Ob.Gyn. News

Infertility, pregnancy loss, and stillbirth increased women’s later risk of both nonfatal and fatal stroke, based on data from more than 600,000 women.

“To date, multiple studies have generated an expanding body of evidence on the association between pregnancy complications (e.g., gestational diabetes and preeclampsia) and the long-term risk of stroke, but studies on associations with infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth have produced mixed evidence,” Chen Liang, a PhD candidate at the University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia, and colleagues wrote.

In a study published in the BMJ, the researchers reviewed data from eight observational cohort studies across seven countries (Australia, China, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States). The participants were part of the InterLACE (International Collaboration for a Life Course Approach to Reproductive Health and Chronic Disease Events) consortium established in 2021. Most observational studies included in the analysis began between 1990 and 2000.

The study population included 618,851 women aged 32-73 years at baseline for whom data on infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth, were available. The primary outcome was the association of infertility, recurrent miscarriage, and stillbirth with risk of first fatal or nonfatal stroke, and the results were further stratified by subtype. Stroke was identified through self-reports, linked hospital data, national patient registers, or death registry data. Baseline was defined as the first incidence of infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth. The exception was the National Survey of Health and Development, a British birth cohort started in 1946, that collected data retrospectively.

The median follow-up period was 13 years for nonfatal stroke and 9.4 years for fatal stroke.

Overall, 17.2%, 16.6%, and 4.6% of the women experienced infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth, respectively.

Women with a history of infertility had a significantly higher nonfatal stroke risk, compared with those without infertility (hazard ratio, 1.14). Further analysis by stroke subtypes showed an increased association between miscarriage and ischemic stroke (HR, 1.15).

Those with a history of miscarriage also had an increased risk of nonfatal stroke, compared with those without miscarriages (HR, 1.11). In the miscarriage group, the risk of stroke increased with the number of miscarriages, with adjusted HRs of 1.07, 1.12, and 1.35 for women with one, two, and three or more miscarriages, respectively. When stratified by stroke subtype, women with three or more miscarriages were more likely than women with no miscarriages to experience ischemic and hemorrhagic nonfatal strokes.

Associations were similar between miscarriage history and fatal stroke risk. Women with one, two, and three or more miscarriages had increased risk of fatal stroke, compared with those with no miscarriages (aHR, 1.08, 1.26, and 1.82, respectively, and women with three or more miscarriages had a higher risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke (aHR, 1.83 and 1.84, respectively).

Women with a history of stillbirth had an approximately 31% increased risk of nonfatal stroke, compared with those with no history of stillbirth, with aHRs similar for single and recurrent stillbirths (1.32 and 1.29, respectively). Ischemic nonfatal stroke risk was higher in women with any stillbirth, compared with those without stillbirth (aHR, 1.77). Fatal stroke risk also was higher in women with any stillbirth, compared with those without, and this risk increased with the number of stillbirths (HR, 0.97 and HR, 1.26 for those with one stillbirth and two or more, respectively).

“The increased risk of stroke associated with infertility or recurrent stillbirths was mainly driven by a single subtype of stroke (nonfatal ischemic stroke or fatal hemorrhagic stroke, respectively), whereas the risk of stroke associated with recurrent miscarriages was driven by both subtypes,” the researchers wrote.

The researchers cited endothelial dysfunction as a potential underlying mechanism for increased stroke risk associated with pregnancy complications. “Endothelial dysfunction might lead to pregnancy loss through placentation-related defects, persist after a complicated pregnancy, and contribute to the development of stroke through reduced vasodilation, proinflammatory status, and prothrombic properties,” and that history of recurrent pregnancy loss might be a female-specific risk factor for stroke.

To mitigate this risk, they advised early monitoring of women with a history of recurrent miscarriages and stillbirths for stroke risk factors such as high blood pressure, blood sugar levels, and lipid levels.

The study findings were limited by several factors including the use of questionnaires to collect information on infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth, and the potential variation in definitions of infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth across the included studies, and a lack of data on the effect of different causes or treatments based on reproductive histories, the researchers noted. Other limitations include incomplete data on stroke subtypes and inability to adjust for all covariates such as thyroid disorders and endometriosis. However, the results were strengthened by the large study size and geographically and racially diverse population, extend the current knowledge on associations between infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth with stroke, and highlight the need for more research on underlying mechanisms.
 

Data support gender-specific stroke risk stratification

“Studies that seek to understand gender differences and disparities in adverse outcomes, such as stroke risk, are extremely important given that women historically were excluded from research studies,” Catherine M. Albright, MD, of the University of Washington, Seattle, said in an interview. “By doing these studies, we are able to better risk stratify people in order to better predict and modify risks,” added Dr. Albright, who was not involved in the current study.

“It is well known than adverse pregnancy outcomes such as hypertension in pregnancy, fetal growth restriction, and preterm birth, lead to increased risk of cardiovascular disease and stroke later in life, so the general findings of an association between other adverse reproductive and pregnancy outcomes leads to increased stroke risk are not surprising,” she said.

“The take-home message is that outcomes for pregnancy really do provide a window to future health,” said Dr. Albright. “For clinicians, especially non-ob.gyns., knowing a complete pregnancy history for any new patient is important and can help risk-stratify patients, especially as we continue to gain knowledge like what is shown in this study.”

However, “this study did not evaluate why individual patients may have had infertility, recurrent pregnancy loss, or stillbirth, so research to look further into this association to determine if there is an underlying medical condition that could be treated and therefore possibly reduce both pregnancy complications and future stroke risks would be important,” Dr. Albright noted.

The study was supported by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Centres of Research Excellence; one corresponding author was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator grant. The researchers had no financial conflicts to disclose. Dr. Albright had no financial conflicts to disclose.

Infertility, pregnancy loss, and stillbirth increased women’s later risk of both nonfatal and fatal stroke, based on data from more than 600,000 women.

“To date, multiple studies have generated an expanding body of evidence on the association between pregnancy complications (e.g., gestational diabetes and preeclampsia) and the long-term risk of stroke, but studies on associations with infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth have produced mixed evidence,” Chen Liang, a PhD candidate at the University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia, and colleagues wrote.

In a study published in the BMJ, the researchers reviewed data from eight observational cohort studies across seven countries (Australia, China, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States). The participants were part of the InterLACE (International Collaboration for a Life Course Approach to Reproductive Health and Chronic Disease Events) consortium established in 2021. Most observational studies included in the analysis began between 1990 and 2000.

The study population included 618,851 women aged 32-73 years at baseline for whom data on infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth, were available. The primary outcome was the association of infertility, recurrent miscarriage, and stillbirth with risk of first fatal or nonfatal stroke, and the results were further stratified by subtype. Stroke was identified through self-reports, linked hospital data, national patient registers, or death registry data. Baseline was defined as the first incidence of infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth. The exception was the National Survey of Health and Development, a British birth cohort started in 1946, that collected data retrospectively.

The median follow-up period was 13 years for nonfatal stroke and 9.4 years for fatal stroke.

Overall, 17.2%, 16.6%, and 4.6% of the women experienced infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth, respectively.

Women with a history of infertility had a significantly higher nonfatal stroke risk, compared with those without infertility (hazard ratio, 1.14). Further analysis by stroke subtypes showed an increased association between miscarriage and ischemic stroke (HR, 1.15).

Those with a history of miscarriage also had an increased risk of nonfatal stroke, compared with those without miscarriages (HR, 1.11). In the miscarriage group, the risk of stroke increased with the number of miscarriages, with adjusted HRs of 1.07, 1.12, and 1.35 for women with one, two, and three or more miscarriages, respectively. When stratified by stroke subtype, women with three or more miscarriages were more likely than women with no miscarriages to experience ischemic and hemorrhagic nonfatal strokes.

Associations were similar between miscarriage history and fatal stroke risk. Women with one, two, and three or more miscarriages had increased risk of fatal stroke, compared with those with no miscarriages (aHR, 1.08, 1.26, and 1.82, respectively, and women with three or more miscarriages had a higher risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke (aHR, 1.83 and 1.84, respectively).

Women with a history of stillbirth had an approximately 31% increased risk of nonfatal stroke, compared with those with no history of stillbirth, with aHRs similar for single and recurrent stillbirths (1.32 and 1.29, respectively). Ischemic nonfatal stroke risk was higher in women with any stillbirth, compared with those without stillbirth (aHR, 1.77). Fatal stroke risk also was higher in women with any stillbirth, compared with those without, and this risk increased with the number of stillbirths (HR, 0.97 and HR, 1.26 for those with one stillbirth and two or more, respectively).

“The increased risk of stroke associated with infertility or recurrent stillbirths was mainly driven by a single subtype of stroke (nonfatal ischemic stroke or fatal hemorrhagic stroke, respectively), whereas the risk of stroke associated with recurrent miscarriages was driven by both subtypes,” the researchers wrote.

The researchers cited endothelial dysfunction as a potential underlying mechanism for increased stroke risk associated with pregnancy complications. “Endothelial dysfunction might lead to pregnancy loss through placentation-related defects, persist after a complicated pregnancy, and contribute to the development of stroke through reduced vasodilation, proinflammatory status, and prothrombic properties,” and that history of recurrent pregnancy loss might be a female-specific risk factor for stroke.

To mitigate this risk, they advised early monitoring of women with a history of recurrent miscarriages and stillbirths for stroke risk factors such as high blood pressure, blood sugar levels, and lipid levels.

The study findings were limited by several factors including the use of questionnaires to collect information on infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth, and the potential variation in definitions of infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth across the included studies, and a lack of data on the effect of different causes or treatments based on reproductive histories, the researchers noted. Other limitations include incomplete data on stroke subtypes and inability to adjust for all covariates such as thyroid disorders and endometriosis. However, the results were strengthened by the large study size and geographically and racially diverse population, extend the current knowledge on associations between infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth with stroke, and highlight the need for more research on underlying mechanisms.
 

Data support gender-specific stroke risk stratification

“Studies that seek to understand gender differences and disparities in adverse outcomes, such as stroke risk, are extremely important given that women historically were excluded from research studies,” Catherine M. Albright, MD, of the University of Washington, Seattle, said in an interview. “By doing these studies, we are able to better risk stratify people in order to better predict and modify risks,” added Dr. Albright, who was not involved in the current study.

“It is well known than adverse pregnancy outcomes such as hypertension in pregnancy, fetal growth restriction, and preterm birth, lead to increased risk of cardiovascular disease and stroke later in life, so the general findings of an association between other adverse reproductive and pregnancy outcomes leads to increased stroke risk are not surprising,” she said.

“The take-home message is that outcomes for pregnancy really do provide a window to future health,” said Dr. Albright. “For clinicians, especially non-ob.gyns., knowing a complete pregnancy history for any new patient is important and can help risk-stratify patients, especially as we continue to gain knowledge like what is shown in this study.”

However, “this study did not evaluate why individual patients may have had infertility, recurrent pregnancy loss, or stillbirth, so research to look further into this association to determine if there is an underlying medical condition that could be treated and therefore possibly reduce both pregnancy complications and future stroke risks would be important,” Dr. Albright noted.

The study was supported by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Centres of Research Excellence; one corresponding author was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator grant. The researchers had no financial conflicts to disclose. Dr. Albright had no financial conflicts to disclose.

Infertility, pregnancy loss, and stillbirth increased women’s later risk of both nonfatal and fatal stroke, based on data from more than 600,000 women.

“To date, multiple studies have generated an expanding body of evidence on the association between pregnancy complications (e.g., gestational diabetes and preeclampsia) and the long-term risk of stroke, but studies on associations with infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth have produced mixed evidence,” Chen Liang, a PhD candidate at the University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia, and colleagues wrote.

In a study published in the BMJ, the researchers reviewed data from eight observational cohort studies across seven countries (Australia, China, Japan, the Netherlands, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States). The participants were part of the InterLACE (International Collaboration for a Life Course Approach to Reproductive Health and Chronic Disease Events) consortium established in 2021. Most observational studies included in the analysis began between 1990 and 2000.

The study population included 618,851 women aged 32-73 years at baseline for whom data on infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth, were available. The primary outcome was the association of infertility, recurrent miscarriage, and stillbirth with risk of first fatal or nonfatal stroke, and the results were further stratified by subtype. Stroke was identified through self-reports, linked hospital data, national patient registers, or death registry data. Baseline was defined as the first incidence of infertility, miscarriage, or stillbirth. The exception was the National Survey of Health and Development, a British birth cohort started in 1946, that collected data retrospectively.

The median follow-up period was 13 years for nonfatal stroke and 9.4 years for fatal stroke.

Overall, 17.2%, 16.6%, and 4.6% of the women experienced infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth, respectively.

Women with a history of infertility had a significantly higher nonfatal stroke risk, compared with those without infertility (hazard ratio, 1.14). Further analysis by stroke subtypes showed an increased association between miscarriage and ischemic stroke (HR, 1.15).

Those with a history of miscarriage also had an increased risk of nonfatal stroke, compared with those without miscarriages (HR, 1.11). In the miscarriage group, the risk of stroke increased with the number of miscarriages, with adjusted HRs of 1.07, 1.12, and 1.35 for women with one, two, and three or more miscarriages, respectively. When stratified by stroke subtype, women with three or more miscarriages were more likely than women with no miscarriages to experience ischemic and hemorrhagic nonfatal strokes.

Associations were similar between miscarriage history and fatal stroke risk. Women with one, two, and three or more miscarriages had increased risk of fatal stroke, compared with those with no miscarriages (aHR, 1.08, 1.26, and 1.82, respectively, and women with three or more miscarriages had a higher risk of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke (aHR, 1.83 and 1.84, respectively).

Women with a history of stillbirth had an approximately 31% increased risk of nonfatal stroke, compared with those with no history of stillbirth, with aHRs similar for single and recurrent stillbirths (1.32 and 1.29, respectively). Ischemic nonfatal stroke risk was higher in women with any stillbirth, compared with those without stillbirth (aHR, 1.77). Fatal stroke risk also was higher in women with any stillbirth, compared with those without, and this risk increased with the number of stillbirths (HR, 0.97 and HR, 1.26 for those with one stillbirth and two or more, respectively).

“The increased risk of stroke associated with infertility or recurrent stillbirths was mainly driven by a single subtype of stroke (nonfatal ischemic stroke or fatal hemorrhagic stroke, respectively), whereas the risk of stroke associated with recurrent miscarriages was driven by both subtypes,” the researchers wrote.

The researchers cited endothelial dysfunction as a potential underlying mechanism for increased stroke risk associated with pregnancy complications. “Endothelial dysfunction might lead to pregnancy loss through placentation-related defects, persist after a complicated pregnancy, and contribute to the development of stroke through reduced vasodilation, proinflammatory status, and prothrombic properties,” and that history of recurrent pregnancy loss might be a female-specific risk factor for stroke.

To mitigate this risk, they advised early monitoring of women with a history of recurrent miscarriages and stillbirths for stroke risk factors such as high blood pressure, blood sugar levels, and lipid levels.

The study findings were limited by several factors including the use of questionnaires to collect information on infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth, and the potential variation in definitions of infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth across the included studies, and a lack of data on the effect of different causes or treatments based on reproductive histories, the researchers noted. Other limitations include incomplete data on stroke subtypes and inability to adjust for all covariates such as thyroid disorders and endometriosis. However, the results were strengthened by the large study size and geographically and racially diverse population, extend the current knowledge on associations between infertility, miscarriage, and stillbirth with stroke, and highlight the need for more research on underlying mechanisms.
 

Data support gender-specific stroke risk stratification

“Studies that seek to understand gender differences and disparities in adverse outcomes, such as stroke risk, are extremely important given that women historically were excluded from research studies,” Catherine M. Albright, MD, of the University of Washington, Seattle, said in an interview. “By doing these studies, we are able to better risk stratify people in order to better predict and modify risks,” added Dr. Albright, who was not involved in the current study.

“It is well known than adverse pregnancy outcomes such as hypertension in pregnancy, fetal growth restriction, and preterm birth, lead to increased risk of cardiovascular disease and stroke later in life, so the general findings of an association between other adverse reproductive and pregnancy outcomes leads to increased stroke risk are not surprising,” she said.

“The take-home message is that outcomes for pregnancy really do provide a window to future health,” said Dr. Albright. “For clinicians, especially non-ob.gyns., knowing a complete pregnancy history for any new patient is important and can help risk-stratify patients, especially as we continue to gain knowledge like what is shown in this study.”

However, “this study did not evaluate why individual patients may have had infertility, recurrent pregnancy loss, or stillbirth, so research to look further into this association to determine if there is an underlying medical condition that could be treated and therefore possibly reduce both pregnancy complications and future stroke risks would be important,” Dr. Albright noted.

The study was supported by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Centres of Research Excellence; one corresponding author was supported by an Australian National Health and Medical Research Council Investigator grant. The researchers had no financial conflicts to disclose. Dr. Albright had no financial conflicts to disclose.

It took Michael Golden, MD, 5 years to decide to switch to a concierge practice, in which patients pay a monthly or annual fee for more personalized care. Dr. Golden, an internist in Beverly, Mass., changed course in 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic.

“I’m not sure why I hesitated for so long,” said Dr. Golden.

Once they take the plunge into concierge practice or direct primary care (DPC) – a related form of retainer-based practice – many doctors are delighted with the change. But taking the plunge is a big step that they sometimes put off for years.

“The main factors for waiting are fear, uncertainty, and doubt,” said Leigh “Jack” Forbush, DO, a family physician who runs a DPC practice in Hampden, Maine, and mentors doctors contemplating the switch.

According to Dr. Forbush, the critical questions doctors ask themselves are, “Will I be able to find enough paying patients?” and – in the case of DPC practices, which cancel insurance – “Can I live without the money I get from insurers?”

Terry Bauer, CEO of Specialdocs Consultants in Highland Park, Ill., which helps doctors move to a concierge practice, said many of his clients put off the decision for as long as 15 years.

“Clients became progressively worn out – or even burnt out – by the demands of fee-for-service medicine,” said Dr. Bauer. “For women, the tipping point can be when their kids ask, ‘Mom, do you like your job better than me?’ For men, it may be more about feeling tired and unsatisfied with their work.”

But once these doctors make the switch, it’s with all their heart. “A client recently told me that if he couldn’t open a concierge practice, he might have to quit medicine,” Dr. Bauer said. “And he’s only 51.”
 

Few doctors regret switching

A 2020 survey of DPC physicians for the Society of Actuaries found that 99% reported having better or much better overall personal and professional satisfaction.

Retainer-based physicians report feeling much more relaxed after they start a concierge practice. On many workdays, Dr. Golden takes a walk on a trail in the woods behind his office. “That’s something I couldn’t do before,” he said. “And I go to my kids’ soccer games. I’m able to be present in their lives now.”

Since retainer-based doctors have markedly fewer patients, they can form personal relationships with each one. When Dr. Golden switched, he “went from having a couple of thousand patients to a few hundred,” he said.

“I know each patient now,” said Dorothy Cohen Serna, MD, an internist in Cypress, Tex., who moved to concierge in 2017. “I don’t need to look at their chart to know who they are.”

Dr. Serna said patients’ close relationship with her helped them get through the worst months of the pandemic. “They were scared, depressed, and concerned, and they needed a lot of individual attention,” she said.

Because they see fewer patients, concierge doctors can lengthen appointment times to about 30 minutes – or longer, if necessary. They no longer have a problem answering patients’ “doorknob questions” – wholly new concerns brought up at the end of the visit.

“The appointment might be for a sprained ankle, and then the patient might mention they haven’t been sleeping well,” Dr. Golden said. “I have time to talk about that without worrying that my schedule is getting backed up.”
 

