-analysis of prospective cohort, case-cohort, or nested case-control studies to examine the association between NT-proBNP and the incidence of AF.
  • They also explored the potential of NT-proBNP in improving risk prediction models for AF.
  • Overall, 136,089 adults were included from 16 cohorts, and 8017 cases of incident AF were reported over a median follow-up of 4-20 years.
  • Most of the included cohorts were from Europe (n = 12), followed by America (n = 3) and Asia (n = 1).
  • The accuracy of the risk prediction models was evaluated using C-indexes, with values in the range of 0.50-0.70, low accuracy; 0.70-0.90, moderate accuracy; and > 0.90, high accuracy.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Elevated NT-proBNP levels showed a strong association with the risk for AF, with individuals in the highest quintile of NT-proBNP facing a 3.84-fold higher risk for incident AF (pooled relative risk [RR], 3.84; 95% CI, 3.03-4.87) than those in the lowest quintile.
  • The risk increased by 9% for each 10 pg/mL increase in NT-proBNP (RR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04-1.14), with a significant nonlinear dose-response association found between NT-proBNP and the risk for AF (P for nonlinearity < .001).
  • The association was stronger in the subgroups of older adults and when the biomarker was measured in serum samples.
  • The addition of NT-proBNP to traditional risk prediction models for AF may improve predictive accuracy, with the ΔC-indexes ranging from 0.010 to 0.060.

IN PRACTICE:

“The significance of NT-proBNP in enhancing AF risk stratification deserves greater attention, with potential expansion to routine health screening,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Wanyue Wang, Department of Epidemiology, Fuwai Hospital, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China, and was published online on December 06, 2024, in Heart.

LIMITATIONS:

Significant heterogeneity was observed in this meta-analysis, with the subgroup articles only providing exploratory and indicative findings. Due to the observational nature of this study, residual confounding could not be excluded. None of the prospective studies included differentiated subtypes of AF, such as paroxysmal and asymptomatic forms, which might have influenced the observed outcomes.

DISCLOSURES:

This study was supported by grants from the National Key Research and Development Program of China, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences, National Natural Science Foundation of China, and National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding. The authors declared no conflicts of interest.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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New Hope for Antimicrobial Peptides?

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Fri, 12/13/2024 - 13:12

The story of antimicrobial peptides (AMPs), particularly in tackling antibiotic resistance, has been one of false dawns and unfulfilled promises. But perhaps a new generation of “smarter” compounds could see them find a wider role in clinical practice, said experts.

AMPs may be small molecules, consisting of short chains of amino acids, but these naturally occurring compounds have an important function: They are the “frontline defense” against invasive bacteria, said Henrik Franzyk, MSc Engineering, associate professor in the Department of Drug Design and Pharmacology at the University of Copenhagen in Denmark.

 

Multifunction Line of Defense

AMPs are cationic, meaning they are positively charged. “The reason why nature has maintained these molecules is that all the microbes out there have a negative surface charge,” explained Hans-Georg Sahl, PhD, emeritus professor of pharmaceutical microbiology at the University of Bonn in Germany.

While AMPs are also hydrophobic, they are often amphipathic, with both hydrophobic and hydrophilic regions that allow them to target cell membranes and cause them to rupture similarly to how detergent acts. 

“Thus, the content of a cell gets released, and it destroys the pathogen,” explained Paulina Szymczak, a PhD candidate in the Institute of AI for Health at Helmholtz Munich, Neuherberg, Germany.

“There are variations of that theme,” said Eefjan Breukink, PhD, professor of microbial membranes and antibiotics at Utrecht University in the Netherlands. “And then it depends on the sequence of the particular peptide,” as some can cross the cell membrane and damage the bacterium internally.

Szymczak explained that AMPs can, in this way, target the cell DNA, as both the membrane and the DNA are negatively charged. “That’s also what makes them so powerful because they don’t have just one mechanism of action, as opposed to conventional antibiotics.” 

 

Indiscriminate Killers

But they also have another crucial function. They activate the innate immune system via so-called resident immune cells that are “sitting in the tissues and waiting for bacteria to turn up,” explained Franzyk.

“The problem with antibodies is that they typically need to replicate,” he continued, which takes between 4 and 7 days — a timeline that is much better suited to tackling a viral infection. Bacteria, on the other hand, have a replication cycle of just 30 minutes.

Another big problem is that AMPs kill cells indiscriminately, including our own.

“But the human body is clever in that it only produces these antimicrobial peptides where the bacteria are, so they are not circulating in the blood,” said Franzyk. If a small part of tissue becomes infected, the innate immune cells start producing AMPs, which may kill the bacteria, or call on other immune cells to help.

As part of this process, “they will also kill part of our own tissue, but that’s the price we have to pay,” he said.

 

Local Applications

It is this aspect that has, so far, limited the use of AMPs in clinical practice, certainly as a replacement for conventional antibiotics limited by bacterial resistance. The trials conducted so far have been, by and large, negative, which has dampened enthusiasm and led to the perception that the risk they pose is too great for large-scale investment.

AMPs “are not made for what we need from antibiotics in the first place,” explained Sahl. “That is, a nice, easy distribution in the body, going into abscesses” and throughout the tissues.

He continued that AMPs are “more about controlling the flora in our bodies,” and they are “really not made for being used systemically.” 

Szymczak and colleagues are now working on designing active peptides with a strong antibacterial profile but limited toxicity for systematic use.

However, the “downside with these peptides is that they are not orally available, so you can’t take a pill,” Breukink said, but instead they need to be administered intravenously.

There are, nevertheless, some antibiotics in clinical use that have the same molecular features as AMPs. These include colistin, a last-resort treatment for multidrug-resistant gram-negative bacteria, and daptomycin, which is used in the treatment of systemic infections caused by gram-positive species.

Szymczak added that there have been successes in using AMPs in a more targeted way, such as using a topical cream. Another potentially promising avenue is lung infections, which are being studied in mouse models.

 

Less Prone to Resistance

Crucially, AMPs are markedly less prone to bacterial resistance than conventional antibiotics, partly because of their typical target: the cell membrane.

“Biologically and evolutionarily, it is a very costly operation to rebuild the membrane and change its charge,” Szymczak explained. “It’s quite hard for bacteria to learn this because it’s not a single protein that you have to mutate but the whole membrane.”

This is seen in the laboratory, where it takes around five generations, or passages, for bacteria to develop resistance when grown in the presence of antibiotics, but up to 40 passages when cultured with an AMP.

The limits of the ability of AMPs to withstand the development of bacterial resistance have been tested in the real world.

Colistin has been used widely in Asia as a growth promoter, especially in pig farming. Franzyk explained that farmers have used enormous quantities of this AMP-based antibiotic, which has indeed led to the development of resistance, including contamination of meat for human consumption, leading to resistance spreading to other parts of the world.

“The bad thing about this is it’s not something each individual bacteria needs to acquire,” he said. Because resistance is stored on small, cyclic DNA called plasmids, it “can be transferred from one bacterial species to another.”

 

Novel Avenues

Franzyk suggested that AMPs could nevertheless be used in combination with, or to modify, existing antibiotics to revitalize those for which there is already bacterial resistance, or to allow antibiotics that ordinarily target only gram-positive bacteria to also treat gram-negative infections, for example.

Szymczak and her colleagues are using artificial intelligence to design novel AMP candidates. Instead of manually going through compounds and checking their activity profiles in the lab, those steps are carried out computationally “so that, in the end, you synthesize as few candidates as possible” and can proceed to a mouse model “as fast as possible.”

She personally is looking at the issue of strain-specific activity to design a compound that would target, for example, only multidrug-resistant strains. “What we can do now is something that will target everything, so a kind of last resort peptide. But we are trying to make them smarter in their targets.”

Szymczak also pointed out that cancer cells are “negatively charged, similarly to bacterial cells, as opposed to mammalian cells, which are neutral.”

“So in theory, maybe we could design something that will target cancer cells but not our host cells, and that would be extremely exciting.” However, she underlined that, first, they are trying to tackle antimicrobial resistance before looking at other spaces.

Finally, Breukink is screening for small antibacterial compounds in fungi that are around half the size of a normal peptide and more hydrophobic, meaning there is a much greater chance of them being orally available.

But “you first have to test, of course,” he said, as “if you don’t have specific targets, then you will get problems with toxicity, or other issues that you do not foresee.” 

No funding was declared. No relevant financial relationships were declared.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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The story of antimicrobial peptides (AMPs), particularly in tackling antibiotic resistance, has been one of false dawns and unfulfilled promises. But perhaps a new generation of “smarter” compounds could see them find a wider role in clinical practice, said experts.

AMPs may be small molecules, consisting of short chains of amino acids, but these naturally occurring compounds have an important function: They are the “frontline defense” against invasive bacteria, said Henrik Franzyk, MSc Engineering, associate professor in the Department of Drug Design and Pharmacology at the University of Copenhagen in Denmark.

 

Multifunction Line of Defense

AMPs are cationic, meaning they are positively charged. “The reason why nature has maintained these molecules is that all the microbes out there have a negative surface charge,” explained Hans-Georg Sahl, PhD, emeritus professor of pharmaceutical microbiology at the University of Bonn in Germany.

While AMPs are also hydrophobic, they are often amphipathic, with both hydrophobic and hydrophilic regions that allow them to target cell membranes and cause them to rupture similarly to how detergent acts. 

“Thus, the content of a cell gets released, and it destroys the pathogen,” explained Paulina Szymczak, a PhD candidate in the Institute of AI for Health at Helmholtz Munich, Neuherberg, Germany.

“There are variations of that theme,” said Eefjan Breukink, PhD, professor of microbial membranes and antibiotics at Utrecht University in the Netherlands. “And then it depends on the sequence of the particular peptide,” as some can cross the cell membrane and damage the bacterium internally.

Szymczak explained that AMPs can, in this way, target the cell DNA, as both the membrane and the DNA are negatively charged. “That’s also what makes them so powerful because they don’t have just one mechanism of action, as opposed to conventional antibiotics.” 

 

Indiscriminate Killers

But they also have another crucial function. They activate the innate immune system via so-called resident immune cells that are “sitting in the tissues and waiting for bacteria to turn up,” explained Franzyk.

“The problem with antibodies is that they typically need to replicate,” he continued, which takes between 4 and 7 days — a timeline that is much better suited to tackling a viral infection. Bacteria, on the other hand, have a replication cycle of just 30 minutes.

Another big problem is that AMPs kill cells indiscriminately, including our own.

“But the human body is clever in that it only produces these antimicrobial peptides where the bacteria are, so they are not circulating in the blood,” said Franzyk. If a small part of tissue becomes infected, the innate immune cells start producing AMPs, which may kill the bacteria, or call on other immune cells to help.

As part of this process, “they will also kill part of our own tissue, but that’s the price we have to pay,” he said.

 

Local Applications

It is this aspect that has, so far, limited the use of AMPs in clinical practice, certainly as a replacement for conventional antibiotics limited by bacterial resistance. The trials conducted so far have been, by and large, negative, which has dampened enthusiasm and led to the perception that the risk they pose is too great for large-scale investment.

AMPs “are not made for what we need from antibiotics in the first place,” explained Sahl. “That is, a nice, easy distribution in the body, going into abscesses” and throughout the tissues.

He continued that AMPs are “more about controlling the flora in our bodies,” and they are “really not made for being used systemically.” 

Szymczak and colleagues are now working on designing active peptides with a strong antibacterial profile but limited toxicity for systematic use.

However, the “downside with these peptides is that they are not orally available, so you can’t take a pill,” Breukink said, but instead they need to be administered intravenously.

There are, nevertheless, some antibiotics in clinical use that have the same molecular features as AMPs. These include colistin, a last-resort treatment for multidrug-resistant gram-negative bacteria, and daptomycin, which is used in the treatment of systemic infections caused by gram-positive species.

Szymczak added that there have been successes in using AMPs in a more targeted way, such as using a topical cream. Another potentially promising avenue is lung infections, which are being studied in mouse models.

 

Less Prone to Resistance

Crucially, AMPs are markedly less prone to bacterial resistance than conventional antibiotics, partly because of their typical target: the cell membrane.

“Biologically and evolutionarily, it is a very costly operation to rebuild the membrane and change its charge,” Szymczak explained. “It’s quite hard for bacteria to learn this because it’s not a single protein that you have to mutate but the whole membrane.”

This is seen in the laboratory, where it takes around five generations, or passages, for bacteria to develop resistance when grown in the presence of antibiotics, but up to 40 passages when cultured with an AMP.

The limits of the ability of AMPs to withstand the development of bacterial resistance have been tested in the real world.

Colistin has been used widely in Asia as a growth promoter, especially in pig farming. Franzyk explained that farmers have used enormous quantities of this AMP-based antibiotic, which has indeed led to the development of resistance, including contamination of meat for human consumption, leading to resistance spreading to other parts of the world.

“The bad thing about this is it’s not something each individual bacteria needs to acquire,” he said. Because resistance is stored on small, cyclic DNA called plasmids, it “can be transferred from one bacterial species to another.”

 

Novel Avenues

Franzyk suggested that AMPs could nevertheless be used in combination with, or to modify, existing antibiotics to revitalize those for which there is already bacterial resistance, or to allow antibiotics that ordinarily target only gram-positive bacteria to also treat gram-negative infections, for example.

Szymczak and her colleagues are using artificial intelligence to design novel AMP candidates. Instead of manually going through compounds and checking their activity profiles in the lab, those steps are carried out computationally “so that, in the end, you synthesize as few candidates as possible” and can proceed to a mouse model “as fast as possible.”

She personally is looking at the issue of strain-specific activity to design a compound that would target, for example, only multidrug-resistant strains. “What we can do now is something that will target everything, so a kind of last resort peptide. But we are trying to make them smarter in their targets.”

Szymczak also pointed out that cancer cells are “negatively charged, similarly to bacterial cells, as opposed to mammalian cells, which are neutral.”

“So in theory, maybe we could design something that will target cancer cells but not our host cells, and that would be extremely exciting.” However, she underlined that, first, they are trying to tackle antimicrobial resistance before looking at other spaces.

Finally, Breukink is screening for small antibacterial compounds in fungi that are around half the size of a normal peptide and more hydrophobic, meaning there is a much greater chance of them being orally available.

But “you first have to test, of course,” he said, as “if you don’t have specific targets, then you will get problems with toxicity, or other issues that you do not foresee.” 

No funding was declared. No relevant financial relationships were declared.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The story of antimicrobial peptides (AMPs), particularly in tackling antibiotic resistance, has been one of false dawns and unfulfilled promises. But perhaps a new generation of “smarter” compounds could see them find a wider role in clinical practice, said experts.

AMPs may be small molecules, consisting of short chains of amino acids, but these naturally occurring compounds have an important function: They are the “frontline defense” against invasive bacteria, said Henrik Franzyk, MSc Engineering, associate professor in the Department of Drug Design and Pharmacology at the University of Copenhagen in Denmark.

 

Multifunction Line of Defense

AMPs are cationic, meaning they are positively charged. “The reason why nature has maintained these molecules is that all the microbes out there have a negative surface charge,” explained Hans-Georg Sahl, PhD, emeritus professor of pharmaceutical microbiology at the University of Bonn in Germany.

While AMPs are also hydrophobic, they are often amphipathic, with both hydrophobic and hydrophilic regions that allow them to target cell membranes and cause them to rupture similarly to how detergent acts. 

“Thus, the content of a cell gets released, and it destroys the pathogen,” explained Paulina Szymczak, a PhD candidate in the Institute of AI for Health at Helmholtz Munich, Neuherberg, Germany.

“There are variations of that theme,” said Eefjan Breukink, PhD, professor of microbial membranes and antibiotics at Utrecht University in the Netherlands. “And then it depends on the sequence of the particular peptide,” as some can cross the cell membrane and damage the bacterium internally.

Szymczak explained that AMPs can, in this way, target the cell DNA, as both the membrane and the DNA are negatively charged. “That’s also what makes them so powerful because they don’t have just one mechanism of action, as opposed to conventional antibiotics.” 

 

Indiscriminate Killers

But they also have another crucial function. They activate the innate immune system via so-called resident immune cells that are “sitting in the tissues and waiting for bacteria to turn up,” explained Franzyk.

“The problem with antibodies is that they typically need to replicate,” he continued, which takes between 4 and 7 days — a timeline that is much better suited to tackling a viral infection. Bacteria, on the other hand, have a replication cycle of just 30 minutes.

Another big problem is that AMPs kill cells indiscriminately, including our own.

