Ob.Gyn. News

CHICAGO – Progress in breast cancer treatment over the past 2 decades has reduced expected mortality from both early-stage and metastatic disease, according to a new model that looked at 10-year distant recurrence-free survival and survival time after metastatic diagnosis, among other factors.

“There has been an accelerating influx of new treatments for breast cancer starting around 1990. We wished to ask whether and to what extent decades of metastatic treatment advances may have affected population level breast cancer mortality,” said Jennifer Lee Caswell-Jin, MD, during a presentation of the study at the annual meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

“Our models find that metastatic treatments improved population-level survival in all breast cancer subtypes since 2000 with substantial variability by subtype," said Dr. Caswell-Jin, who is a medical oncologist with Stanford (Calif.) Medicine specializing in breast cancer.

The study is based on an analysis of four models from the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET). The models simulated breast cancer mortality between 2000 and 2019 factoring in the use of mammography, efficacy and dissemination of estrogen receptor (ER) and HER2-specific treatments of early-stage (stages I-III) and metastatic (stage IV or distant recurrence) disease, but also non–cancer-related mortality. The models compared overall and ER/HER2-specific breast cancer mortality rates during this period with estimated rates with no screening or treatment, and then attributed mortality reductions to screening, early-stage, or metastatic treatment.

The results were compared with three clinical trials that tested therapies in different subtypes of metastatic disease. Dr. Caswell-Jin and colleagues adjusted the analysis to reflect expected differences between clinical trial populations and the broader population by sampling simulated patients who resembled the trial population.

The investigators found that, at 71%, the biggest drop in mortality rates were for women with ER+/HER2+ breast cancer, followed by 61% for women with ER-/HER2+ breast cancer and 59% for women with ER+/HER2– breast cancer. Triple-negative breast cancer – one of the most challenging breast cancers to treat – only saw a drop of 40% during this period. About 19% of the overall reduction in breast cancer mortality were caused by treatments after metastasis.

The median survival after a diagnosis of ER+/HER2– metastatic recurrence increased from 2 years in 2000 to 3.5 years in 2019. In triple-negative breast cancer, the increase was more modest, from 1.2 years in 2000 to 1.8 years in 2019. After a diagnosis of metastatic recurrence of ER+/HER2+ breast cancer, median survival increased from 2.3 years in 2000 to 4.8 years in 2019, and for ER–/HER2+ breast cancer, from 2.2 years in 2000 to 3.9 years in 2019.

“How much metastatic treatments contributed to the overall mortality reduction varied over time depending on what therapies were entering the metastatic setting at that time and what therapies were transitioning from the metastatic to early-stage setting,” Dr. Caswell-Jin said.

The study did not include sacituzumab govitecan for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, or trastuzumab deruxtecan and tucatinib for HER2-positive disease, which were approved after 2020. “The numbers that we cite will be better today for triple-negative breast cancer because of those two drugs. And will be even better for HER2-positive breast cancer because of those two drugs,” she said.

During the Q&A portion of the presentation, Daniel Hayes, MD, the Stuart B. Padnos Professor of Breast Cancer Research at the University of Michigan Rogel Cancer Center, Ann Arbor, asked about the potential of CISNET as an in-practice diagnostic tool.

“We’ve traditionally told patients who have metastatic disease that they will not be cured. I told two patients that on Tuesday. Can CISNET modeling let us begin to see if there is indeed now, with the improved therapies we have, a group of patients who do appear to be cured, or is that not possible?” he asked.

Perhaps, Dr. Caswell-Jin said, in a very small population of older patients with HER2-positive breast cancer that did in fact occur, but to a very small degree.

CHICAGO – Progress in breast cancer treatment over the past 2 decades has reduced expected mortality from both early-stage and metastatic disease, according to a new model that looked at 10-year distant recurrence-free survival and survival time after metastatic diagnosis, among other factors.

“There has been an accelerating influx of new treatments for breast cancer starting around 1990. We wished to ask whether and to what extent decades of metastatic treatment advances may have affected population level breast cancer mortality,” said Jennifer Lee Caswell-Jin, MD, during a presentation of the study at the annual meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

“Our models find that metastatic treatments improved population-level survival in all breast cancer subtypes since 2000 with substantial variability by subtype," said Dr. Caswell-Jin, who is a medical oncologist with Stanford (Calif.) Medicine specializing in breast cancer.

The study is based on an analysis of four models from the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET). The models simulated breast cancer mortality between 2000 and 2019 factoring in the use of mammography, efficacy and dissemination of estrogen receptor (ER) and HER2-specific treatments of early-stage (stages I-III) and metastatic (stage IV or distant recurrence) disease, but also non–cancer-related mortality. The models compared overall and ER/HER2-specific breast cancer mortality rates during this period with estimated rates with no screening or treatment, and then attributed mortality reductions to screening, early-stage, or metastatic treatment.

The results were compared with three clinical trials that tested therapies in different subtypes of metastatic disease. Dr. Caswell-Jin and colleagues adjusted the analysis to reflect expected differences between clinical trial populations and the broader population by sampling simulated patients who resembled the trial population.

The investigators found that, at 71%, the biggest drop in mortality rates were for women with ER+/HER2+ breast cancer, followed by 61% for women with ER-/HER2+ breast cancer and 59% for women with ER+/HER2– breast cancer. Triple-negative breast cancer – one of the most challenging breast cancers to treat – only saw a drop of 40% during this period. About 19% of the overall reduction in breast cancer mortality were caused by treatments after metastasis.

The median survival after a diagnosis of ER+/HER2– metastatic recurrence increased from 2 years in 2000 to 3.5 years in 2019. In triple-negative breast cancer, the increase was more modest, from 1.2 years in 2000 to 1.8 years in 2019. After a diagnosis of metastatic recurrence of ER+/HER2+ breast cancer, median survival increased from 2.3 years in 2000 to 4.8 years in 2019, and for ER–/HER2+ breast cancer, from 2.2 years in 2000 to 3.9 years in 2019.

“How much metastatic treatments contributed to the overall mortality reduction varied over time depending on what therapies were entering the metastatic setting at that time and what therapies were transitioning from the metastatic to early-stage setting,” Dr. Caswell-Jin said.

The study did not include sacituzumab govitecan for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, or trastuzumab deruxtecan and tucatinib for HER2-positive disease, which were approved after 2020. “The numbers that we cite will be better today for triple-negative breast cancer because of those two drugs. And will be even better for HER2-positive breast cancer because of those two drugs,” she said.

During the Q&A portion of the presentation, Daniel Hayes, MD, the Stuart B. Padnos Professor of Breast Cancer Research at the University of Michigan Rogel Cancer Center, Ann Arbor, asked about the potential of CISNET as an in-practice diagnostic tool.

“We’ve traditionally told patients who have metastatic disease that they will not be cured. I told two patients that on Tuesday. Can CISNET modeling let us begin to see if there is indeed now, with the improved therapies we have, a group of patients who do appear to be cured, or is that not possible?” he asked.