Why patients sign up

Retainer-based practices are still an exotic concept in many areas, but patients are beginning to understand the value, said Shalini Kaneriya, MD, an internist in Herndon, Va,, who switched her practice to concierge in 2018.

Several hundred patients followed her into her new practice because “people realized their care would be better if they had a concierge doctor,” she said. Two years ago, partly because of growing demand, she recruited another physician as an associate.

“People want a relationship with their doctor,” Dr. Serna added. “It’s hard to provide that in a regular practice.”

Todd Granger, MD, an internist who opened a DPC practice in Chapel Hill, N.C., in 2016, said new patients often mention feeling rushed through appointments with their previous doctors. Also, “it’s hard to get to see a doctor around here.”

Scott Bernstein, MD, an internist who runs a DPC practice in Scottsdale, Ariz., said he can arrange to have patients see specialists much faster than if they try to make appointments on their own. “I personally call specialists and then prep my patients on how to deal with the appointment,” he said.

Retainer-based practices tend to have a greater number of older and chronically ill patients, but they also attract patients who need less care. “The healthier patients find value in our proactive approach to prevention and wellness,” Dr. Serna said.

Some concierge physicians charge higher fees to patients who need more care, but many decide this is too complicated and charge everyone the same fee. Dr. Granger said he initially had a variable fee schedule, but when some lower-paying patients began to need more visits, he had to consider charging them extra. “Now I basically have just one fee,” he said.
 

Not a good fit for many physicians

Dr. Bauer said a lot of physicians are interested in retainer-based practice, but many of them might not make the income they had hoped for. Specialdocs interviews physicians who inquire about the model and ultimately doesn’t contract with 80% of them, Dr. Bauer said.

To be able to sign up and retain enough patients, the doctor’s attitude is important. “You have to be driven by the desire to go deep with patients -- to work hard with them and deal with their issues,” said Erika Bliss, MD, who runs a DPC practice in Seattle.

Dr. Bernstein said retainer-based physicians have to be interested in lifestyle issues, such as diet, exercise, and sleep. “I spend a lot of time dealing with issues like how to incorporate physical activity into daily routines,” he said. “Some doctors wouldn’t enjoy doing that.”

Also, concierge physicians have to be available all the time. “Patients have my cell phone number,” Dr. Granger said. “They could call in the middle of the night, but they usually don’t.”

To ensure that they get some time off, many concierge physicians have partners. Dr. Bernstein and another DPC doctor maintain separate practices but cover for each other. Each takes every other weekend off plus 6 weeks every year.
 

Can you attract enough patients?

A key challenge is finding enough patients to sustain a concierge practice. Planning the switch involves setting a target number of patients needed for the doctor to make a decent income after paying practice expenses. For example, a doctor charging $300 a month to 250 patients would gross $900,000 per year, and then pay practice expenses from that.

Attracting the target number of patients can take months or even years. After almost 6 years, Dr. Granger said, he has around 240 patients ― well below his target number of 440.

Partly because the practice model is not well known in North Carolina, Dr. Granger set his fee very low, at $60 a month, then raised it to $75. That means his practice has been grossing just $216,000 a year. But he is not about to give up. He plans to raise his fee in July and hopes that word of mouth will add more patients.

If physicians cannot earn enough in their concierge practice, Dr. Bauer said, they may moonlight at a local hospital or work for a telemedicine company. He hasn’t heard of physicians closing their concierge practice and returning to their previous practice model. “They didn’t like what they were doing before,” he said.
 

Opening up to lower-income patients

Dr. Granger’s $75 monthly fee is an example of how retainer-based medicine has transformed itself from a gold-plated service for rich people to a service that middle-class and even lower-income people can afford. DPC practices like Dr. Granger’s have dramatically lowered expenses by cutting out the need to bill insurance companies. Some DPC practices further reduce expenses by not having any staff and by renting out office space.

Dr. Forbush’s Pine Tree State patients are mostly blue-collar workers – electricians, plumbers, people who work in small businesses. He charges them $150 a month, which most patients who don’t have health insurance can afford. He said three-quarters of his patients lack health insurance, although some have back-up finances, such as health savings accounts.

Since his patients have to pay out of pocket for tests and specialists, Dr. Forbush keeps referrals in check by handling many problems himself. “Since I have more time to spend with the patient, I can often work out issues that other doctors might ask specialists to deal with,” he said.

He has learned some dermatologic procedures. “There are plenty of things I can handle on my own,” he said.

Dr. Granger adds that by examining patients during longer appointments, expensive diagnostic exams are not always necessary.
 

The challenges for this model

Many experts warn that retainer-based practices won’t work for doctors who want to leave employment or for doctors fresh out of residency. Not having your own patients to bring into the new practice is a big minus, because this is the best way to start the new practice.

Still, there are other ways to find patients. Dr. Bauer said physicians can advertise online, make themselves known by giving speeches in the community, or contract with small employers to treat their workers.

Dr. Bauer said some of his clients were employed physicians, and he thinks they will become a bigger factor now that fewer doctors remain in private practice. The chief barrier for employed physicians is the restrictive covenant that prevents them from setting up a practice nearby. But Dr. Bauer said some employers are willing to waive restrictive covenants for retainer-based doctors.

New physicians are also adopting the concierge model. Dr. Forbush said physicians straight out of residency have set up DPC practices in Maine. They signed up patients for their new practices even before they graduated, he said.

Retainer-based medicine is still mainly limited to primary care physicians, but according to Dr. Bauer, it can also work for specialists who have long-term relationships with patients, such as cardiologists, ob.gyns., rheumatologists, neurologists, and endocrinologists.
 

No going back

Most doctors who make the switch to retainer-based practice understand that there’s likely no going back. When Dr. Bernstein switched, he announced the change to patients and canceled insurance contracts. “It was make or break,” he said. “I had no parachute.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

It took Michael Golden, MD, 5 years to decide to switch to a concierge practice, in which patients pay a monthly or annual fee for more personalized care. Dr. Golden, an internist in Beverly, Mass., changed course in 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic.

“I’m not sure why I hesitated for so long,” said Dr. Golden.

Once they take the plunge into concierge practice or direct primary care (DPC) – a related form of retainer-based practice – many doctors are delighted with the change. But taking the plunge is a big step that they sometimes put off for years.

“The main factors for waiting are fear, uncertainty, and doubt,” said Leigh “Jack” Forbush, DO, a family physician who runs a DPC practice in Hampden, Maine, and mentors doctors contemplating the switch.

According to Dr. Forbush, the critical questions doctors ask themselves are, “Will I be able to find enough paying patients?” and – in the case of DPC practices, which cancel insurance – “Can I live without the money I get from insurers?”

Terry Bauer, CEO of Specialdocs Consultants in Highland Park, Ill., which helps doctors move to a concierge practice, said many of his clients put off the decision for as long as 15 years.

“Clients became progressively worn out – or even burnt out – by the demands of fee-for-service medicine,” said Dr. Bauer. “For women, the tipping point can be when their kids ask, ‘Mom, do you like your job better than me?’ For men, it may be more about feeling tired and unsatisfied with their work.”

But once these doctors make the switch, it’s with all their heart. “A client recently told me that if he couldn’t open a concierge practice, he might have to quit medicine,” Dr. Bauer said. “And he’s only 51.”
 

Few doctors regret switching

A 2020 survey of DPC physicians for the Society of Actuaries found that 99% reported having better or much better overall personal and professional satisfaction.

Retainer-based physicians report feeling much more relaxed after they start a concierge practice. On many workdays, Dr. Golden takes a walk on a trail in the woods behind his office. “That’s something I couldn’t do before,” he said. “And I go to my kids’ soccer games. I’m able to be present in their lives now.”

Since retainer-based doctors have markedly fewer patients, they can form personal relationships with each one. When Dr. Golden switched, he “went from having a couple of thousand patients to a few hundred,” he said.

“I know each patient now,” said Dorothy Cohen Serna, MD, an internist in Cypress, Tex., who moved to concierge in 2017. “I don’t need to look at their chart to know who they are.”

Dr. Serna said patients’ close relationship with her helped them get through the worst months of the pandemic. “They were scared, depressed, and concerned, and they needed a lot of individual attention,” she said.

Because they see fewer patients, concierge doctors can lengthen appointment times to about 30 minutes – or longer, if necessary. They no longer have a problem answering patients’ “doorknob questions” – wholly new concerns brought up at the end of the visit.

“The appointment might be for a sprained ankle, and then the patient might mention they haven’t been sleeping well,” Dr. Golden said. “I have time to talk about that without worrying that my schedule is getting backed up.”
 

Why patients sign up

Retainer-based practices are still an exotic concept in many areas, but patients are beginning to understand the value, said Shalini Kaneriya, MD, an internist in Herndon, Va,, who switched her practice to concierge in 2018.

Several hundred patients followed her into her new practice because “people realized their care would be better if they had a concierge doctor,” she said. Two years ago, partly because of growing demand, she recruited another physician as an associate.

“People want a relationship with their doctor,” Dr. Serna added. “It’s hard to provide that in a regular practice.”

Todd Granger, MD, an internist who opened a DPC practice in Chapel Hill, N.C., in 2016, said new patients often mention feeling rushed through appointments with their previous doctors. Also, “it’s hard to get to see a doctor around here.”

Scott Bernstein, MD, an internist who runs a DPC practice in Scottsdale, Ariz., said he can arrange to have patients see specialists much faster than if they try to make appointments on their own. “I personally call specialists and then prep my patients on how to deal with the appointment,” he said.

Retainer-based practices tend to have a greater number of older and chronically ill patients, but they also attract patients who need less care. “The healthier patients find value in our proactive approach to prevention and wellness,” Dr. Serna said.

Some concierge physicians charge higher fees to patients who need more care, but many decide this is too complicated and charge everyone the same fee. Dr. Granger said he initially had a variable fee schedule, but when some lower-paying patients began to need more visits, he had to consider charging them extra. “Now I basically have just one fee,” he said.
 

Not a good fit for many physicians

Dr. Bauer said a lot of physicians are interested in retainer-based practice, but many of them might not make the income they had hoped for. Specialdocs interviews physicians who inquire about the model and ultimately doesn’t contract with 80% of them, Dr. Bauer said.

To be able to sign up and retain enough patients, the doctor’s attitude is important. “You have to be driven by the desire to go deep with patients -- to work hard with them and deal with their issues,” said Erika Bliss, MD, who runs a DPC practice in Seattle.

Dr. Bernstein said retainer-based physicians have to be interested in lifestyle issues, such as diet, exercise, and sleep. “I spend a lot of time dealing with issues like how to incorporate physical activity into daily routines,” he said. “Some doctors wouldn’t enjoy doing that.”

Also, concierge physicians have to be available all the time. “Patients have my cell phone number,” Dr. Granger said. “They could call in the middle of the night, but they usually don’t.”

To ensure that they get some time off, many concierge physicians have partners. Dr. Bernstein and another DPC doctor maintain separate practices but cover for each other. Each takes every other weekend off plus 6 weeks every year.
 

Can you attract enough patients?

A key challenge is finding enough patients to sustain a concierge practice. Planning the switch involves setting a target number of patients needed for the doctor to make a decent income after paying practice expenses. For example, a doctor charging $300 a month to 250 patients would gross $900,000 per year, and then pay practice expenses from that.

Attracting the target number of patients can take months or even years. After almost 6 years, Dr. Granger said, he has around 240 patients ― well below his target number of 440.

Partly because the practice model is not well known in North Carolina, Dr. Granger set his fee very low, at $60 a month, then raised it to $75. That means his practice has been grossing just $216,000 a year. But he is not about to give up. He plans to raise his fee in July and hopes that word of mouth will add more patients.

If physicians cannot earn enough in their concierge practice, Dr. Bauer said, they may moonlight at a local hospital or work for a telemedicine company. He hasn’t heard of physicians closing their concierge practice and returning to their previous practice model. “They didn’t like what they were doing before,” he said.
 

Opening up to lower-income patients

Dr. Granger’s $75 monthly fee is an example of how retainer-based medicine has transformed itself from a gold-plated service for rich people to a service that middle-class and even lower-income people can afford. DPC practices like Dr. Granger’s have dramatically lowered expenses by cutting out the need to bill insurance companies. Some DPC practices further reduce expenses by not having any staff and by renting out office space.

Dr. Forbush’s Pine Tree State patients are mostly blue-collar workers – electricians, plumbers, people who work in small businesses. He charges them $150 a month, which most patients who don’t have health insurance can afford. He said three-quarters of his patients lack health insurance, although some have back-up finances, such as health savings accounts.

Since his patients have to pay out of pocket for tests and specialists, Dr. Forbush keeps referrals in check by handling many problems himself. “Since I have more time to spend with the patient, I can often work out issues that other doctors might ask specialists to deal with,” he said.

He has learned some dermatologic procedures. “There are plenty of things I can handle on my own,” he said.

Dr. Granger adds that by examining patients during longer appointments, expensive diagnostic exams are not always necessary.
 

The challenges for this model

Many experts warn that retainer-based practices won’t work for doctors who want to leave employment or for doctors fresh out of residency. Not having your own patients to bring into the new practice is a big minus, because this is the best way to start the new practice.

Still, there are other ways to find patients. Dr. Bauer said physicians can advertise online, make themselves known by giving speeches in the community, or contract with small employers to treat their workers.

Dr. Bauer said some of his clients were employed physicians, and he thinks they will become a bigger factor now that fewer doctors remain in private practice. The chief barrier for employed physicians is the restrictive covenant that prevents them from setting up a practice nearby. But Dr. Bauer said some employers are willing to waive restrictive covenants for retainer-based doctors.

New physicians are also adopting the concierge model. Dr. Forbush said physicians straight out of residency have set up DPC practices in Maine. They signed up patients for their new practices even before they graduated, he said.

Retainer-based medicine is still mainly limited to primary care physicians, but according to Dr. Bauer, it can also work for specialists who have long-term relationships with patients, such as cardiologists, ob.gyns., rheumatologists, neurologists, and endocrinologists.
 

No going back

Most doctors who make the switch to retainer-based practice understand that there’s likely no going back. When Dr. Bernstein switched, he announced the change to patients and canceled insurance contracts. “It was make or break,” he said. “I had no parachute.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

It took Michael Golden, MD, 5 years to decide to switch to a concierge practice, in which patients pay a monthly or annual fee for more personalized care. Dr. Golden, an internist in Beverly, Mass., changed course in 2021, during the COVID-19 pandemic.

“I’m not sure why I hesitated for so long,” said Dr. Golden.

Once they take the plunge into concierge practice or direct primary care (DPC) – a related form of retainer-based practice – many doctors are delighted with the change. But taking the plunge is a big step that they sometimes put off for years.

“The main factors for waiting are fear, uncertainty, and doubt,” said Leigh “Jack” Forbush, DO, a family physician who runs a DPC practice in Hampden, Maine, and mentors doctors contemplating the switch.

According to Dr. Forbush, the critical questions doctors ask themselves are, “Will I be able to find enough paying patients?” and – in the case of DPC practices, which cancel insurance – “Can I live without the money I get from insurers?”

Terry Bauer, CEO of Specialdocs Consultants in Highland Park, Ill., which helps doctors move to a concierge practice, said many of his clients put off the decision for as long as 15 years.

“Clients became progressively worn out – or even burnt out – by the demands of fee-for-service medicine,” said Dr. Bauer. “For women, the tipping point can be when their kids ask, ‘Mom, do you like your job better than me?’ For men, it may be more about feeling tired and unsatisfied with their work.”

But once these doctors make the switch, it’s with all their heart. “A client recently told me that if he couldn’t open a concierge practice, he might have to quit medicine,” Dr. Bauer said. “And he’s only 51.”
 

Few doctors regret switching

A 2020 survey of DPC physicians for the Society of Actuaries found that 99% reported having better or much better overall personal and professional satisfaction.

Retainer-based physicians report feeling much more relaxed after they start a concierge practice. On many workdays, Dr. Golden takes a walk on a trail in the woods behind his office. “That’s something I couldn’t do before,” he said. “And I go to my kids’ soccer games. I’m able to be present in their lives now.”

Since retainer-based doctors have markedly fewer patients, they can form personal relationships with each one. When Dr. Golden switched, he “went from having a couple of thousand patients to a few hundred,” he said.

“I know each patient now,” said Dorothy Cohen Serna, MD, an internist in Cypress, Tex., who moved to concierge in 2017. “I don’t need to look at their chart to know who they are.”

Dr. Serna said patients’ close relationship with her helped them get through the worst months of the pandemic. “They were scared, depressed, and concerned, and they needed a lot of individual attention,” she said.

Because they see fewer patients, concierge doctors can lengthen appointment times to about 30 minutes – or longer, if necessary. They no longer have a problem answering patients’ “doorknob questions” – wholly new concerns brought up at the end of the visit.

“The appointment might be for a sprained ankle, and then the patient might mention they haven’t been sleeping well,” Dr. Golden said. “I have time to talk about that without worrying that my schedule is getting backed up.”
 

Why patients sign up

Retainer-based practices are still an exotic concept in many areas, but patients are beginning to understand the value, said Shalini Kaneriya, MD, an internist in Herndon, Va,, who switched her practice to concierge in 2018.

Several hundred patients followed her into her new practice because “people realized their care would be better if they had a concierge doctor,” she said. Two years ago, partly because of growing demand, she recruited another physician as an associate.

“People want a relationship with their doctor,” Dr. Serna added. “It’s hard to provide that in a regular practice.”

Todd Granger, MD, an internist who opened a DPC practice in Chapel Hill, N.C., in 2016, said new patients often mention feeling rushed through appointments with their previous doctors. Also, “it’s hard to get to see a doctor around here.”

Scott Bernstein, MD, an internist who runs a DPC practice in Scottsdale, Ariz., said he can arrange to have patients see specialists much faster than if they try to make appointments on their own. “I personally call specialists and then prep my patients on how to deal with the appointment,” he said.

Retainer-based practices tend to have a greater number of older and chronically ill patients, but they also attract patients who need less care. “The healthier patients find value in our proactive approach to prevention and wellness,” Dr. Serna said.

Some concierge physicians charge higher fees to patients who need more care, but many decide this is too complicated and charge everyone the same fee. Dr. Granger said he initially had a variable fee schedule, but when some lower-paying patients began to need more visits, he had to consider charging them extra. “Now I basically have just one fee,” he said.
 

Not a good fit for many physicians

Dr. Bauer said a lot of physicians are interested in retainer-based practice, but many of them might not make the income they had hoped for. Specialdocs interviews physicians who inquire about the model and ultimately doesn’t contract with 80% of them, Dr. Bauer said.

To be able to sign up and retain enough patients, the doctor’s attitude is important. “You have to be driven by the desire to go deep with patients -- to work hard with them and deal with their issues,” said Erika Bliss, MD, who runs a DPC practice in Seattle.

Dr. Bernstein said retainer-based physicians have to be interested in lifestyle issues, such as diet, exercise, and sleep. “I spend a lot of time dealing with issues like how to incorporate physical activity into daily routines,” he said. “Some doctors wouldn’t enjoy doing that.”

Also, concierge physicians have to be available all the time. “Patients have my cell phone number,” Dr. Granger said. “They could call in the middle of the night, but they usually don’t.”

To ensure that they get some time off, many concierge physicians have partners. Dr. Bernstein and another DPC doctor maintain separate practices but cover for each other. Each takes every other weekend off plus 6 weeks every year.
 

Can you attract enough patients?

A key challenge is finding enough patients to sustain a concierge practice. Planning the switch involves setting a target number of patients needed for the doctor to make a decent income after paying practice expenses. For example, a doctor charging $300 a month to 250 patients would gross $900,000 per year, and then pay practice expenses from that.

Attracting the target number of patients can take months or even years. After almost 6 years, Dr. Granger said, he has around 240 patients ― well below his target number of 440.