“But the human body is clever in that it only produces these antimicrobial peptides where the bacteria are, so they are not circulating in the blood,” said Franzyk. If a small part of tissue becomes infected, the innate immune cells start producing AMPs, which may kill the bacteria, or call on other immune cells to help.

As part of this process, “they will also kill part of our own tissue, but that’s the price we have to pay,” he said.

 

Local Applications

It is this aspect that has, so far, limited the use of AMPs in clinical practice, certainly as a replacement for conventional antibiotics limited by bacterial resistance. The trials conducted so far have been, by and large, negative, which has dampened enthusiasm and led to the perception that the risk they pose is too great for large-scale investment.

AMPs “are not made for what we need from antibiotics in the first place,” explained Sahl. “That is, a nice, easy distribution in the body, going into abscesses” and throughout the tissues.

He continued that AMPs are “more about controlling the flora in our bodies,” and they are “really not made for being used systemically.” 

Szymczak and colleagues are now working on designing active peptides with a strong antibacterial profile but limited toxicity for systematic use.

However, the “downside with these peptides is that they are not orally available, so you can’t take a pill,” Breukink said, but instead they need to be administered intravenously.

There are, nevertheless, some antibiotics in clinical use that have the same molecular features as AMPs. These include colistin, a last-resort treatment for multidrug-resistant gram-negative bacteria, and daptomycin, which is used in the treatment of systemic infections caused by gram-positive species.

Szymczak added that there have been successes in using AMPs in a more targeted way, such as using a topical cream. Another potentially promising avenue is lung infections, which are being studied in mouse models.

 

Less Prone to Resistance

Crucially, AMPs are markedly less prone to bacterial resistance than conventional antibiotics, partly because of their typical target: the cell membrane.

“Biologically and evolutionarily, it is a very costly operation to rebuild the membrane and change its charge,” Szymczak explained. “It’s quite hard for bacteria to learn this because it’s not a single protein that you have to mutate but the whole membrane.”

This is seen in the laboratory, where it takes around five generations, or passages, for bacteria to develop resistance when grown in the presence of antibiotics, but up to 40 passages when cultured with an AMP.

The limits of the ability of AMPs to withstand the development of bacterial resistance have been tested in the real world.

Colistin has been used widely in Asia as a growth promoter, especially in pig farming. Franzyk explained that farmers have used enormous quantities of this AMP-based antibiotic, which has indeed led to the development of resistance, including contamination of meat for human consumption, leading to resistance spreading to other parts of the world.

“The bad thing about this is it’s not something each individual bacteria needs to acquire,” he said. Because resistance is stored on small, cyclic DNA called plasmids, it “can be transferred from one bacterial species to another.”

 

Novel Avenues

Franzyk suggested that AMPs could nevertheless be used in combination with, or to modify, existing antibiotics to revitalize those for which there is already bacterial resistance, or to allow antibiotics that ordinarily target only gram-positive bacteria to also treat gram-negative infections, for example.

Szymczak and her colleagues are using artificial intelligence to design novel AMP candidates. Instead of manually going through compounds and checking their activity profiles in the lab, those steps are carried out computationally “so that, in the end, you synthesize as few candidates as possible” and can proceed to a mouse model “as fast as possible.”

She personally is looking at the issue of strain-specific activity to design a compound that would target, for example, only multidrug-resistant strains. “What we can do now is something that will target everything, so a kind of last resort peptide. But we are trying to make them smarter in their targets.”

Szymczak also pointed out that cancer cells are “negatively charged, similarly to bacterial cells, as opposed to mammalian cells, which are neutral.”

“So in theory, maybe we could design something that will target cancer cells but not our host cells, and that would be extremely exciting.” However, she underlined that, first, they are trying to tackle antimicrobial resistance before looking at other spaces.

Finally, Breukink is screening for small antibacterial compounds in fungi that are around half the size of a normal peptide and more hydrophobic, meaning there is a much greater chance of them being orally available.

But “you first have to test, of course,” he said, as “if you don’t have specific targets, then you will get problems with toxicity, or other issues that you do not foresee.” 

No funding was declared. No relevant financial relationships were declared.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Melanoma: Study Addresses Impact of Indoor Tanning on Tumor Mutational Burden

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Fri, 12/13/2024 - 12:33

TOPLINE:

Indoor tanning exposure was not associated with tumor mutational burden (TMB) in patients with cutaneous melanoma, in a retrospective cohort study. Higher TMB was linked to older age, head and neck tumors, and a history of nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC).

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers conducted a retrospective cohort study at a tertiary care cancer center between 2013 and 2022.
  • A total of 617 patients (median age at diagnosis, 61 years; 62.9% men) with melanoma who had next-generation sequencing data and indoor tanning bed exposure history available were included.
  • Analysis involved multivariable modeling to evaluate the association between tanning bed use and TMB.
  • Patients’ demographics, pathologic staging, TMB, and dermatologic history, including Fitzpatrick skin type, history of exposure to ultraviolet (UV) light, indoor tanning, NMSC, atypical nevi, and blistering sunburns, were considered for the analysis.

TAKEAWAY:

  • About 22% of participants had an indoor tanning history. Indoor tanning exposure showed no association with TMB after adjustment for all possible predictors.
  • A significant association was found between TMB and age at diagnosis, primary melanoma site, and history of NMSC (P < .001 for all).
  • Patients with a history of atypical nevi demonstrated a significantly lower TMB than those without (log2 TMB, 3.89 vs 4.15; P = .01).
  • Tumors of the head and neck exhibited a significantly higher TMB than those occurring in other primary sites, while skin-localized melanomas at diagnosis showed a significantly higher TMB than node-positive or metastatic stage III or IV tumors (log2 TMB, 3.88 vs 3.48; P = .005).

IN PRACTICE:

“Despite the known association between indoor tanning and melanoma risk,” the study did not find an association between indoor tanning and melanoma TMB, which “suggests that cumulative lifetime sun exposure may be a greater primary driver of TMB than intermittent radiation during indoor tanning,” the authors of the study wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Grace B. Hanrahan, BA, of the Center for Melanoma Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, and was published online on December 11 in JAMA Dermatology.

LIMITATIONS:

The study was conducted at a tertiary referral center, potentially representing a higher-risk subset with more advanced disease than the broader population. Additionally, the retrospective collection of UV exposure history, including indoor tanning and blistering sunburns, may have introduced recall bias.

DISCLOSURES:

The authors did not disclose any funding information. No conflicts of interest were reported.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including artificial intelligence, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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TOPLINE:

Indoor tanning exposure was not associated with tumor mutational burden (TMB) in patients with cutaneous melanoma, in a retrospective cohort study. Higher TMB was linked to older age, head and neck tumors, and a history of nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC).

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers conducted a retrospective cohort study at a tertiary care cancer center between 2013 and 2022.
  • A total of 617 patients (median age at diagnosis, 61 years; 62.9% men) with melanoma who had next-generation sequencing data and indoor tanning bed exposure history available were included.
  • Analysis involved multivariable modeling to evaluate the association between tanning bed use and TMB.
  • Patients’ demographics, pathologic staging, TMB, and dermatologic history, including Fitzpatrick skin type, history of exposure to ultraviolet (UV) light, indoor tanning, NMSC, atypical nevi, and blistering sunburns, were considered for the analysis.

TAKEAWAY:

  • About 22% of participants had an indoor tanning history. Indoor tanning exposure showed no association with TMB after adjustment for all possible predictors.
  • A significant association was found between TMB and age at diagnosis, primary melanoma site, and history of NMSC (P < .001 for all).
  • Patients with a history of atypical nevi demonstrated a significantly lower TMB than those without (log2 TMB, 3.89 vs 4.15; P = .01).
  • Tumors of the head and neck exhibited a significantly higher TMB than those occurring in other primary sites, while skin-localized melanomas at diagnosis showed a significantly higher TMB than node-positive or metastatic stage III or IV tumors (log2 TMB, 3.88 vs 3.48; P = .005).

IN PRACTICE:

“Despite the known association between indoor tanning and melanoma risk,” the study did not find an association between indoor tanning and melanoma TMB, which “suggests that cumulative lifetime sun exposure may be a greater primary driver of TMB than intermittent radiation during indoor tanning,” the authors of the study wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Grace B. Hanrahan, BA, of the Center for Melanoma Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, and was published online on December 11 in JAMA Dermatology.

LIMITATIONS:

The study was conducted at a tertiary referral center, potentially representing a higher-risk subset with more advanced disease than the broader population. Additionally, the retrospective collection of UV exposure history, including indoor tanning and blistering sunburns, may have introduced recall bias.

DISCLOSURES:

The authors did not disclose any funding information. No conflicts of interest were reported.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including artificial intelligence, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Indoor tanning exposure was not associated with tumor mutational burden (TMB) in patients with cutaneous melanoma, in a retrospective cohort study. Higher TMB was linked to older age, head and neck tumors, and a history of nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC).

METHODOLOGY:

  • Researchers conducted a retrospective cohort study at a tertiary care cancer center between 2013 and 2022.
  • A total of 617 patients (median age at diagnosis, 61 years; 62.9% men) with melanoma who had next-generation sequencing data and indoor tanning bed exposure history available were included.
  • Analysis involved multivariable modeling to evaluate the association between tanning bed use and TMB.
  • Patients’ demographics, pathologic staging, TMB, and dermatologic history, including Fitzpatrick skin type, history of exposure to ultraviolet (UV) light, indoor tanning, NMSC, atypical nevi, and blistering sunburns, were considered for the analysis.

TAKEAWAY:

  • About 22% of participants had an indoor tanning history. Indoor tanning exposure showed no association with TMB after adjustment for all possible predictors.
  • A significant association was found between TMB and age at diagnosis, primary melanoma site, and history of NMSC (P < .001 for all).
  • Patients with a history of atypical nevi demonstrated a significantly lower TMB than those without (log2 TMB, 3.89 vs 4.15; P = .01).
  • Tumors of the head and neck exhibited a significantly higher TMB than those occurring in other primary sites, while skin-localized melanomas at diagnosis showed a significantly higher TMB than node-positive or metastatic stage III or IV tumors (log2 TMB, 3.88 vs 3.48; P = .005).

IN PRACTICE:

“Despite the known association between indoor tanning and melanoma risk,” the study did not find an association between indoor tanning and melanoma TMB, which “suggests that cumulative lifetime sun exposure may be a greater primary driver of TMB than intermittent radiation during indoor tanning,” the authors of the study wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Grace B. Hanrahan, BA, of the Center for Melanoma Oncology, Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, and was published online on December 11 in JAMA Dermatology.

LIMITATIONS:

The study was conducted at a tertiary referral center, potentially representing a higher-risk subset with more advanced disease than the broader population. Additionally, the retrospective collection of UV exposure history, including indoor tanning and blistering sunburns, may have introduced recall bias.

DISCLOSURES:

The authors did not disclose any funding information. No conflicts of interest were reported.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including artificial intelligence, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication. A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Early Oseltamivir Benefits Hospitalized Influenza Patients

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Fri, 12/13/2024 - 12:27

TOPLINE:

Early treatment with oseltamivir on the same day as hospital admission was associated with fewer severe clinical outcomes, such as worsening pulmonary disease, need for invasive ventilation, organ failure, and in-hospital death in adults hospitalized with influenza. 

METHODOLOGY:

  • The 2018 guidelines from the Infectious Disease Society of America recommend prompt administration of oseltamivir to hospitalized patients with suspected or confirmed influenza, regardless of the time of symptom onset; however, variations in treatment practices and circulating virus strains may affect the effectiveness of this practice guideline.
  • Researchers conducted a multicenter observational study across 24 hospitals in the United States during the 2022-2023 flu season to assess the benefits of initiating oseltamivir treatment on the same day as hospital admission for adults with acute influenza, compared with late or no treatment.
  • They included 840 adults (age, ≥ 18 years) with laboratory-confirmed influenza, of which 415 patients initiated oseltamivir on the same day as hospital admission (early treatment).
  • Among the 425 patients in the late/no treatment group, most (78%) received oseltamivir 1 day after admission, while 124 did not receive oseltamivir at all.
  • The primary outcome was the peak pulmonary disease severity level that patients experienced during hospitalization, and secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay, ICU admission, initiation of extrapulmonary organ support using vasopressors or kidney replacement therapy, and in-hospital death.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Patients in the early treatment group were less likely to experience progression and severe progression of pulmonary disease after the day of hospital admission, compared with those in the late or no treatment group (P < .001 and P = .027, respectively).
  • Patients who received early oseltamivir treatment had 40% lower peak pulmonary disease severity than those who received late or no treatment (proportional adjusted odds ratio [paOR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.49-0.72).
  • They also showed lower odds of ICU admission (aOR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.13-0.49) and use of acute kidney replacement therapy or vasopressors (aOR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.22-0.67).
  • Those in the early treatment group also had a shorter hospital length of stay (median, 4 days vs 4 days) and faced a 64% lower risk for in-hospital mortality (aOR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.19-0.69) compared with those in the late or no treatment group.

IN PRACTICE:

“These findings support current recommendations, such as the IDSA [Infectious Disease Society of America] Influenza Clinical Practice Guidelines and CDC [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] guidance, to initiate oseltamivir treatment as soon as possible for adult patients hospitalized with influenza,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Nathaniel M. Lewis, PhD, Influenza Division, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia, and was published online  in Clinical Infectious Diseases.

LIMITATIONS:

This study may not be generalizable to seasons when influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 or B viruses are predominant as it was conducted during an influenza A(H3N2) virus–predominant season. The study lacked sufficient power to examine various oseltamivir treatment initiation timepoints or identify a potential maximum time-to-treatment threshold for effectiveness. Moreover, variables such as outpatient antiviral treatment before hospital admission and other treatments using macrolides, statins, corticosteroids, or immunomodulators before or during hospitalization were not collected, which may have influenced the study findings.

DISCLOSURES:

The study received funding from the CDC and the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. Some authors reported receiving research support, consulting fees, funding, grants, or fees for participation in an advisory board and having other ties with certain institutions and pharmaceutical companies.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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TOPLINE:

Early treatment with oseltamivir on the same day as hospital admission was associated with fewer severe clinical outcomes, such as worsening pulmonary disease, need for invasive ventilation, organ failure, and in-hospital death in adults hospitalized with influenza. 

METHODOLOGY:

  • The 2018 guidelines from the Infectious Disease Society of America recommend prompt administration of oseltamivir to hospitalized patients with suspected or confirmed influenza, regardless of the time of symptom onset; however, variations in treatment practices and circulating virus strains may affect the effectiveness of this practice guideline.
  • Researchers conducted a multicenter observational study across 24 hospitals in the United States during the 2022-2023 flu season to assess the benefits of initiating oseltamivir treatment on the same day as hospital admission for adults with acute influenza, compared with late or no treatment.
  • They included 840 adults (age, ≥ 18 years) with laboratory-confirmed influenza, of which 415 patients initiated oseltamivir on the same day as hospital admission (early treatment).
  • Among the 425 patients in the late/no treatment group, most (78%) received oseltamivir 1 day after admission, while 124 did not receive oseltamivir at all.
  • The primary outcome was the peak pulmonary disease severity level that patients experienced during hospitalization, and secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay, ICU admission, initiation of extrapulmonary organ support using vasopressors or kidney replacement therapy, and in-hospital death.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Patients in the early treatment group were less likely to experience progression and severe progression of pulmonary disease after the day of hospital admission, compared with those in the late or no treatment group (P < .001 and P = .027, respectively).
  • Patients who received early oseltamivir treatment had 40% lower peak pulmonary disease severity than those who received late or no treatment (proportional adjusted odds ratio [paOR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.49-0.72).
  • They also showed lower odds of ICU admission (aOR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.13-0.49) and use of acute kidney replacement therapy or vasopressors (aOR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.22-0.67).
  • Those in the early treatment group also had a shorter hospital length of stay (median, 4 days vs 4 days) and faced a 64% lower risk for in-hospital mortality (aOR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.19-0.69) compared with those in the late or no treatment group.

IN PRACTICE:

“These findings support current recommendations, such as the IDSA [Infectious Disease Society of America] Influenza Clinical Practice Guidelines and CDC [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] guidance, to initiate oseltamivir treatment as soon as possible for adult patients hospitalized with influenza,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Nathaniel M. Lewis, PhD, Influenza Division, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia, and was published online  in Clinical Infectious Diseases.

LIMITATIONS:

This study may not be generalizable to seasons when influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 or B viruses are predominant as it was conducted during an influenza A(H3N2) virus–predominant season. The study lacked sufficient power to examine various oseltamivir treatment initiation timepoints or identify a potential maximum time-to-treatment threshold for effectiveness. Moreover, variables such as outpatient antiviral treatment before hospital admission and other treatments using macrolides, statins, corticosteroids, or immunomodulators before or during hospitalization were not collected, which may have influenced the study findings.