Perhaps, Dr. Caswell-Jin said, in a very small population of older patients with HER2-positive breast cancer that did in fact occur, but to a very small degree.

CHICAGO – Progress in breast cancer treatment over the past 2 decades has reduced expected mortality from both early-stage and metastatic disease, according to a new model that looked at 10-year distant recurrence-free survival and survival time after metastatic diagnosis, among other factors.

“There has been an accelerating influx of new treatments for breast cancer starting around 1990. We wished to ask whether and to what extent decades of metastatic treatment advances may have affected population level breast cancer mortality,” said Jennifer Lee Caswell-Jin, MD, during a presentation of the study at the annual meeting of the American Society of Clinical Oncology.

“Our models find that metastatic treatments improved population-level survival in all breast cancer subtypes since 2000 with substantial variability by subtype," said Dr. Caswell-Jin, who is a medical oncologist with Stanford (Calif.) Medicine specializing in breast cancer.

The study is based on an analysis of four models from the Cancer Intervention and Surveillance Modeling Network (CISNET). The models simulated breast cancer mortality between 2000 and 2019 factoring in the use of mammography, efficacy and dissemination of estrogen receptor (ER) and HER2-specific treatments of early-stage (stages I-III) and metastatic (stage IV or distant recurrence) disease, but also non–cancer-related mortality. The models compared overall and ER/HER2-specific breast cancer mortality rates during this period with estimated rates with no screening or treatment, and then attributed mortality reductions to screening, early-stage, or metastatic treatment.

The results were compared with three clinical trials that tested therapies in different subtypes of metastatic disease. Dr. Caswell-Jin and colleagues adjusted the analysis to reflect expected differences between clinical trial populations and the broader population by sampling simulated patients who resembled the trial population.

The investigators found that, at 71%, the biggest drop in mortality rates were for women with ER+/HER2+ breast cancer, followed by 61% for women with ER-/HER2+ breast cancer and 59% for women with ER+/HER2– breast cancer. Triple-negative breast cancer – one of the most challenging breast cancers to treat – only saw a drop of 40% during this period. About 19% of the overall reduction in breast cancer mortality were caused by treatments after metastasis.

The median survival after a diagnosis of ER+/HER2– metastatic recurrence increased from 2 years in 2000 to 3.5 years in 2019. In triple-negative breast cancer, the increase was more modest, from 1.2 years in 2000 to 1.8 years in 2019. After a diagnosis of metastatic recurrence of ER+/HER2+ breast cancer, median survival increased from 2.3 years in 2000 to 4.8 years in 2019, and for ER–/HER2+ breast cancer, from 2.2 years in 2000 to 3.9 years in 2019.

“How much metastatic treatments contributed to the overall mortality reduction varied over time depending on what therapies were entering the metastatic setting at that time and what therapies were transitioning from the metastatic to early-stage setting,” Dr. Caswell-Jin said.

The study did not include sacituzumab govitecan for metastatic triple-negative breast cancer, or trastuzumab deruxtecan and tucatinib for HER2-positive disease, which were approved after 2020. “The numbers that we cite will be better today for triple-negative breast cancer because of those two drugs. And will be even better for HER2-positive breast cancer because of those two drugs,” she said.

During the Q&A portion of the presentation, Daniel Hayes, MD, the Stuart B. Padnos Professor of Breast Cancer Research at the University of Michigan Rogel Cancer Center, Ann Arbor, asked about the potential of CISNET as an in-practice diagnostic tool.

“We’ve traditionally told patients who have metastatic disease that they will not be cured. I told two patients that on Tuesday. Can CISNET modeling let us begin to see if there is indeed now, with the improved therapies we have, a group of patients who do appear to be cured, or is that not possible?” he asked.

Perhaps, Dr. Caswell-Jin said, in a very small population of older patients with HER2-positive breast cancer that did in fact occur, but to a very small degree.

Two new studies point to an ever-increasing number of young people in the United States who identify as transgender and nonbinary, with the figures doubling among 18- to 24-year-olds in one institute’s research – from 0.66% of the population in 2016 to 1.3% (398,900) in 2022.

In addition, 1.4% (300,100) of 13- to 17-year-olds identify as trans or nonbinary, according to the report from that group, the Williams Institute at the University of California, Los Angeles, School of Law.

Williams, which conducts independent research on sexual orientation and gender identity law and public policy, did not contain data on 13- to 17-year-olds in its 2016 study, so the growth in that group over the past 5+ years is not as well documented.

Overall, some 1.6 million Americans older than age 13 now identify as transgender, reported the Williams researchers.

And in a new Pew Research Center survey, 2% of adults aged 18-29 identify as transgender and 3% identify as nonbinary, a far greater number than in other age cohorts.

These reports are likely underestimates. The Human Rights Campaign estimates that some 2 million Americans of all ages identify as transgender.

The Pew survey is weighted to be representative but still has limitations, said the organization. The Williams analysis, based on responses to two CDC surveys – the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) and Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) – is incomplete, say researchers, because not every state collects data on gender identity.
 

Transgender identities more predominant among youth

The Williams researchers report that 18.3% of those who identified as trans were 13- to 17-year-olds; that age group makes up 7.6% of the United States population 13 and older.

And despite not having firm figures from earlier reports, they comment: “Youth ages 13-17 comprise a larger share of the transgender-identified population than we previously estimated, currently comprising about 18% of the transgender-identified population in the United State, up from 10% previously.”  

About one-quarter of those who identified as trans in the new 2022 report were aged 18-24; that age cohort accounts for 11% of Americans.

The number of older Americans who identify as trans are more proportionate to their representation in the population, according to Williams. Overall, about half of those who said they were trans were aged 25-64; that group accounts for 62% of the overall American population. Some 10% of trans-identified individuals were over age 65. About 20% of Americans are 65 or older, said the researchers.

The Pew research – based on the responses of 10,188 individuals surveyed in May – also found growing numbers of young people who identify as trans. “The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25,” reported Pew in a blog post.

In the 18- to 25-year-old group, 3.1% identified as a trans man or a trans woman, compared with just 0.5% of those ages 25-29.  

That compares to 0.3% of those aged 30-49 and 0.2% of those older than 50.
 

Racial and state-by-state variation

Similar percentages of youth aged 13-17 of all races and ethnicities in the Williams study report they are transgender, ranging from 1% of those who are Asian, to 1.3% of White youth, 1.4% of Black youth, 1.8% of American Indian or Alaska Native, and 1.8% of Latinx youth. The institute reported that 1.5% of biracial and multiracial youth identified as transgender.

The researchers said, however, that “transgender-identified youth and adults appear more likely to report being Latinx and less likely to report being White, as compared to the United States population.”

Transgender individuals live in every state, with the greatest percentage of both youth and adults in the Northeast and West, and lesser percentages in the Midwest and South, reported the Williams Institute.

Williams estimates as many as 3% of 13- to 17-year-olds in New York identify as trans, while just 0.6% of that age group in Wyoming is transgender. A total of 2%-2.5% of those aged 13-17 are transgender in Hawaii, New Mexico, Maryland, and Washington, D.C.