Partly because the practice model is not well known in North Carolina, Dr. Granger set his fee very low, at $60 a month, then raised it to $75. That means his practice has been grossing just $216,000 a year. But he is not about to give up. He plans to raise his fee in July and hopes that word of mouth will add more patients.

If physicians cannot earn enough in their concierge practice, Dr. Bauer said, they may moonlight at a local hospital or work for a telemedicine company. He hasn’t heard of physicians closing their concierge practice and returning to their previous practice model. “They didn’t like what they were doing before,” he said.
 

Opening up to lower-income patients

Dr. Granger’s $75 monthly fee is an example of how retainer-based medicine has transformed itself from a gold-plated service for rich people to a service that middle-class and even lower-income people can afford. DPC practices like Dr. Granger’s have dramatically lowered expenses by cutting out the need to bill insurance companies. Some DPC practices further reduce expenses by not having any staff and by renting out office space.

Dr. Forbush’s Pine Tree State patients are mostly blue-collar workers – electricians, plumbers, people who work in small businesses. He charges them $150 a month, which most patients who don’t have health insurance can afford. He said three-quarters of his patients lack health insurance, although some have back-up finances, such as health savings accounts.

Since his patients have to pay out of pocket for tests and specialists, Dr. Forbush keeps referrals in check by handling many problems himself. “Since I have more time to spend with the patient, I can often work out issues that other doctors might ask specialists to deal with,” he said.

He has learned some dermatologic procedures. “There are plenty of things I can handle on my own,” he said.

Dr. Granger adds that by examining patients during longer appointments, expensive diagnostic exams are not always necessary.
 

The challenges for this model

Many experts warn that retainer-based practices won’t work for doctors who want to leave employment or for doctors fresh out of residency. Not having your own patients to bring into the new practice is a big minus, because this is the best way to start the new practice.

Still, there are other ways to find patients. Dr. Bauer said physicians can advertise online, make themselves known by giving speeches in the community, or contract with small employers to treat their workers.

Dr. Bauer said some of his clients were employed physicians, and he thinks they will become a bigger factor now that fewer doctors remain in private practice. The chief barrier for employed physicians is the restrictive covenant that prevents them from setting up a practice nearby. But Dr. Bauer said some employers are willing to waive restrictive covenants for retainer-based doctors.

New physicians are also adopting the concierge model. Dr. Forbush said physicians straight out of residency have set up DPC practices in Maine. They signed up patients for their new practices even before they graduated, he said.

Retainer-based medicine is still mainly limited to primary care physicians, but according to Dr. Bauer, it can also work for specialists who have long-term relationships with patients, such as cardiologists, ob.gyns., rheumatologists, neurologists, and endocrinologists.
 

No going back

Most doctors who make the switch to retainer-based practice understand that there’s likely no going back. When Dr. Bernstein switched, he announced the change to patients and canceled insurance contracts. “It was make or break,” he said. “I had no parachute.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Kami, a mother of one daughter in central Texas, lost three pregnancies in 2008. The third one nearly killed her.

The embryo became implanted in one of the fallopian tubes connecting her ovaries to her uterus. Because fallopian tubes can’t stretch to accommodate a fetus, patients must undergo surgery to remove the embryo before the tube ruptures. Failure to do so can result in internal bleeding and death.

But when Kami – who did not want to use her last name to avoid harassment – underwent an ultrasound to start the process of extracting the embryo, her doctor miscalculated how far along in the pregnancy she was and told her to come back in a few weeks.

She eventually did return, but only after passing out in the bathtub and waking up in a pool of her own blood. The tube had ruptured, and to remove it, emergency surgery was necessary.

Stories such as Kami’s could become more common in the aftermath of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 case that created a right to an abortion.

Experts fear that antiabortion laws that take effect in the United States following the court’s decision will lead to a medical and legal limbo for thousands of people like Kami – people with uncommon reproductive conditions whose treatments involve the termination of pregnancies or the destruction of embryos.
 

Vague exceptions prompt concerns

According to the Guttmacher Institute, a nonprofit group for reproductive health, 13 states currently have trigger laws on the books that make abortion illegal in the absence of Roe. Nine other states have laws that would outlaw or severely restrict abortion without a federal right to the procedure.

Each of these laws carves out exceptions that allow the termination of a pregnancy to prevent the death of the pregnant individual. But the language of the provisions is not always precise in describing what those exceptions mean in practice, according to Elizabeth Nash, the principal policy associate for state issues at the Guttmacher Institute.

“These exceptions are designed to be extraordinarily narrow. These aren’t really designed to be usable exceptions,” Ms. Nash said. “There’s so much misinformation about abortion that there are probably legislators out there who think that it’s never needed to save a life.”
 

Tubal pregnancies

One of the best examples of a pregnancy termination that’s necessary to avoid death is in the case of an ectopic pregnancy such as Kami experienced. Without treatment to end the pregnancy, the embryo will eventually grow so large that the tube ruptures, causing massive bleeding that can kill the mother.

Most state laws regarding abortion exclude treatment of ectopic pregnancy, according to Ms. Nash. But, “if the state does not exclude ectopic pregnancy from all the regulations, then people might not be able to get the care that they need when they need it.”

The current abortion law in Texas, for example, prohibits ending a pregnancy after 6 weeks, or after cardiac activity becomes present. Cardiac activity can be present in cases of ectopic pregnancies, which account for between 1% and 2% of all pregnancies and are the leading cause of maternal deaths in the first trimester. And treatment definitely ends the life of the embryo or fetus in the fallopian tube, said Lisa Harris, MD, PhD, an ob.gyn. and medical ethicist at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Dr. Harris said she has never doubted that an ectopic pregnancy cannot possibly result in a live birth. But she recalled an encounter with another clinician on a surgical team for an ectopic pregnancy who said: “So you’re going to take it out of the tube and put it in the uterus, right?”

“It was a startling moment,” Dr. Harris recalled. She regarded the procedure as a “lifesaving, obvious surgery,” but her colleague, whose suggestion was a medical impossibility since the window of implantation is very brief after fertilization, viewed it “as an abortion, as killing an embryo or fetus.”

Dr. Harris said she isn’t concerned that physicians would stop treating ectopic pregnancies in a post-Roe world. Rather, she worries about two other possibilities: an overzealous prosecutor might not believe it was an ectopic pregnancy and press charges; or laws will cause physicians to second guess their clinical decisions for patients.

“What it means, in the middle of the night, when someone comes in with a 10-week ectopic pregnancy with a heartbeat, is the doctor may hesitate,” Dr. Harris said. Despite knowing the appropriate treatment, the doctor may want to speak with a lawyer or ethicist first to ensure they are covered legally. “And as that process unfolds, which could take hours or days, the person might have a complication.” s

Not treating an ectopic pregnancy would be malpractice, but “some doctors may not provide the standard of care that they would have ordinarily provided because they don’t want to risk breaking the law,” she said.

Even more ambiguous are cornual ectopic pregnancies, in which the implantation occurs at the junction of a fallopian tube and the uterus. These pregnancies, which make up 2%-4% of all tubal pregnancies, are immediately adjacent to the uterus. If an abortion is defined as the termination of an embryo or fetus in the womb, how such a legal definition would apply to these pregnancies is unclear.

An ob.gyn. wouldn’t regard ending an ectopic pregnancy as an abortion, but “this is not about logic or clinical meaning,” Dr. Harris said. “This is people outside of medicine making determinations that all pregnancies must continue, and when you think of a ban that way, you could see why a doctor would be frightened to end a pregnancy, whether it might be viable in the future or not.”

That’s true even if the pregnancy is located fully in the uterus. Dr. Harris described a pregnant patient she saw who had traveled from Texas to Michigan with a fetus that had a lethal defect.

The fetus had “an anomaly where the lungs couldn’t develop, where there were no kidneys. There was no chance this baby could be born and live. Her doctors were very clear that there will never be a baby that [she could] take home at the end of this pregnancy, yet they would not end her pregnancy because that would be an abortion,” Dr. Harris said.

Texas law “doesn’t make any allowances for whether a pregnancy will ever actually result in a baby or not,” Dr. Harris said. “The law, in effect, just says all pregnancies must continue.”
 

Selective reduction

How abortion laws in different states might affect selective reduction, which is used in some pregnancies to reduce the total number of fetuses a person is carrying, is even more ambiguous. The goal of selective reduction is to decrease health risks to the pregnant individual and increase the likelihood of survival for the remaining fetuses. Current Texas law prohibits these procedures.

Someone pregnant with quintuplets, for example, might seek selection reduction to reduce the pregnancy outcome to triplets or twins. A related procedure, selective termination, is used to terminate the life of a fetus with abnormalities while the pregnancy of the fetus’ in utero siblings continues.

The advent of assisted reproduction methods, such as in vitro fertilization (IVF), greatly increased the incidence of higher-order multiples, those with three or more fetuses. The first IVF baby was born in 1978. By 1998, the rate of higher-order multiple births was 1.9 per 1,000 births, five times the figure in 1980. The rate has since decreased by nearly half, to 1 per 1,000 births, but with 3.75 million live births a year, that’s still a lot of pregnancies with higher-order multiples.

The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists does not provide explicit guidance on when selective reduction is warranted, but its committee opinion on multifetal pregnancy reduction provides an ethical framework for providers to use when counseling people with pregnancies of three or more fetuses. How would various state laws that outlaw abortion affect these decisions? No one knows.

“Selective reduction ends the life of a fetus or embryo, but it doesn’t end the pregnancy,” Dr. Harris said. “So, if the pregnancy continues but it kills an embryo or fetus, is that an abortion?”
 

‘The question of the hour’

Dr. Harris and other doctors are haunted by potential medical cases in which continuing a pregnancy may result in the death of the person carrying the fetus but in which such death may not be so imminent that the law would allow immediate termination of the pregnancy.

Michael Northrup, MD, an intensive care pediatrician in Winston-Salem, N.C., recalled a particularly harrowing case that illustrates the peril in deciding when someone’s life is “enough” in danger to qualify as an exception to abortion bans.

The 14-year-old girl had severe lupus and kidney failure that required treatment with methotrexate and immediate dialysis to replace her electrolytes. A standard pretreatment pregnancy test revealed that she had been carrying a child for at least 10 weeks. Her pregnancy presented two problems. Methotrexate is so severely toxic that it’s sometimes used to end pregnancies. Even at low doses, fetuses that survive usually have severe deformities. In addition, dialysis requires administration of a blood thinner. If the teen miscarried while taking a blood thinner during dialysis, she risked bleeding to death.

Treatment could be delayed until week 24 of pregnancy, at which time delivery could be attempted, but the patient likely wouldn’t have any kidney function left by then. In addition, at 24 weeks, it was unlikely that the baby would survive anyway.

Dr. Northrup said that, had she chosen that route, “I’m not sure she would have made it. This was a religious family, people who very much were believers. They had their head of church come in, who fairly quickly determined that the best thing for her health was to terminate this pregnancy immediately and get the treatment she needed for her body.”

Would such a situation qualify for an emergency termination? The girl wasn’t going to die within 24 or 48 hours, but it may not have been possible to pinpoint the time of death within a day or 2.

“The family was sad, but they made that choice, and I wonder, would we have to justify that with these new laws?” Dr. Northrup said. “You definitely worry, being in the hot seat, ‘Does this count enough? Is she close enough to death?’ ”

The same question comes up when someone’s water breaks early in the second trimester. Since a live-birth delivery would be highly unlikely, given the age of the fetus, the standard of care is to offer to terminate the pregnancy to avoid a serious infection, Dr. Harris said. But if the infection hasn’t yet developed – even if it’s likely to develop soon – doctors in a state that outlaws abortion would not be able to offer termination. But as providers wait for an infection to develop, the person’s risk of dying from infection rapidly increases.

“How likely does someone need to be to die for it to count to get a life-preserving abortion?” Dr. Harris asked. “That, I think, is the question of the hour.”

Different institutions may decide to determine their own risk thresholds. One hospital, for example, may decide that any health threat that is associated with a 10% risk of death qualifies for a lifesaving abortion. But for many people, a 1 in 10 chance of dying is quite high.

“Who gets to decide what’s meaningful?” Dr. Harris asked, especially if the patient is already a parent of living children and doesn’t want to take any risk at all of orphaning them for a pregnancy with severe complications.

“The point is that this is way more complicated than anybody really knows, way more complicated than any legislator or justice could possibly know, and it creates all kinds of complicated ambiguities, some of which could result in harm to women,” she said. “I’ve been a doctor almost 30 years, and every week, sometimes every day, I’m humbled by how complicated pregnancy is and how complicated people’s bodies and life situations are.”

That’s what makes it so dangerous for policymakers to “insert themselves into medical practice,” Ms. Nash said. She worries about the legal ramifications of overturning Roe, such as prosecution of people who illegally undergo an abortion or of physicians who perform a procedure that a judge deems to be in violation of abortion law.

“There are already local prosecutors who have misused the law to go after people who have managed their own abortions,” Ms. Nash said. “Criminal abortion law, fetal homicide, child neglect, practicing medicine without a license – these are things people have actually been arrested and convicted under.”

Some laws may target the person seeking an abortion, whereas others may target clinicians providing abortions, or even people who simply help someone obtain an abortion, as the Texas law does. In Dr. Harris’s own state of Michigan, a group of Republican lawmakers recently introduced a bill that would imprison abortion providers for up to 10 years and anyone creating or distributing abortion medication for up to 20 years.

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat who called the proposed legislation “disturbing” and “infuriating,” would almost certainly veto the bill, but it’s just one of dozens already filed or that are expected to be filed across the United States.

The antiabortion organization National Right to Life has published a “post-Roe model abortion law” for states to adopt. The model includes an exemption for abortions that, “based on reasonable medical judgment, [were] necessary to prevent the death of the pregnant woman” – but, again, it does not clarify what that means in practice.
 

Lectures from strangers

Four years after nearly dying, Kami gave birth to a healthy girl following an uncomplicated pregnancy. But her journey to having more children presented more challenges.

Two years after the birth of her child, she had another ectopic pregnancy. Her doctor sent her prescriptions for medication that would end this pregnancy, but a pharmacist refused to fill the prescription.

“Do you know these are very serious medications?” the pharmacist asked her. She did – she had taken them once before for another ectopic pregnancy. She was with her daughter, feeling devastated about losing yet another desired pregnancy. She simply wanted to get the medication and go home.

“‘So you’re trying to have a cheap abortion,’ he said, and 30 heads turned and looked at me. The whole pharmacy heard,” Kami said.

She told the pharmacist that she’d miscarried. She said he responded with: “So you have a dead baby in your body.”

Even after her doctor called to insist on filling the order, the man refused to fill it.

Kami left without the prescription, and her doctor performed a surgical dilation and curettage to remove the embryo from her fallopian tube for no fee.

Kami later tried again to have more children. She experienced another ruptured tube that she said nearly killed her.

“There was such a sense of pain knowing that I couldn’t have any more kids, but also the relief of knowing that I don’t have to go through this again,” Kami said. Now, however, with the Supreme Court having overturned Roe v. Wade, she has a new worry: “That my daughter will not have the same rights and access to health care that I did.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Kami, a mother of one daughter in central Texas, lost three pregnancies in 2008. The third one nearly killed her.

The embryo became implanted in one of the fallopian tubes connecting her ovaries to her uterus. Because fallopian tubes can’t stretch to accommodate a fetus, patients must undergo surgery to remove the embryo before the tube ruptures. Failure to do so can result in internal bleeding and death.

But when Kami – who did not want to use her last name to avoid harassment – underwent an ultrasound to start the process of extracting the embryo, her doctor miscalculated how far along in the pregnancy she was and told her to come back in a few weeks.

She eventually did return, but only after passing out in the bathtub and waking up in a pool of her own blood. The tube had ruptured, and to remove it, emergency surgery was necessary.

Stories such as Kami’s could become more common in the aftermath of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 case that created a right to an abortion.

Experts fear that antiabortion laws that take effect in the United States following the court’s decision will lead to a medical and legal limbo for thousands of people like Kami – people with uncommon reproductive conditions whose treatments involve the termination of pregnancies or the destruction of embryos.
 

Vague exceptions prompt concerns

According to the Guttmacher Institute, a nonprofit group for reproductive health, 13 states currently have trigger laws on the books that make abortion illegal in the absence of Roe. Nine other states have laws that would outlaw or severely restrict abortion without a federal right to the procedure.

Each of these laws carves out exceptions that allow the termination of a pregnancy to prevent the death of the pregnant individual. But the language of the provisions is not always precise in describing what those exceptions mean in practice, according to Elizabeth Nash, the principal policy associate for state issues at the Guttmacher Institute.

“These exceptions are designed to be extraordinarily narrow. These aren’t really designed to be usable exceptions,” Ms. Nash said. “There’s so much misinformation about abortion that there are probably legislators out there who think that it’s never needed to save a life.”
 

Tubal pregnancies

One of the best examples of a pregnancy termination that’s necessary to avoid death is in the case of an ectopic pregnancy such as Kami experienced. Without treatment to end the pregnancy, the embryo will eventually grow so large that the tube ruptures, causing massive bleeding that can kill the mother.

Most state laws regarding abortion exclude treatment of ectopic pregnancy, according to Ms. Nash. But, “if the state does not exclude ectopic pregnancy from all the regulations, then people might not be able to get the care that they need when they need it.”

The current abortion law in Texas, for example, prohibits ending a pregnancy after 6 weeks, or after cardiac activity becomes present. Cardiac activity can be present in cases of ectopic pregnancies, which account for between 1% and 2% of all pregnancies and are the leading cause of maternal deaths in the first trimester. And treatment definitely ends the life of the embryo or fetus in the fallopian tube, said Lisa Harris, MD, PhD, an ob.gyn. and medical ethicist at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Dr. Harris said she has never doubted that an ectopic pregnancy cannot possibly result in a live birth. But she recalled an encounter with another clinician on a surgical team for an ectopic pregnancy who said: “So you’re going to take it out of the tube and put it in the uterus, right?”

“It was a startling moment,” Dr. Harris recalled. She regarded the procedure as a “lifesaving, obvious surgery,” but her colleague, whose suggestion was a medical impossibility since the window of implantation is very brief after fertilization, viewed it “as an abortion, as killing an embryo or fetus.”

Dr. Harris said she isn’t concerned that physicians would stop treating ectopic pregnancies in a post-Roe world. Rather, she worries about two other possibilities: an overzealous prosecutor might not believe it was an ectopic pregnancy and press charges; or laws will cause physicians to second guess their clinical decisions for patients.

“What it means, in the middle of the night, when someone comes in with a 10-week ectopic pregnancy with a heartbeat, is the doctor may hesitate,” Dr. Harris said. Despite knowing the appropriate treatment, the doctor may want to speak with a lawyer or ethicist first to ensure they are covered legally. “And as that process unfolds, which could take hours or days, the person might have a complication.” s

Not treating an ectopic pregnancy would be malpractice, but “some doctors may not provide the standard of care that they would have ordinarily provided because they don’t want to risk breaking the law,” she said.

Even more ambiguous are cornual ectopic pregnancies, in which the implantation occurs at the junction of a fallopian tube and the uterus. These pregnancies, which make up 2%-4% of all tubal pregnancies, are immediately adjacent to the uterus. If an abortion is defined as the termination of an embryo or fetus in the womb, how such a legal definition would apply to these pregnancies is unclear.

An ob.gyn. wouldn’t regard ending an ectopic pregnancy as an abortion, but “this is not about logic or clinical meaning,” Dr. Harris said. “This is people outside of medicine making determinations that all pregnancies must continue, and when you think of a ban that way, you could see why a doctor would be frightened to end a pregnancy, whether it might be viable in the future or not.”