DISCLOSURES:

The study received funding from the CDC and the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. Some authors reported receiving research support, consulting fees, funding, grants, or fees for participation in an advisory board and having other ties with certain institutions and pharmaceutical companies.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

TOPLINE:

Early treatment with oseltamivir on the same day as hospital admission was associated with fewer severe clinical outcomes, such as worsening pulmonary disease, need for invasive ventilation, organ failure, and in-hospital death in adults hospitalized with influenza. 

METHODOLOGY:

  • The 2018 guidelines from the Infectious Disease Society of America recommend prompt administration of oseltamivir to hospitalized patients with suspected or confirmed influenza, regardless of the time of symptom onset; however, variations in treatment practices and circulating virus strains may affect the effectiveness of this practice guideline.
  • Researchers conducted a multicenter observational study across 24 hospitals in the United States during the 2022-2023 flu season to assess the benefits of initiating oseltamivir treatment on the same day as hospital admission for adults with acute influenza, compared with late or no treatment.
  • They included 840 adults (age, ≥ 18 years) with laboratory-confirmed influenza, of which 415 patients initiated oseltamivir on the same day as hospital admission (early treatment).
  • Among the 425 patients in the late/no treatment group, most (78%) received oseltamivir 1 day after admission, while 124 did not receive oseltamivir at all.
  • The primary outcome was the peak pulmonary disease severity level that patients experienced during hospitalization, and secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay, ICU admission, initiation of extrapulmonary organ support using vasopressors or kidney replacement therapy, and in-hospital death.

TAKEAWAY:

  • Patients in the early treatment group were less likely to experience progression and severe progression of pulmonary disease after the day of hospital admission, compared with those in the late or no treatment group (P < .001 and P = .027, respectively).
  • Patients who received early oseltamivir treatment had 40% lower peak pulmonary disease severity than those who received late or no treatment (proportional adjusted odds ratio [paOR], 0.60; 95% CI, 0.49-0.72).
  • They also showed lower odds of ICU admission (aOR, 0.25; 95% CI, 0.13-0.49) and use of acute kidney replacement therapy or vasopressors (aOR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.22-0.67).
  • Those in the early treatment group also had a shorter hospital length of stay (median, 4 days vs 4 days) and faced a 64% lower risk for in-hospital mortality (aOR, 0.36; 95% CI, 0.19-0.69) compared with those in the late or no treatment group.

IN PRACTICE:

“These findings support current recommendations, such as the IDSA [Infectious Disease Society of America] Influenza Clinical Practice Guidelines and CDC [Centers for Disease Control and Prevention] guidance, to initiate oseltamivir treatment as soon as possible for adult patients hospitalized with influenza,” the authors wrote.

SOURCE:

The study was led by Nathaniel M. Lewis, PhD, Influenza Division, CDC, Atlanta, Georgia, and was published online  in Clinical Infectious Diseases.

LIMITATIONS:

This study may not be generalizable to seasons when influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 or B viruses are predominant as it was conducted during an influenza A(H3N2) virus–predominant season. The study lacked sufficient power to examine various oseltamivir treatment initiation timepoints or identify a potential maximum time-to-treatment threshold for effectiveness. Moreover, variables such as outpatient antiviral treatment before hospital admission and other treatments using macrolides, statins, corticosteroids, or immunomodulators before or during hospitalization were not collected, which may have influenced the study findings.

DISCLOSURES:

The study received funding from the CDC and the National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. Some authors reported receiving research support, consulting fees, funding, grants, or fees for participation in an advisory board and having other ties with certain institutions and pharmaceutical companies.

This article was created using several editorial tools, including AI, as part of the process. Human editors reviewed this content before publication.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Your Guide to COVID Vaccines for 2024-2025

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The updated COVID vaccines for 2024-2025 are officially here, designed to target the latest variants and offer robust protection — but getting Americans to roll up their sleeves could prove harder than ever. With COVID cases on the decline, many people feel the urgency has passed.

As of December 2, the CDC reports that COVID test positivity remains low, rising slightly to 4.5% for the week ending November 23, compared with 4.2% the previous week. That’s a far cry from the early days of 2022, when positivity rates soared above 30%. Emergency room visits for COVID now make up just 0.5%, and deaths are down to 0.8% of total weekly fatalities, compared to 1% the previous week.

This steady improvement in the numbers may explain why a recent Pew Research Center survey revealed that 6 in 10 US adults have no plans to get the updated vaccine this year.

As of December 2, according to the CDC, just 19.7% of the US adult population and 9.4% of children had gotten the updated vaccine. The age group most likely? Adults ages 65 and older, with 41.6% getting the updated shot.

Despite the good news about declining cases, our pandemic history suggests a pre-holiday increase is likely. On November 20, the CDC warned it expects levels of both COVID and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) to rise in the coming weeks — the familiar post-Thanksgiving, pre-Christmas, and Hanukkah increase.

Here’s what to know about the 2024-2025 vaccines — what’s available, how the updated versions are tested, how well each protects you, side effects and other safety information, the best time to get them, and where.



 

What’s Available?

Three updated vaccines, which work two different ways, are authorized or licensed by the FDA for the 2024-2025 season:

Novavax. A protein subunit vaccine, Novavax is authorized for emergency use by the FDA in people ages 12 and older. The vaccine makes a protein that mimics the SARS-CoV-2 virus’ version of the spike protein and combines it with an adjuvant or “booster” to stimulate a protective immune response. This year’s version targets the JN.1 variant.

Pfizer/BioNTech. Its Comirnaty is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. Its mechanism of action is by messenger RNA (mRNA). It works by instructing cells to produce viral proteins, triggering an immune response. Pfizer’s COVID vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

Moderna. Its Spikevax is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. It is also an mRNA vaccine. Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

 

How Effective Are They?

Before being approved for this year’s use, each company had to show its updated vaccine is effective against the currently circulating variants. For the 2 weeks ending November 23, KP.3.1.1 and XEC, from the Omicron lineage, made up the majority of cases, according to CDC data.

How do the vaccine makers know their updated vaccines are targeting the circulating variants? The companies use “pre-clinical” data, which means the updated versions have not yet been tested in people but in other ways, such as animal studies. But they do have to prove to the FDA that their updated vaccine can neutralize the circulating variants.

Companies continue to monitor their updated vaccines as new variants appear. Later in the season, there will be more specific information about how well each vaccine protects in people after tracking real-world data.

 

What About Side Effects?

The CDC lists comparable side effects for both mRNA and protein COVID vaccines, including pain and soreness from the needle, fatigue, headache, muscle pain joint pain, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting.

Severe allergic reactions are rare, the CDC says, but cautions to be alert for low blood pressure, swelling of the lips, tongue, or throat, or difficulty breathing.

 

Which One Is Best?

“I consider the three currently available COVID vaccines — Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax — interchangeable,’’ said Scott Roberts, MD, an infectious diseases specialist and assistant professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut. “There have not been head-to-head studies, and the initial vaccine studies for each were performed at different phases of the pandemic, so we do not have great data to guide which one is better than another.”

He does point out the different mechanisms of action, which may make a difference in people’s choice of vaccines. “So if someone has a reaction to one of them, they can switch to a different brand.”

 

Best Time to Get It?

“We have consistently seen COVID rates rise quite significantly in the winter season, especially around the holidays. So if anyone is on the fence and hasn’t gotten the updated vaccine yet, now is a great time to get it to maximize immunity for the holidays,” he said.

What’s next? In late October, the CDC recommended a second dose of the 2024-2025 vaccine 6 months after the first one for those age 65 and above and those 6 months old and older who are moderately or severely immunocompromised.

Now, while it’s tempting to think rates are down and will continue to drop steadily, Roberts reminds people that pandemic history suggests otherwise.

 

Coverage

Most people can get COVID-19 vaccines at no cost through their private health insurance, Medicaid, or Medicare. For the uninsured, there’s also the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program or access through state and local health departments and some health centers. Find details on the CDC website.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.

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The updated COVID vaccines for 2024-2025 are officially here, designed to target the latest variants and offer robust protection — but getting Americans to roll up their sleeves could prove harder than ever. With COVID cases on the decline, many people feel the urgency has passed.

As of December 2, the CDC reports that COVID test positivity remains low, rising slightly to 4.5% for the week ending November 23, compared with 4.2% the previous week. That’s a far cry from the early days of 2022, when positivity rates soared above 30%. Emergency room visits for COVID now make up just 0.5%, and deaths are down to 0.8% of total weekly fatalities, compared to 1% the previous week.

This steady improvement in the numbers may explain why a recent Pew Research Center survey revealed that 6 in 10 US adults have no plans to get the updated vaccine this year.

As of December 2, according to the CDC, just 19.7% of the US adult population and 9.4% of children had gotten the updated vaccine. The age group most likely? Adults ages 65 and older, with 41.6% getting the updated shot.

Despite the good news about declining cases, our pandemic history suggests a pre-holiday increase is likely. On November 20, the CDC warned it expects levels of both COVID and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) to rise in the coming weeks — the familiar post-Thanksgiving, pre-Christmas, and Hanukkah increase.

Here’s what to know about the 2024-2025 vaccines — what’s available, how the updated versions are tested, how well each protects you, side effects and other safety information, the best time to get them, and where.



 

What’s Available?

Three updated vaccines, which work two different ways, are authorized or licensed by the FDA for the 2024-2025 season:

Novavax. A protein subunit vaccine, Novavax is authorized for emergency use by the FDA in people ages 12 and older. The vaccine makes a protein that mimics the SARS-CoV-2 virus’ version of the spike protein and combines it with an adjuvant or “booster” to stimulate a protective immune response. This year’s version targets the JN.1 variant.

Pfizer/BioNTech. Its Comirnaty is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. Its mechanism of action is by messenger RNA (mRNA). It works by instructing cells to produce viral proteins, triggering an immune response. Pfizer’s COVID vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

Moderna. Its Spikevax is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. It is also an mRNA vaccine. Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

 

How Effective Are They?

Before being approved for this year’s use, each company had to show its updated vaccine is effective against the currently circulating variants. For the 2 weeks ending November 23, KP.3.1.1 and XEC, from the Omicron lineage, made up the majority of cases, according to CDC data.

How do the vaccine makers know their updated vaccines are targeting the circulating variants? The companies use “pre-clinical” data, which means the updated versions have not yet been tested in people but in other ways, such as animal studies. But they do have to prove to the FDA that their updated vaccine can neutralize the circulating variants.

Companies continue to monitor their updated vaccines as new variants appear. Later in the season, there will be more specific information about how well each vaccine protects in people after tracking real-world data.

 

What About Side Effects?

The CDC lists comparable side effects for both mRNA and protein COVID vaccines, including pain and soreness from the needle, fatigue, headache, muscle pain joint pain, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting.

Severe allergic reactions are rare, the CDC says, but cautions to be alert for low blood pressure, swelling of the lips, tongue, or throat, or difficulty breathing.

 

Which One Is Best?

“I consider the three currently available COVID vaccines — Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax — interchangeable,’’ said Scott Roberts, MD, an infectious diseases specialist and assistant professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut. “There have not been head-to-head studies, and the initial vaccine studies for each were performed at different phases of the pandemic, so we do not have great data to guide which one is better than another.”

He does point out the different mechanisms of action, which may make a difference in people’s choice of vaccines. “So if someone has a reaction to one of them, they can switch to a different brand.”

 

Best Time to Get It?

“We have consistently seen COVID rates rise quite significantly in the winter season, especially around the holidays. So if anyone is on the fence and hasn’t gotten the updated vaccine yet, now is a great time to get it to maximize immunity for the holidays,” he said.

What’s next? In late October, the CDC recommended a second dose of the 2024-2025 vaccine 6 months after the first one for those age 65 and above and those 6 months old and older who are moderately or severely immunocompromised.

Now, while it’s tempting to think rates are down and will continue to drop steadily, Roberts reminds people that pandemic history suggests otherwise.

 

Coverage

Most people can get COVID-19 vaccines at no cost through their private health insurance, Medicaid, or Medicare. For the uninsured, there’s also the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program or access through state and local health departments and some health centers. Find details on the CDC website.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.

The updated COVID vaccines for 2024-2025 are officially here, designed to target the latest variants and offer robust protection — but getting Americans to roll up their sleeves could prove harder than ever. With COVID cases on the decline, many people feel the urgency has passed.

As of December 2, the CDC reports that COVID test positivity remains low, rising slightly to 4.5% for the week ending November 23, compared with 4.2% the previous week. That’s a far cry from the early days of 2022, when positivity rates soared above 30%. Emergency room visits for COVID now make up just 0.5%, and deaths are down to 0.8% of total weekly fatalities, compared to 1% the previous week.

This steady improvement in the numbers may explain why a recent Pew Research Center survey revealed that 6 in 10 US adults have no plans to get the updated vaccine this year.

As of December 2, according to the CDC, just 19.7% of the US adult population and 9.4% of children had gotten the updated vaccine. The age group most likely? Adults ages 65 and older, with 41.6% getting the updated shot.

Despite the good news about declining cases, our pandemic history suggests a pre-holiday increase is likely. On November 20, the CDC warned it expects levels of both COVID and RSV (respiratory syncytial virus) to rise in the coming weeks — the familiar post-Thanksgiving, pre-Christmas, and Hanukkah increase.

Here’s what to know about the 2024-2025 vaccines — what’s available, how the updated versions are tested, how well each protects you, side effects and other safety information, the best time to get them, and where.



 

What’s Available?

Three updated vaccines, which work two different ways, are authorized or licensed by the FDA for the 2024-2025 season:

Novavax. A protein subunit vaccine, Novavax is authorized for emergency use by the FDA in people ages 12 and older. The vaccine makes a protein that mimics the SARS-CoV-2 virus’ version of the spike protein and combines it with an adjuvant or “booster” to stimulate a protective immune response. This year’s version targets the JN.1 variant.

Pfizer/BioNTech. Its Comirnaty is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. Its mechanism of action is by messenger RNA (mRNA). It works by instructing cells to produce viral proteins, triggering an immune response. Pfizer’s COVID vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

Moderna. Its Spikevax is a fully licensed vaccine for people ages 12 and older. It is also an mRNA vaccine. Moderna’s COVID-19 vaccine is authorized for emergency use in children ages 6 months to 11 years. This year’s version targets KP.2.

 

How Effective Are They?

Before being approved for this year’s use, each company had to show its updated vaccine is effective against the currently circulating variants. For the 2 weeks ending November 23, KP.3.1.1 and XEC, from the Omicron lineage, made up the majority of cases, according to CDC data.

How do the vaccine makers know their updated vaccines are targeting the circulating variants? The companies use “pre-clinical” data, which means the updated versions have not yet been tested in people but in other ways, such as animal studies. But they do have to prove to the FDA that their updated vaccine can neutralize the circulating variants.

Companies continue to monitor their updated vaccines as new variants appear. Later in the season, there will be more specific information about how well each vaccine protects in people after tracking real-world data.

 

What About Side Effects?

The CDC lists comparable side effects for both mRNA and protein COVID vaccines, including pain and soreness from the needle, fatigue, headache, muscle pain joint pain, chills, fever, nausea, and vomiting.

Severe allergic reactions are rare, the CDC says, but cautions to be alert for low blood pressure, swelling of the lips, tongue, or throat, or difficulty breathing.

 

Which One Is Best?

“I consider the three currently available COVID vaccines — Pfizer, Moderna, and Novavax — interchangeable,’’ said Scott Roberts, MD, an infectious diseases specialist and assistant professor of medicine at Yale School of Medicine in New Haven, Connecticut. “There have not been head-to-head studies, and the initial vaccine studies for each were performed at different phases of the pandemic, so we do not have great data to guide which one is better than another.”

He does point out the different mechanisms of action, which may make a difference in people’s choice of vaccines. “So if someone has a reaction to one of them, they can switch to a different brand.”

 

Best Time to Get It?

“We have consistently seen COVID rates rise quite significantly in the winter season, especially around the holidays. So if anyone is on the fence and hasn’t gotten the updated vaccine yet, now is a great time to get it to maximize immunity for the holidays,” he said.

What’s next? In late October, the CDC recommended a second dose of the 2024-2025 vaccine 6 months after the first one for those age 65 and above and those 6 months old and older who are moderately or severely immunocompromised.

Now, while it’s tempting to think rates are down and will continue to drop steadily, Roberts reminds people that pandemic history suggests otherwise.