Among the states with higher percentages of trans-identifying 18- to 24-year-olds: Arizona (1.9%), Arkansas (3.6%), Colorado (2%), Delaware (2.4%), Illinois (1.9%), Maryland (1.9%), North Carolina (2.5%), Oklahoma (2.5%), Massachusetts (2.3%), Rhode Island (2.1%), and Washington (2%).

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Two new studies point to an ever-increasing number of young people in the United States who identify as transgender and nonbinary, with the figures doubling among 18- to 24-year-olds in one institute’s research – from 0.66% of the population in 2016 to 1.3% (398,900) in 2022.

In addition, 1.4% (300,100) of 13- to 17-year-olds identify as trans or nonbinary, according to the report from that group, the Williams Institute at the University of California, Los Angeles, School of Law.

Williams, which conducts independent research on sexual orientation and gender identity law and public policy, did not contain data on 13- to 17-year-olds in its 2016 study, so the growth in that group over the past 5+ years is not as well documented.

Overall, some 1.6 million Americans older than age 13 now identify as transgender, reported the Williams researchers.

And in a new Pew Research Center survey, 2% of adults aged 18-29 identify as transgender and 3% identify as nonbinary, a far greater number than in other age cohorts.

These reports are likely underestimates. The Human Rights Campaign estimates that some 2 million Americans of all ages identify as transgender.

The Pew survey is weighted to be representative but still has limitations, said the organization. The Williams analysis, based on responses to two CDC surveys – the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) and Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) – is incomplete, say researchers, because not every state collects data on gender identity.
 

Transgender identities more predominant among youth

The Williams researchers report that 18.3% of those who identified as trans were 13- to 17-year-olds; that age group makes up 7.6% of the United States population 13 and older.

And despite not having firm figures from earlier reports, they comment: “Youth ages 13-17 comprise a larger share of the transgender-identified population than we previously estimated, currently comprising about 18% of the transgender-identified population in the United State, up from 10% previously.”  

About one-quarter of those who identified as trans in the new 2022 report were aged 18-24; that age cohort accounts for 11% of Americans.

The number of older Americans who identify as trans are more proportionate to their representation in the population, according to Williams. Overall, about half of those who said they were trans were aged 25-64; that group accounts for 62% of the overall American population. Some 10% of trans-identified individuals were over age 65. About 20% of Americans are 65 or older, said the researchers.

The Pew research – based on the responses of 10,188 individuals surveyed in May – also found growing numbers of young people who identify as trans. “The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25,” reported Pew in a blog post.

In the 18- to 25-year-old group, 3.1% identified as a trans man or a trans woman, compared with just 0.5% of those ages 25-29.  

That compares to 0.3% of those aged 30-49 and 0.2% of those older than 50.
 

Racial and state-by-state variation

Similar percentages of youth aged 13-17 of all races and ethnicities in the Williams study report they are transgender, ranging from 1% of those who are Asian, to 1.3% of White youth, 1.4% of Black youth, 1.8% of American Indian or Alaska Native, and 1.8% of Latinx youth. The institute reported that 1.5% of biracial and multiracial youth identified as transgender.

The researchers said, however, that “transgender-identified youth and adults appear more likely to report being Latinx and less likely to report being White, as compared to the United States population.”

Transgender individuals live in every state, with the greatest percentage of both youth and adults in the Northeast and West, and lesser percentages in the Midwest and South, reported the Williams Institute.

Williams estimates as many as 3% of 13- to 17-year-olds in New York identify as trans, while just 0.6% of that age group in Wyoming is transgender. A total of 2%-2.5% of those aged 13-17 are transgender in Hawaii, New Mexico, Maryland, and Washington, D.C.

Among the states with higher percentages of trans-identifying 18- to 24-year-olds: Arizona (1.9%), Arkansas (3.6%), Colorado (2%), Delaware (2.4%), Illinois (1.9%), Maryland (1.9%), North Carolina (2.5%), Oklahoma (2.5%), Massachusetts (2.3%), Rhode Island (2.1%), and Washington (2%).

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Two new studies point to an ever-increasing number of young people in the United States who identify as transgender and nonbinary, with the figures doubling among 18- to 24-year-olds in one institute’s research – from 0.66% of the population in 2016 to 1.3% (398,900) in 2022.

In addition, 1.4% (300,100) of 13- to 17-year-olds identify as trans or nonbinary, according to the report from that group, the Williams Institute at the University of California, Los Angeles, School of Law.

Williams, which conducts independent research on sexual orientation and gender identity law and public policy, did not contain data on 13- to 17-year-olds in its 2016 study, so the growth in that group over the past 5+ years is not as well documented.

Overall, some 1.6 million Americans older than age 13 now identify as transgender, reported the Williams researchers.

And in a new Pew Research Center survey, 2% of adults aged 18-29 identify as transgender and 3% identify as nonbinary, a far greater number than in other age cohorts.

These reports are likely underestimates. The Human Rights Campaign estimates that some 2 million Americans of all ages identify as transgender.

The Pew survey is weighted to be representative but still has limitations, said the organization. The Williams analysis, based on responses to two CDC surveys – the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) and Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS) – is incomplete, say researchers, because not every state collects data on gender identity.
 

Transgender identities more predominant among youth

The Williams researchers report that 18.3% of those who identified as trans were 13- to 17-year-olds; that age group makes up 7.6% of the United States population 13 and older.

And despite not having firm figures from earlier reports, they comment: “Youth ages 13-17 comprise a larger share of the transgender-identified population than we previously estimated, currently comprising about 18% of the transgender-identified population in the United State, up from 10% previously.”  

About one-quarter of those who identified as trans in the new 2022 report were aged 18-24; that age cohort accounts for 11% of Americans.

The number of older Americans who identify as trans are more proportionate to their representation in the population, according to Williams. Overall, about half of those who said they were trans were aged 25-64; that group accounts for 62% of the overall American population. Some 10% of trans-identified individuals were over age 65. About 20% of Americans are 65 or older, said the researchers.

The Pew research – based on the responses of 10,188 individuals surveyed in May – also found growing numbers of young people who identify as trans. “The share of U.S. adults who are transgender is particularly high among adults younger than 25,” reported Pew in a blog post.

In the 18- to 25-year-old group, 3.1% identified as a trans man or a trans woman, compared with just 0.5% of those ages 25-29.  

That compares to 0.3% of those aged 30-49 and 0.2% of those older than 50.
 

Racial and state-by-state variation

Similar percentages of youth aged 13-17 of all races and ethnicities in the Williams study report they are transgender, ranging from 1% of those who are Asian, to 1.3% of White youth, 1.4% of Black youth, 1.8% of American Indian or Alaska Native, and 1.8% of Latinx youth. The institute reported that 1.5% of biracial and multiracial youth identified as transgender.

The researchers said, however, that “transgender-identified youth and adults appear more likely to report being Latinx and less likely to report being White, as compared to the United States population.”