That’s true even if the pregnancy is located fully in the uterus. Dr. Harris described a pregnant patient she saw who had traveled from Texas to Michigan with a fetus that had a lethal defect.

The fetus had “an anomaly where the lungs couldn’t develop, where there were no kidneys. There was no chance this baby could be born and live. Her doctors were very clear that there will never be a baby that [she could] take home at the end of this pregnancy, yet they would not end her pregnancy because that would be an abortion,” Dr. Harris said.

Texas law “doesn’t make any allowances for whether a pregnancy will ever actually result in a baby or not,” Dr. Harris said. “The law, in effect, just says all pregnancies must continue.”
 

Selective reduction

How abortion laws in different states might affect selective reduction, which is used in some pregnancies to reduce the total number of fetuses a person is carrying, is even more ambiguous. The goal of selective reduction is to decrease health risks to the pregnant individual and increase the likelihood of survival for the remaining fetuses. Current Texas law prohibits these procedures.

Someone pregnant with quintuplets, for example, might seek selection reduction to reduce the pregnancy outcome to triplets or twins. A related procedure, selective termination, is used to terminate the life of a fetus with abnormalities while the pregnancy of the fetus’ in utero siblings continues.

The advent of assisted reproduction methods, such as in vitro fertilization (IVF), greatly increased the incidence of higher-order multiples, those with three or more fetuses. The first IVF baby was born in 1978. By 1998, the rate of higher-order multiple births was 1.9 per 1,000 births, five times the figure in 1980. The rate has since decreased by nearly half, to 1 per 1,000 births, but with 3.75 million live births a year, that’s still a lot of pregnancies with higher-order multiples.

The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists does not provide explicit guidance on when selective reduction is warranted, but its committee opinion on multifetal pregnancy reduction provides an ethical framework for providers to use when counseling people with pregnancies of three or more fetuses. How would various state laws that outlaw abortion affect these decisions? No one knows.

“Selective reduction ends the life of a fetus or embryo, but it doesn’t end the pregnancy,” Dr. Harris said. “So, if the pregnancy continues but it kills an embryo or fetus, is that an abortion?”
 

‘The question of the hour’

Dr. Harris and other doctors are haunted by potential medical cases in which continuing a pregnancy may result in the death of the person carrying the fetus but in which such death may not be so imminent that the law would allow immediate termination of the pregnancy.

Michael Northrup, MD, an intensive care pediatrician in Winston-Salem, N.C., recalled a particularly harrowing case that illustrates the peril in deciding when someone’s life is “enough” in danger to qualify as an exception to abortion bans.

The 14-year-old girl had severe lupus and kidney failure that required treatment with methotrexate and immediate dialysis to replace her electrolytes. A standard pretreatment pregnancy test revealed that she had been carrying a child for at least 10 weeks. Her pregnancy presented two problems. Methotrexate is so severely toxic that it’s sometimes used to end pregnancies. Even at low doses, fetuses that survive usually have severe deformities. In addition, dialysis requires administration of a blood thinner. If the teen miscarried while taking a blood thinner during dialysis, she risked bleeding to death.

Treatment could be delayed until week 24 of pregnancy, at which time delivery could be attempted, but the patient likely wouldn’t have any kidney function left by then. In addition, at 24 weeks, it was unlikely that the baby would survive anyway.

Dr. Northrup said that, had she chosen that route, “I’m not sure she would have made it. This was a religious family, people who very much were believers. They had their head of church come in, who fairly quickly determined that the best thing for her health was to terminate this pregnancy immediately and get the treatment she needed for her body.”

Would such a situation qualify for an emergency termination? The girl wasn’t going to die within 24 or 48 hours, but it may not have been possible to pinpoint the time of death within a day or 2.

“The family was sad, but they made that choice, and I wonder, would we have to justify that with these new laws?” Dr. Northrup said. “You definitely worry, being in the hot seat, ‘Does this count enough? Is she close enough to death?’ ”

The same question comes up when someone’s water breaks early in the second trimester. Since a live-birth delivery would be highly unlikely, given the age of the fetus, the standard of care is to offer to terminate the pregnancy to avoid a serious infection, Dr. Harris said. But if the infection hasn’t yet developed – even if it’s likely to develop soon – doctors in a state that outlaws abortion would not be able to offer termination. But as providers wait for an infection to develop, the person’s risk of dying from infection rapidly increases.

“How likely does someone need to be to die for it to count to get a life-preserving abortion?” Dr. Harris asked. “That, I think, is the question of the hour.”

Different institutions may decide to determine their own risk thresholds. One hospital, for example, may decide that any health threat that is associated with a 10% risk of death qualifies for a lifesaving abortion. But for many people, a 1 in 10 chance of dying is quite high.

“Who gets to decide what’s meaningful?” Dr. Harris asked, especially if the patient is already a parent of living children and doesn’t want to take any risk at all of orphaning them for a pregnancy with severe complications.

“The point is that this is way more complicated than anybody really knows, way more complicated than any legislator or justice could possibly know, and it creates all kinds of complicated ambiguities, some of which could result in harm to women,” she said. “I’ve been a doctor almost 30 years, and every week, sometimes every day, I’m humbled by how complicated pregnancy is and how complicated people’s bodies and life situations are.”

That’s what makes it so dangerous for policymakers to “insert themselves into medical practice,” Ms. Nash said. She worries about the legal ramifications of overturning Roe, such as prosecution of people who illegally undergo an abortion or of physicians who perform a procedure that a judge deems to be in violation of abortion law.

“There are already local prosecutors who have misused the law to go after people who have managed their own abortions,” Ms. Nash said. “Criminal abortion law, fetal homicide, child neglect, practicing medicine without a license – these are things people have actually been arrested and convicted under.”

Some laws may target the person seeking an abortion, whereas others may target clinicians providing abortions, or even people who simply help someone obtain an abortion, as the Texas law does. In Dr. Harris’s own state of Michigan, a group of Republican lawmakers recently introduced a bill that would imprison abortion providers for up to 10 years and anyone creating or distributing abortion medication for up to 20 years.

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat who called the proposed legislation “disturbing” and “infuriating,” would almost certainly veto the bill, but it’s just one of dozens already filed or that are expected to be filed across the United States.

The antiabortion organization National Right to Life has published a “post-Roe model abortion law” for states to adopt. The model includes an exemption for abortions that, “based on reasonable medical judgment, [were] necessary to prevent the death of the pregnant woman” – but, again, it does not clarify what that means in practice.
 

Lectures from strangers

Four years after nearly dying, Kami gave birth to a healthy girl following an uncomplicated pregnancy. But her journey to having more children presented more challenges.

Two years after the birth of her child, she had another ectopic pregnancy. Her doctor sent her prescriptions for medication that would end this pregnancy, but a pharmacist refused to fill the prescription.

“Do you know these are very serious medications?” the pharmacist asked her. She did – she had taken them once before for another ectopic pregnancy. She was with her daughter, feeling devastated about losing yet another desired pregnancy. She simply wanted to get the medication and go home.

“‘So you’re trying to have a cheap abortion,’ he said, and 30 heads turned and looked at me. The whole pharmacy heard,” Kami said.

She told the pharmacist that she’d miscarried. She said he responded with: “So you have a dead baby in your body.”

Even after her doctor called to insist on filling the order, the man refused to fill it.

Kami left without the prescription, and her doctor performed a surgical dilation and curettage to remove the embryo from her fallopian tube for no fee.

Kami later tried again to have more children. She experienced another ruptured tube that she said nearly killed her.

“There was such a sense of pain knowing that I couldn’t have any more kids, but also the relief of knowing that I don’t have to go through this again,” Kami said. Now, however, with the Supreme Court having overturned Roe v. Wade, she has a new worry: “That my daughter will not have the same rights and access to health care that I did.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Kami, a mother of one daughter in central Texas, lost three pregnancies in 2008. The third one nearly killed her.

The embryo became implanted in one of the fallopian tubes connecting her ovaries to her uterus. Because fallopian tubes can’t stretch to accommodate a fetus, patients must undergo surgery to remove the embryo before the tube ruptures. Failure to do so can result in internal bleeding and death.

But when Kami – who did not want to use her last name to avoid harassment – underwent an ultrasound to start the process of extracting the embryo, her doctor miscalculated how far along in the pregnancy she was and told her to come back in a few weeks.

She eventually did return, but only after passing out in the bathtub and waking up in a pool of her own blood. The tube had ruptured, and to remove it, emergency surgery was necessary.

Stories such as Kami’s could become more common in the aftermath of the U.S. Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, the 1973 case that created a right to an abortion.

Experts fear that antiabortion laws that take effect in the United States following the court’s decision will lead to a medical and legal limbo for thousands of people like Kami – people with uncommon reproductive conditions whose treatments involve the termination of pregnancies or the destruction of embryos.
 

Vague exceptions prompt concerns

According to the Guttmacher Institute, a nonprofit group for reproductive health, 13 states currently have trigger laws on the books that make abortion illegal in the absence of Roe. Nine other states have laws that would outlaw or severely restrict abortion without a federal right to the procedure.

Each of these laws carves out exceptions that allow the termination of a pregnancy to prevent the death of the pregnant individual. But the language of the provisions is not always precise in describing what those exceptions mean in practice, according to Elizabeth Nash, the principal policy associate for state issues at the Guttmacher Institute.

“These exceptions are designed to be extraordinarily narrow. These aren’t really designed to be usable exceptions,” Ms. Nash said. “There’s so much misinformation about abortion that there are probably legislators out there who think that it’s never needed to save a life.”
 

Tubal pregnancies

One of the best examples of a pregnancy termination that’s necessary to avoid death is in the case of an ectopic pregnancy such as Kami experienced. Without treatment to end the pregnancy, the embryo will eventually grow so large that the tube ruptures, causing massive bleeding that can kill the mother.

Most state laws regarding abortion exclude treatment of ectopic pregnancy, according to Ms. Nash. But, “if the state does not exclude ectopic pregnancy from all the regulations, then people might not be able to get the care that they need when they need it.”

The current abortion law in Texas, for example, prohibits ending a pregnancy after 6 weeks, or after cardiac activity becomes present. Cardiac activity can be present in cases of ectopic pregnancies, which account for between 1% and 2% of all pregnancies and are the leading cause of maternal deaths in the first trimester. And treatment definitely ends the life of the embryo or fetus in the fallopian tube, said Lisa Harris, MD, PhD, an ob.gyn. and medical ethicist at the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor.

Dr. Harris said she has never doubted that an ectopic pregnancy cannot possibly result in a live birth. But she recalled an encounter with another clinician on a surgical team for an ectopic pregnancy who said: “So you’re going to take it out of the tube and put it in the uterus, right?”

“It was a startling moment,” Dr. Harris recalled. She regarded the procedure as a “lifesaving, obvious surgery,” but her colleague, whose suggestion was a medical impossibility since the window of implantation is very brief after fertilization, viewed it “as an abortion, as killing an embryo or fetus.”

Dr. Harris said she isn’t concerned that physicians would stop treating ectopic pregnancies in a post-Roe world. Rather, she worries about two other possibilities: an overzealous prosecutor might not believe it was an ectopic pregnancy and press charges; or laws will cause physicians to second guess their clinical decisions for patients.

“What it means, in the middle of the night, when someone comes in with a 10-week ectopic pregnancy with a heartbeat, is the doctor may hesitate,” Dr. Harris said. Despite knowing the appropriate treatment, the doctor may want to speak with a lawyer or ethicist first to ensure they are covered legally. “And as that process unfolds, which could take hours or days, the person might have a complication.” s

Not treating an ectopic pregnancy would be malpractice, but “some doctors may not provide the standard of care that they would have ordinarily provided because they don’t want to risk breaking the law,” she said.

Even more ambiguous are cornual ectopic pregnancies, in which the implantation occurs at the junction of a fallopian tube and the uterus. These pregnancies, which make up 2%-4% of all tubal pregnancies, are immediately adjacent to the uterus. If an abortion is defined as the termination of an embryo or fetus in the womb, how such a legal definition would apply to these pregnancies is unclear.

An ob.gyn. wouldn’t regard ending an ectopic pregnancy as an abortion, but “this is not about logic or clinical meaning,” Dr. Harris said. “This is people outside of medicine making determinations that all pregnancies must continue, and when you think of a ban that way, you could see why a doctor would be frightened to end a pregnancy, whether it might be viable in the future or not.”

That’s true even if the pregnancy is located fully in the uterus. Dr. Harris described a pregnant patient she saw who had traveled from Texas to Michigan with a fetus that had a lethal defect.

The fetus had “an anomaly where the lungs couldn’t develop, where there were no kidneys. There was no chance this baby could be born and live. Her doctors were very clear that there will never be a baby that [she could] take home at the end of this pregnancy, yet they would not end her pregnancy because that would be an abortion,” Dr. Harris said.

Texas law “doesn’t make any allowances for whether a pregnancy will ever actually result in a baby or not,” Dr. Harris said. “The law, in effect, just says all pregnancies must continue.”
 

Selective reduction

How abortion laws in different states might affect selective reduction, which is used in some pregnancies to reduce the total number of fetuses a person is carrying, is even more ambiguous. The goal of selective reduction is to decrease health risks to the pregnant individual and increase the likelihood of survival for the remaining fetuses. Current Texas law prohibits these procedures.

Someone pregnant with quintuplets, for example, might seek selection reduction to reduce the pregnancy outcome to triplets or twins. A related procedure, selective termination, is used to terminate the life of a fetus with abnormalities while the pregnancy of the fetus’ in utero siblings continues.

The advent of assisted reproduction methods, such as in vitro fertilization (IVF), greatly increased the incidence of higher-order multiples, those with three or more fetuses. The first IVF baby was born in 1978. By 1998, the rate of higher-order multiple births was 1.9 per 1,000 births, five times the figure in 1980. The rate has since decreased by nearly half, to 1 per 1,000 births, but with 3.75 million live births a year, that’s still a lot of pregnancies with higher-order multiples.

The American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists does not provide explicit guidance on when selective reduction is warranted, but its committee opinion on multifetal pregnancy reduction provides an ethical framework for providers to use when counseling people with pregnancies of three or more fetuses. How would various state laws that outlaw abortion affect these decisions? No one knows.

“Selective reduction ends the life of a fetus or embryo, but it doesn’t end the pregnancy,” Dr. Harris said. “So, if the pregnancy continues but it kills an embryo or fetus, is that an abortion?”
 

‘The question of the hour’

Dr. Harris and other doctors are haunted by potential medical cases in which continuing a pregnancy may result in the death of the person carrying the fetus but in which such death may not be so imminent that the law would allow immediate termination of the pregnancy.

Michael Northrup, MD, an intensive care pediatrician in Winston-Salem, N.C., recalled a particularly harrowing case that illustrates the peril in deciding when someone’s life is “enough” in danger to qualify as an exception to abortion bans.

The 14-year-old girl had severe lupus and kidney failure that required treatment with methotrexate and immediate dialysis to replace her electrolytes. A standard pretreatment pregnancy test revealed that she had been carrying a child for at least 10 weeks. Her pregnancy presented two problems. Methotrexate is so severely toxic that it’s sometimes used to end pregnancies. Even at low doses, fetuses that survive usually have severe deformities. In addition, dialysis requires administration of a blood thinner. If the teen miscarried while taking a blood thinner during dialysis, she risked bleeding to death.

Treatment could be delayed until week 24 of pregnancy, at which time delivery could be attempted, but the patient likely wouldn’t have any kidney function left by then. In addition, at 24 weeks, it was unlikely that the baby would survive anyway.

Dr. Northrup said that, had she chosen that route, “I’m not sure she would have made it. This was a religious family, people who very much were believers. They had their head of church come in, who fairly quickly determined that the best thing for her health was to terminate this pregnancy immediately and get the treatment she needed for her body.”

Would such a situation qualify for an emergency termination? The girl wasn’t going to die within 24 or 48 hours, but it may not have been possible to pinpoint the time of death within a day or 2.

“The family was sad, but they made that choice, and I wonder, would we have to justify that with these new laws?” Dr. Northrup said. “You definitely worry, being in the hot seat, ‘Does this count enough? Is she close enough to death?’ ”

The same question comes up when someone’s water breaks early in the second trimester. Since a live-birth delivery would be highly unlikely, given the age of the fetus, the standard of care is to offer to terminate the pregnancy to avoid a serious infection, Dr. Harris said. But if the infection hasn’t yet developed – even if it’s likely to develop soon – doctors in a state that outlaws abortion would not be able to offer termination. But as providers wait for an infection to develop, the person’s risk of dying from infection rapidly increases.

“How likely does someone need to be to die for it to count to get a life-preserving abortion?” Dr. Harris asked. “That, I think, is the question of the hour.”

Different institutions may decide to determine their own risk thresholds. One hospital, for example, may decide that any health threat that is associated with a 10% risk of death qualifies for a lifesaving abortion. But for many people, a 1 in 10 chance of dying is quite high.

“Who gets to decide what’s meaningful?” Dr. Harris asked, especially if the patient is already a parent of living children and doesn’t want to take any risk at all of orphaning them for a pregnancy with severe complications.

“The point is that this is way more complicated than anybody really knows, way more complicated than any legislator or justice could possibly know, and it creates all kinds of complicated ambiguities, some of which could result in harm to women,” she said. “I’ve been a doctor almost 30 years, and every week, sometimes every day, I’m humbled by how complicated pregnancy is and how complicated people’s bodies and life situations are.”

That’s what makes it so dangerous for policymakers to “insert themselves into medical practice,” Ms. Nash said. She worries about the legal ramifications of overturning Roe, such as prosecution of people who illegally undergo an abortion or of physicians who perform a procedure that a judge deems to be in violation of abortion law.

“There are already local prosecutors who have misused the law to go after people who have managed their own abortions,” Ms. Nash said. “Criminal abortion law, fetal homicide, child neglect, practicing medicine without a license – these are things people have actually been arrested and convicted under.”

Some laws may target the person seeking an abortion, whereas others may target clinicians providing abortions, or even people who simply help someone obtain an abortion, as the Texas law does. In Dr. Harris’s own state of Michigan, a group of Republican lawmakers recently introduced a bill that would imprison abortion providers for up to 10 years and anyone creating or distributing abortion medication for up to 20 years.

Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, a Democrat who called the proposed legislation “disturbing” and “infuriating,” would almost certainly veto the bill, but it’s just one of dozens already filed or that are expected to be filed across the United States.

The antiabortion organization National Right to Life has published a “post-Roe model abortion law” for states to adopt. The model includes an exemption for abortions that, “based on reasonable medical judgment, [were] necessary to prevent the death of the pregnant woman” – but, again, it does not clarify what that means in practice.
 

Lectures from strangers

Four years after nearly dying, Kami gave birth to a healthy girl following an uncomplicated pregnancy. But her journey to having more children presented more challenges.

Two years after the birth of her child, she had another ectopic pregnancy. Her doctor sent her prescriptions for medication that would end this pregnancy, but a pharmacist refused to fill the prescription.

“Do you know these are very serious medications?” the pharmacist asked her. She did – she had taken them once before for another ectopic pregnancy. She was with her daughter, feeling devastated about losing yet another desired pregnancy. She simply wanted to get the medication and go home.

“‘So you’re trying to have a cheap abortion,’ he said, and 30 heads turned and looked at me. The whole pharmacy heard,” Kami said.

She told the pharmacist that she’d miscarried. She said he responded with: “So you have a dead baby in your body.”

Even after her doctor called to insist on filling the order, the man refused to fill it.

Kami left without the prescription, and her doctor performed a surgical dilation and curettage to remove the embryo from her fallopian tube for no fee.

Kami later tried again to have more children. She experienced another ruptured tube that she said nearly killed her.