 

Coverage

Most people can get COVID-19 vaccines at no cost through their private health insurance, Medicaid, or Medicare. For the uninsured, there’s also the Vaccines for Children (VFC) program or access through state and local health departments and some health centers. Find details on the CDC website.

A version of this article first appeared on WebMD.

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Malpractice in the Age of AI

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Instead of sitting behind a laptop during patient visits, the pediatrician directly faces the patient and parent, relying on an ambient artificial intelligence (AI) scribe to capture the conversation for the electronic health record (EHR). A geriatrician doing rounds at the senior living facility plugs each patient’s medications into an AI tool, checking for drug interactions. And a busy hospital radiology department runs all its emergency head CTs through an AI algorithm, triaging potential stroke patients to ensure they receive the highest priority. None of these physicians have been sued for malpractice for AI usage, but they wonder if they’re at risk.

In a recent Medscape report, AI Adoption in Healthcare, 224 physicians responded to the statement: “I want to do more with AI but I worry about malpractice risk if I move too fast.” Seventeen percent said that they strongly agreed while 23% said they agreed — a full 40% were concerned about using the technology for legal reasons.  

Malpractice and AI are on many minds in healthcare, especially in large health systems, Deepika Srivastava, chief operating officer at The Doctors Company, told this news organization. “AI is at the forefront of the conversation, and they’re [large health systems] raising questions. Larger systems want to protect themselves.” 

The good news is there’s currently no sign of legal action over the clinical use of AI. “We’re not seeing even a few AI-related suits just yet,” but the risk is growing, Srivastava said, “and that’s why we’re talking about it. The legal system will need to adapt to address the role of AI in healthcare.”

 

How Doctors Are Using AI

Healthcare is incorporating AI in multiple ways based on the type of tool and function needed. Narrow AI is popular in fields like radiology, comparing two large data sets to find differences between them. Narrow AI can help differentiate between normal and abnormal tissue, such as breast or lung tumors. Almost 900 AI health tools have Food and Drug Administration approval as of July 2024, discerning abnormalities and recognizing patterns better than many humans, said Robert Pearl, MD, author of ChatGPT, MD: How AI-Empowered Patients & Doctors Can Take Back Control of American Medicine and former CEO of The Permanente Medical Group.

Narrow AI can improve diagnostic speed and accuracy for other specialties, too, including dermatology and ophthalmology, Pearl said. “It’s less clear to me if it will be very beneficial in primary care, neurology, and psychiatry, areas of medicine that involve a lot of words.” In those specialties, some may use generative AI as a repository of resources. In clinical practice, ambient AI is also used to create health records based on patient/clinician conversations.

In clinical administration, AI is used for scheduling, billing, and submitting insurance claims. On the insurer side, denying claims based on AI algorithms has been at the heart of legal actions, making recent headlines. 

 

Malpractice Risks When Using AI

Accuracy and privacy should be at the top of the list for malpractice concerns with AI. With accuracy, liability could partially be determined by use type. If a diagnostic application makes the wrong diagnosis, “the company has legal accountability because it created and had to test it specific to the application that it’s being recommended for,” Pearl said. 

However, keeping a human in the loop is a smart move when using AI diagnostic tools. The physician should still choose the AI-suggested diagnosis or a different one. If it’s the wrong diagnosis, “it’s really hard to currently say where is the source of the error? Was it the physician? Was it the tool?” Srivastava added.

With an incorrect diagnosis by generative AI, liability is more apparent. “You’re taking that accountability,” Pearl said. Generative AI operates in a black box, predicting the correct answer based on information stored in a database. “Generative AI tries to draw a correlation between what it has seen and predicting the next output,” said Alex Shahrestani, managing partner of Promise Legal PLLC, a law firm in Austin, Texas. He serves on the State Bar of Texas’s Taskforce on AI and the Law and has participated in advisory groups related to AI policies with the National Institute of Standards and Technology. “A doctor should know to validate information given back to them by AI,” applying their own medical training and judgment.

Generative AI can provide ideas. Pearl shared a story about a surgeon who was unable to remove a breathing tube that was stuck in a patients’ throat at the end of a procedure. The surgeon checked ChatGPT in the operating room, finding a similar case. Adrenaline in the anesthetic restricted the blood vessels, causing the vocal cords to stick together. Following the AI information, the surgeon allowed more time for the anesthesia to diffuse. As it wore off, the vocal cords separated, easing the removal of the breathing tube. “That is the kind of expertise it can provide,” Pearl said.

Privacy is a common AI concern, but it may be more problematic than it should be. “Many think if you talk to an AI system, you’re surrendering personal information the model can learn from,” said Shahrestani. Platforms offer opt-outs. Even without opting out, the model won’t automatically ingest your interactions. That’s not a privacy feature, but a concern by the developer that the information may not help the model. 

“If you do use these opt-out mechanisms, and you have the requisite amount of confidentiality, you can use ChatGPT without too much concern about the patient information being released into the wild,” Shahrestani said. Or use systems with stricter requirements that keep all data on site.

 

Malpractice Insurance Policies and AI

Currently, malpractice policies do not specify AI coverage. “We don’t ask right now to list all the technology you’re using,” said Srivastava. Many EHR systems already incorporate AI. If a human provider is in the loop, already vetted and insured, “we should be okay when it comes to the risk of malpractice when doctors are using AI because it’s still the risk that we’re ensuring.”

Insurers are paying attention, though. “Traditional medical malpractice law does require re-evaluation because the rapid pace of AI development has outpaced the efforts to integrate it into the legal system,” Srivastava said.

Some, including Pearl, believe AI will actually lower the malpractice risk. Having more data points to consider can make doctors’ jobs faster, easier, and more accurate. “I believe the technology will decrease lawsuits, not increase them,” said Pearl.

 

Meanwhile, How Can Doctors Protect Themselves From an AI Malpractice Suit?

Know your tool: Providers should understand the tool they’re deploying, what it provides, how it was built and trained (including potential biases), how it was tested, and the guidelines for how to use it or not use it, said Srivastava. Evaluate each tool, use case, and risk separately. “Don’t just say it’s all AI.” 

With generative AI, users will have better success requesting information that has been available longer and is more widely accessed. “It’s more likely to come back correctly,” said Shahrestani. If the information sought is fairly new or not widespread, the tool may try to draw problematic conclusions. 

Document: “Document, document, document. Just making sure you have good documentation can really help you if litigation comes up and it’s related to the AI tools,” Srivastava said.

Try it out: “I recommend you use [generative AI] a lot so you understand its strengths and shortcomings,” said Shahrestani. “If you wait until things settle, you’ll be further behind.” 

Pretend you’re the patient and give the tool the information you’d give a doctor and see the results, said Pearl. It will provide you with an idea of what it can do. “No one would sue you because you went to the library to look up information in the textbooks,” he said — using generative AI is similar. Try the free versions first; if you begin relying on it more, the paid versions have better features and are inexpensive. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Instead of sitting behind a laptop during patient visits, the pediatrician directly faces the patient and parent, relying on an ambient artificial intelligence (AI) scribe to capture the conversation for the electronic health record (EHR). A geriatrician doing rounds at the senior living facility plugs each patient’s medications into an AI tool, checking for drug interactions. And a busy hospital radiology department runs all its emergency head CTs through an AI algorithm, triaging potential stroke patients to ensure they receive the highest priority. None of these physicians have been sued for malpractice for AI usage, but they wonder if they’re at risk.

In a recent Medscape report, AI Adoption in Healthcare, 224 physicians responded to the statement: “I want to do more with AI but I worry about malpractice risk if I move too fast.” Seventeen percent said that they strongly agreed while 23% said they agreed — a full 40% were concerned about using the technology for legal reasons.  

Malpractice and AI are on many minds in healthcare, especially in large health systems, Deepika Srivastava, chief operating officer at The Doctors Company, told this news organization. “AI is at the forefront of the conversation, and they’re [large health systems] raising questions. Larger systems want to protect themselves.” 

The good news is there’s currently no sign of legal action over the clinical use of AI. “We’re not seeing even a few AI-related suits just yet,” but the risk is growing, Srivastava said, “and that’s why we’re talking about it. The legal system will need to adapt to address the role of AI in healthcare.”

 

How Doctors Are Using AI

Healthcare is incorporating AI in multiple ways based on the type of tool and function needed. Narrow AI is popular in fields like radiology, comparing two large data sets to find differences between them. Narrow AI can help differentiate between normal and abnormal tissue, such as breast or lung tumors. Almost 900 AI health tools have Food and Drug Administration approval as of July 2024, discerning abnormalities and recognizing patterns better than many humans, said Robert Pearl, MD, author of ChatGPT, MD: How AI-Empowered Patients & Doctors Can Take Back Control of American Medicine and former CEO of The Permanente Medical Group.

Narrow AI can improve diagnostic speed and accuracy for other specialties, too, including dermatology and ophthalmology, Pearl said. “It’s less clear to me if it will be very beneficial in primary care, neurology, and psychiatry, areas of medicine that involve a lot of words.” In those specialties, some may use generative AI as a repository of resources. In clinical practice, ambient AI is also used to create health records based on patient/clinician conversations.

In clinical administration, AI is used for scheduling, billing, and submitting insurance claims. On the insurer side, denying claims based on AI algorithms has been at the heart of legal actions, making recent headlines. 

 

Malpractice Risks When Using AI

Accuracy and privacy should be at the top of the list for malpractice concerns with AI. With accuracy, liability could partially be determined by use type. If a diagnostic application makes the wrong diagnosis, “the company has legal accountability because it created and had to test it specific to the application that it’s being recommended for,” Pearl said. 

However, keeping a human in the loop is a smart move when using AI diagnostic tools. The physician should still choose the AI-suggested diagnosis or a different one. If it’s the wrong diagnosis, “it’s really hard to currently say where is the source of the error? Was it the physician? Was it the tool?” Srivastava added.

With an incorrect diagnosis by generative AI, liability is more apparent. “You’re taking that accountability,” Pearl said. Generative AI operates in a black box, predicting the correct answer based on information stored in a database. “Generative AI tries to draw a correlation between what it has seen and predicting the next output,” said Alex Shahrestani, managing partner of Promise Legal PLLC, a law firm in Austin, Texas. He serves on the State Bar of Texas’s Taskforce on AI and the Law and has participated in advisory groups related to AI policies with the National Institute of Standards and Technology. “A doctor should know to validate information given back to them by AI,” applying their own medical training and judgment.

Generative AI can provide ideas. Pearl shared a story about a surgeon who was unable to remove a breathing tube that was stuck in a patients’ throat at the end of a procedure. The surgeon checked ChatGPT in the operating room, finding a similar case. Adrenaline in the anesthetic restricted the blood vessels, causing the vocal cords to stick together. Following the AI information, the surgeon allowed more time for the anesthesia to diffuse. As it wore off, the vocal cords separated, easing the removal of the breathing tube. “That is the kind of expertise it can provide,” Pearl said.

Privacy is a common AI concern, but it may be more problematic than it should be. “Many think if you talk to an AI system, you’re surrendering personal information the model can learn from,” said Shahrestani. Platforms offer opt-outs. Even without opting out, the model won’t automatically ingest your interactions. That’s not a privacy feature, but a concern by the developer that the information may not help the model. 

“If you do use these opt-out mechanisms, and you have the requisite amount of confidentiality, you can use ChatGPT without too much concern about the patient information being released into the wild,” Shahrestani said. Or use systems with stricter requirements that keep all data on site.

 

Malpractice Insurance Policies and AI

Currently, malpractice policies do not specify AI coverage. “We don’t ask right now to list all the technology you’re using,” said Srivastava. Many EHR systems already incorporate AI. If a human provider is in the loop, already vetted and insured, “we should be okay when it comes to the risk of malpractice when doctors are using AI because it’s still the risk that we’re ensuring.”

Insurers are paying attention, though. “Traditional medical malpractice law does require re-evaluation because the rapid pace of AI development has outpaced the efforts to integrate it into the legal system,” Srivastava said.

Some, including Pearl, believe AI will actually lower the malpractice risk. Having more data points to consider can make doctors’ jobs faster, easier, and more accurate. “I believe the technology will decrease lawsuits, not increase them,” said Pearl.

 

Meanwhile, How Can Doctors Protect Themselves From an AI Malpractice Suit?

Know your tool: Providers should understand the tool they’re deploying, what it provides, how it was built and trained (including potential biases), how it was tested, and the guidelines for how to use it or not use it, said Srivastava. Evaluate each tool, use case, and risk separately. “Don’t just say it’s all AI.” 

With generative AI, users will have better success requesting information that has been available longer and is more widely accessed. “It’s more likely to come back correctly,” said Shahrestani. If the information sought is fairly new or not widespread, the tool may try to draw problematic conclusions. 

Document: “Document, document, document. Just making sure you have good documentation can really help you if litigation comes up and it’s related to the AI tools,” Srivastava said.

Try it out: “I recommend you use [generative AI] a lot so you understand its strengths and shortcomings,” said Shahrestani. “If you wait until things settle, you’ll be further behind.” 

Pretend you’re the patient and give the tool the information you’d give a doctor and see the results, said Pearl. It will provide you with an idea of what it can do. “No one would sue you because you went to the library to look up information in the textbooks,” he said — using generative AI is similar. Try the free versions first; if you begin relying on it more, the paid versions have better features and are inexpensive. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Instead of sitting behind a laptop during patient visits, the pediatrician directly faces the patient and parent, relying on an ambient artificial intelligence (AI) scribe to capture the conversation for the electronic health record (EHR). A geriatrician doing rounds at the senior living facility plugs each patient’s medications into an AI tool, checking for drug interactions. And a busy hospital radiology department runs all its emergency head CTs through an AI algorithm, triaging potential stroke patients to ensure they receive the highest priority. None of these physicians have been sued for malpractice for AI usage, but they wonder if they’re at risk.

In a recent Medscape report, AI Adoption in Healthcare, 224 physicians responded to the statement: “I want to do more with AI but I worry about malpractice risk if I move too fast.” Seventeen percent said that they strongly agreed while 23% said they agreed — a full 40% were concerned about using the technology for legal reasons.  

Malpractice and AI are on many minds in healthcare, especially in large health systems, Deepika Srivastava, chief operating officer at The Doctors Company, told this news organization. “AI is at the forefront of the conversation, and they’re [large health systems] raising questions. Larger systems want to protect themselves.” 

The good news is there’s currently no sign of legal action over the clinical use of AI. “We’re not seeing even a few AI-related suits just yet,” but the risk is growing, Srivastava said, “and that’s why we’re talking about it. The legal system will need to adapt to address the role of AI in healthcare.”

 

How Doctors Are Using AI

Healthcare is incorporating AI in multiple ways based on the type of tool and function needed. Narrow AI is popular in fields like radiology, comparing two large data sets to find differences between them. Narrow AI can help differentiate between normal and abnormal tissue, such as breast or lung tumors. Almost 900 AI health tools have Food and Drug Administration approval as of July 2024, discerning abnormalities and recognizing patterns better than many humans, said Robert Pearl, MD, author of ChatGPT, MD: How AI-Empowered Patients & Doctors Can Take Back Control of American Medicine and former CEO of The Permanente Medical Group.

Narrow AI can improve diagnostic speed and accuracy for other specialties, too, including dermatology and ophthalmology, Pearl said. “It’s less clear to me if it will be very beneficial in primary care, neurology, and psychiatry, areas of medicine that involve a lot of words.” In those specialties, some may use generative AI as a repository of resources. In clinical practice, ambient AI is also used to create health records based on patient/clinician conversations.

In clinical administration, AI is used for scheduling, billing, and submitting insurance claims. On the insurer side, denying claims based on AI algorithms has been at the heart of legal actions, making recent headlines. 

 

Malpractice Risks When Using AI

Accuracy and privacy should be at the top of the list for malpractice concerns with AI. With accuracy, liability could partially be determined by use type. If a diagnostic application makes the wrong diagnosis, “the company has legal accountability because it created and had to test it specific to the application that it’s being recommended for,” Pearl said. 

However, keeping a human in the loop is a smart move when using AI diagnostic tools. The physician should still choose the AI-suggested diagnosis or a different one. If it’s the wrong diagnosis, “it’s really hard to currently say where is the source of the error? Was it the physician? Was it the tool?” Srivastava added.

With an incorrect diagnosis by generative AI, liability is more apparent. “You’re taking that accountability,” Pearl said. Generative AI operates in a black box, predicting the correct answer based on information stored in a database. “Generative AI tries to draw a correlation between what it has seen and predicting the next output,” said Alex Shahrestani, managing partner of Promise Legal PLLC, a law firm in Austin, Texas. He serves on the State Bar of Texas’s Taskforce on AI and the Law and has participated in advisory groups related to AI policies with the National Institute of Standards and Technology. “A doctor should know to validate information given back to them by AI,” applying their own medical training and judgment.