Transgender individuals live in every state, with the greatest percentage of both youth and adults in the Northeast and West, and lesser percentages in the Midwest and South, reported the Williams Institute.

Williams estimates as many as 3% of 13- to 17-year-olds in New York identify as trans, while just 0.6% of that age group in Wyoming is transgender. A total of 2%-2.5% of those aged 13-17 are transgender in Hawaii, New Mexico, Maryland, and Washington, D.C.

Among the states with higher percentages of trans-identifying 18- to 24-year-olds: Arizona (1.9%), Arkansas (3.6%), Colorado (2%), Delaware (2.4%), Illinois (1.9%), Maryland (1.9%), North Carolina (2.5%), Oklahoma (2.5%), Massachusetts (2.3%), Rhode Island (2.1%), and Washington (2%).

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

An online survey captured mixed information about people’s willingness to undergo surgery during a viral pandemic in relation to the vaccine status of the patient and staff. The findings showcase opportunities for public education and “skillful messaging,” researchers report.

In survey scenarios that asked people to imagine their vaccination status, people were more willing to undergo surgery if it was lifesaving, rather than elective, especially if vaccinated. The prospect of no hospital stay tipped the scales further toward surgery. The vaccination status of hospital staff played only a minor role in decision making, according to the study, which was published in Vaccine.

But as a post hoc analysis revealed, it was participants who were not vaccinated against COVID-19 in real life who were more willing to undergo surgery, compared with those who had one or two shots.

In either case, too many people were unwilling to undergo lifesaving surgery, even though the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 is low. “Making this choice for an actual health problem would result in an unacceptably high rate of potential morbidity attributable to pandemic-related fears, the authors wrote.

In an unusual approach, the researchers used Amazon’s Mechanical Turk to electronically recruit 2,006 adults. The participants answered a 26-item survey about a hypothetical surgery in an unnamed pandemic with different combinations of vaccine status for patient and staff.

Coauthor and anesthesiologist Keith J. Ruskin, MD, of the University of Chicago, told this news organization that they “wanted to make this timeless” and independent of COVID “so that when the next thing came about, the paper would still be relevant.”

The researchers were surprised by the findings at the extreme ends of attitudes toward surgery. Some were still willing to have elective surgery with (hypothetically) unvaccinated patients and staff.

“And people at the other end, even though they are vaccinated, the hospital staff is vaccinated, and the surgery is lifesaving, they absolutely won’t have surgery,” Dr. Ruskin said.

He viewed these two groups as opportunities for education. “You can present information in the most positive light to get them to do the right thing with what’s best for themselves,” he said.

As an example, Dr. Ruskin pointed to an ad in Illinois. “It’s not only people saying I’m getting vaccinated for myself and my family, but there are people who said I got vaccinated and I still got COVID, but it could have been much worse. Please, if you’re on the fence, just get vaccinated,” he said.

Coauthor Anna Clebone Ruskin, MD, an anesthesiologist at the University of Chicago, said, “Humans are programmed to see things in extremes. With surgery, people tend to think of surgery as a monolith – surgery is all good, or surgery is all bad, where there is a huge in between. So we saw those extremes. ... Seeing that dichotomy with people on either end was pretty surprising.

“Getting surgery is not always good. Getting surgery is not always bad. It’s a risk-versus-benefit analysis and educating the public to consider the risks and benefits of medical decisions, in general, would be enormously beneficial,” she said.

A post hoc analysis found that “participants who were not actually vaccinated against COVID-19 were generally more willing to undergo surgery compared to those who had one vaccination or two vaccinations,” the authors wrote.

In a second post hoc finding, participants who reported high wariness of vaccines were generally more likely to be willing to undergo surgery. Notably, 15% of participants “were unwilling to undergo lifesaving surgery during a pandemic even when they and the health care staff were vaccinated,” the authors wrote.

Dr. Keith J. Ruskin hypothesized about this result, saying, “What we think is that potentially actually getting vaccinated against COVID-19 may indicate that you have a lower risk tolerance. So you may be less likely to do anything you perceive to be risky if you’re vaccinated against COVID-19.”

The authors stated that “the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 even prior to vaccination is vanishingly small.” The risk of nosocomial COVID varies among different studies. An EPIC-based study between April 2020 and October 2021 found the risk to be 1.8%; EPIC describes the fears of a patient catching COVID at a hospital as “likely unfounded.”

In the United Kingdom, the risk was as high as 24% earlier in the pandemic and then declined to approximately 5% a year ago. Omicron also brought more infections. Rates varied significantly among hospitals – and, notably, the risk of death from a nosocomial COVID infection was 21% in April-September 2020.

Emily Landon, MD, an epidemiologist and executive medical director for infection prevention and control at the University of Chicago Medicine, told this news organization that the study’s data were collected during Delta, a “time when we thought that this was a pandemic of the unvaccinated. But there was serious politicization of the vaccine.”

Dr. Landon said one of the study’s strengths was the large number of participants. A limitation was, “You’re going to have less participants who are generally poor and indigent, and fewer old participants, probably because they’re less likely to respond to an online survey.

“But the most interesting results are that people who were wary of vaccines or who hadn’t been vaccinated, were much more willing to undergo surgical procedures in the time of a pandemic, regardless of status, which reflects the fact that not being vaccinated correlates with not worrying much about COVID. Vaccinated individuals had a lot more wariness about undergoing surgical procedures during a pandemic.”

It appeared “individuals who were vaccinated in real life [were] worried about staff vaccination,” Dr. Landon noted. She concluded, “I think it supports the need for mandatory vaccinations in health care workers.”

The study has implications for hospital vaccination policies and practices. In Cumberland, Md., when COVID was high and vaccines first became available, the Maryland Hospital Association said that all health care staff should be vaccinated. The local hospital, UPMC–Western Maryland Hospital, refused.

Two months later, the local news reporter, Teresa McMinn, wrote, “While Maryland’s largest hospital systems have ‘led by example by mandating vaccines for all of their hospital staff,’ other facilities – including UPMC Western Maryland and Garrett Regional Medical Center – have taken no such action even though it’s been 8 months since vaccines were made available to health care workers.”

The hospital would not tell patients whether staff were vaccinated, either. An ongoing concern for members of the community is the lack of communication with UPMC, which erodes trust in the health system – the only hospital available in this rural community.

This vaccine study supports that the vaccination status of the staff may influence some patients’ decision on whether to have surgery.

The Ruskins and Dr. Landon have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

An online survey captured mixed information about people’s willingness to undergo surgery during a viral pandemic in relation to the vaccine status of the patient and staff. The findings showcase opportunities for public education and “skillful messaging,” researchers report.

In survey scenarios that asked people to imagine their vaccination status, people were more willing to undergo surgery if it was lifesaving, rather than elective, especially if vaccinated. The prospect of no hospital stay tipped the scales further toward surgery. The vaccination status of hospital staff played only a minor role in decision making, according to the study, which was published in Vaccine.

But as a post hoc analysis revealed, it was participants who were not vaccinated against COVID-19 in real life who were more willing to undergo surgery, compared with those who had one or two shots.