“There was such a sense of pain knowing that I couldn’t have any more kids, but also the relief of knowing that I don’t have to go through this again,” Kami said. Now, however, with the Supreme Court having overturned Roe v. Wade, she has a new worry: “That my daughter will not have the same rights and access to health care that I did.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Kip Wenger, DO, an emergency physician and systems medical director of Team Health, Knoxville, Tenn., was asked to see a patient in the emergency department. He was shocked when he realized who the patient was – a 33-year-old female physician friend and colleague.

She was bleeding from multiple self-inflicted injuries and ultimately died. “I was devastated and couldn’t wrap my head around what had just happened,” Dr. Wenger told this news organization.

It’s important for physicians to be aware of warning signs in their colleagues, such as showing up late, being irritable and short-tempered with staff, missing shifts, making mistakes, or receiving an increasing number of patient complaints, Dr. Wenger says.

Dr. Wenger had had dinner with her several weeks earlier and saw some subtle changes. He had known her as a “positive, upbeat person,” but her demeanor was different during dinner.

“There were no typical telltale signs – she was talking about her plans for the future, including buying a new bicycle – but she wasn’t herself and seemed to become tearful when I hugged her at the end of the evening,” he said. He later heard from another colleague that she had shared feeling “hopeless.”
 

The scope of the problem

According to the American Society for Suicide Prevention, roughly 300-400 physicians die by suicide annually. Although one study suggests a lower number, official reports likely underestimate suicides, study author Katherine Gold, MD, MSW, associate professor of family medicine, obstetrics, and gynecology, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, said in an interview.

Peter Yellowlees, MD, MBBS, professor of psychiatry, University of California, Davis, concurs, suggesting that some single-car accidents involving physicians might be suicides. Perry Lin, MD, assistant clinical professor, Heritage College of Osteopathic Medicine, Ohio University, Athens, and national co-chair of the Physician Suicide Awareness Committee of the American Association of Suicidology, says that some death certificates state that the deceased died of “accidental causes” because the physician who completes the certificate, possibly a colleague, is reluctant to list the actual cause of death to protect his colleague’s memory or the family’s feelings.

In general, and among physicians, White men older than 65 “represent the largest percentage of people who die from suicide nationwide,” says Dr. Lin.

But younger people are also susceptible, Dr. Lin adds. One of the most vulnerable periods for potential suicide is during the first few months of residency. This dovetails with the findings of Medscape’s 2022 report Suicide: A Tragedy of the Profession. In that report, a difference was found between frequency of suicidal thoughts in younger physicians, compared with older physicians (14% in those < 35 years vs. 8% for those ≥ 45 years).
 

Hurdles to preventing physician suicide

“The best thing that can happen in our profession is upstream intervention – if people seek help before they get to the point of suicidality, recognizing they’re under stress and duress and that they might be going down a bad pathway,” says Dr. Lin. But research suggests that many physicians don’t do so.

Gary Price, MD, attending surgeon and clinical assistant professor of surgery, Yale–New Haven Hospital, Connecticut, and president of the Physicians Foundation, says his organization has identified barriers that prevent physicians from seeking help.

The major concern is that, in many states, licensing applications still ask whether the physician has been in treatment for a mental health condition. Physicians feel they may put their licensure at risk if they admit to receiving help for mental issues. These concerns were expressed by respondents in Medscape’s above mentioned 2022 report, many of whom didn’t seek treatment for depression, burnout, or suicidal thoughts lest it affect their professional standing when renewing their license or seeking credentialing.

Although organizations and societies are advocating against these questions, a recent study found that almost 70% of U.S. states and territories continue to ask physicians about their mental health, and 28% ask for diagnoses (beyond current impairments) – a violation of the Americans With Disabilities Act.

“Mental health illness is different from mental health impairment,” Ryan Mire, MD, a Nashville, Tenn.–based internist, said in an interview. “As physicians, we’re comfortable with licensing boards asking whether the physician has any condition that might impair their care for patients, but not about a history of mental illness.”

The second barrier, says Dr. Price, is that hospital credentialing committees sometimes ask similar questions, as do commercial and malpractice insurers.

Another roadblock is that in some states, undergoing treatment for a mental health problem could be subject to discovery by a plaintiff’s attorney in a malpractice case, even if the physician’s mental health history had no effect on patient care. But that’s uncommon, says Daniel Shapiro, PhD, author of “Delivering Doctor Amelia,” a book about his treatment of a suicidal physician who underwent a malpractice lawsuit. “I’ve never seen that happen.”

A final barrier is that many employers require employees to receive treatment within their own institution or health system. “Physicians may be reluctant to get help where they work, with colleagues and friends knowing about their illness or being involved with their care,” says Dr. Price.

In 2022, the American College of Physicians (ACP) issued a toolkit to help members encourage licensing and credentialing boards to remove questions about mental health on applications and include language that supports receiving treatment, Dr. Mire says.
 

Layers of vulnerability

There are few data regarding relative risk among particular races or ethnicities, “but we know racism is a social stressor,” says Dr. Mire. “Obviously, people from historically disadvantaged populations tend to have societal stressors like discrimination and racism that add an extra layer of burden.”

Intersectionality – having multiple intersecting risk factors – may confer even higher risk. “For example, if you’re a female physician from a historically marginalized race and a resident dealing with the ‘hidden curriculum’ of trying to be resilient, you have multiple layers of vulnerability.”

There are also limited data regarding which specialties or work environments are associated with highest risk. “Obviously, challenges exist in every segment of medicine and at different ages, stages, and work environments, and they intersect with each individual physician’s personal risk factors,” says Dr. Mire, president of the ACP and assistant clinical professor of clinical medical education, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis.

Pamela Wible, MD, is an Oregon-based retired physician who herself went through a suicidal period about 11 years into her career that motivated her to embrace a new vision of clinical practice and change her practice model. After a series of physician suicides in her area, she began to speak and write openly about physician suicide, and since her retirement from clinical practice, she makes herself available on a full-time basis to distressed physicians. “When I address a conference of a particular medical specialty or a group in a particular geographical region, I focus on the specific vulnerabilities in that specialty or region,” she says.
 

What increases the chances of suicide?

“Many factors, both within and outside the professional setting, affect someone’s decision to die by suicide – after all, physicians have the same stressors as other people, like family, finances, and their own health,” Dr. Mire says. When it comes to non–work-related factors, marital stressors and comorbid psychiatric illness particularly raise the risk, says Dr. Lin.

But certain drivers are specific to the practice of medicine, with burnout and depression first in line.

Dr. Shapiro, who is vice dean for faculty and administrative affairs, Penn State University, Hershey, and the Garner James Cline Professor of Medical Humanism, conducts burnout evaluations throughout the country. “Simple depression screeners prior to the pandemic showed about a 10% major depression rate in physicians,” he told this news organization. “Now, we’re seeing a 30%-33% depression rate, even in those who weren’t frontline providers during the pandemic.”

Dr. Price agrees, noting that burnout in physicians has gone from 40% to 60% since the pandemic. But burnout doesn’t always lead to suicide. It’s when burnout progresses to depression, becomes more severe, and is untreated that the suicidal risk arises, he emphasizes.

Additionally, being a doctor isn’t “just a profession” but a “calling and identity,” says Dr. Gold. Job-related problems (for example, a malpractice suit, complaints to the medical board, loss of autonomy, changing work demands) can raise suicidal risk.

And job-related problems can inform the location of suicide, says Dr. Wible, who is the author of “Physicians Suicide Letters – Answered.”

“A work-related catalyst makes it more likely that the person will attempt or complete suicide in the work setting. Physicians have stepped off hospital rooftops, shot or stabbed themselves in hospital parking lots, or [hanged] themselves in hospital chapels. Perhaps it’s because they’re choosing to die in the place where they’ve been most wounded.”
 

You are not at fault

“If you’re feeling suicidal, you might feel utterly alone, but if there’s one message I can give you, it’s that you’re not alone, and there are many things you can do to mitigate your pain and despair,” Dr. Wible says. “And you’re not defective. It’s the health care system that’s defective. You have nothing to be ashamed of.”

Some institutions have a “buddy system” that pairs clinicians to provide mutual peer support. A partner who notices concerning signs can refer the other partner for help. Physicians can also be paired with a “buddy,” even without a formal institutional structure.

A “buddy” is a step in the right direction, but Dr. Shapiro cautions it might be necessary to consult a trained professional for serious depression or suicidality. Several states provide connection to local resources. Employee assistance programs (EAPs) might be helpful, although many physicians don’t trust their institution’s EAP. Or physicians can ask colleagues to recommend a “doctor’s doctor” who specializes in treating physicians, suggests Dr. Yellowlees, author of “Physician Suicide: Cases and Commentaries.”

In Medscape’s 2022 report, almost all respondents who reported having suicidal colleagues said they offered help, including emotional support, practical assistance, referrals, speaking to family members, or even personally taking the colleague to the ED or to a therapist.

To enhance physicians’ ability to help each other, Dr. Lin recommends “gatekeeper training,” which has been shown to reduce suicide. “This strategy utilizes a peer-to-peer model, but, rather than a single ‘peer buddy,’ everyone is a ‘gatekeeper’ trained in approaches, such as QPR – Question, Persuade, Refer. ‘Gatekeepers’ are taught how to recognize warning signs of suicide, question the potentially suicidal individual, persuade him/her to get help, and provide referrals.”
 

Other ways to prevent suicide

Dr. Lin advises physicians to “create a personalized safety plan and write down signs and clues that they may be going down the wrong path and what they can do – like breathing exercises, relaxation – and identifying people to talk to, places to go, or phone numbers to call, if those initial measures aren’t enough.” The plan is private and allows the physician to determine at what point help is needed and who should be consulted. “Sometimes, when a person is in acute stress, even looking up a phone number can seem insurmountable. But having it on paper lowers the barrier, making it more achievable.”

Resources should be posted in places where physicians gather so that those who don’t already have a safety plan have easy access to that information, he suggests.

In addition, consideration may be given to reaching out for support if a colleague has died by suicide, experts suggest. Whether offered by one’s institution, a peer arrangement, spiritual counseling, or psychotherapy, one may need help dealing with the trauma, guilt, and grief that often accompany this type of loss.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Kip Wenger, DO, an emergency physician and systems medical director of Team Health, Knoxville, Tenn., was asked to see a patient in the emergency department. He was shocked when he realized who the patient was – a 33-year-old female physician friend and colleague.

She was bleeding from multiple self-inflicted injuries and ultimately died. “I was devastated and couldn’t wrap my head around what had just happened,” Dr. Wenger told this news organization.

It’s important for physicians to be aware of warning signs in their colleagues, such as showing up late, being irritable and short-tempered with staff, missing shifts, making mistakes, or receiving an increasing number of patient complaints, Dr. Wenger says.

Dr. Wenger had had dinner with her several weeks earlier and saw some subtle changes. He had known her as a “positive, upbeat person,” but her demeanor was different during dinner.

“There were no typical telltale signs – she was talking about her plans for the future, including buying a new bicycle – but she wasn’t herself and seemed to become tearful when I hugged her at the end of the evening,” he said. He later heard from another colleague that she had shared feeling “hopeless.”
 

The scope of the problem

According to the American Society for Suicide Prevention, roughly 300-400 physicians die by suicide annually. Although one study suggests a lower number, official reports likely underestimate suicides, study author Katherine Gold, MD, MSW, associate professor of family medicine, obstetrics, and gynecology, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, said in an interview.

Peter Yellowlees, MD, MBBS, professor of psychiatry, University of California, Davis, concurs, suggesting that some single-car accidents involving physicians might be suicides. Perry Lin, MD, assistant clinical professor, Heritage College of Osteopathic Medicine, Ohio University, Athens, and national co-chair of the Physician Suicide Awareness Committee of the American Association of Suicidology, says that some death certificates state that the deceased died of “accidental causes” because the physician who completes the certificate, possibly a colleague, is reluctant to list the actual cause of death to protect his colleague’s memory or the family’s feelings.

In general, and among physicians, White men older than 65 “represent the largest percentage of people who die from suicide nationwide,” says Dr. Lin.

But younger people are also susceptible, Dr. Lin adds. One of the most vulnerable periods for potential suicide is during the first few months of residency. This dovetails with the findings of Medscape’s 2022 report Suicide: A Tragedy of the Profession. In that report, a difference was found between frequency of suicidal thoughts in younger physicians, compared with older physicians (14% in those < 35 years vs. 8% for those ≥ 45 years).
 

Hurdles to preventing physician suicide

“The best thing that can happen in our profession is upstream intervention – if people seek help before they get to the point of suicidality, recognizing they’re under stress and duress and that they might be going down a bad pathway,” says Dr. Lin. But research suggests that many physicians don’t do so.

Gary Price, MD, attending surgeon and clinical assistant professor of surgery, Yale–New Haven Hospital, Connecticut, and president of the Physicians Foundation, says his organization has identified barriers that prevent physicians from seeking help.

The major concern is that, in many states, licensing applications still ask whether the physician has been in treatment for a mental health condition. Physicians feel they may put their licensure at risk if they admit to receiving help for mental issues. These concerns were expressed by respondents in Medscape’s above mentioned 2022 report, many of whom didn’t seek treatment for depression, burnout, or suicidal thoughts lest it affect their professional standing when renewing their license or seeking credentialing.

Although organizations and societies are advocating against these questions, a recent study found that almost 70% of U.S. states and territories continue to ask physicians about their mental health, and 28% ask for diagnoses (beyond current impairments) – a violation of the Americans With Disabilities Act.

“Mental health illness is different from mental health impairment,” Ryan Mire, MD, a Nashville, Tenn.–based internist, said in an interview. “As physicians, we’re comfortable with licensing boards asking whether the physician has any condition that might impair their care for patients, but not about a history of mental illness.”

The second barrier, says Dr. Price, is that hospital credentialing committees sometimes ask similar questions, as do commercial and malpractice insurers.

Another roadblock is that in some states, undergoing treatment for a mental health problem could be subject to discovery by a plaintiff’s attorney in a malpractice case, even if the physician’s mental health history had no effect on patient care. But that’s uncommon, says Daniel Shapiro, PhD, author of “Delivering Doctor Amelia,” a book about his treatment of a suicidal physician who underwent a malpractice lawsuit. “I’ve never seen that happen.”

A final barrier is that many employers require employees to receive treatment within their own institution or health system. “Physicians may be reluctant to get help where they work, with colleagues and friends knowing about their illness or being involved with their care,” says Dr. Price.

In 2022, the American College of Physicians (ACP) issued a toolkit to help members encourage licensing and credentialing boards to remove questions about mental health on applications and include language that supports receiving treatment, Dr. Mire says.
 

Layers of vulnerability

There are few data regarding relative risk among particular races or ethnicities, “but we know racism is a social stressor,” says Dr. Mire. “Obviously, people from historically disadvantaged populations tend to have societal stressors like discrimination and racism that add an extra layer of burden.”

Intersectionality – having multiple intersecting risk factors – may confer even higher risk. “For example, if you’re a female physician from a historically marginalized race and a resident dealing with the ‘hidden curriculum’ of trying to be resilient, you have multiple layers of vulnerability.”

There are also limited data regarding which specialties or work environments are associated with highest risk. “Obviously, challenges exist in every segment of medicine and at different ages, stages, and work environments, and they intersect with each individual physician’s personal risk factors,” says Dr. Mire, president of the ACP and assistant clinical professor of clinical medical education, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis.

Pamela Wible, MD, is an Oregon-based retired physician who herself went through a suicidal period about 11 years into her career that motivated her to embrace a new vision of clinical practice and change her practice model. After a series of physician suicides in her area, she began to speak and write openly about physician suicide, and since her retirement from clinical practice, she makes herself available on a full-time basis to distressed physicians. “When I address a conference of a particular medical specialty or a group in a particular geographical region, I focus on the specific vulnerabilities in that specialty or region,” she says.
 

What increases the chances of suicide?

“Many factors, both within and outside the professional setting, affect someone’s decision to die by suicide – after all, physicians have the same stressors as other people, like family, finances, and their own health,” Dr. Mire says. When it comes to non–work-related factors, marital stressors and comorbid psychiatric illness particularly raise the risk, says Dr. Lin.

But certain drivers are specific to the practice of medicine, with burnout and depression first in line.

Dr. Shapiro, who is vice dean for faculty and administrative affairs, Penn State University, Hershey, and the Garner James Cline Professor of Medical Humanism, conducts burnout evaluations throughout the country. “Simple depression screeners prior to the pandemic showed about a 10% major depression rate in physicians,” he told this news organization. “Now, we’re seeing a 30%-33% depression rate, even in those who weren’t frontline providers during the pandemic.”

Dr. Price agrees, noting that burnout in physicians has gone from 40% to 60% since the pandemic. But burnout doesn’t always lead to suicide. It’s when burnout progresses to depression, becomes more severe, and is untreated that the suicidal risk arises, he emphasizes.

Additionally, being a doctor isn’t “just a profession” but a “calling and identity,” says Dr. Gold. Job-related problems (for example, a malpractice suit, complaints to the medical board, loss of autonomy, changing work demands) can raise suicidal risk.

And job-related problems can inform the location of suicide, says Dr. Wible, who is the author of “Physicians Suicide Letters – Answered.”

“A work-related catalyst makes it more likely that the person will attempt or complete suicide in the work setting. Physicians have stepped off hospital rooftops, shot or stabbed themselves in hospital parking lots, or [hanged] themselves in hospital chapels. Perhaps it’s because they’re choosing to die in the place where they’ve been most wounded.”
 

You are not at fault

“If you’re feeling suicidal, you might feel utterly alone, but if there’s one message I can give you, it’s that you’re not alone, and there are many things you can do to mitigate your pain and despair,” Dr. Wible says. “And you’re not defective. It’s the health care system that’s defective. You have nothing to be ashamed of.”

Some institutions have a “buddy system” that pairs clinicians to provide mutual peer support. A partner who notices concerning signs can refer the other partner for help. Physicians can also be paired with a “buddy,” even without a formal institutional structure.

A “buddy” is a step in the right direction, but Dr. Shapiro cautions it might be necessary to consult a trained professional for serious depression or suicidality. Several states provide connection to local resources. Employee assistance programs (EAPs) might be helpful, although many physicians don’t trust their institution’s EAP. Or physicians can ask colleagues to recommend a “doctor’s doctor” who specializes in treating physicians, suggests Dr. Yellowlees, author of “Physician Suicide: Cases and Commentaries.”

In Medscape’s 2022 report, almost all respondents who reported having suicidal colleagues said they offered help, including emotional support, practical assistance, referrals, speaking to family members, or even personally taking the colleague to the ED or to a therapist.

To enhance physicians’ ability to help each other, Dr. Lin recommends “gatekeeper training,” which has been shown to reduce suicide. “This strategy utilizes a peer-to-peer model, but, rather than a single ‘peer buddy,’ everyone is a ‘gatekeeper’ trained in approaches, such as QPR – Question, Persuade, Refer. ‘Gatekeepers’ are taught how to recognize warning signs of suicide, question the potentially suicidal individual, persuade him/her to get help, and provide referrals.”
 

Other ways to prevent suicide

Dr. Lin advises physicians to “create a personalized safety plan and write down signs and clues that they may be going down the wrong path and what they can do – like breathing exercises, relaxation – and identifying people to talk to, places to go, or phone numbers to call, if those initial measures aren’t enough.” The plan is private and allows the physician to determine at what point help is needed and who should be consulted. “Sometimes, when a person is in acute stress, even looking up a phone number can seem insurmountable. But having it on paper lowers the barrier, making it more achievable.”

Resources should be posted in places where physicians gather so that those who don’t already have a safety plan have easy access to that information, he suggests.