Generative AI can provide ideas. Pearl shared a story about a surgeon who was unable to remove a breathing tube that was stuck in a patients’ throat at the end of a procedure. The surgeon checked ChatGPT in the operating room, finding a similar case. Adrenaline in the anesthetic restricted the blood vessels, causing the vocal cords to stick together. Following the AI information, the surgeon allowed more time for the anesthesia to diffuse. As it wore off, the vocal cords separated, easing the removal of the breathing tube. “That is the kind of expertise it can provide,” Pearl said.

Privacy is a common AI concern, but it may be more problematic than it should be. “Many think if you talk to an AI system, you’re surrendering personal information the model can learn from,” said Shahrestani. Platforms offer opt-outs. Even without opting out, the model won’t automatically ingest your interactions. That’s not a privacy feature, but a concern by the developer that the information may not help the model. 

“If you do use these opt-out mechanisms, and you have the requisite amount of confidentiality, you can use ChatGPT without too much concern about the patient information being released into the wild,” Shahrestani said. Or use systems with stricter requirements that keep all data on site.

 

Malpractice Insurance Policies and AI

Currently, malpractice policies do not specify AI coverage. “We don’t ask right now to list all the technology you’re using,” said Srivastava. Many EHR systems already incorporate AI. If a human provider is in the loop, already vetted and insured, “we should be okay when it comes to the risk of malpractice when doctors are using AI because it’s still the risk that we’re ensuring.”

Insurers are paying attention, though. “Traditional medical malpractice law does require re-evaluation because the rapid pace of AI development has outpaced the efforts to integrate it into the legal system,” Srivastava said.

Some, including Pearl, believe AI will actually lower the malpractice risk. Having more data points to consider can make doctors’ jobs faster, easier, and more accurate. “I believe the technology will decrease lawsuits, not increase them,” said Pearl.

 

Meanwhile, How Can Doctors Protect Themselves From an AI Malpractice Suit?

Know your tool: Providers should understand the tool they’re deploying, what it provides, how it was built and trained (including potential biases), how it was tested, and the guidelines for how to use it or not use it, said Srivastava. Evaluate each tool, use case, and risk separately. “Don’t just say it’s all AI.” 

With generative AI, users will have better success requesting information that has been available longer and is more widely accessed. “It’s more likely to come back correctly,” said Shahrestani. If the information sought is fairly new or not widespread, the tool may try to draw problematic conclusions. 

Document: “Document, document, document. Just making sure you have good documentation can really help you if litigation comes up and it’s related to the AI tools,” Srivastava said.

Try it out: “I recommend you use [generative AI] a lot so you understand its strengths and shortcomings,” said Shahrestani. “If you wait until things settle, you’ll be further behind.” 

Pretend you’re the patient and give the tool the information you’d give a doctor and see the results, said Pearl. It will provide you with an idea of what it can do. “No one would sue you because you went to the library to look up information in the textbooks,” he said — using generative AI is similar. Try the free versions first; if you begin relying on it more, the paid versions have better features and are inexpensive. 

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Leaded Gas Exposure Tied to 151 Million Excess Cases of Mental Illness Cases

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Childhood exposure to leaded gasoline via car exhaust over the past 75 years is linked to 151 million excess cases of psychiatric disorders in the United States, new research suggested.

The data revealed that the group most heavily exposed to lead — individuals born between 1966 and 1986, commonly known as Generation X — experienced the biggest increases in mental health issues.

Within this cohort, those born between 1966 and 1970 were affected the most. This timeline, the investigators noted, aligns with the peak use of leaded gasoline during the mid-1960s and 1970s. Specifically for this group, overall mental health issues increase by 0.35 times the average, anxiety and depression by 1.75 times, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) symptoms by 1.17 times.

“Lead exposure across the country has probably played a significant role in worsening mental health in ways that had previously been unappreciated and invisible,” study investigator Aaron Reuben, PhD, assistant professor of clinical neuropsychology at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, said in an interview.

However, the investigators emphasized that the study only establishes an association and not a causal relationship between leaded gas exposure and subsequent psychopathology.

The findings were published online on December 4 in The Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry.

 

Lead Astray?

Leaded gasoline was first used in the 1920s to stop engine knocking and improve performance. Despite early evidence of neurotoxicity its use continued until 1996 when it was banned.

The investigators noted that over half of the current US population was exposed to adverse lead levels from gasoline in childhood. However, they added the total contribution of childhood lead exposure to the population’s mental health and personality has not previously been evaluated.

For the study, the researchers combined serial, cross-sectional data on blood lead levels (BLLs) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and integrated it with historical data on gasoline usage, allowing them to estimate childhood BLLs in the United States from 1940 to 2015.

They calculated the impact of lead exposure on mental health using general psychopathology factor points, also referred to as mental illness points, which function similarly to IQ points.

These measures used were based on a prior study led by Reuben in 2019 from a New Zealand cohort and a study by a different group that followed a longitudinal birth cohort in Chicago .

Using these data, the researchers calculated population-level elevations in mental health symptoms on the basis of lead exposure and five key psychiatric outcomes in the US population.

These included general psychopathology, which reflects an individual’s overall liability to mental disorders and was scaled to match IQ scores with a mean of 100 and an SD of 15.

They also evaluated symptoms of internalizing disorders including anxiety and depression and ADHD and standardized them to a mean of 0 and an SD of 1.

The researchers also looked at differences in the personality traits of neuroticism, which relate to emotional instability and conscientiousness and reflect organization and responsibility. Both of these were assessed using similar standardized scales.

 

151 Million Excess Cases of Mental Illness

Using this approach, the researchers were able to assess the historical and long-term implications of lead exposure on mental health and personality traits in the US population over time.

Results showed that during the peak era of leaded gasoline in the United States, children were routinely exposed to lead levels three to six times higher than the current reference point for clinical concern (3.5 μg/dL of blood), the authors noted.

While the United States banned leaded gasoline in 1996, lead can still be present in water pipes, old paint, and soil. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cautions that no BLLs are safe.

The investigators found that between 1940 and 2015, the US population gained 602 million general psychopathology points, which the investigators said equates to 151 million excess instances of mental disorders that are primarily, but not completely, attributable to early life exposure to leaded gasoline.

“Assuming that published lead-psychopathology associations are causal and not purely correlational, we estimate that by 2015, the US population had gained 602 million General Psychopathology factor points because of exposure arising from leaded gasoline, reflecting a 0.13 standard deviation increase in overall liability to mental illness in the population and an estimated 151 million excess mental disorders attributable to lead exposure,” the researchers wrote.

Specific effects included a 0.64 SD increase in anxiety and depression symptoms, a 0.42 SD increase in ADHD symptoms, a 0.14 SD increase in ADHD symptoms, a 0.14 SD increase in emotional instability (neuroticism), and a 0.20 SD decrease in traits like organization and responsibility (conscientiousness).

These mental health and personality changes were not distributed evenly among the generations, most significant in those born between 1966 and 1986, the investigators reported.

For example, children between 1966 and 1970, the period when leaded gasoline use was at its peak, had BLLs > 5 μg/dL and experienced a 1.75 SD increase in internalizing symptoms and a 1.17 SD increase in ADHD symptoms.

 

Assess Lead Risk

The study had several limitations. Causality could not be established, and the accuracy of the estimates relied on findings from the researchers’ two previous key studies.

However, the investigators noted that these findings have been replicated across multiple cohorts and settings. Additionally, the results may not be fully generalizable to the entire US population, as one study was based in New Zealand and the other in urban Chicago.

Reuben cautioned that even though gasoline and new paint no longer contain lead, exposure is still possible.

“We saw this most acutely in Flint, Michigan,” when aging water pipes exposed more than 100,000 residents to high lead levels in 2014. “This situation made us aware that thousands of communities are exposed to lead service lines.”

He recommended that physicians consider screening patients for lead exposure — both new and old. Experts estimate that 90% of lead in the body is stored in the skeleton and can be released back into the bloodstream over time, particularly in cases of calcium deficiency, pregnancy, or osteoporosis.

While reversing childhood lead exposure is not possible, Reuben noted that healthy lifestyle choices and multimodal interventions such as medication and therapy can effectively address and alleviate mental illness.

 

‘Legacy of Lead’

In a comment, Terrie Moffitt, PhD, who was not involved in the research, said the study “is important because it gives us a crystal ball to see into the future of children living with lead today.”

“It’s called the ‘legacy of lead,’ and what a legacy,” said Moffitt, professor in the Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Nannerl O. Keohane University at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina.

Moffitt emphasized that children exposed to lead today often live in areas of poverty and disadvantage, making it difficult to disentangle the potential effects of lead exposure from those of childhood adversity that predispose individuals to mental illness.

“This study tells us about lead’s damage in an era when it was everywhere, not just in poor communities,” she said.

The study was funded by a fellowship from the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. Reuben and Moffitt reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Childhood exposure to leaded gasoline via car exhaust over the past 75 years is linked to 151 million excess cases of psychiatric disorders in the United States, new research suggested.

The data revealed that the group most heavily exposed to lead — individuals born between 1966 and 1986, commonly known as Generation X — experienced the biggest increases in mental health issues.

Within this cohort, those born between 1966 and 1970 were affected the most. This timeline, the investigators noted, aligns with the peak use of leaded gasoline during the mid-1960s and 1970s. Specifically for this group, overall mental health issues increase by 0.35 times the average, anxiety and depression by 1.75 times, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) symptoms by 1.17 times.

“Lead exposure across the country has probably played a significant role in worsening mental health in ways that had previously been unappreciated and invisible,” study investigator Aaron Reuben, PhD, assistant professor of clinical neuropsychology at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, said in an interview.

However, the investigators emphasized that the study only establishes an association and not a causal relationship between leaded gas exposure and subsequent psychopathology.

The findings were published online on December 4 in The Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry.

 

Lead Astray?

Leaded gasoline was first used in the 1920s to stop engine knocking and improve performance. Despite early evidence of neurotoxicity its use continued until 1996 when it was banned.

The investigators noted that over half of the current US population was exposed to adverse lead levels from gasoline in childhood. However, they added the total contribution of childhood lead exposure to the population’s mental health and personality has not previously been evaluated.

For the study, the researchers combined serial, cross-sectional data on blood lead levels (BLLs) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and integrated it with historical data on gasoline usage, allowing them to estimate childhood BLLs in the United States from 1940 to 2015.

They calculated the impact of lead exposure on mental health using general psychopathology factor points, also referred to as mental illness points, which function similarly to IQ points.

These measures used were based on a prior study led by Reuben in 2019 from a New Zealand cohort and a study by a different group that followed a longitudinal birth cohort in Chicago .

Using these data, the researchers calculated population-level elevations in mental health symptoms on the basis of lead exposure and five key psychiatric outcomes in the US population.

These included general psychopathology, which reflects an individual’s overall liability to mental disorders and was scaled to match IQ scores with a mean of 100 and an SD of 15.

They also evaluated symptoms of internalizing disorders including anxiety and depression and ADHD and standardized them to a mean of 0 and an SD of 1.

The researchers also looked at differences in the personality traits of neuroticism, which relate to emotional instability and conscientiousness and reflect organization and responsibility. Both of these were assessed using similar standardized scales.

 

151 Million Excess Cases of Mental Illness

Using this approach, the researchers were able to assess the historical and long-term implications of lead exposure on mental health and personality traits in the US population over time.

Results showed that during the peak era of leaded gasoline in the United States, children were routinely exposed to lead levels three to six times higher than the current reference point for clinical concern (3.5 μg/dL of blood), the authors noted.

While the United States banned leaded gasoline in 1996, lead can still be present in water pipes, old paint, and soil. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cautions that no BLLs are safe.

The investigators found that between 1940 and 2015, the US population gained 602 million general psychopathology points, which the investigators said equates to 151 million excess instances of mental disorders that are primarily, but not completely, attributable to early life exposure to leaded gasoline.

“Assuming that published lead-psychopathology associations are causal and not purely correlational, we estimate that by 2015, the US population had gained 602 million General Psychopathology factor points because of exposure arising from leaded gasoline, reflecting a 0.13 standard deviation increase in overall liability to mental illness in the population and an estimated 151 million excess mental disorders attributable to lead exposure,” the researchers wrote.

Specific effects included a 0.64 SD increase in anxiety and depression symptoms, a 0.42 SD increase in ADHD symptoms, a 0.14 SD increase in ADHD symptoms, a 0.14 SD increase in emotional instability (neuroticism), and a 0.20 SD decrease in traits like organization and responsibility (conscientiousness).

These mental health and personality changes were not distributed evenly among the generations, most significant in those born between 1966 and 1986, the investigators reported.

For example, children between 1966 and 1970, the period when leaded gasoline use was at its peak, had BLLs > 5 μg/dL and experienced a 1.75 SD increase in internalizing symptoms and a 1.17 SD increase in ADHD symptoms.

 

Assess Lead Risk

The study had several limitations. Causality could not be established, and the accuracy of the estimates relied on findings from the researchers’ two previous key studies.

However, the investigators noted that these findings have been replicated across multiple cohorts and settings. Additionally, the results may not be fully generalizable to the entire US population, as one study was based in New Zealand and the other in urban Chicago.

Reuben cautioned that even though gasoline and new paint no longer contain lead, exposure is still possible.

“We saw this most acutely in Flint, Michigan,” when aging water pipes exposed more than 100,000 residents to high lead levels in 2014. “This situation made us aware that thousands of communities are exposed to lead service lines.”

He recommended that physicians consider screening patients for lead exposure — both new and old. Experts estimate that 90% of lead in the body is stored in the skeleton and can be released back into the bloodstream over time, particularly in cases of calcium deficiency, pregnancy, or osteoporosis.

While reversing childhood lead exposure is not possible, Reuben noted that healthy lifestyle choices and multimodal interventions such as medication and therapy can effectively address and alleviate mental illness.

 

‘Legacy of Lead’

In a comment, Terrie Moffitt, PhD, who was not involved in the research, said the study “is important because it gives us a crystal ball to see into the future of children living with lead today.”

“It’s called the ‘legacy of lead,’ and what a legacy,” said Moffitt, professor in the Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Nannerl O. Keohane University at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina.

Moffitt emphasized that children exposed to lead today often live in areas of poverty and disadvantage, making it difficult to disentangle the potential effects of lead exposure from those of childhood adversity that predispose individuals to mental illness.

“This study tells us about lead’s damage in an era when it was everywhere, not just in poor communities,” she said.

The study was funded by a fellowship from the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. Reuben and Moffitt reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Childhood exposure to leaded gasoline via car exhaust over the past 75 years is linked to 151 million excess cases of psychiatric disorders in the United States, new research suggested.

The data revealed that the group most heavily exposed to lead — individuals born between 1966 and 1986, commonly known as Generation X — experienced the biggest increases in mental health issues.

Within this cohort, those born between 1966 and 1970 were affected the most. This timeline, the investigators noted, aligns with the peak use of leaded gasoline during the mid-1960s and 1970s. Specifically for this group, overall mental health issues increase by 0.35 times the average, anxiety and depression by 1.75 times, and attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) symptoms by 1.17 times.

“Lead exposure across the country has probably played a significant role in worsening mental health in ways that had previously been unappreciated and invisible,” study investigator Aaron Reuben, PhD, assistant professor of clinical neuropsychology at the University of Virginia, Charlottesville, said in an interview.

However, the investigators emphasized that the study only establishes an association and not a causal relationship between leaded gas exposure and subsequent psychopathology.

The findings were published online on December 4 in The Journal of Child Psychology and Psychiatry.

 

Lead Astray?

Leaded gasoline was first used in the 1920s to stop engine knocking and improve performance. Despite early evidence of neurotoxicity its use continued until 1996 when it was banned.

The investigators noted that over half of the current US population was exposed to adverse lead levels from gasoline in childhood. However, they added the total contribution of childhood lead exposure to the population’s mental health and personality has not previously been evaluated.

For the study, the researchers combined serial, cross-sectional data on blood lead levels (BLLs) from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and integrated it with historical data on gasoline usage, allowing them to estimate childhood BLLs in the United States from 1940 to 2015.

They calculated the impact of lead exposure on mental health using general psychopathology factor points, also referred to as mental illness points, which function similarly to IQ points.

These measures used were based on a prior study led by Reuben in 2019 from a New Zealand cohort and a study by a different group that followed a longitudinal birth cohort in Chicago .