In either case, too many people were unwilling to undergo lifesaving surgery, even though the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 is low. “Making this choice for an actual health problem would result in an unacceptably high rate of potential morbidity attributable to pandemic-related fears, the authors wrote.

In an unusual approach, the researchers used Amazon’s Mechanical Turk to electronically recruit 2,006 adults. The participants answered a 26-item survey about a hypothetical surgery in an unnamed pandemic with different combinations of vaccine status for patient and staff.

Coauthor and anesthesiologist Keith J. Ruskin, MD, of the University of Chicago, told this news organization that they “wanted to make this timeless” and independent of COVID “so that when the next thing came about, the paper would still be relevant.”

The researchers were surprised by the findings at the extreme ends of attitudes toward surgery. Some were still willing to have elective surgery with (hypothetically) unvaccinated patients and staff.

“And people at the other end, even though they are vaccinated, the hospital staff is vaccinated, and the surgery is lifesaving, they absolutely won’t have surgery,” Dr. Ruskin said.

He viewed these two groups as opportunities for education. “You can present information in the most positive light to get them to do the right thing with what’s best for themselves,” he said.

As an example, Dr. Ruskin pointed to an ad in Illinois. “It’s not only people saying I’m getting vaccinated for myself and my family, but there are people who said I got vaccinated and I still got COVID, but it could have been much worse. Please, if you’re on the fence, just get vaccinated,” he said.

Coauthor Anna Clebone Ruskin, MD, an anesthesiologist at the University of Chicago, said, “Humans are programmed to see things in extremes. With surgery, people tend to think of surgery as a monolith – surgery is all good, or surgery is all bad, where there is a huge in between. So we saw those extremes. ... Seeing that dichotomy with people on either end was pretty surprising.

“Getting surgery is not always good. Getting surgery is not always bad. It’s a risk-versus-benefit analysis and educating the public to consider the risks and benefits of medical decisions, in general, would be enormously beneficial,” she said.

A post hoc analysis found that “participants who were not actually vaccinated against COVID-19 were generally more willing to undergo surgery compared to those who had one vaccination or two vaccinations,” the authors wrote.

In a second post hoc finding, participants who reported high wariness of vaccines were generally more likely to be willing to undergo surgery. Notably, 15% of participants “were unwilling to undergo lifesaving surgery during a pandemic even when they and the health care staff were vaccinated,” the authors wrote.

Dr. Keith J. Ruskin hypothesized about this result, saying, “What we think is that potentially actually getting vaccinated against COVID-19 may indicate that you have a lower risk tolerance. So you may be less likely to do anything you perceive to be risky if you’re vaccinated against COVID-19.”

The authors stated that “the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 even prior to vaccination is vanishingly small.” The risk of nosocomial COVID varies among different studies. An EPIC-based study between April 2020 and October 2021 found the risk to be 1.8%; EPIC describes the fears of a patient catching COVID at a hospital as “likely unfounded.”

In the United Kingdom, the risk was as high as 24% earlier in the pandemic and then declined to approximately 5% a year ago. Omicron also brought more infections. Rates varied significantly among hospitals – and, notably, the risk of death from a nosocomial COVID infection was 21% in April-September 2020.

Emily Landon, MD, an epidemiologist and executive medical director for infection prevention and control at the University of Chicago Medicine, told this news organization that the study’s data were collected during Delta, a “time when we thought that this was a pandemic of the unvaccinated. But there was serious politicization of the vaccine.”

Dr. Landon said one of the study’s strengths was the large number of participants. A limitation was, “You’re going to have less participants who are generally poor and indigent, and fewer old participants, probably because they’re less likely to respond to an online survey.

“But the most interesting results are that people who were wary of vaccines or who hadn’t been vaccinated, were much more willing to undergo surgical procedures in the time of a pandemic, regardless of status, which reflects the fact that not being vaccinated correlates with not worrying much about COVID. Vaccinated individuals had a lot more wariness about undergoing surgical procedures during a pandemic.”

It appeared “individuals who were vaccinated in real life [were] worried about staff vaccination,” Dr. Landon noted. She concluded, “I think it supports the need for mandatory vaccinations in health care workers.”

The study has implications for hospital vaccination policies and practices. In Cumberland, Md., when COVID was high and vaccines first became available, the Maryland Hospital Association said that all health care staff should be vaccinated. The local hospital, UPMC–Western Maryland Hospital, refused.

Two months later, the local news reporter, Teresa McMinn, wrote, “While Maryland’s largest hospital systems have ‘led by example by mandating vaccines for all of their hospital staff,’ other facilities – including UPMC Western Maryland and Garrett Regional Medical Center – have taken no such action even though it’s been 8 months since vaccines were made available to health care workers.”

The hospital would not tell patients whether staff were vaccinated, either. An ongoing concern for members of the community is the lack of communication with UPMC, which erodes trust in the health system – the only hospital available in this rural community.

This vaccine study supports that the vaccination status of the staff may influence some patients’ decision on whether to have surgery.

The Ruskins and Dr. Landon have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

An online survey captured mixed information about people’s willingness to undergo surgery during a viral pandemic in relation to the vaccine status of the patient and staff. The findings showcase opportunities for public education and “skillful messaging,” researchers report.

In survey scenarios that asked people to imagine their vaccination status, people were more willing to undergo surgery if it was lifesaving, rather than elective, especially if vaccinated. The prospect of no hospital stay tipped the scales further toward surgery. The vaccination status of hospital staff played only a minor role in decision making, according to the study, which was published in Vaccine.

But as a post hoc analysis revealed, it was participants who were not vaccinated against COVID-19 in real life who were more willing to undergo surgery, compared with those who had one or two shots.

In either case, too many people were unwilling to undergo lifesaving surgery, even though the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 is low. “Making this choice for an actual health problem would result in an unacceptably high rate of potential morbidity attributable to pandemic-related fears, the authors wrote.

In an unusual approach, the researchers used Amazon’s Mechanical Turk to electronically recruit 2,006 adults. The participants answered a 26-item survey about a hypothetical surgery in an unnamed pandemic with different combinations of vaccine status for patient and staff.

Coauthor and anesthesiologist Keith J. Ruskin, MD, of the University of Chicago, told this news organization that they “wanted to make this timeless” and independent of COVID “so that when the next thing came about, the paper would still be relevant.”

The researchers were surprised by the findings at the extreme ends of attitudes toward surgery. Some were still willing to have elective surgery with (hypothetically) unvaccinated patients and staff.

“And people at the other end, even though they are vaccinated, the hospital staff is vaccinated, and the surgery is lifesaving, they absolutely won’t have surgery,” Dr. Ruskin said.

He viewed these two groups as opportunities for education. “You can present information in the most positive light to get them to do the right thing with what’s best for themselves,” he said.

As an example, Dr. Ruskin pointed to an ad in Illinois. “It’s not only people saying I’m getting vaccinated for myself and my family, but there are people who said I got vaccinated and I still got COVID, but it could have been much worse. Please, if you’re on the fence, just get vaccinated,” he said.