In addition, consideration may be given to reaching out for support if a colleague has died by suicide, experts suggest. Whether offered by one’s institution, a peer arrangement, spiritual counseling, or psychotherapy, one may need help dealing with the trauma, guilt, and grief that often accompany this type of loss.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Kip Wenger, DO, an emergency physician and systems medical director of Team Health, Knoxville, Tenn., was asked to see a patient in the emergency department. He was shocked when he realized who the patient was – a 33-year-old female physician friend and colleague.

She was bleeding from multiple self-inflicted injuries and ultimately died. “I was devastated and couldn’t wrap my head around what had just happened,” Dr. Wenger told this news organization.

It’s important for physicians to be aware of warning signs in their colleagues, such as showing up late, being irritable and short-tempered with staff, missing shifts, making mistakes, or receiving an increasing number of patient complaints, Dr. Wenger says.

Dr. Wenger had had dinner with her several weeks earlier and saw some subtle changes. He had known her as a “positive, upbeat person,” but her demeanor was different during dinner.

“There were no typical telltale signs – she was talking about her plans for the future, including buying a new bicycle – but she wasn’t herself and seemed to become tearful when I hugged her at the end of the evening,” he said. He later heard from another colleague that she had shared feeling “hopeless.”
 

The scope of the problem

According to the American Society for Suicide Prevention, roughly 300-400 physicians die by suicide annually. Although one study suggests a lower number, official reports likely underestimate suicides, study author Katherine Gold, MD, MSW, associate professor of family medicine, obstetrics, and gynecology, Michigan Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, said in an interview.

Peter Yellowlees, MD, MBBS, professor of psychiatry, University of California, Davis, concurs, suggesting that some single-car accidents involving physicians might be suicides. Perry Lin, MD, assistant clinical professor, Heritage College of Osteopathic Medicine, Ohio University, Athens, and national co-chair of the Physician Suicide Awareness Committee of the American Association of Suicidology, says that some death certificates state that the deceased died of “accidental causes” because the physician who completes the certificate, possibly a colleague, is reluctant to list the actual cause of death to protect his colleague’s memory or the family’s feelings.

In general, and among physicians, White men older than 65 “represent the largest percentage of people who die from suicide nationwide,” says Dr. Lin.

But younger people are also susceptible, Dr. Lin adds. One of the most vulnerable periods for potential suicide is during the first few months of residency. This dovetails with the findings of Medscape’s 2022 report Suicide: A Tragedy of the Profession. In that report, a difference was found between frequency of suicidal thoughts in younger physicians, compared with older physicians (14% in those < 35 years vs. 8% for those ≥ 45 years).
 

Hurdles to preventing physician suicide

“The best thing that can happen in our profession is upstream intervention – if people seek help before they get to the point of suicidality, recognizing they’re under stress and duress and that they might be going down a bad pathway,” says Dr. Lin. But research suggests that many physicians don’t do so.

Gary Price, MD, attending surgeon and clinical assistant professor of surgery, Yale–New Haven Hospital, Connecticut, and president of the Physicians Foundation, says his organization has identified barriers that prevent physicians from seeking help.

The major concern is that, in many states, licensing applications still ask whether the physician has been in treatment for a mental health condition. Physicians feel they may put their licensure at risk if they admit to receiving help for mental issues. These concerns were expressed by respondents in Medscape’s above mentioned 2022 report, many of whom didn’t seek treatment for depression, burnout, or suicidal thoughts lest it affect their professional standing when renewing their license or seeking credentialing.

Although organizations and societies are advocating against these questions, a recent study found that almost 70% of U.S. states and territories continue to ask physicians about their mental health, and 28% ask for diagnoses (beyond current impairments) – a violation of the Americans With Disabilities Act.

“Mental health illness is different from mental health impairment,” Ryan Mire, MD, a Nashville, Tenn.–based internist, said in an interview. “As physicians, we’re comfortable with licensing boards asking whether the physician has any condition that might impair their care for patients, but not about a history of mental illness.”

The second barrier, says Dr. Price, is that hospital credentialing committees sometimes ask similar questions, as do commercial and malpractice insurers.

Another roadblock is that in some states, undergoing treatment for a mental health problem could be subject to discovery by a plaintiff’s attorney in a malpractice case, even if the physician’s mental health history had no effect on patient care. But that’s uncommon, says Daniel Shapiro, PhD, author of “Delivering Doctor Amelia,” a book about his treatment of a suicidal physician who underwent a malpractice lawsuit. “I’ve never seen that happen.”

A final barrier is that many employers require employees to receive treatment within their own institution or health system. “Physicians may be reluctant to get help where they work, with colleagues and friends knowing about their illness or being involved with their care,” says Dr. Price.

In 2022, the American College of Physicians (ACP) issued a toolkit to help members encourage licensing and credentialing boards to remove questions about mental health on applications and include language that supports receiving treatment, Dr. Mire says.
 

Layers of vulnerability

There are few data regarding relative risk among particular races or ethnicities, “but we know racism is a social stressor,” says Dr. Mire. “Obviously, people from historically disadvantaged populations tend to have societal stressors like discrimination and racism that add an extra layer of burden.”

Intersectionality – having multiple intersecting risk factors – may confer even higher risk. “For example, if you’re a female physician from a historically marginalized race and a resident dealing with the ‘hidden curriculum’ of trying to be resilient, you have multiple layers of vulnerability.”

There are also limited data regarding which specialties or work environments are associated with highest risk. “Obviously, challenges exist in every segment of medicine and at different ages, stages, and work environments, and they intersect with each individual physician’s personal risk factors,” says Dr. Mire, president of the ACP and assistant clinical professor of clinical medical education, University of Tennessee Health Science Center, Memphis.

Pamela Wible, MD, is an Oregon-based retired physician who herself went through a suicidal period about 11 years into her career that motivated her to embrace a new vision of clinical practice and change her practice model. After a series of physician suicides in her area, she began to speak and write openly about physician suicide, and since her retirement from clinical practice, she makes herself available on a full-time basis to distressed physicians. “When I address a conference of a particular medical specialty or a group in a particular geographical region, I focus on the specific vulnerabilities in that specialty or region,” she says.
 

What increases the chances of suicide?

“Many factors, both within and outside the professional setting, affect someone’s decision to die by suicide – after all, physicians have the same stressors as other people, like family, finances, and their own health,” Dr. Mire says. When it comes to non–work-related factors, marital stressors and comorbid psychiatric illness particularly raise the risk, says Dr. Lin.

But certain drivers are specific to the practice of medicine, with burnout and depression first in line.

Dr. Shapiro, who is vice dean for faculty and administrative affairs, Penn State University, Hershey, and the Garner James Cline Professor of Medical Humanism, conducts burnout evaluations throughout the country. “Simple depression screeners prior to the pandemic showed about a 10% major depression rate in physicians,” he told this news organization. “Now, we’re seeing a 30%-33% depression rate, even in those who weren’t frontline providers during the pandemic.”

Dr. Price agrees, noting that burnout in physicians has gone from 40% to 60% since the pandemic. But burnout doesn’t always lead to suicide. It’s when burnout progresses to depression, becomes more severe, and is untreated that the suicidal risk arises, he emphasizes.

Additionally, being a doctor isn’t “just a profession” but a “calling and identity,” says Dr. Gold. Job-related problems (for example, a malpractice suit, complaints to the medical board, loss of autonomy, changing work demands) can raise suicidal risk.

And job-related problems can inform the location of suicide, says Dr. Wible, who is the author of “Physicians Suicide Letters – Answered.”

“A work-related catalyst makes it more likely that the person will attempt or complete suicide in the work setting. Physicians have stepped off hospital rooftops, shot or stabbed themselves in hospital parking lots, or [hanged] themselves in hospital chapels. Perhaps it’s because they’re choosing to die in the place where they’ve been most wounded.”
 

You are not at fault

“If you’re feeling suicidal, you might feel utterly alone, but if there’s one message I can give you, it’s that you’re not alone, and there are many things you can do to mitigate your pain and despair,” Dr. Wible says. “And you’re not defective. It’s the health care system that’s defective. You have nothing to be ashamed of.”

Some institutions have a “buddy system” that pairs clinicians to provide mutual peer support. A partner who notices concerning signs can refer the other partner for help. Physicians can also be paired with a “buddy,” even without a formal institutional structure.

A “buddy” is a step in the right direction, but Dr. Shapiro cautions it might be necessary to consult a trained professional for serious depression or suicidality. Several states provide connection to local resources. Employee assistance programs (EAPs) might be helpful, although many physicians don’t trust their institution’s EAP. Or physicians can ask colleagues to recommend a “doctor’s doctor” who specializes in treating physicians, suggests Dr. Yellowlees, author of “Physician Suicide: Cases and Commentaries.”

In Medscape’s 2022 report, almost all respondents who reported having suicidal colleagues said they offered help, including emotional support, practical assistance, referrals, speaking to family members, or even personally taking the colleague to the ED or to a therapist.

To enhance physicians’ ability to help each other, Dr. Lin recommends “gatekeeper training,” which has been shown to reduce suicide. “This strategy utilizes a peer-to-peer model, but, rather than a single ‘peer buddy,’ everyone is a ‘gatekeeper’ trained in approaches, such as QPR – Question, Persuade, Refer. ‘Gatekeepers’ are taught how to recognize warning signs of suicide, question the potentially suicidal individual, persuade him/her to get help, and provide referrals.”
 

Other ways to prevent suicide

Dr. Lin advises physicians to “create a personalized safety plan and write down signs and clues that they may be going down the wrong path and what they can do – like breathing exercises, relaxation – and identifying people to talk to, places to go, or phone numbers to call, if those initial measures aren’t enough.” The plan is private and allows the physician to determine at what point help is needed and who should be consulted. “Sometimes, when a person is in acute stress, even looking up a phone number can seem insurmountable. But having it on paper lowers the barrier, making it more achievable.”

Resources should be posted in places where physicians gather so that those who don’t already have a safety plan have easy access to that information, he suggests.

In addition, consideration may be given to reaching out for support if a colleague has died by suicide, experts suggest. Whether offered by one’s institution, a peer arrangement, spiritual counseling, or psychotherapy, one may need help dealing with the trauma, guilt, and grief that often accompany this type of loss.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Children born to mothers who take antibiotics during pregnancy may be at an increased risk of developing pediatric asthma and other diseases involved in the atopic march, a systematic review and meta-analysis reports.

“Antibiotic use during pregnancy is significantly associated with the development of asthma in children. Additionally prenatal antibiotic exposure is also associated with disorders present in the atopic march including atopic sensitization, dermatitis/eczema, food allergy, allergic rhinitis, and wheeze,” lead study author Alissa Cait, PhD, of Malaghan Institute of Medical Research in Wellington, New Zealand, and colleagues write in Allergy.

“Antibiotics account for 80% of prescribed medications during pregnancy, and it is estimated that 20%-25% of pregnant women receive at least one course of an antibiotic during this time period,” they add.

The researchers evaluated prenatal antibiotic exposure and the risk for childhood wheeze or asthma, as well as for diseases associated with the atopic march, by searching standard medical databases for controlled trials in English, German, French, Dutch, or Arabic involving the use of any antibiotic at any time during pregnancy and for atopic disease incidence in children with asthma or wheeze as primary outcome. They excluded reviews, preclinical data, and descriptive studies.

From the 6,060 citations the search returned, 11 prospective and 16 retrospective studies met the authors’ selection criteria. For each study, they evaluated risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale, and they rated certainty of the evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) protocol.

The studies, published between 2002 and 2020, were conducted in Europe, North America, Asia, and South America. Exposure to antibiotics during the prenatal period was assessed through unsupervised questionnaires, interviews by medical professionals, or extraction from official medical databases.

The results showed that:

• Antibiotic use during pregnancy was linked with increased relative risk of developing wheeze (relative risk, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.94) or asthma (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.22-1.34) during childhood.
• Antibiotic use during pregnancy also increased a child’s risk for eczema or dermatitis (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.06-1.53) and allergic rhinitis (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.25).
• Food allergy increased in one study (RR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.11-2.95).

Quality of studies

“These results have importance for antibiotic stewardship throughout the prenatal period,” the authors write. However, due to issues including high heterogeneity, publication bias, and lack of population numbers in some studies, the overall quality of the evidence presented in the studies was low. Other limitations include mainly White and European study populations, underpowered studies, and study protocol inconsistencies.

“Though there is evidence that antibiotic treatment during pregnancy is a driver of the atopic march, due to a large heterogeneity between studies more research is needed to draw firm conclusions on this matter,” the authors add. “Future studies should employ and report more direct and objective measurement methods rather than self-reported questionnaires.”

Dustin D. Flannery, DO, MSCE, a neonatologist and clinical researcher in perinatal infectious diseases and neonatal antimicrobial resistance and stewardship at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, said in an email that the study was well done.

He noted, though, that “although the study reports an association, it cannot prove causation. The relationship between prenatal antibiotics and childhood allergic disorders is likely multifactorial and quite complex.”

He joins the authors in recommending further related research. “Due to the variation in how exposures and outcomes were defined across the studies, more rigorous research will be needed in this area.”

Despite the study’s limitations, “given that some studies have found associations between prenatal antibiotic exposure and childhood atopic and allergic disorders, including asthma, while other studies have not, this systematic review and meta-analysis asks an important question,” Dr. Flannery, who was not involved in the study, said in an interview.

“Investigators found a strong association between prenatal antibiotic exposure and risk of childhood asthma and other disorders,” he said. “This finding supports efforts to safely reduce antibiotic use during pregnancy.”

The study was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation. The authors and Dr. Flannery have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Children born to mothers who take antibiotics during pregnancy may be at an increased risk of developing pediatric asthma and other diseases involved in the atopic march, a systematic review and meta-analysis reports.

“Antibiotic use during pregnancy is significantly associated with the development of asthma in children. Additionally prenatal antibiotic exposure is also associated with disorders present in the atopic march including atopic sensitization, dermatitis/eczema, food allergy, allergic rhinitis, and wheeze,” lead study author Alissa Cait, PhD, of Malaghan Institute of Medical Research in Wellington, New Zealand, and colleagues write in Allergy.

“Antibiotics account for 80% of prescribed medications during pregnancy, and it is estimated that 20%-25% of pregnant women receive at least one course of an antibiotic during this time period,” they add.

The researchers evaluated prenatal antibiotic exposure and the risk for childhood wheeze or asthma, as well as for diseases associated with the atopic march, by searching standard medical databases for controlled trials in English, German, French, Dutch, or Arabic involving the use of any antibiotic at any time during pregnancy and for atopic disease incidence in children with asthma or wheeze as primary outcome. They excluded reviews, preclinical data, and descriptive studies.

From the 6,060 citations the search returned, 11 prospective and 16 retrospective studies met the authors’ selection criteria. For each study, they evaluated risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale, and they rated certainty of the evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) protocol.

The studies, published between 2002 and 2020, were conducted in Europe, North America, Asia, and South America. Exposure to antibiotics during the prenatal period was assessed through unsupervised questionnaires, interviews by medical professionals, or extraction from official medical databases.

The results showed that:

• Antibiotic use during pregnancy was linked with increased relative risk of developing wheeze (relative risk, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.94) or asthma (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.22-1.34) during childhood.
• Antibiotic use during pregnancy also increased a child’s risk for eczema or dermatitis (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.06-1.53) and allergic rhinitis (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.25).
• Food allergy increased in one study (RR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.11-2.95).

Quality of studies

“These results have importance for antibiotic stewardship throughout the prenatal period,” the authors write. However, due to issues including high heterogeneity, publication bias, and lack of population numbers in some studies, the overall quality of the evidence presented in the studies was low. Other limitations include mainly White and European study populations, underpowered studies, and study protocol inconsistencies.

“Though there is evidence that antibiotic treatment during pregnancy is a driver of the atopic march, due to a large heterogeneity between studies more research is needed to draw firm conclusions on this matter,” the authors add. “Future studies should employ and report more direct and objective measurement methods rather than self-reported questionnaires.”

Dustin D. Flannery, DO, MSCE, a neonatologist and clinical researcher in perinatal infectious diseases and neonatal antimicrobial resistance and stewardship at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, said in an email that the study was well done.

He noted, though, that “although the study reports an association, it cannot prove causation. The relationship between prenatal antibiotics and childhood allergic disorders is likely multifactorial and quite complex.”

He joins the authors in recommending further related research. “Due to the variation in how exposures and outcomes were defined across the studies, more rigorous research will be needed in this area.”

Despite the study’s limitations, “given that some studies have found associations between prenatal antibiotic exposure and childhood atopic and allergic disorders, including asthma, while other studies have not, this systematic review and meta-analysis asks an important question,” Dr. Flannery, who was not involved in the study, said in an interview.

“Investigators found a strong association between prenatal antibiotic exposure and risk of childhood asthma and other disorders,” he said. “This finding supports efforts to safely reduce antibiotic use during pregnancy.”

The study was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation. The authors and Dr. Flannery have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Children born to mothers who take antibiotics during pregnancy may be at an increased risk of developing pediatric asthma and other diseases involved in the atopic march, a systematic review and meta-analysis reports.

“Antibiotic use during pregnancy is significantly associated with the development of asthma in children. Additionally prenatal antibiotic exposure is also associated with disorders present in the atopic march including atopic sensitization, dermatitis/eczema, food allergy, allergic rhinitis, and wheeze,” lead study author Alissa Cait, PhD, of Malaghan Institute of Medical Research in Wellington, New Zealand, and colleagues write in Allergy.

“Antibiotics account for 80% of prescribed medications during pregnancy, and it is estimated that 20%-25% of pregnant women receive at least one course of an antibiotic during this time period,” they add.

The researchers evaluated prenatal antibiotic exposure and the risk for childhood wheeze or asthma, as well as for diseases associated with the atopic march, by searching standard medical databases for controlled trials in English, German, French, Dutch, or Arabic involving the use of any antibiotic at any time during pregnancy and for atopic disease incidence in children with asthma or wheeze as primary outcome. They excluded reviews, preclinical data, and descriptive studies.

From the 6,060 citations the search returned, 11 prospective and 16 retrospective studies met the authors’ selection criteria. For each study, they evaluated risk of bias using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale, and they rated certainty of the evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) protocol.

The studies, published between 2002 and 2020, were conducted in Europe, North America, Asia, and South America. Exposure to antibiotics during the prenatal period was assessed through unsupervised questionnaires, interviews by medical professionals, or extraction from official medical databases.

The results showed that:

• Antibiotic use during pregnancy was linked with increased relative risk of developing wheeze (relative risk, 1.51; 95% confidence interval, 1.17-1.94) or asthma (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.22-1.34) during childhood.
• Antibiotic use during pregnancy also increased a child’s risk for eczema or dermatitis (RR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.06-1.53) and allergic rhinitis (RR, 1.13; 95% CI, 1.02-1.25).
• Food allergy increased in one study (RR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.11-2.95).

Quality of studies

“These results have importance for antibiotic stewardship throughout the prenatal period,” the authors write. However, due to issues including high heterogeneity, publication bias, and lack of population numbers in some studies, the overall quality of the evidence presented in the studies was low. Other limitations include mainly White and European study populations, underpowered studies, and study protocol inconsistencies.

“Though there is evidence that antibiotic treatment during pregnancy is a driver of the atopic march, due to a large heterogeneity between studies more research is needed to draw firm conclusions on this matter,” the authors add. “Future studies should employ and report more direct and objective measurement methods rather than self-reported questionnaires.”

Dustin D. Flannery, DO, MSCE, a neonatologist and clinical researcher in perinatal infectious diseases and neonatal antimicrobial resistance and stewardship at Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, said in an email that the study was well done.

He noted, though, that “although the study reports an association, it cannot prove causation. The relationship between prenatal antibiotics and childhood allergic disorders is likely multifactorial and quite complex.”