Using these data, the researchers calculated population-level elevations in mental health symptoms on the basis of lead exposure and five key psychiatric outcomes in the US population.

These included general psychopathology, which reflects an individual’s overall liability to mental disorders and was scaled to match IQ scores with a mean of 100 and an SD of 15.

They also evaluated symptoms of internalizing disorders including anxiety and depression and ADHD and standardized them to a mean of 0 and an SD of 1.

The researchers also looked at differences in the personality traits of neuroticism, which relate to emotional instability and conscientiousness and reflect organization and responsibility. Both of these were assessed using similar standardized scales.

 

151 Million Excess Cases of Mental Illness

Using this approach, the researchers were able to assess the historical and long-term implications of lead exposure on mental health and personality traits in the US population over time.

Results showed that during the peak era of leaded gasoline in the United States, children were routinely exposed to lead levels three to six times higher than the current reference point for clinical concern (3.5 μg/dL of blood), the authors noted.

While the United States banned leaded gasoline in 1996, lead can still be present in water pipes, old paint, and soil. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention cautions that no BLLs are safe.

The investigators found that between 1940 and 2015, the US population gained 602 million general psychopathology points, which the investigators said equates to 151 million excess instances of mental disorders that are primarily, but not completely, attributable to early life exposure to leaded gasoline.

“Assuming that published lead-psychopathology associations are causal and not purely correlational, we estimate that by 2015, the US population had gained 602 million General Psychopathology factor points because of exposure arising from leaded gasoline, reflecting a 0.13 standard deviation increase in overall liability to mental illness in the population and an estimated 151 million excess mental disorders attributable to lead exposure,” the researchers wrote.

Specific effects included a 0.64 SD increase in anxiety and depression symptoms, a 0.42 SD increase in ADHD symptoms, a 0.14 SD increase in ADHD symptoms, a 0.14 SD increase in emotional instability (neuroticism), and a 0.20 SD decrease in traits like organization and responsibility (conscientiousness).

These mental health and personality changes were not distributed evenly among the generations, most significant in those born between 1966 and 1986, the investigators reported.

For example, children between 1966 and 1970, the period when leaded gasoline use was at its peak, had BLLs > 5 μg/dL and experienced a 1.75 SD increase in internalizing symptoms and a 1.17 SD increase in ADHD symptoms.

 

Assess Lead Risk

The study had several limitations. Causality could not be established, and the accuracy of the estimates relied on findings from the researchers’ two previous key studies.

However, the investigators noted that these findings have been replicated across multiple cohorts and settings. Additionally, the results may not be fully generalizable to the entire US population, as one study was based in New Zealand and the other in urban Chicago.

Reuben cautioned that even though gasoline and new paint no longer contain lead, exposure is still possible.

“We saw this most acutely in Flint, Michigan,” when aging water pipes exposed more than 100,000 residents to high lead levels in 2014. “This situation made us aware that thousands of communities are exposed to lead service lines.”

He recommended that physicians consider screening patients for lead exposure — both new and old. Experts estimate that 90% of lead in the body is stored in the skeleton and can be released back into the bloodstream over time, particularly in cases of calcium deficiency, pregnancy, or osteoporosis.

While reversing childhood lead exposure is not possible, Reuben noted that healthy lifestyle choices and multimodal interventions such as medication and therapy can effectively address and alleviate mental illness.

 

‘Legacy of Lead’

In a comment, Terrie Moffitt, PhD, who was not involved in the research, said the study “is important because it gives us a crystal ball to see into the future of children living with lead today.”

“It’s called the ‘legacy of lead,’ and what a legacy,” said Moffitt, professor in the Department of Psychology and Neuroscience, Nannerl O. Keohane University at Duke University in Durham, North Carolina.

Moffitt emphasized that children exposed to lead today often live in areas of poverty and disadvantage, making it difficult to disentangle the potential effects of lead exposure from those of childhood adversity that predispose individuals to mental illness.

“This study tells us about lead’s damage in an era when it was everywhere, not just in poor communities,” she said.

The study was funded by a fellowship from the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences. Reuben and Moffitt reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

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Obesity Medications: Could Coverage Offset Obesity Care Costs?

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The question may seem simple: Could paying for weight loss medications — especially the pricey glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1s), tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy) — be more cost-effective than paying for obesity care and the complications of obesity, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes?

It’s a question that’s getting an increased amount of attention.

And for good reason — more than two in five US adults have obesity, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and costs to treat obesity, in 2019 dollars, approached $173 billion, including productivity losses. Adults with obesity have annual healthcare costs of $1861 more than those at healthier weights.

Among recent developments:

  • A proposed new rule, announced on November 26 by the Biden administration, expands coverage of anti-obesity medication for Americans who have Medicare and Medicaid. If it takes effect, an estimated 3.4 million Medicare recipients and about 4 million adult Medicaid enrollees could get access to the medications.
  • As Medicare coverage goes, private insurers often follow. Observers predict that if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) covers anti-obesity drugs, more private employers may soon do the same. Recently, however, some private plans have done the opposite and dropped coverage of the pricey GLP-1s, which can cost $1000 a month or more out-of-pocket, citing excess costs for their company.
  • Among the analyses about the value of weight loss on healthcare cost savings is a report published on December 5 in JAMA Network Open. Emory University experts looked at privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a body mass index (BMI) of ≥ 25 (classified as overweight). The conclusion: Projected annual savings from weight loss among US adults with obesity were substantial for both employee-based insurance and Medicare recipients.
  • Besides helping obesity and obesity-related conditions, access to GLP-1s could have a favorable effect on productivity, others claim. That’s one focus of a 5-year partnership between the University of Manchester in England, and Eli Lilly and Company. Called SURMOUNT-REAL UK, the study will evaluate the effectiveness of tirzepatide in weight loss, diabetes prevention, and prevention of obesity-related complications in adults with obesity. It also aims to look at changes in health-related quality of life with weight loss and with changes in employment status and sick days.

CMS Proposal

In a statement announcing the proposal for Medicare and Medicaid to offer weight loss drugs, the White House noted that “tens of millions of Americans struggle with obesity” but that currently Medicare only covers the anti-obesity medications for certain conditions such as diabetes. The new proposal would expand that access to those with obesity. As of August, just 13 states cover GLP-1s in Medicaid programs, and North Carolina was the latest to do so.

Organizations advocating for health equity and recognition that obesity is a chronic disease came out in strong support of the proposal.

Kenneth E. Thorpe, PhD, a health policy expert at Emory University in Atlanta, who coauthored the recent analysis finding that weight loss offsets healthcare costs on an individual basis, told this news organization: “If finalized, this broad new coverage [by Medicare and Medicaid] would have a profound impact on the ability of Americans to access these novel medications that could significantly reduce obesity-related healthcare spending and improve overall health.”

The proposal “is modernizing the coverage of Medicare and Medicaid for obesity treatment,” agreed John Cawley, PhD, professor of economics and public policy at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, who has researched the direct medical costs of obesity in the United States. “In this HHS rule, they talk about the scientific and medical consensus that having obesity is a chronic condition.”

The proposal requires a 60-day comment period that ends January 27, 2025, taking the timeline into the beginning of the Trump administration. Cawley and others pointed out that Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services Secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, has been an outspoken opponent of the anti-obesity medicines, suggesting instead that Americans simply eat better.

 

Expert Analyses: Emory, Cornell, Southern California

So would paying for the pricey GLP-1s be smart in the long term? Analyses don’t agree.

Weight loss among those with obesity produces healthcare cost savings, said Thorpe and Peter Joski, MSPH, an associate research professor at Emory University. The two compared annual healthcare spending among privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a BMI of ≥ 25, using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey — Household Component from April 1 to June 20, 2024.

The researchers looked at 3774 adults insured with Medicare and 13,435 with employer-sponsored insurance. Overall, those with private insurance with a weight loss of 5% spent an estimated average of $670 less on healthcare. Those with a weight loss of 25% spent an estimated $2849 less on healthcare. Among those with Medicare who had one or more comorbidities, a 5% weight loss reduced spending by $1262 on average; a 25% loss reduced it by an estimated $5442, or 31%.

Thorpe called the savings substantial. In an email interview, Thorpe said, “So yes, weight loss for people living with obesity does lower healthcare costs, as my research shows, but it also lowers other costs as well.”

These include costs associated with disability, workers’ compensation, presenteeism/absenteeism, and everyday costs, he said. He contends that “those other costs should factor into decisions about preventing and treating obesity of payors and policymakers and enhance the case for cost-effectiveness of treating obesity.”

Other research suggests it’s important to target the use of the anti-obesity medications to the BMI range that would get the most benefit. For people just barely above the BMI threshold of 30, no cost savings are expected, Cawley found in his research. But he has found substantial cost reduction if the BMI was 35-40.

However, as Cawley pointed out, as the drugs get cheaper and more options become available, the entire scenario is expected to shift.

 

The Congressional Budget Office View

In October, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued a report, “How Would Authorizing Medicare to Cover Anti-Obesity Medications Affect the Federal Budget?” Among the conclusions: Covering the anti-obesity medications would increase federal spending, on net, by about $35 billion from 2026 to 2034. Total direct federal costs of covering the medication would increase from $1.6 billion in 2026 to $7.1 billion in 2034. And it said total savings from improved health of the beneficiaries would be small, less than $50 million in 2026 and rising to $1 billion in 2034.

Covering the medications would cost $5600 per user in 2026, then down to $4300 in 2034. The offset of savings per user would be about $50 in 2026, then $650 in 2034.

 

Expert Analysis: USC Schaeffer Center

“The costs offsets come over time,” said Alison Sexton Ward, PhD, an economist at the University of Southern California’s Leonard D. Schaeffer Center, Los Angeles, and an expert on the topic. “If we look at the average annual medical cost over a lifetime, we do see cost offsets there.”

However, treating obesity means people will live longer, “and living longer costs more,” she said.

She took issue with some of the calculations in the CBO report, such as not considering the effect of semaglutide’s patent expiring in 2033.

In a white paper published in April 2023, Sexton Ward and her coauthors modeled potential social benefits and medical cost offsets from granting access to the newer weight loss drugs. The cumulative social benefits of providing coverage over the next decade would reach nearly $1 trillion, they said. Benefits would increase if private insurance expanded coverage. “In the first 10 years alone, covering weight loss therapies would save Medicare $175 billion-$245 billion, depending on whether private insurance joins Medicare in providing coverage for younger populations.”

While much focus is on Medicare coverage, Sexton Ward and others pointed out the need to expand coverage to younger ages, with the aim of preventing or delaying obesity-related complications.

 

Lilly UK Trial

A spokesperson for Lilly declined to comment further on the UK study, explaining that the study was just launching.

Besides tracking weight loss, researchers will evaluate the effect of the weight loss on sick days from work and employment. Obesity is shown to affect a person’s ability to work, leading to more absenteeism, so treating the obesity may improve productivity.

 

Beyond Health: The Value of Weight Loss

“I love the idea of studying whether access to obesity medications helps people stay employed and do their job,” said Cristy Gallagher, associate director of Research and Policy at STOP Obesity Alliance at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC. The alliance includes more than 50 organizations advocating for adult obesity treatment.

“One of our big arguments is [that] access to care, and to obesity care, will also help other conditions — comorbidities like heart disease and diabetes.”

However, access to the anti-obesity medications, by itself, is not enough, Gallagher said. Other components, such as intensive behavioral therapy and guidance about diet and exercise, are needed, she said. So, too, for those who need it, is access to bariatric surgery, she said. And medication access should include other options besides the GLP-1s, she said. “Not every medication is right for everybody.”

Cawley, Gallagher, Thorpe, and Sexton Ward had no disclosures.
 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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The question may seem simple: Could paying for weight loss medications — especially the pricey glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1s), tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy) — be more cost-effective than paying for obesity care and the complications of obesity, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes?

It’s a question that’s getting an increased amount of attention.

And for good reason — more than two in five US adults have obesity, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and costs to treat obesity, in 2019 dollars, approached $173 billion, including productivity losses. Adults with obesity have annual healthcare costs of $1861 more than those at healthier weights.

Among recent developments:

  • A proposed new rule, announced on November 26 by the Biden administration, expands coverage of anti-obesity medication for Americans who have Medicare and Medicaid. If it takes effect, an estimated 3.4 million Medicare recipients and about 4 million adult Medicaid enrollees could get access to the medications.
  • As Medicare coverage goes, private insurers often follow. Observers predict that if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) covers anti-obesity drugs, more private employers may soon do the same. Recently, however, some private plans have done the opposite and dropped coverage of the pricey GLP-1s, which can cost $1000 a month or more out-of-pocket, citing excess costs for their company.
  • Among the analyses about the value of weight loss on healthcare cost savings is a report published on December 5 in JAMA Network Open. Emory University experts looked at privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a body mass index (BMI) of ≥ 25 (classified as overweight). The conclusion: Projected annual savings from weight loss among US adults with obesity were substantial for both employee-based insurance and Medicare recipients.
  • Besides helping obesity and obesity-related conditions, access to GLP-1s could have a favorable effect on productivity, others claim. That’s one focus of a 5-year partnership between the University of Manchester in England, and Eli Lilly and Company. Called SURMOUNT-REAL UK, the study will evaluate the effectiveness of tirzepatide in weight loss, diabetes prevention, and prevention of obesity-related complications in adults with obesity. It also aims to look at changes in health-related quality of life with weight loss and with changes in employment status and sick days.

CMS Proposal

In a statement announcing the proposal for Medicare and Medicaid to offer weight loss drugs, the White House noted that “tens of millions of Americans struggle with obesity” but that currently Medicare only covers the anti-obesity medications for certain conditions such as diabetes. The new proposal would expand that access to those with obesity. As of August, just 13 states cover GLP-1s in Medicaid programs, and North Carolina was the latest to do so.

Organizations advocating for health equity and recognition that obesity is a chronic disease came out in strong support of the proposal.

Kenneth E. Thorpe, PhD, a health policy expert at Emory University in Atlanta, who coauthored the recent analysis finding that weight loss offsets healthcare costs on an individual basis, told this news organization: “If finalized, this broad new coverage [by Medicare and Medicaid] would have a profound impact on the ability of Americans to access these novel medications that could significantly reduce obesity-related healthcare spending and improve overall health.”

The proposal “is modernizing the coverage of Medicare and Medicaid for obesity treatment,” agreed John Cawley, PhD, professor of economics and public policy at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, who has researched the direct medical costs of obesity in the United States. “In this HHS rule, they talk about the scientific and medical consensus that having obesity is a chronic condition.”

The proposal requires a 60-day comment period that ends January 27, 2025, taking the timeline into the beginning of the Trump administration. Cawley and others pointed out that Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services Secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, has been an outspoken opponent of the anti-obesity medicines, suggesting instead that Americans simply eat better.

 

Expert Analyses: Emory, Cornell, Southern California

So would paying for the pricey GLP-1s be smart in the long term? Analyses don’t agree.

Weight loss among those with obesity produces healthcare cost savings, said Thorpe and Peter Joski, MSPH, an associate research professor at Emory University. The two compared annual healthcare spending among privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a BMI of ≥ 25, using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey — Household Component from April 1 to June 20, 2024.

The researchers looked at 3774 adults insured with Medicare and 13,435 with employer-sponsored insurance. Overall, those with private insurance with a weight loss of 5% spent an estimated average of $670 less on healthcare. Those with a weight loss of 25% spent an estimated $2849 less on healthcare. Among those with Medicare who had one or more comorbidities, a 5% weight loss reduced spending by $1262 on average; a 25% loss reduced it by an estimated $5442, or 31%.

Thorpe called the savings substantial. In an email interview, Thorpe said, “So yes, weight loss for people living with obesity does lower healthcare costs, as my research shows, but it also lowers other costs as well.”

These include costs associated with disability, workers’ compensation, presenteeism/absenteeism, and everyday costs, he said. He contends that “those other costs should factor into decisions about preventing and treating obesity of payors and policymakers and enhance the case for cost-effectiveness of treating obesity.”

Other research suggests it’s important to target the use of the anti-obesity medications to the BMI range that would get the most benefit. For people just barely above the BMI threshold of 30, no cost savings are expected, Cawley found in his research. But he has found substantial cost reduction if the BMI was 35-40.

However, as Cawley pointed out, as the drugs get cheaper and more options become available, the entire scenario is expected to shift.