Coauthor Anna Clebone Ruskin, MD, an anesthesiologist at the University of Chicago, said, “Humans are programmed to see things in extremes. With surgery, people tend to think of surgery as a monolith – surgery is all good, or surgery is all bad, where there is a huge in between. So we saw those extremes. ... Seeing that dichotomy with people on either end was pretty surprising.

“Getting surgery is not always good. Getting surgery is not always bad. It’s a risk-versus-benefit analysis and educating the public to consider the risks and benefits of medical decisions, in general, would be enormously beneficial,” she said.

A post hoc analysis found that “participants who were not actually vaccinated against COVID-19 were generally more willing to undergo surgery compared to those who had one vaccination or two vaccinations,” the authors wrote.

In a second post hoc finding, participants who reported high wariness of vaccines were generally more likely to be willing to undergo surgery. Notably, 15% of participants “were unwilling to undergo lifesaving surgery during a pandemic even when they and the health care staff were vaccinated,” the authors wrote.

Dr. Keith J. Ruskin hypothesized about this result, saying, “What we think is that potentially actually getting vaccinated against COVID-19 may indicate that you have a lower risk tolerance. So you may be less likely to do anything you perceive to be risky if you’re vaccinated against COVID-19.”

The authors stated that “the risk of hospital-acquired COVID-19 even prior to vaccination is vanishingly small.” The risk of nosocomial COVID varies among different studies. An EPIC-based study between April 2020 and October 2021 found the risk to be 1.8%; EPIC describes the fears of a patient catching COVID at a hospital as “likely unfounded.”

In the United Kingdom, the risk was as high as 24% earlier in the pandemic and then declined to approximately 5% a year ago. Omicron also brought more infections. Rates varied significantly among hospitals – and, notably, the risk of death from a nosocomial COVID infection was 21% in April-September 2020.

Emily Landon, MD, an epidemiologist and executive medical director for infection prevention and control at the University of Chicago Medicine, told this news organization that the study’s data were collected during Delta, a “time when we thought that this was a pandemic of the unvaccinated. But there was serious politicization of the vaccine.”

Dr. Landon said one of the study’s strengths was the large number of participants. A limitation was, “You’re going to have less participants who are generally poor and indigent, and fewer old participants, probably because they’re less likely to respond to an online survey.

“But the most interesting results are that people who were wary of vaccines or who hadn’t been vaccinated, were much more willing to undergo surgical procedures in the time of a pandemic, regardless of status, which reflects the fact that not being vaccinated correlates with not worrying much about COVID. Vaccinated individuals had a lot more wariness about undergoing surgical procedures during a pandemic.”

It appeared “individuals who were vaccinated in real life [were] worried about staff vaccination,” Dr. Landon noted. She concluded, “I think it supports the need for mandatory vaccinations in health care workers.”

The study has implications for hospital vaccination policies and practices. In Cumberland, Md., when COVID was high and vaccines first became available, the Maryland Hospital Association said that all health care staff should be vaccinated. The local hospital, UPMC–Western Maryland Hospital, refused.

Two months later, the local news reporter, Teresa McMinn, wrote, “While Maryland’s largest hospital systems have ‘led by example by mandating vaccines for all of their hospital staff,’ other facilities – including UPMC Western Maryland and Garrett Regional Medical Center – have taken no such action even though it’s been 8 months since vaccines were made available to health care workers.”

The hospital would not tell patients whether staff were vaccinated, either. An ongoing concern for members of the community is the lack of communication with UPMC, which erodes trust in the health system – the only hospital available in this rural community.

This vaccine study supports that the vaccination status of the staff may influence some patients’ decision on whether to have surgery.

The Ruskins and Dr. Landon have disclosed no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Contrary to previous analyses, women without a history of psychiatric illness who take combined hormonal contraceptives do not have an increased risk for attempted suicide but may have a reduced risk with extended use, new research suggests.

In a study of more than 800 women younger than age 50 who attempted suicide and more than 3,000 age-matched peers, results showed those who took hormonal contraceptives had a 27% reduced risk for attempted suicide.

areeya_ann/Thinkstock

Further analysis showed this was confined to women without a history of psychiatric illness and the reduction in risk rose to 43% among those who took combined hormonal contraceptives rather than progestin-only versions.

The protective effect against attempted suicide increased further to 46% if ethinyl estradiol (EE)–containing preparations were used. Moreover, the beneficial effect of contraceptive use increased over time.

The main message is the “current use of hormonal contraceptives is not associated with an increased risk of attempted suicide in our population,” study presenter Elena Toffol, MD, PhD, department of public health, University of Helsinki, told meeting attendees at the European Psychiatric Association 2022 Congress.
 

Age range differences

Dr. Toffol said there could be “several reasons” why the results are different from those in previous studies, including that the researchers included a “larger age range.” She noted it is known that “older women have a lower rate of attempted suicide and use different types of contraceptives.”

Dr. Toffol said in an interview that, although it’s “hard to estimate any causality” because this is an observational study, it is “tempting to speculate, and it is plausible, that hormones partly play a role with some, but not all, women being more sensitive to hormonal influences.”

However, the results “may also reflect life choices or a protective life status; for example, more stable relationships or more conscious and health-focused behaviors,” she said.

“It may also be that the underlying characteristics of women who are prescribed or opt for certain types of contraceptives are somehow related to their suicidal risk,” she added.

In 2019, the global age-standardized suicide rate was 9.0 per 100,000, which translates into more than 700,000 deaths every year, Dr. Toffol noted.

However, she emphasized the World Health Organization has calculated that, for every adult who dies by suicide, more than 20 people attempt suicide. In addition, data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicate that attempted suicides are three times more common among young women than in men.

“What are the reasons for this gender gap?” Dr. Toffol asked during her presentation.

“It is known that the major risk factor for suicidal behavior is a psychiatric disorder, and in particular depression and mood disorders. And depression and mood disorders are more common in women than in men,” she said.

However, there is also “growing interest into the role of biological factors” in the risk for suicide, including hormones and hormonal contraception. Some studies have also suggested that there is an increased risk for depression and “both completed and attempted suicide” after starting hormonal contraception.

Dr. Toffol added that about 70% of European women use some form of contraception and, among Finnish women, 40% choose a hormonal contraceptive.
 

Nested analysis

The researchers conducted a nested case-control analysis combining 2017 national prescription data on 587,823 women aged 15-49 years with information from general and primary healthcare registers for the years 2018 to 2019.

They were able to identify 818 cases of attempted suicide among the women. These were matched 4:1 with 3,272 age-matched healthy women who acted as the control group. Use of hormonal contraceptives in the previous 180 days was determined for the whole cohort.

Among users of hormonal contraceptives, there were 344 attempted suicides in 2017, at an incidence rate of 0.59 per 1,000 person-years. This compared with 474 attempted suicides among nonusers, at an incidence rate of 0.81 per 1000 person-years.