He joins the authors in recommending further related research. “Due to the variation in how exposures and outcomes were defined across the studies, more rigorous research will be needed in this area.”

Despite the study’s limitations, “given that some studies have found associations between prenatal antibiotic exposure and childhood atopic and allergic disorders, including asthma, while other studies have not, this systematic review and meta-analysis asks an important question,” Dr. Flannery, who was not involved in the study, said in an interview.

“Investigators found a strong association between prenatal antibiotic exposure and risk of childhood asthma and other disorders,” he said. “This finding supports efforts to safely reduce antibiotic use during pregnancy.”

The study was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft and by the Konrad Adenauer Foundation. The authors and Dr. Flannery have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

There is not enough evidence to recommend for or against taking most vitamin and mineral supplements to prevent heart disease, stroke, and cancer, a new report by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force concludes.

However, there are two vitamins – vitamin E and beta-carotene – that the task force recommends against for the prevention of heart disease, stroke, and cancer. Evidence shows that there is no benefit to taking vitamin E and that beta-carotene can increase the risk for lung cancer in people already at risk, such as smokers and those with occupational exposure to asbestos.

sodapix/thinkstockphotos.com

These are the main findings of the USPSTF’s final recommendation statement on vitamin, mineral, and multivitamin supplementation to prevent cardiovascular disease and cancer. The statement was published in JAMA.

“This is essentially the same recommendation that the task force made in 2014,” USPSTF member John Wong, MD, professor of medicine at Tufts University, Boston, said in an interview.

“We recognize that over half of people in the U.S. take a vitamin supplement of some sort every day and 30% take a vitamin/mineral combination. We wanted to review the evidence again to see if there was any benefit in terms of reducing the risk of cardiovascular disease or cancer or increasing the chances of living longer,” Dr. Wong explained.

“We looked hard for evidence, reviewing 84 studies in total. But we did not find sufficient evidence in favor of taking or not taking vitamins, with the two exceptions of beta-carotene and vitamin E, which we recommend against taking,” he noted.

Although there is evidence of some harm with beta-carotene, the main reason behind the recommendation against taking vitamin E is the consistent evidence of no benefit, Dr. Wong explained.

“While the evidence for some other vitamins is conflicting, there is more consistent evidence of no benefit for vitamin E,” he said.

The bulk of new evidence since the last review in 2014 was predominately for vitamin D supplementation, but despite the inclusion of 32 new randomized, controlled trials and two cohort studies, pooled estimates for all-cause mortality were similar to those in the previous review, with confidence intervals only slightly crossing 1, and point estimates that suggest at most a very small benefit, the task force noted.

“Apart from beta-carotene and vitamin E, after reviewing 84 studies – including 78 randomized controlled trials – in over a million patients, we can find no clear demonstration of benefit or harm of taking vitamins in terms of developing cardiovascular disease or cancer or the effect on all-cause mortality. So, we don’t know whether people should take vitamins or not, and we need more research,” Dr. Wong added.

On the use of a multivitamin supplement, Dr. Wong noted that the complete body of evidence did not find any benefit of taking a multivitamin on cardiovascular or cancer mortality. But there was a small reduction in cancer incidence.

However, he pointed out that the three studies that suggested a reduction in cancer incidence all had issues regarding generalizability.

“The recently published COSMOS trial had an average follow-up of only 3.6 years, which isn’t really long enough when thinking about the prevention of cancer, one of the other studies only used antioxidants, and the third study was conducted only in U.S. male physicians. So those limitations regarding generalizability limited our confidence in making recommendations about multivitamins,” Dr. Wong explained.

But he noted that the task force did not find any significant harms from taking multivitamins.

“There are possible harms from taking high doses of vitamin A and vitamin D, but generally the doses contained in a multivitamin tablet are lower than these. But if the goal for taking a multivitamin is to lower your risk of cancer or cardiovascular disease, we didn’t find sufficient evidence to be able to make a recommendation,” he said.

Asked what he would say to all the people currently taking multivitamins, Dr. Wong responded that he would advise them to have a conversation with a trusted health care professional about their particular circumstances.

“Our statement has quite a narrow focus. It is directed toward community-dwelling, nonpregnant adults. This recommendation does not apply to children, persons who are pregnant or may become pregnant, or persons who are chronically ill, are hospitalized, or have a known nutritional deficiency,” he commented.
 

‘Any benefit likely to be small’

In an editorial accompanying the publication of the USPSTF statement, Jenny Jia, MD; Natalie Cameron, MD; and Jeffrey Linder, MD – all from Northwestern University, Chicago – noted that the current evidence base includes 52 additional studies not available when the last USPSTF recommendation on this topic was published in 2014.

The editorialists pointed out that for multivitamins, proving the absence of a benefit is challenging, but at best, current evidence suggests that any potential benefits of a multivitamin to reduce mortality are likely to be small.

They gave an example of a healthy 65-year-old woman with a 9-year estimated mortality risk of about 8%, and note that taking a multivitamin for 5-10 years might reduce her estimated mortality risk to 7.5% (based on an odds ratio of 0.94).

“In addition to showing small potential benefit, this estimate is based on imperfect evidence, is imprecise, and is highly sensitive to how the data are interpreted and analyzed,” they said.

The editorialists recommended that lifestyle counseling to prevent chronic diseases should continue to focus on evidence-based approaches, including balanced diets that are high in fruits and vegetables and physical activity.

However, they added that healthy eating can be a challenge when the American industrialized food system does not prioritize health, and healthy foods tend to be more expensive, leading to access problems and food insecurity.

The editorialists suggested that, rather than focusing money, time, and attention on supplements, it would be better to emphasize lower-risk, higher-benefit activities, such as getting exercise, maintaining a healthy weight, and avoiding smoking, in addition to following a healthful diet.
 

Possible benefit for older adults?

Commenting on the USPSTF statement, JoAnn Manson, MD, chief, division of preventive medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, who led the recent COSMOS study, said that vitamin and mineral supplements should not be perceived as a substitute for a healthful diet.

“The emphasis needs to be on getting nutritional needs from a healthy diet that is high in plant-based and whole foods that don’t strip the vitamins and minerals through excessive processing,” she said. “Although it’s easier to pop a pill each day than to focus on healthful dietary patterns, the mixture of phytochemicals, fiber, and all the other nutrients in actual foods just can’t be packaged into a pill. Also, vitamins and minerals tend to be better absorbed from food than from supplements and healthy foods can replace calories from less healthy foods, such as red meat and processed foods.”

However, Dr. Manson noted that the evidence is mounting that taking a tablet containing moderate doses of a wide range of vitamins and minerals is safe and may actually have benefits for some people.

She pointed out that the COSMOS and COSMOS-Mind studies showed benefits of multivitamins in slowing cognitive decline in older adults, but the findings need to be replicated.  

“The USPSTF did see a statistically significant 7% reduction in cancer with multivitamins in their meta-analysis of four randomized trials and a borderline 6% reduction in all-cause mortality,” she noted. “Plus, multivitamins have been shown to be quite safe in several large and long-term randomized trials. I agree the evidence is not sufficient to make a blanket recommendation for everyone to take multivitamins, but the evidence is mounting that this would be a prudent approach for many older adults,” Dr. Manson said.

“Many people view multivitamins as a form of insurance, as a way to hedge their bets,” she added. “Although this is a rational approach, especially for those who have concerns about the adequacy of their diet, it’s important that this mindset not lead to complacency about following healthy lifestyle practices, including healthy eating, regular physical activity, not smoking, making sure that blood pressure and cholesterol levels are well controlled, and many other practices that critically important for health but are more challenging than simply popping a pill each day.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

There is not enough evidence to recommend for or against taking most vitamin and mineral supplements to prevent heart disease, stroke, and cancer, a new report by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force concludes.

However, there are two vitamins – vitamin E and beta-carotene – that the task force recommends against for the prevention of heart disease, stroke, and cancer. Evidence shows that there is no benefit to taking vitamin E and that beta-carotene can increase the risk for lung cancer in people already at risk, such as smokers and those with occupational exposure to asbestos.

sodapix/thinkstockphotos.com

These are the main findings of the USPSTF’s final recommendation statement on vitamin, mineral, and multivitamin supplementation to prevent cardiovascular disease and cancer. The statement was published in JAMA.

“This is essentially the same recommendation that the task force made in 2014,” USPSTF member John Wong, MD, professor of medicine at Tufts University, Boston, said in an interview.

“We recognize that over half of people in the U.S. take a vitamin supplement of some sort every day and 30% take a vitamin/mineral combination. We wanted to review the evidence again to see if there was any benefit in terms of reducing the risk of cardiovascular disease or cancer or increasing the chances of living longer,” Dr. Wong explained.

“We looked hard for evidence, reviewing 84 studies in total. But we did not find sufficient evidence in favor of taking or not taking vitamins, with the two exceptions of beta-carotene and vitamin E, which we recommend against taking,” he noted.

Although there is evidence of some harm with beta-carotene, the main reason behind the recommendation against taking vitamin E is the consistent evidence of no benefit, Dr. Wong explained.

“While the evidence for some other vitamins is conflicting, there is more consistent evidence of no benefit for vitamin E,” he said.

The bulk of new evidence since the last review in 2014 was predominately for vitamin D supplementation, but despite the inclusion of 32 new randomized, controlled trials and two cohort studies, pooled estimates for all-cause mortality were similar to those in the previous review, with confidence intervals only slightly crossing 1, and point estimates that suggest at most a very small benefit, the task force noted.

“Apart from beta-carotene and vitamin E, after reviewing 84 studies – including 78 randomized controlled trials – in over a million patients, we can find no clear demonstration of benefit or harm of taking vitamins in terms of developing cardiovascular disease or cancer or the effect on all-cause mortality. So, we don’t know whether people should take vitamins or not, and we need more research,” Dr. Wong added.

On the use of a multivitamin supplement, Dr. Wong noted that the complete body of evidence did not find any benefit of taking a multivitamin on cardiovascular or cancer mortality. But there was a small reduction in cancer incidence.

However, he pointed out that the three studies that suggested a reduction in cancer incidence all had issues regarding generalizability.

“The recently published COSMOS trial had an average follow-up of only 3.6 years, which isn’t really long enough when thinking about the prevention of cancer, one of the other studies only used antioxidants, and the third study was conducted only in U.S. male physicians. So those limitations regarding generalizability limited our confidence in making recommendations about multivitamins,” Dr. Wong explained.

But he noted that the task force did not find any significant harms from taking multivitamins.

“There are possible harms from taking high doses of vitamin A and vitamin D, but generally the doses contained in a multivitamin tablet are lower than these. But if the goal for taking a multivitamin is to lower your risk of cancer or cardiovascular disease, we didn’t find sufficient evidence to be able to make a recommendation,” he said.

Asked what he would say to all the people currently taking multivitamins, Dr. Wong responded that he would advise them to have a conversation with a trusted health care professional about their particular circumstances.

“Our statement has quite a narrow focus. It is directed toward community-dwelling, nonpregnant adults. This recommendation does not apply to children, persons who are pregnant or may become pregnant, or persons who are chronically ill, are hospitalized, or have a known nutritional deficiency,” he commented.
 

‘Any benefit likely to be small’

In an editorial accompanying the publication of the USPSTF statement, Jenny Jia, MD; Natalie Cameron, MD; and Jeffrey Linder, MD – all from Northwestern University, Chicago – noted that the current evidence base includes 52 additional studies not available when the last USPSTF recommendation on this topic was published in 2014.

The editorialists pointed out that for multivitamins, proving the absence of a benefit is challenging, but at best, current evidence suggests that any potential benefits of a multivitamin to reduce mortality are likely to be small.

They gave an example of a healthy 65-year-old woman with a 9-year estimated mortality risk of about 8%, and note that taking a multivitamin for 5-10 years might reduce her estimated mortality risk to 7.5% (based on an odds ratio of 0.94).

“In addition to showing small potential benefit, this estimate is based on imperfect evidence, is imprecise, and is highly sensitive to how the data are interpreted and analyzed,” they said.

The editorialists recommended that lifestyle counseling to prevent chronic diseases should continue to focus on evidence-based approaches, including balanced diets that are high in fruits and vegetables and physical activity.

However, they added that healthy eating can be a challenge when the American industrialized food system does not prioritize health, and healthy foods tend to be more expensive, leading to access problems and food insecurity.

The editorialists suggested that, rather than focusing money, time, and attention on supplements, it would be better to emphasize lower-risk, higher-benefit activities, such as getting exercise, maintaining a healthy weight, and avoiding smoking, in addition to following a healthful diet.
 

Possible benefit for older adults?

Commenting on the USPSTF statement, JoAnn Manson, MD, chief, division of preventive medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, who led the recent COSMOS study, said that vitamin and mineral supplements should not be perceived as a substitute for a healthful diet.

“The emphasis needs to be on getting nutritional needs from a healthy diet that is high in plant-based and whole foods that don’t strip the vitamins and minerals through excessive processing,” she said. “Although it’s easier to pop a pill each day than to focus on healthful dietary patterns, the mixture of phytochemicals, fiber, and all the other nutrients in actual foods just can’t be packaged into a pill. Also, vitamins and minerals tend to be better absorbed from food than from supplements and healthy foods can replace calories from less healthy foods, such as red meat and processed foods.”

However, Dr. Manson noted that the evidence is mounting that taking a tablet containing moderate doses of a wide range of vitamins and minerals is safe and may actually have benefits for some people.

She pointed out that the COSMOS and COSMOS-Mind studies showed benefits of multivitamins in slowing cognitive decline in older adults, but the findings need to be replicated.  

“The USPSTF did see a statistically significant 7% reduction in cancer with multivitamins in their meta-analysis of four randomized trials and a borderline 6% reduction in all-cause mortality,” she noted. “Plus, multivitamins have been shown to be quite safe in several large and long-term randomized trials. I agree the evidence is not sufficient to make a blanket recommendation for everyone to take multivitamins, but the evidence is mounting that this would be a prudent approach for many older adults,” Dr. Manson said.

“Many people view multivitamins as a form of insurance, as a way to hedge their bets,” she added. “Although this is a rational approach, especially for those who have concerns about the adequacy of their diet, it’s important that this mindset not lead to complacency about following healthy lifestyle practices, including healthy eating, regular physical activity, not smoking, making sure that blood pressure and cholesterol levels are well controlled, and many other practices that critically important for health but are more challenging than simply popping a pill each day.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

There is not enough evidence to recommend for or against taking most vitamin and mineral supplements to prevent heart disease, stroke, and cancer, a new report by the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force concludes.

However, there are two vitamins – vitamin E and beta-carotene – that the task force recommends against for the prevention of heart disease, stroke, and cancer. Evidence shows that there is no benefit to taking vitamin E and that beta-carotene can increase the risk for lung cancer in people already at risk, such as smokers and those with occupational exposure to asbestos.

sodapix/thinkstockphotos.com

These are the main findings of the USPSTF’s final recommendation statement on vitamin, mineral, and multivitamin supplementation to prevent cardiovascular disease and cancer. The statement was published in JAMA.

“This is essentially the same recommendation that the task force made in 2014,” USPSTF member John Wong, MD, professor of medicine at Tufts University, Boston, said in an interview.

“We recognize that over half of people in the U.S. take a vitamin supplement of some sort every day and 30% take a vitamin/mineral combination. We wanted to review the evidence again to see if there was any benefit in terms of reducing the risk of cardiovascular disease or cancer or increasing the chances of living longer,” Dr. Wong explained.

“We looked hard for evidence, reviewing 84 studies in total. But we did not find sufficient evidence in favor of taking or not taking vitamins, with the two exceptions of beta-carotene and vitamin E, which we recommend against taking,” he noted.

Although there is evidence of some harm with beta-carotene, the main reason behind the recommendation against taking vitamin E is the consistent evidence of no benefit, Dr. Wong explained.

“While the evidence for some other vitamins is conflicting, there is more consistent evidence of no benefit for vitamin E,” he said.

The bulk of new evidence since the last review in 2014 was predominately for vitamin D supplementation, but despite the inclusion of 32 new randomized, controlled trials and two cohort studies, pooled estimates for all-cause mortality were similar to those in the previous review, with confidence intervals only slightly crossing 1, and point estimates that suggest at most a very small benefit, the task force noted.

“Apart from beta-carotene and vitamin E, after reviewing 84 studies – including 78 randomized controlled trials – in over a million patients, we can find no clear demonstration of benefit or harm of taking vitamins in terms of developing cardiovascular disease or cancer or the effect on all-cause mortality. So, we don’t know whether people should take vitamins or not, and we need more research,” Dr. Wong added.

On the use of a multivitamin supplement, Dr. Wong noted that the complete body of evidence did not find any benefit of taking a multivitamin on cardiovascular or cancer mortality. But there was a small reduction in cancer incidence.

However, he pointed out that the three studies that suggested a reduction in cancer incidence all had issues regarding generalizability.

“The recently published COSMOS trial had an average follow-up of only 3.6 years, which isn’t really long enough when thinking about the prevention of cancer, one of the other studies only used antioxidants, and the third study was conducted only in U.S. male physicians. So those limitations regarding generalizability limited our confidence in making recommendations about multivitamins,” Dr. Wong explained.

But he noted that the task force did not find any significant harms from taking multivitamins.

“There are possible harms from taking high doses of vitamin A and vitamin D, but generally the doses contained in a multivitamin tablet are lower than these. But if the goal for taking a multivitamin is to lower your risk of cancer or cardiovascular disease, we didn’t find sufficient evidence to be able to make a recommendation,” he said.

Asked what he would say to all the people currently taking multivitamins, Dr. Wong responded that he would advise them to have a conversation with a trusted health care professional about their particular circumstances.

“Our statement has quite a narrow focus. It is directed toward community-dwelling, nonpregnant adults. This recommendation does not apply to children, persons who are pregnant or may become pregnant, or persons who are chronically ill, are hospitalized, or have a known nutritional deficiency,” he commented.
 

‘Any benefit likely to be small’

In an editorial accompanying the publication of the USPSTF statement, Jenny Jia, MD; Natalie Cameron, MD; and Jeffrey Linder, MD – all from Northwestern University, Chicago – noted that the current evidence base includes 52 additional studies not available when the last USPSTF recommendation on this topic was published in 2014.

The editorialists pointed out that for multivitamins, proving the absence of a benefit is challenging, but at best, current evidence suggests that any potential benefits of a multivitamin to reduce mortality are likely to be small.

They gave an example of a healthy 65-year-old woman with a 9-year estimated mortality risk of about 8%, and note that taking a multivitamin for 5-10 years might reduce her estimated mortality risk to 7.5% (based on an odds ratio of 0.94).

“In addition to showing small potential benefit, this estimate is based on imperfect evidence, is imprecise, and is highly sensitive to how the data are interpreted and analyzed,” they said.

The editorialists recommended that lifestyle counseling to prevent chronic diseases should continue to focus on evidence-based approaches, including balanced diets that are high in fruits and vegetables and physical activity.

However, they added that healthy eating can be a challenge when the American industrialized food system does not prioritize health, and healthy foods tend to be more expensive, leading to access problems and food insecurity.

The editorialists suggested that, rather than focusing money, time, and attention on supplements, it would be better to emphasize lower-risk, higher-benefit activities, such as getting exercise, maintaining a healthy weight, and avoiding smoking, in addition to following a healthful diet.
 

Possible benefit for older adults?

Commenting on the USPSTF statement, JoAnn Manson, MD, chief, division of preventive medicine, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, who led the recent COSMOS study, said that vitamin and mineral supplements should not be perceived as a substitute for a healthful diet.