 

The Congressional Budget Office View

In October, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued a report, “How Would Authorizing Medicare to Cover Anti-Obesity Medications Affect the Federal Budget?” Among the conclusions: Covering the anti-obesity medications would increase federal spending, on net, by about $35 billion from 2026 to 2034. Total direct federal costs of covering the medication would increase from $1.6 billion in 2026 to $7.1 billion in 2034. And it said total savings from improved health of the beneficiaries would be small, less than $50 million in 2026 and rising to $1 billion in 2034.

Covering the medications would cost $5600 per user in 2026, then down to $4300 in 2034. The offset of savings per user would be about $50 in 2026, then $650 in 2034.

 

Expert Analysis: USC Schaeffer Center

“The costs offsets come over time,” said Alison Sexton Ward, PhD, an economist at the University of Southern California’s Leonard D. Schaeffer Center, Los Angeles, and an expert on the topic. “If we look at the average annual medical cost over a lifetime, we do see cost offsets there.”

However, treating obesity means people will live longer, “and living longer costs more,” she said.

She took issue with some of the calculations in the CBO report, such as not considering the effect of semaglutide’s patent expiring in 2033.

In a white paper published in April 2023, Sexton Ward and her coauthors modeled potential social benefits and medical cost offsets from granting access to the newer weight loss drugs. The cumulative social benefits of providing coverage over the next decade would reach nearly $1 trillion, they said. Benefits would increase if private insurance expanded coverage. “In the first 10 years alone, covering weight loss therapies would save Medicare $175 billion-$245 billion, depending on whether private insurance joins Medicare in providing coverage for younger populations.”

While much focus is on Medicare coverage, Sexton Ward and others pointed out the need to expand coverage to younger ages, with the aim of preventing or delaying obesity-related complications.

 

Lilly UK Trial

A spokesperson for Lilly declined to comment further on the UK study, explaining that the study was just launching.

Besides tracking weight loss, researchers will evaluate the effect of the weight loss on sick days from work and employment. Obesity is shown to affect a person’s ability to work, leading to more absenteeism, so treating the obesity may improve productivity.

 

Beyond Health: The Value of Weight Loss

“I love the idea of studying whether access to obesity medications helps people stay employed and do their job,” said Cristy Gallagher, associate director of Research and Policy at STOP Obesity Alliance at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC. The alliance includes more than 50 organizations advocating for adult obesity treatment.

“One of our big arguments is [that] access to care, and to obesity care, will also help other conditions — comorbidities like heart disease and diabetes.”

However, access to the anti-obesity medications, by itself, is not enough, Gallagher said. Other components, such as intensive behavioral therapy and guidance about diet and exercise, are needed, she said. So, too, for those who need it, is access to bariatric surgery, she said. And medication access should include other options besides the GLP-1s, she said. “Not every medication is right for everybody.”

Cawley, Gallagher, Thorpe, and Sexton Ward had no disclosures.
 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.


The question may seem simple: Could paying for weight loss medications — especially the pricey glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1s), tirzepatide (Zepbound) and semaglutide (Wegovy) — be more cost-effective than paying for obesity care and the complications of obesity, such as cardiovascular disease and diabetes?

It’s a question that’s getting an increased amount of attention.

And for good reason — more than two in five US adults have obesity, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and costs to treat obesity, in 2019 dollars, approached $173 billion, including productivity losses. Adults with obesity have annual healthcare costs of $1861 more than those at healthier weights.

Among recent developments:

  • A proposed new rule, announced on November 26 by the Biden administration, expands coverage of anti-obesity medication for Americans who have Medicare and Medicaid. If it takes effect, an estimated 3.4 million Medicare recipients and about 4 million adult Medicaid enrollees could get access to the medications.
  • As Medicare coverage goes, private insurers often follow. Observers predict that if the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) covers anti-obesity drugs, more private employers may soon do the same. Recently, however, some private plans have done the opposite and dropped coverage of the pricey GLP-1s, which can cost $1000 a month or more out-of-pocket, citing excess costs for their company.
  • Among the analyses about the value of weight loss on healthcare cost savings is a report published on December 5 in JAMA Network Open. Emory University experts looked at privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a body mass index (BMI) of ≥ 25 (classified as overweight). The conclusion: Projected annual savings from weight loss among US adults with obesity were substantial for both employee-based insurance and Medicare recipients.
  • Besides helping obesity and obesity-related conditions, access to GLP-1s could have a favorable effect on productivity, others claim. That’s one focus of a 5-year partnership between the University of Manchester in England, and Eli Lilly and Company. Called SURMOUNT-REAL UK, the study will evaluate the effectiveness of tirzepatide in weight loss, diabetes prevention, and prevention of obesity-related complications in adults with obesity. It also aims to look at changes in health-related quality of life with weight loss and with changes in employment status and sick days.

CMS Proposal

In a statement announcing the proposal for Medicare and Medicaid to offer weight loss drugs, the White House noted that “tens of millions of Americans struggle with obesity” but that currently Medicare only covers the anti-obesity medications for certain conditions such as diabetes. The new proposal would expand that access to those with obesity. As of August, just 13 states cover GLP-1s in Medicaid programs, and North Carolina was the latest to do so.

Organizations advocating for health equity and recognition that obesity is a chronic disease came out in strong support of the proposal.

Kenneth E. Thorpe, PhD, a health policy expert at Emory University in Atlanta, who coauthored the recent analysis finding that weight loss offsets healthcare costs on an individual basis, told this news organization: “If finalized, this broad new coverage [by Medicare and Medicaid] would have a profound impact on the ability of Americans to access these novel medications that could significantly reduce obesity-related healthcare spending and improve overall health.”

The proposal “is modernizing the coverage of Medicare and Medicaid for obesity treatment,” agreed John Cawley, PhD, professor of economics and public policy at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, who has researched the direct medical costs of obesity in the United States. “In this HHS rule, they talk about the scientific and medical consensus that having obesity is a chronic condition.”

The proposal requires a 60-day comment period that ends January 27, 2025, taking the timeline into the beginning of the Trump administration. Cawley and others pointed out that Trump’s pick for Health and Human Services Secretary, Robert F. Kennedy Jr, has been an outspoken opponent of the anti-obesity medicines, suggesting instead that Americans simply eat better.

 

Expert Analyses: Emory, Cornell, Southern California

So would paying for the pricey GLP-1s be smart in the long term? Analyses don’t agree.

Weight loss among those with obesity produces healthcare cost savings, said Thorpe and Peter Joski, MSPH, an associate research professor at Emory University. The two compared annual healthcare spending among privately insured adults and adult Medicare beneficiaries with a BMI of ≥ 25, using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey — Household Component from April 1 to June 20, 2024.

The researchers looked at 3774 adults insured with Medicare and 13,435 with employer-sponsored insurance. Overall, those with private insurance with a weight loss of 5% spent an estimated average of $670 less on healthcare. Those with a weight loss of 25% spent an estimated $2849 less on healthcare. Among those with Medicare who had one or more comorbidities, a 5% weight loss reduced spending by $1262 on average; a 25% loss reduced it by an estimated $5442, or 31%.

Thorpe called the savings substantial. In an email interview, Thorpe said, “So yes, weight loss for people living with obesity does lower healthcare costs, as my research shows, but it also lowers other costs as well.”

These include costs associated with disability, workers’ compensation, presenteeism/absenteeism, and everyday costs, he said. He contends that “those other costs should factor into decisions about preventing and treating obesity of payors and policymakers and enhance the case for cost-effectiveness of treating obesity.”

Other research suggests it’s important to target the use of the anti-obesity medications to the BMI range that would get the most benefit. For people just barely above the BMI threshold of 30, no cost savings are expected, Cawley found in his research. But he has found substantial cost reduction if the BMI was 35-40.

However, as Cawley pointed out, as the drugs get cheaper and more options become available, the entire scenario is expected to shift.

 

The Congressional Budget Office View

In October, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office issued a report, “How Would Authorizing Medicare to Cover Anti-Obesity Medications Affect the Federal Budget?” Among the conclusions: Covering the anti-obesity medications would increase federal spending, on net, by about $35 billion from 2026 to 2034. Total direct federal costs of covering the medication would increase from $1.6 billion in 2026 to $7.1 billion in 2034. And it said total savings from improved health of the beneficiaries would be small, less than $50 million in 2026 and rising to $1 billion in 2034.

Covering the medications would cost $5600 per user in 2026, then down to $4300 in 2034. The offset of savings per user would be about $50 in 2026, then $650 in 2034.

 

Expert Analysis: USC Schaeffer Center

“The costs offsets come over time,” said Alison Sexton Ward, PhD, an economist at the University of Southern California’s Leonard D. Schaeffer Center, Los Angeles, and an expert on the topic. “If we look at the average annual medical cost over a lifetime, we do see cost offsets there.”

However, treating obesity means people will live longer, “and living longer costs more,” she said.

She took issue with some of the calculations in the CBO report, such as not considering the effect of semaglutide’s patent expiring in 2033.

In a white paper published in April 2023, Sexton Ward and her coauthors modeled potential social benefits and medical cost offsets from granting access to the newer weight loss drugs. The cumulative social benefits of providing coverage over the next decade would reach nearly $1 trillion, they said. Benefits would increase if private insurance expanded coverage. “In the first 10 years alone, covering weight loss therapies would save Medicare $175 billion-$245 billion, depending on whether private insurance joins Medicare in providing coverage for younger populations.”

While much focus is on Medicare coverage, Sexton Ward and others pointed out the need to expand coverage to younger ages, with the aim of preventing or delaying obesity-related complications.

 

Lilly UK Trial

A spokesperson for Lilly declined to comment further on the UK study, explaining that the study was just launching.

Besides tracking weight loss, researchers will evaluate the effect of the weight loss on sick days from work and employment. Obesity is shown to affect a person’s ability to work, leading to more absenteeism, so treating the obesity may improve productivity.

 

Beyond Health: The Value of Weight Loss

“I love the idea of studying whether access to obesity medications helps people stay employed and do their job,” said Cristy Gallagher, associate director of Research and Policy at STOP Obesity Alliance at the Milken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, DC. The alliance includes more than 50 organizations advocating for adult obesity treatment.

“One of our big arguments is [that] access to care, and to obesity care, will also help other conditions — comorbidities like heart disease and diabetes.”

However, access to the anti-obesity medications, by itself, is not enough, Gallagher said. Other components, such as intensive behavioral therapy and guidance about diet and exercise, are needed, she said. So, too, for those who need it, is access to bariatric surgery, she said. And medication access should include other options besides the GLP-1s, she said. “Not every medication is right for everybody.”

Cawley, Gallagher, Thorpe, and Sexton Ward had no disclosures.
 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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How Can GPs Recognize and Respond to Domestic Abuse?

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Domestic abuse is a leading cause of violence against women in Europe. In France alone, 122 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner in 2021. A 2024 study led by French GP Dr Noémie Deparis, who has expertise in domestic violence, revealed that female victims often want their GPs to recognize signs of abuse and offer support. 

In this interview with Medscape, Deparis provides practical advice for doctors on identifying the subtle signs of domestic violence and offering compassionate, effective support to affected patients.

How can GPs identify victims of domestic abuse during consultations? What are the signs and symptoms they should look out for?

GPs play an important role in identifying victims of domestic violence or child abuse. They need to be alert to any signs that might suggest violence. Physical signs may include unexplained or recurring injuries, scars, and bruising in unusual areas such as the torso, back, or face. Delays in seeking care for their injuries may also be a cause for concern.

There are also psychological signs to look out for, including anxiety, depression, sleep problems, and lowered self-esteem. Other signs can include a change in the patient’s behavior or avoidance behavior. A partner who dominates the consultation, prevents the victim from speaking freely, or watches her excessively could also be an indicator.

There are also contextual signs to look out for — for example, frequent consultations for chronic pain, and multiple reasons for vague, unexplained symptoms such as headaches, abdominal pain, and chronic fatigue. A medical history that is incompatible with the explanations given by the patient can also be a warning sign, as can medical nomadism, where a patient consults with multiple GPs for the same symptoms over a period of time. 

It is crucial to remember that domestic violence can affect individuals across all sociocultural backgrounds, ages, and sexual orientations. Every GP’s patient population includes people who may have experienced domestic violence. In my practice, I’ve developed the habit of reminding myself that when there’s a patient I don’t understand or the situation isn’t clear, it’s often a signal to ask the question.

How can GPs initiate conversations on the topic sensitively, should they have concerns?

For GPs to be able to ask the question systematically when they suspect violence, the most important point is that they themselves should be comfortable with the question they are asking. Obviously, the question must be asked in a nonjudgmental way and in a safe and confidential environment. 

The question can be asked systematically, with a direct question and a routine to normalize the topic. For example: “This is a question I ask all my patients: Have you ever experienced violence in your life?”

GPs can also approach the subject in a more general way. For example: “You seem to be under a lot of stress recently. Is everything okay at home?” or “Sometimes when patients come in with these symptoms, they may be under pressure or experiencing stress in their lives. Could this be the case for you?”

It is essential to express understanding without insistence, depending on the patient’s response. 

Are there specific protocols or guidelines in Europe for recognizing and addressing such cases?

I don’t know enough about the particularities of each European country, but in France since 2022, the French National Authority for Health has recommended systematic screening for domestic violence. The French National Medical Council has also issued recommendations for medical certificates and reporting to the judicial authorities of victims of violence without their consent in cases of control and risk of serious and imminent danger. 

The French College of General Practitioners has recently published practical information sheets to help GPs deal with violence. For more than 5 years, the Déclic Violence website has been regularly updated to help GPs deal with and support victims of violence. Across France, an increasing number of women’s centers are being set up in every region. These centers serve as essential resources, not only for women experiencing violence but also for professionals assisting them.

Could you describe what happens in Europe once a GP confirms that a patient is a victim of domestic violence, including what steps they would take and what support is available?

When a doctor confirms a situation of violence, it is important to provide an active listening ear, a safe space, and immediate support adapted to the victim’s situation and wishes. All the information brought to our attention must be written in the medical file, both the facts reported and the physical or psychological clinical findings. This information should enable us to draw up a descriptive medical certificate at the time of the consultation, if the victim so wishes, or at a later date.

It is important not to be left on your own and to refer the victim to other health professionals; to legal, judicial, or social aid structures; to local or national associations; or to a victim support number. 

How can GPs ensure that their involvement helps victims to access broader support systems such as shelters or counseling services?

As in many areas of medical care, GPs have an important role to play in coordinating the efforts of all the professionals involved. Victims of domestic violence often require long-term monitoring, with periods of improvement and setbacks. In my consultations, I often use the concept of the cycle of violence to help patients recognize the powerful control mechanisms at play. Collaboration with support networks ensures that the victim is not isolated after their GP consultation.

What role can GPs play in documenting cases to assist with legal or social interventions?

GPs play a crucial role in documenting cases of domestic violence to support legal and social interventions. This involves maintaining detailed, objective medical records that include descriptions of injuries, the patient’s account in their own words, psychological observations, and findings from physical examinations.

GPs can issue legally recognized medical certificates detailing the injuries and their consistency. Photographic evidence, with patient consent, can further substantiate claims. GPs also contribute to risk assessments, identifying immediate dangers to the victim or others, which inform protective actions by social services or law enforcement. 

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Domestic abuse is a leading cause of violence against women in Europe. In France alone, 122 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner in 2021. A 2024 study led by French GP Dr Noémie Deparis, who has expertise in domestic violence, revealed that female victims often want their GPs to recognize signs of abuse and offer support. 

In this interview with Medscape, Deparis provides practical advice for doctors on identifying the subtle signs of domestic violence and offering compassionate, effective support to affected patients.

How can GPs identify victims of domestic abuse during consultations? What are the signs and symptoms they should look out for?

GPs play an important role in identifying victims of domestic violence or child abuse. They need to be alert to any signs that might suggest violence. Physical signs may include unexplained or recurring injuries, scars, and bruising in unusual areas such as the torso, back, or face. Delays in seeking care for their injuries may also be a cause for concern.

There are also psychological signs to look out for, including anxiety, depression, sleep problems, and lowered self-esteem. Other signs can include a change in the patient’s behavior or avoidance behavior. A partner who dominates the consultation, prevents the victim from speaking freely, or watches her excessively could also be an indicator.

There are also contextual signs to look out for — for example, frequent consultations for chronic pain, and multiple reasons for vague, unexplained symptoms such as headaches, abdominal pain, and chronic fatigue. A medical history that is incompatible with the explanations given by the patient can also be a warning sign, as can medical nomadism, where a patient consults with multiple GPs for the same symptoms over a period of time. 