Kaplan-Meier analysis showed there was a significant difference in rates for attempted suicide among hormonal contraceptive users versus nonusers, at an incidence rate ratio of 0.73 (P < .0001) – and the difference increased over time.

In addition, the incidence of attempted suicide decreased with increasing age, with the highest incidence rate in women aged 15-19 years (1.62 per 1,000 person-years).

Conditional logistic regression analysis that controlled for education, marital status, chronic disease, recent psychiatric hospitalization, and current use of psychotropic medication showed hormonal contraceptive use was not linked to an increased risk of attempted suicide overall, at an odds ratio of 0.79 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-1.11).

However, when they looked specifically at women without a history of psychiatric illness, the association became significant, at an OR of 0.73 for attempted suicide among hormonal contraceptive users (95% CI, 0.58-0.91), while the relationship remained nonsignificant in women with a history of psychiatric disorders.

Further analysis suggested the significant association was confined to women taking combined hormonal contraceptives, at an OR of 0.57 for suicide attempt versus nonusers (95% CI, 0.44-0.75), and those use EE-containing preparations (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.40-0.73).

There was a suggestion in the data that hormonal contraceptives containing desogestrel or drospirenone alongside EE may offer the greatest reduction in attempted suicide risk, but that did not survive multivariate analysis.

Dr. Toffol also noted that they were not able to capture data on use of intrauterine devices in their analysis.

“There is a growing number of municipalities in Finland that are providing free-of-charge contraception to young women” that is often an intrauterine device, she said. The researchers hope to include these women in a future analysis.
 

‘Age matters’

Commenting on the findings, Alexis C. Edwards, PhD, Virginia Institute for Psychiatric and Behavioral Genetics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, said the current study’s findings “made a lot of sense.” Dr. Edwards wasn’t involved with this study but conducted a previous study of 216,702 Swedish women aged 15-22 years that showed use of combination or progestin-only oral contraceptives was associated with an increased risk for suicidal behavior.

She agreed with Dr. Toffol that the “much larger age range” in the new study may have played a role in showing the opposite result.

“The trajectory that we saw if we had been able to continue following the women for longer – which we couldn’t, due to limitations of the registries – [was that] using hormonal contraceptives was going to end up being protective, so I do think that it matters what age you’re looking at,” she said.

Dr. Edwards noted the takeaway from both studies “is that, even if there is a slight increase in risk from using hormonal contraceptives, it’s short lived and it’s probably specific to young women, which is important.”

She suggested the hormonal benefit from extended contraceptive use could come from the regulation of mood, as it offers a “more stable hormonal course than what their body might be putting them through in the absence of using the pill.”

Overall, it is “really lovely to see very well-executed studies on this, providing more empirical evidence on this question, because it is something that’s relevant to anyone who’s potentially going to be using hormonal contraception,” Dr. Edwards said.
 

Clinical implications?

Andrea Fiorillo, MD, PhD, department of psychiatry, University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli,” Naples, Italy, said in a press release that the “striking” findings of the current study need “careful evaluation.”

They also need to be replicated in “different cohorts of women and controlled for the impact of several psychosocial stressors, such as economic upheavals, social insecurity, and uncertainty due to the COVID pandemic,” said Dr. Fiorillo, who was not involved with the research.

Nevertheless, she believes the “clinical implications of the study are obvious and may help to destigmatize the use of hormonal contraceptives.”

The study was funded by the Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, the Avohoidon Tsukimis äätiö (Foundation for Primary Care Research), the Yrj ö Jahnsson Foundation, and the Finnish Cultural Foundation. No relevant financial relationships were reported.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Contrary to previous analyses, women without a history of psychiatric illness who take combined hormonal contraceptives do not have an increased risk for attempted suicide but may have a reduced risk with extended use, new research suggests.

In a study of more than 800 women younger than age 50 who attempted suicide and more than 3,000 age-matched peers, results showed those who took hormonal contraceptives had a 27% reduced risk for attempted suicide.

areeya_ann/Thinkstock

Further analysis showed this was confined to women without a history of psychiatric illness and the reduction in risk rose to 43% among those who took combined hormonal contraceptives rather than progestin-only versions.

The protective effect against attempted suicide increased further to 46% if ethinyl estradiol (EE)–containing preparations were used. Moreover, the beneficial effect of contraceptive use increased over time.

The main message is the “current use of hormonal contraceptives is not associated with an increased risk of attempted suicide in our population,” study presenter Elena Toffol, MD, PhD, department of public health, University of Helsinki, told meeting attendees at the European Psychiatric Association 2022 Congress.
 

Age range differences

Dr. Toffol said there could be “several reasons” why the results are different from those in previous studies, including that the researchers included a “larger age range.” She noted it is known that “older women have a lower rate of attempted suicide and use different types of contraceptives.”

Dr. Toffol said in an interview that, although it’s “hard to estimate any causality” because this is an observational study, it is “tempting to speculate, and it is plausible, that hormones partly play a role with some, but not all, women being more sensitive to hormonal influences.”

However, the results “may also reflect life choices or a protective life status; for example, more stable relationships or more conscious and health-focused behaviors,” she said.

“It may also be that the underlying characteristics of women who are prescribed or opt for certain types of contraceptives are somehow related to their suicidal risk,” she added.

In 2019, the global age-standardized suicide rate was 9.0 per 100,000, which translates into more than 700,000 deaths every year, Dr. Toffol noted.

However, she emphasized the World Health Organization has calculated that, for every adult who dies by suicide, more than 20 people attempt suicide. In addition, data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicate that attempted suicides are three times more common among young women than in men.

“What are the reasons for this gender gap?” Dr. Toffol asked during her presentation.

“It is known that the major risk factor for suicidal behavior is a psychiatric disorder, and in particular depression and mood disorders. And depression and mood disorders are more common in women than in men,” she said.

However, there is also “growing interest into the role of biological factors” in the risk for suicide, including hormones and hormonal contraception. Some studies have also suggested that there is an increased risk for depression and “both completed and attempted suicide” after starting hormonal contraception.

Dr. Toffol added that about 70% of European women use some form of contraception and, among Finnish women, 40% choose a hormonal contraceptive.
 

Nested analysis

The researchers conducted a nested case-control analysis combining 2017 national prescription data on 587,823 women aged 15-49 years with information from general and primary healthcare registers for the years 2018 to 2019.

They were able to identify 818 cases of attempted suicide among the women. These were matched 4:1 with 3,272 age-matched healthy women who acted as the control group. Use of hormonal contraceptives in the previous 180 days was determined for the whole cohort.

Among users of hormonal contraceptives, there were 344 attempted suicides in 2017, at an incidence rate of 0.59 per 1,000 person-years. This compared with 474 attempted suicides among nonusers, at an incidence rate of 0.81 per 1000 person-years.

Kaplan-Meier analysis showed there was a significant difference in rates for attempted suicide among hormonal contraceptive users versus nonusers, at an incidence rate ratio of 0.73 (P < .0001) – and the difference increased over time.