“The emphasis needs to be on getting nutritional needs from a healthy diet that is high in plant-based and whole foods that don’t strip the vitamins and minerals through excessive processing,” she said. “Although it’s easier to pop a pill each day than to focus on healthful dietary patterns, the mixture of phytochemicals, fiber, and all the other nutrients in actual foods just can’t be packaged into a pill. Also, vitamins and minerals tend to be better absorbed from food than from supplements and healthy foods can replace calories from less healthy foods, such as red meat and processed foods.”

However, Dr. Manson noted that the evidence is mounting that taking a tablet containing moderate doses of a wide range of vitamins and minerals is safe and may actually have benefits for some people.

She pointed out that the COSMOS and COSMOS-Mind studies showed benefits of multivitamins in slowing cognitive decline in older adults, but the findings need to be replicated.  

“The USPSTF did see a statistically significant 7% reduction in cancer with multivitamins in their meta-analysis of four randomized trials and a borderline 6% reduction in all-cause mortality,” she noted. “Plus, multivitamins have been shown to be quite safe in several large and long-term randomized trials. I agree the evidence is not sufficient to make a blanket recommendation for everyone to take multivitamins, but the evidence is mounting that this would be a prudent approach for many older adults,” Dr. Manson said.

“Many people view multivitamins as a form of insurance, as a way to hedge their bets,” she added. “Although this is a rational approach, especially for those who have concerns about the adequacy of their diet, it’s important that this mindset not lead to complacency about following healthy lifestyle practices, including healthy eating, regular physical activity, not smoking, making sure that blood pressure and cholesterol levels are well controlled, and many other practices that critically important for health but are more challenging than simply popping a pill each day.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The U.S. Supreme Court has voted to overturn the federal constitutional right to abortion, which will now leave the issue to be decided on a state-by-state basis.

According to some estimates, about 25 million women of reproductive age will now live in states that ban or severely restrict abortion. Twenty-six states are “certain or likely” to ban abortion, according to the Guttmacher Institute, which supports abortion rights.

Thirteen states have so-called trigger laws that will ban abortion almost immediately, while nine other states are now likely to try to enforce near-total bans or severe restrictions that have been blocked by courts pending the outcome of the just-issued decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. Four states also have a history or have shown a recent desire to prohibit abortion, according to the Guttmacher Institute.

Doctors and others who provide abortion services, or in some states “aid or abet” an abortion, could be fined thousands of dollars or sent to prison.

The court voted in favor of Mississippi and its 2018 law that outlawed abortion after 15 weeks. Jackson Women’s Health, the state’s sole remaining abortion provider, sued to block the law soon after it passed.

The Supreme Court decision is not a surprise, as the justices indicated they were leaning that way during oral arguments in December. The majority’s thoughts were further revealed when a draft of the opinion was leaked to the news outlet Politico on May 2. 

In the final opinion, Justice Samuel Alito, writing for the majority, “It is time to heed the Constitution and return the issue of abortion to the people’s elected representatives.”

The decision strikes down both precedent-setting rulings that established a right to abortion until the point of viability, long considered to be 24 weeks: Roe v. Wade (1973) and Planned Parenthood v. Casey (1992).

Twenty-five medical professional societies – representing OB/GYNs, family medicine doctors, fertility specialists, geneticists, hospitalists, internists, pediatricians, psychiatrists, nurses, nurse practitioners, and midwives – had urged the court to throw out the Mississippi law. And more than 2,500 medical professionals signed on to a petition in June, urging the court to uphold the right to abortion.

The number of abortions has recently increased from what had been a long decline. The Guttmacher Institute estimates there were there were 930,160 abortion procedures in 2020 (compared to 3.6 million births), an 8% increase from 2017. The number does not include self-managed abortions. The organization said the increase was potentially due to expanded Medicaid coverage and reduced access to contraception due to Trump administration policies.
 

Trigger laws and bans

When trigger laws and new restrictions go into effect, women in the South, Midwest, and Inter-Mountain West will likely have to drive hundreds of miles for an abortion, according to Guttmacher. Women in Louisiana, for instance, would have to drive 660 miles to get to the nearest provider in Illinois.

University of Utah researchers estimated that almost half of women will see a big increase in the distance to abortion care, from a median distance of 39 miles to 113 miles. State bans will disproportionately impact women of color, those living in poverty, and people with less education, they said.

The CDC has reported that Black women are three times more likely to die from a pregnancy-related cause than white women.

Doctors and other abortion providers could face serious penalties. The maximum penalty in Texas is life in prison, and the sentence could be 10 to 15 years in 11 other states, according to an article in the medical journal JAMA by attorneys Rebecca B. Reingold and Lawrence O. Gostin.

“Threats of prosecution undermine clinicians’ ability to provide safe, evidence-based care and to counsel patients honestly, impeding the patient-physician relationship,” they wrote. “Given harsh penalties, physicians may cease treating pregnancy loss, with no clear line between treating miscarriages and abortions.”

In preparing for these attacks on patients and doctors, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul on June 13 signed a bill that immediately protects anyone who has an abortion and medical professionals in the state who provide them from legal retaliation by states that restrict or prohibit abortion.

Even while Roe was still the law, Mississippi had banned most abortions after 20 weeks, and 16 states prohibited abortion after 22 weeks. A Texas ban on abortion after 6 weeks – which also allows private citizens to sue abortion providers – was allowed to stay in place while it was being challenged.

On May 26, Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt signed  a bill banning abortion from the moment of conception. Just as in Texas, the Oklahoma law allows what critics have called “bounty hunting” of abortion providers.

Four states have a constitutional amendment declaring that the state constitution does not secure or protect the right to abortion or allow the use of public funds for abortion: Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
 

Some states protecting rights

At least 16 states have proactively protected a right to an abortion, according to Guttmacher, while The New York Times reports that Washington, DC, has laws that protect abortion, along with 20 states: Alaska, Colorado, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Rhode Island, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Vermont, and Washington.

Some of these states are gearing up for a potential influx of patients. Washington Gov. Jay Inslee signed a law that authorizes physician assistants, advanced registered nurse practitioners, and other providers acting within their scope of practice to perform abortions. And the Maryland Legislature overrode a veto by Gov. Larry Hogan of a law that expands who can perform abortions.

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers in early June called a special legislative session to repeal the state’s 173-year-old dormant ban on abortion. But the majority Republican legislature vowed to take no action.

B. Jessie Hill, JD, associate dean for academic affairs and a professor at the Case Western Reserve University School of Law, says she expects anti-abortion groups to challenge these protective laws, “by saying that fetuses are persons under the Constitution with a right to life and therefore that the state has to protect them.”

But, she says, “there’s going to be big, big challenges with those lawsuits,” and they will not be “winners off the bat.”
 

Medication abortions, travel next battle

Some states are also trying to outlaw or severely restrict the use of RU-486, the abortion pill. A Tennessee law that goes into effect in 2023 would ban delivery of pills by mail and require a patient to have two doctor visits – one consultation and one to pick up the pills.

Mississippi has also enacted restrictions including the requirement that women meet with a doctor  first – and is being sued by pill maker GenBioPro.

Guttmacher estimates that medication abortion accounted for 39% of all abortions in the U.S. in 2017 and 60% of all abortions that occurred before 10 weeks’ gestation.

Some states have floated the idea of prohibiting anyone from traveling to another state for an abortion.

George Mason University law professor Ilya Somin, JD, has written that such a law would likely violate the Dormant Commerce Clause, “which forbids state regulations that specifically restrict interstate commerce or discriminate against it.”

He also wrote that states lack the authority to regulate activity that takes place beyond their borders and that such bans “are open to challenge because they violate the constitutional right to travel.”

Hill also said a travel ban would be problematic, noting that it might be difficult to prosecute someone for “something you did completely in another state.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The U.S. Supreme Court has voted to overturn the federal constitutional right to abortion, which will now leave the issue to be decided on a state-by-state basis.

According to some estimates, about 25 million women of reproductive age will now live in states that ban or severely restrict abortion. Twenty-six states are “certain or likely” to ban abortion, according to the Guttmacher Institute, which supports abortion rights.

Thirteen states have so-called trigger laws that will ban abortion almost immediately, while nine other states are now likely to try to enforce near-total bans or severe restrictions that have been blocked by courts pending the outcome of the just-issued decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. Four states also have a history or have shown a recent desire to prohibit abortion, according to the Guttmacher Institute.

Doctors and others who provide abortion services, or in some states “aid or abet” an abortion, could be fined thousands of dollars or sent to prison.

The court voted in favor of Mississippi and its 2018 law that outlawed abortion after 15 weeks. Jackson Women’s Health, the state’s sole remaining abortion provider, sued to block the law soon after it passed.

The Supreme Court decision is not a surprise, as the justices indicated they were leaning that way during oral arguments in December. The majority’s thoughts were further revealed when a draft of the opinion was leaked to the news outlet Politico on May 2. 

In the final opinion, Justice Samuel Alito, writing for the majority, “It is time to heed the Constitution and return the issue of abortion to the people’s elected representatives.”

The decision strikes down both precedent-setting rulings that established a right to abortion until the point of viability, long considered to be 24 weeks: Roe v. Wade (1973) and Planned Parenthood v. Casey (1992).

Twenty-five medical professional societies – representing OB/GYNs, family medicine doctors, fertility specialists, geneticists, hospitalists, internists, pediatricians, psychiatrists, nurses, nurse practitioners, and midwives – had urged the court to throw out the Mississippi law. And more than 2,500 medical professionals signed on to a petition in June, urging the court to uphold the right to abortion.

The number of abortions has recently increased from what had been a long decline. The Guttmacher Institute estimates there were there were 930,160 abortion procedures in 2020 (compared to 3.6 million births), an 8% increase from 2017. The number does not include self-managed abortions. The organization said the increase was potentially due to expanded Medicaid coverage and reduced access to contraception due to Trump administration policies.
 

Trigger laws and bans

When trigger laws and new restrictions go into effect, women in the South, Midwest, and Inter-Mountain West will likely have to drive hundreds of miles for an abortion, according to Guttmacher. Women in Louisiana, for instance, would have to drive 660 miles to get to the nearest provider in Illinois.

University of Utah researchers estimated that almost half of women will see a big increase in the distance to abortion care, from a median distance of 39 miles to 113 miles. State bans will disproportionately impact women of color, those living in poverty, and people with less education, they said.

The CDC has reported that Black women are three times more likely to die from a pregnancy-related cause than white women.

Doctors and other abortion providers could face serious penalties. The maximum penalty in Texas is life in prison, and the sentence could be 10 to 15 years in 11 other states, according to an article in the medical journal JAMA by attorneys Rebecca B. Reingold and Lawrence O. Gostin.

“Threats of prosecution undermine clinicians’ ability to provide safe, evidence-based care and to counsel patients honestly, impeding the patient-physician relationship,” they wrote. “Given harsh penalties, physicians may cease treating pregnancy loss, with no clear line between treating miscarriages and abortions.”

In preparing for these attacks on patients and doctors, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul on June 13 signed a bill that immediately protects anyone who has an abortion and medical professionals in the state who provide them from legal retaliation by states that restrict or prohibit abortion.

Even while Roe was still the law, Mississippi had banned most abortions after 20 weeks, and 16 states prohibited abortion after 22 weeks. A Texas ban on abortion after 6 weeks – which also allows private citizens to sue abortion providers – was allowed to stay in place while it was being challenged.

On May 26, Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt signed  a bill banning abortion from the moment of conception. Just as in Texas, the Oklahoma law allows what critics have called “bounty hunting” of abortion providers.

Four states have a constitutional amendment declaring that the state constitution does not secure or protect the right to abortion or allow the use of public funds for abortion: Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
 

Some states protecting rights

At least 16 states have proactively protected a right to an abortion, according to Guttmacher, while The New York Times reports that Washington, DC, has laws that protect abortion, along with 20 states: Alaska, Colorado, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Rhode Island, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Vermont, and Washington.

Some of these states are gearing up for a potential influx of patients. Washington Gov. Jay Inslee signed a law that authorizes physician assistants, advanced registered nurse practitioners, and other providers acting within their scope of practice to perform abortions. And the Maryland Legislature overrode a veto by Gov. Larry Hogan of a law that expands who can perform abortions.

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers in early June called a special legislative session to repeal the state’s 173-year-old dormant ban on abortion. But the majority Republican legislature vowed to take no action.

B. Jessie Hill, JD, associate dean for academic affairs and a professor at the Case Western Reserve University School of Law, says she expects anti-abortion groups to challenge these protective laws, “by saying that fetuses are persons under the Constitution with a right to life and therefore that the state has to protect them.”

But, she says, “there’s going to be big, big challenges with those lawsuits,” and they will not be “winners off the bat.”
 

Medication abortions, travel next battle

Some states are also trying to outlaw or severely restrict the use of RU-486, the abortion pill. A Tennessee law that goes into effect in 2023 would ban delivery of pills by mail and require a patient to have two doctor visits – one consultation and one to pick up the pills.

Mississippi has also enacted restrictions including the requirement that women meet with a doctor  first – and is being sued by pill maker GenBioPro.

Guttmacher estimates that medication abortion accounted for 39% of all abortions in the U.S. in 2017 and 60% of all abortions that occurred before 10 weeks’ gestation.

Some states have floated the idea of prohibiting anyone from traveling to another state for an abortion.

George Mason University law professor Ilya Somin, JD, has written that such a law would likely violate the Dormant Commerce Clause, “which forbids state regulations that specifically restrict interstate commerce or discriminate against it.”

He also wrote that states lack the authority to regulate activity that takes place beyond their borders and that such bans “are open to challenge because they violate the constitutional right to travel.”

Hill also said a travel ban would be problematic, noting that it might be difficult to prosecute someone for “something you did completely in another state.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

The U.S. Supreme Court has voted to overturn the federal constitutional right to abortion, which will now leave the issue to be decided on a state-by-state basis.

According to some estimates, about 25 million women of reproductive age will now live in states that ban or severely restrict abortion. Twenty-six states are “certain or likely” to ban abortion, according to the Guttmacher Institute, which supports abortion rights.

Thirteen states have so-called trigger laws that will ban abortion almost immediately, while nine other states are now likely to try to enforce near-total bans or severe restrictions that have been blocked by courts pending the outcome of the just-issued decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization. Four states also have a history or have shown a recent desire to prohibit abortion, according to the Guttmacher Institute.

Doctors and others who provide abortion services, or in some states “aid or abet” an abortion, could be fined thousands of dollars or sent to prison.

The court voted in favor of Mississippi and its 2018 law that outlawed abortion after 15 weeks. Jackson Women’s Health, the state’s sole remaining abortion provider, sued to block the law soon after it passed.

The Supreme Court decision is not a surprise, as the justices indicated they were leaning that way during oral arguments in December. The majority’s thoughts were further revealed when a draft of the opinion was leaked to the news outlet Politico on May 2. 

In the final opinion, Justice Samuel Alito, writing for the majority, “It is time to heed the Constitution and return the issue of abortion to the people’s elected representatives.”

The decision strikes down both precedent-setting rulings that established a right to abortion until the point of viability, long considered to be 24 weeks: Roe v. Wade (1973) and Planned Parenthood v. Casey (1992).

Twenty-five medical professional societies – representing OB/GYNs, family medicine doctors, fertility specialists, geneticists, hospitalists, internists, pediatricians, psychiatrists, nurses, nurse practitioners, and midwives – had urged the court to throw out the Mississippi law. And more than 2,500 medical professionals signed on to a petition in June, urging the court to uphold the right to abortion.

The number of abortions has recently increased from what had been a long decline. The Guttmacher Institute estimates there were there were 930,160 abortion procedures in 2020 (compared to 3.6 million births), an 8% increase from 2017. The number does not include self-managed abortions. The organization said the increase was potentially due to expanded Medicaid coverage and reduced access to contraception due to Trump administration policies.
 

Trigger laws and bans

When trigger laws and new restrictions go into effect, women in the South, Midwest, and Inter-Mountain West will likely have to drive hundreds of miles for an abortion, according to Guttmacher. Women in Louisiana, for instance, would have to drive 660 miles to get to the nearest provider in Illinois.

University of Utah researchers estimated that almost half of women will see a big increase in the distance to abortion care, from a median distance of 39 miles to 113 miles. State bans will disproportionately impact women of color, those living in poverty, and people with less education, they said.

The CDC has reported that Black women are three times more likely to die from a pregnancy-related cause than white women.

Doctors and other abortion providers could face serious penalties. The maximum penalty in Texas is life in prison, and the sentence could be 10 to 15 years in 11 other states, according to an article in the medical journal JAMA by attorneys Rebecca B. Reingold and Lawrence O. Gostin.

“Threats of prosecution undermine clinicians’ ability to provide safe, evidence-based care and to counsel patients honestly, impeding the patient-physician relationship,” they wrote. “Given harsh penalties, physicians may cease treating pregnancy loss, with no clear line between treating miscarriages and abortions.”

In preparing for these attacks on patients and doctors, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul on June 13 signed a bill that immediately protects anyone who has an abortion and medical professionals in the state who provide them from legal retaliation by states that restrict or prohibit abortion.

Even while Roe was still the law, Mississippi had banned most abortions after 20 weeks, and 16 states prohibited abortion after 22 weeks. A Texas ban on abortion after 6 weeks – which also allows private citizens to sue abortion providers – was allowed to stay in place while it was being challenged.

On May 26, Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt signed  a bill banning abortion from the moment of conception. Just as in Texas, the Oklahoma law allows what critics have called “bounty hunting” of abortion providers.

Four states have a constitutional amendment declaring that the state constitution does not secure or protect the right to abortion or allow the use of public funds for abortion: Alabama, Louisiana, Tennessee, and West Virginia.
 

Some states protecting rights

At least 16 states have proactively protected a right to an abortion, according to Guttmacher, while The New York Times reports that Washington, DC, has laws that protect abortion, along with 20 states: Alaska, Colorado, Illinois, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Rhode Island, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Oregon, Vermont, and Washington.

Some of these states are gearing up for a potential influx of patients. Washington Gov. Jay Inslee signed a law that authorizes physician assistants, advanced registered nurse practitioners, and other providers acting within their scope of practice to perform abortions. And the Maryland Legislature overrode a veto by Gov. Larry Hogan of a law that expands who can perform abortions.

Wisconsin Gov. Tony Evers in early June called a special legislative session to repeal the state’s 173-year-old dormant ban on abortion. But the majority Republican legislature vowed to take no action.

B. Jessie Hill, JD, associate dean for academic affairs and a professor at the Case Western Reserve University School of Law, says she expects anti-abortion groups to challenge these protective laws, “by saying that fetuses are persons under the Constitution with a right to life and therefore that the state has to protect them.”

But, she says, “there’s going to be big, big challenges with those lawsuits,” and they will not be “winners off the bat.”
 

Medication abortions, travel next battle

Some states are also trying to outlaw or severely restrict the use of RU-486, the abortion pill. A Tennessee law that goes into effect in 2023 would ban delivery of pills by mail and require a patient to have two doctor visits – one consultation and one to pick up the pills.

Mississippi has also enacted restrictions including the requirement that women meet with a doctor  first – and is being sued by pill maker GenBioPro.

Guttmacher estimates that medication abortion accounted for 39% of all abortions in the U.S. in 2017 and 60% of all abortions that occurred before 10 weeks’ gestation.

Some states have floated the idea of prohibiting anyone from traveling to another state for an abortion.

George Mason University law professor Ilya Somin, JD, has written that such a law would likely violate the Dormant Commerce Clause, “which forbids state regulations that specifically restrict interstate commerce or discriminate against it.”

He also wrote that states lack the authority to regulate activity that takes place beyond their borders and that such bans “are open to challenge because they violate the constitutional right to travel.”

Hill also said a travel ban would be problematic, noting that it might be difficult to prosecute someone for “something you did completely in another state.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.