It is crucial to remember that domestic violence can affect individuals across all sociocultural backgrounds, ages, and sexual orientations. Every GP’s patient population includes people who may have experienced domestic violence. In my practice, I’ve developed the habit of reminding myself that when there’s a patient I don’t understand or the situation isn’t clear, it’s often a signal to ask the question.

How can GPs initiate conversations on the topic sensitively, should they have concerns?

For GPs to be able to ask the question systematically when they suspect violence, the most important point is that they themselves should be comfortable with the question they are asking. Obviously, the question must be asked in a nonjudgmental way and in a safe and confidential environment. 

The question can be asked systematically, with a direct question and a routine to normalize the topic. For example: “This is a question I ask all my patients: Have you ever experienced violence in your life?”

GPs can also approach the subject in a more general way. For example: “You seem to be under a lot of stress recently. Is everything okay at home?” or “Sometimes when patients come in with these symptoms, they may be under pressure or experiencing stress in their lives. Could this be the case for you?”

It is essential to express understanding without insistence, depending on the patient’s response. 

Are there specific protocols or guidelines in Europe for recognizing and addressing such cases?

I don’t know enough about the particularities of each European country, but in France since 2022, the French National Authority for Health has recommended systematic screening for domestic violence. The French National Medical Council has also issued recommendations for medical certificates and reporting to the judicial authorities of victims of violence without their consent in cases of control and risk of serious and imminent danger. 

The French College of General Practitioners has recently published practical information sheets to help GPs deal with violence. For more than 5 years, the Déclic Violence website has been regularly updated to help GPs deal with and support victims of violence. Across France, an increasing number of women’s centers are being set up in every region. These centers serve as essential resources, not only for women experiencing violence but also for professionals assisting them.

Could you describe what happens in Europe once a GP confirms that a patient is a victim of domestic violence, including what steps they would take and what support is available?

When a doctor confirms a situation of violence, it is important to provide an active listening ear, a safe space, and immediate support adapted to the victim’s situation and wishes. All the information brought to our attention must be written in the medical file, both the facts reported and the physical or psychological clinical findings. This information should enable us to draw up a descriptive medical certificate at the time of the consultation, if the victim so wishes, or at a later date.

It is important not to be left on your own and to refer the victim to other health professionals; to legal, judicial, or social aid structures; to local or national associations; or to a victim support number. 

How can GPs ensure that their involvement helps victims to access broader support systems such as shelters or counseling services?

As in many areas of medical care, GPs have an important role to play in coordinating the efforts of all the professionals involved. Victims of domestic violence often require long-term monitoring, with periods of improvement and setbacks. In my consultations, I often use the concept of the cycle of violence to help patients recognize the powerful control mechanisms at play. Collaboration with support networks ensures that the victim is not isolated after their GP consultation.

What role can GPs play in documenting cases to assist with legal or social interventions?

GPs play a crucial role in documenting cases of domestic violence to support legal and social interventions. This involves maintaining detailed, objective medical records that include descriptions of injuries, the patient’s account in their own words, psychological observations, and findings from physical examinations.

GPs can issue legally recognized medical certificates detailing the injuries and their consistency. Photographic evidence, with patient consent, can further substantiate claims. GPs also contribute to risk assessments, identifying immediate dangers to the victim or others, which inform protective actions by social services or law enforcement. 

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

Domestic abuse is a leading cause of violence against women in Europe. In France alone, 122 women were killed by their partner or ex-partner in 2021. A 2024 study led by French GP Dr Noémie Deparis, who has expertise in domestic violence, revealed that female victims often want their GPs to recognize signs of abuse and offer support. 

In this interview with Medscape, Deparis provides practical advice for doctors on identifying the subtle signs of domestic violence and offering compassionate, effective support to affected patients.

How can GPs identify victims of domestic abuse during consultations? What are the signs and symptoms they should look out for?

GPs play an important role in identifying victims of domestic violence or child abuse. They need to be alert to any signs that might suggest violence. Physical signs may include unexplained or recurring injuries, scars, and bruising in unusual areas such as the torso, back, or face. Delays in seeking care for their injuries may also be a cause for concern.

There are also psychological signs to look out for, including anxiety, depression, sleep problems, and lowered self-esteem. Other signs can include a change in the patient’s behavior or avoidance behavior. A partner who dominates the consultation, prevents the victim from speaking freely, or watches her excessively could also be an indicator.

There are also contextual signs to look out for — for example, frequent consultations for chronic pain, and multiple reasons for vague, unexplained symptoms such as headaches, abdominal pain, and chronic fatigue. A medical history that is incompatible with the explanations given by the patient can also be a warning sign, as can medical nomadism, where a patient consults with multiple GPs for the same symptoms over a period of time. 

It is crucial to remember that domestic violence can affect individuals across all sociocultural backgrounds, ages, and sexual orientations. Every GP’s patient population includes people who may have experienced domestic violence. In my practice, I’ve developed the habit of reminding myself that when there’s a patient I don’t understand or the situation isn’t clear, it’s often a signal to ask the question.

How can GPs initiate conversations on the topic sensitively, should they have concerns?

For GPs to be able to ask the question systematically when they suspect violence, the most important point is that they themselves should be comfortable with the question they are asking. Obviously, the question must be asked in a nonjudgmental way and in a safe and confidential environment. 

The question can be asked systematically, with a direct question and a routine to normalize the topic. For example: “This is a question I ask all my patients: Have you ever experienced violence in your life?”

GPs can also approach the subject in a more general way. For example: “You seem to be under a lot of stress recently. Is everything okay at home?” or “Sometimes when patients come in with these symptoms, they may be under pressure or experiencing stress in their lives. Could this be the case for you?”

It is essential to express understanding without insistence, depending on the patient’s response. 

Are there specific protocols or guidelines in Europe for recognizing and addressing such cases?

I don’t know enough about the particularities of each European country, but in France since 2022, the French National Authority for Health has recommended systematic screening for domestic violence. The French National Medical Council has also issued recommendations for medical certificates and reporting to the judicial authorities of victims of violence without their consent in cases of control and risk of serious and imminent danger. 

The French College of General Practitioners has recently published practical information sheets to help GPs deal with violence. For more than 5 years, the Déclic Violence website has been regularly updated to help GPs deal with and support victims of violence. Across France, an increasing number of women’s centers are being set up in every region. These centers serve as essential resources, not only for women experiencing violence but also for professionals assisting them.

Could you describe what happens in Europe once a GP confirms that a patient is a victim of domestic violence, including what steps they would take and what support is available?

When a doctor confirms a situation of violence, it is important to provide an active listening ear, a safe space, and immediate support adapted to the victim’s situation and wishes. All the information brought to our attention must be written in the medical file, both the facts reported and the physical or psychological clinical findings. This information should enable us to draw up a descriptive medical certificate at the time of the consultation, if the victim so wishes, or at a later date.

It is important not to be left on your own and to refer the victim to other health professionals; to legal, judicial, or social aid structures; to local or national associations; or to a victim support number. 

How can GPs ensure that their involvement helps victims to access broader support systems such as shelters or counseling services?

As in many areas of medical care, GPs have an important role to play in coordinating the efforts of all the professionals involved. Victims of domestic violence often require long-term monitoring, with periods of improvement and setbacks. In my consultations, I often use the concept of the cycle of violence to help patients recognize the powerful control mechanisms at play. Collaboration with support networks ensures that the victim is not isolated after their GP consultation.

What role can GPs play in documenting cases to assist with legal or social interventions?

GPs play a crucial role in documenting cases of domestic violence to support legal and social interventions. This involves maintaining detailed, objective medical records that include descriptions of injuries, the patient’s account in their own words, psychological observations, and findings from physical examinations.

GPs can issue legally recognized medical certificates detailing the injuries and their consistency. Photographic evidence, with patient consent, can further substantiate claims. GPs also contribute to risk assessments, identifying immediate dangers to the victim or others, which inform protective actions by social services or law enforcement. 

 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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Have Your Cake and Eat It, Too: Findings Based on Ingredients in Christmas Desserts From The Great British Bake Off

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This transcript has been edited for clarity

Hello. I’m David Kerr, professor of cancer medicine at University of Oxford. As I become, sadly, older, I’ve become much more interested in the concept of cancer prevention than cancer treatment. Of course, I’m still a practicing cancer physician and researcher. That’s my daily bread and butter. But prevention is important. 

There’s a really interesting article in the Christmas edition of The BMJ. This is an opportunity for us to take good science, but lighthearted science, to titillate and amuse our Christmas readers. This is a nice article from the States led by Joshua Wallach. As I say, this brings together good science in a sometimes absurd setting. I’ll read its title: “Association of Health Benefits and Harms of Christmas Dessert Ingredients in Recipes From The Great British Bake Off: Umbrella Review of Umbrella Reviews of Meta-analyses of Observational Studies.”

It’s obviously a very strong statistical underpinning from this group from Yale, predominantly — a half-decent university, as those of us from Oxford would have to admit. They used The Great British Bake Off website, Embase, Medline, and Scopus. They looked at the whole host of umbrella reviews and so on. 

They were interested in looking at the relative balance of dangerous and protective ingredients that were recommended in Christmas desserts on this immensely popular television show called The Great British Bake Off. Some of you have watched it and have enjoyed watching the trials and tribulations of the various contestants. 

They looked at 48 recipes for Christmas desserts, including cakes, biscuits, pastries, puddings, and conventional desserts. Of all these, there were 178 unique ingredients. Literature research then parsed whether these ingredients were good for you or bad for you. 

It was very interesting that, when they put the summary together, the umbrella review of umbrella reviews of meta-analyses compressed together, it was good news for us all. Recipes for Christmas desserts, particularly from The Great British Bake Off — which should be enormously proud of this — tend to use ingredient groups that are associated with reductions rather than increases in the risk for disease. Hurrah!

This means that, clearly, Christmas is a time in which those of us who can, tend to overindulge in food. The granddad falling asleep with a full tummy, sitting with the family in front of a hot fire — all of us can remember and imagine all of that. 

Perhaps the most important takeaway point from this observationally, critically important study is that, yes — at Christmas time, enjoy the dessert. You can have your cake and eat it, too. You heard it here. It’s philosophically true and statistically proven: You can have your cake and eat it. 

Thanks for listening. I’d be very interested in your own recipes, and whether we think that the American Thanksgiving desserts correlate with British Christmas desserts in some way and are beneficial to your health. 

Have a look at this article that is cleverly, wittily written. As always, Medscapers, for the time being, thanks for listening. Over and out. 

 

Dr Kerr, Professor, Nuffield Department of Clinical Laboratory Science, University of Oxford; Professor of Cancer Medicine, Oxford Cancer Centre, Oxford, United Kingdom, has disclosed ties with Celleron Therapeutics, Oxford Cancer Biomarkers (Board of Directors); Afrox (charity; Trustee); GlaxoSmithKline and Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals (Consultant); Genomic Health; Merck Serono, Roche. 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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This transcript has been edited for clarity

Hello. I’m David Kerr, professor of cancer medicine at University of Oxford. As I become, sadly, older, I’ve become much more interested in the concept of cancer prevention than cancer treatment. Of course, I’m still a practicing cancer physician and researcher. That’s my daily bread and butter. But prevention is important. 

There’s a really interesting article in the Christmas edition of The BMJ. This is an opportunity for us to take good science, but lighthearted science, to titillate and amuse our Christmas readers. This is a nice article from the States led by Joshua Wallach. As I say, this brings together good science in a sometimes absurd setting. I’ll read its title: “Association of Health Benefits and Harms of Christmas Dessert Ingredients in Recipes From The Great British Bake Off: Umbrella Review of Umbrella Reviews of Meta-analyses of Observational Studies.”

It’s obviously a very strong statistical underpinning from this group from Yale, predominantly — a half-decent university, as those of us from Oxford would have to admit. They used The Great British Bake Off website, Embase, Medline, and Scopus. They looked at the whole host of umbrella reviews and so on. 

They were interested in looking at the relative balance of dangerous and protective ingredients that were recommended in Christmas desserts on this immensely popular television show called The Great British Bake Off. Some of you have watched it and have enjoyed watching the trials and tribulations of the various contestants. 

They looked at 48 recipes for Christmas desserts, including cakes, biscuits, pastries, puddings, and conventional desserts. Of all these, there were 178 unique ingredients. Literature research then parsed whether these ingredients were good for you or bad for you. 

It was very interesting that, when they put the summary together, the umbrella review of umbrella reviews of meta-analyses compressed together, it was good news for us all. Recipes for Christmas desserts, particularly from The Great British Bake Off — which should be enormously proud of this — tend to use ingredient groups that are associated with reductions rather than increases in the risk for disease. Hurrah!

This means that, clearly, Christmas is a time in which those of us who can, tend to overindulge in food. The granddad falling asleep with a full tummy, sitting with the family in front of a hot fire — all of us can remember and imagine all of that. 

Perhaps the most important takeaway point from this observationally, critically important study is that, yes — at Christmas time, enjoy the dessert. You can have your cake and eat it, too. You heard it here. It’s philosophically true and statistically proven: You can have your cake and eat it. 

Thanks for listening. I’d be very interested in your own recipes, and whether we think that the American Thanksgiving desserts correlate with British Christmas desserts in some way and are beneficial to your health. 

Have a look at this article that is cleverly, wittily written. As always, Medscapers, for the time being, thanks for listening. Over and out. 

 

Dr Kerr, Professor, Nuffield Department of Clinical Laboratory Science, University of Oxford; Professor of Cancer Medicine, Oxford Cancer Centre, Oxford, United Kingdom, has disclosed ties with Celleron Therapeutics, Oxford Cancer Biomarkers (Board of Directors); Afrox (charity; Trustee); GlaxoSmithKline and Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals (Consultant); Genomic Health; Merck Serono, Roche. 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.



This transcript has been edited for clarity

Hello. I’m David Kerr, professor of cancer medicine at University of Oxford. As I become, sadly, older, I’ve become much more interested in the concept of cancer prevention than cancer treatment. Of course, I’m still a practicing cancer physician and researcher. That’s my daily bread and butter. But prevention is important. 

There’s a really interesting article in the Christmas edition of The BMJ. This is an opportunity for us to take good science, but lighthearted science, to titillate and amuse our Christmas readers. This is a nice article from the States led by Joshua Wallach. As I say, this brings together good science in a sometimes absurd setting. I’ll read its title: “Association of Health Benefits and Harms of Christmas Dessert Ingredients in Recipes From The Great British Bake Off: Umbrella Review of Umbrella Reviews of Meta-analyses of Observational Studies.”

It’s obviously a very strong statistical underpinning from this group from Yale, predominantly — a half-decent university, as those of us from Oxford would have to admit. They used The Great British Bake Off website, Embase, Medline, and Scopus. They looked at the whole host of umbrella reviews and so on. 

They were interested in looking at the relative balance of dangerous and protective ingredients that were recommended in Christmas desserts on this immensely popular television show called The Great British Bake Off. Some of you have watched it and have enjoyed watching the trials and tribulations of the various contestants. 

They looked at 48 recipes for Christmas desserts, including cakes, biscuits, pastries, puddings, and conventional desserts. Of all these, there were 178 unique ingredients. Literature research then parsed whether these ingredients were good for you or bad for you. 

It was very interesting that, when they put the summary together, the umbrella review of umbrella reviews of meta-analyses compressed together, it was good news for us all. Recipes for Christmas desserts, particularly from The Great British Bake Off — which should be enormously proud of this — tend to use ingredient groups that are associated with reductions rather than increases in the risk for disease. Hurrah!

This means that, clearly, Christmas is a time in which those of us who can, tend to overindulge in food. The granddad falling asleep with a full tummy, sitting with the family in front of a hot fire — all of us can remember and imagine all of that. 

Perhaps the most important takeaway point from this observationally, critically important study is that, yes — at Christmas time, enjoy the dessert. You can have your cake and eat it, too. You heard it here. It’s philosophically true and statistically proven: You can have your cake and eat it. 

Thanks for listening. I’d be very interested in your own recipes, and whether we think that the American Thanksgiving desserts correlate with British Christmas desserts in some way and are beneficial to your health. 

Have a look at this article that is cleverly, wittily written. As always, Medscapers, for the time being, thanks for listening. Over and out. 

 

Dr Kerr, Professor, Nuffield Department of Clinical Laboratory Science, University of Oxford; Professor of Cancer Medicine, Oxford Cancer Centre, Oxford, United Kingdom, has disclosed ties with Celleron Therapeutics, Oxford Cancer Biomarkers (Board of Directors); Afrox (charity; Trustee); GlaxoSmithKline and Bayer HealthCare Pharmaceuticals (Consultant); Genomic Health; Merck Serono, Roche. 

A version of this article appeared on Medscape.com.

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