In addition, the incidence of attempted suicide decreased with increasing age, with the highest incidence rate in women aged 15-19 years (1.62 per 1,000 person-years).

Conditional logistic regression analysis that controlled for education, marital status, chronic disease, recent psychiatric hospitalization, and current use of psychotropic medication showed hormonal contraceptive use was not linked to an increased risk of attempted suicide overall, at an odds ratio of 0.79 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-1.11).

However, when they looked specifically at women without a history of psychiatric illness, the association became significant, at an OR of 0.73 for attempted suicide among hormonal contraceptive users (95% CI, 0.58-0.91), while the relationship remained nonsignificant in women with a history of psychiatric disorders.

Further analysis suggested the significant association was confined to women taking combined hormonal contraceptives, at an OR of 0.57 for suicide attempt versus nonusers (95% CI, 0.44-0.75), and those use EE-containing preparations (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.40-0.73).

There was a suggestion in the data that hormonal contraceptives containing desogestrel or drospirenone alongside EE may offer the greatest reduction in attempted suicide risk, but that did not survive multivariate analysis.

Dr. Toffol also noted that they were not able to capture data on use of intrauterine devices in their analysis.

“There is a growing number of municipalities in Finland that are providing free-of-charge contraception to young women” that is often an intrauterine device, she said. The researchers hope to include these women in a future analysis.
 

‘Age matters’

Commenting on the findings, Alexis C. Edwards, PhD, Virginia Institute for Psychiatric and Behavioral Genetics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, said the current study’s findings “made a lot of sense.” Dr. Edwards wasn’t involved with this study but conducted a previous study of 216,702 Swedish women aged 15-22 years that showed use of combination or progestin-only oral contraceptives was associated with an increased risk for suicidal behavior.

She agreed with Dr. Toffol that the “much larger age range” in the new study may have played a role in showing the opposite result.

“The trajectory that we saw if we had been able to continue following the women for longer – which we couldn’t, due to limitations of the registries – [was that] using hormonal contraceptives was going to end up being protective, so I do think that it matters what age you’re looking at,” she said.

Dr. Edwards noted the takeaway from both studies “is that, even if there is a slight increase in risk from using hormonal contraceptives, it’s short lived and it’s probably specific to young women, which is important.”

She suggested the hormonal benefit from extended contraceptive use could come from the regulation of mood, as it offers a “more stable hormonal course than what their body might be putting them through in the absence of using the pill.”

Overall, it is “really lovely to see very well-executed studies on this, providing more empirical evidence on this question, because it is something that’s relevant to anyone who’s potentially going to be using hormonal contraception,” Dr. Edwards said.
 

Clinical implications?

Andrea Fiorillo, MD, PhD, department of psychiatry, University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli,” Naples, Italy, said in a press release that the “striking” findings of the current study need “careful evaluation.”

They also need to be replicated in “different cohorts of women and controlled for the impact of several psychosocial stressors, such as economic upheavals, social insecurity, and uncertainty due to the COVID pandemic,” said Dr. Fiorillo, who was not involved with the research.

Nevertheless, she believes the “clinical implications of the study are obvious and may help to destigmatize the use of hormonal contraceptives.”

The study was funded by the Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, the Avohoidon Tsukimis äätiö (Foundation for Primary Care Research), the Yrj ö Jahnsson Foundation, and the Finnish Cultural Foundation. No relevant financial relationships were reported.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Contrary to previous analyses, women without a history of psychiatric illness who take combined hormonal contraceptives do not have an increased risk for attempted suicide but may have a reduced risk with extended use, new research suggests.

In a study of more than 800 women younger than age 50 who attempted suicide and more than 3,000 age-matched peers, results showed those who took hormonal contraceptives had a 27% reduced risk for attempted suicide.

areeya_ann/Thinkstock

Further analysis showed this was confined to women without a history of psychiatric illness and the reduction in risk rose to 43% among those who took combined hormonal contraceptives rather than progestin-only versions.

The protective effect against attempted suicide increased further to 46% if ethinyl estradiol (EE)–containing preparations were used. Moreover, the beneficial effect of contraceptive use increased over time.

The main message is the “current use of hormonal contraceptives is not associated with an increased risk of attempted suicide in our population,” study presenter Elena Toffol, MD, PhD, department of public health, University of Helsinki, told meeting attendees at the European Psychiatric Association 2022 Congress.
 

Age range differences

Dr. Toffol said there could be “several reasons” why the results are different from those in previous studies, including that the researchers included a “larger age range.” She noted it is known that “older women have a lower rate of attempted suicide and use different types of contraceptives.”

Dr. Toffol said in an interview that, although it’s “hard to estimate any causality” because this is an observational study, it is “tempting to speculate, and it is plausible, that hormones partly play a role with some, but not all, women being more sensitive to hormonal influences.”

However, the results “may also reflect life choices or a protective life status; for example, more stable relationships or more conscious and health-focused behaviors,” she said.

“It may also be that the underlying characteristics of women who are prescribed or opt for certain types of contraceptives are somehow related to their suicidal risk,” she added.

In 2019, the global age-standardized suicide rate was 9.0 per 100,000, which translates into more than 700,000 deaths every year, Dr. Toffol noted.

However, she emphasized the World Health Organization has calculated that, for every adult who dies by suicide, more than 20 people attempt suicide. In addition, data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention indicate that attempted suicides are three times more common among young women than in men.

“What are the reasons for this gender gap?” Dr. Toffol asked during her presentation.

“It is known that the major risk factor for suicidal behavior is a psychiatric disorder, and in particular depression and mood disorders. And depression and mood disorders are more common in women than in men,” she said.

However, there is also “growing interest into the role of biological factors” in the risk for suicide, including hormones and hormonal contraception. Some studies have also suggested that there is an increased risk for depression and “both completed and attempted suicide” after starting hormonal contraception.

Dr. Toffol added that about 70% of European women use some form of contraception and, among Finnish women, 40% choose a hormonal contraceptive.
 

Nested analysis

The researchers conducted a nested case-control analysis combining 2017 national prescription data on 587,823 women aged 15-49 years with information from general and primary healthcare registers for the years 2018 to 2019.

They were able to identify 818 cases of attempted suicide among the women. These were matched 4:1 with 3,272 age-matched healthy women who acted as the control group. Use of hormonal contraceptives in the previous 180 days was determined for the whole cohort.

Among users of hormonal contraceptives, there were 344 attempted suicides in 2017, at an incidence rate of 0.59 per 1,000 person-years. This compared with 474 attempted suicides among nonusers, at an incidence rate of 0.81 per 1000 person-years.

Kaplan-Meier analysis showed there was a significant difference in rates for attempted suicide among hormonal contraceptive users versus nonusers, at an incidence rate ratio of 0.73 (P < .0001) – and the difference increased over time.

In addition, the incidence of attempted suicide decreased with increasing age, with the highest incidence rate in women aged 15-19 years (1.62 per 1,000 person-years).

Conditional logistic regression analysis that controlled for education, marital status, chronic disease, recent psychiatric hospitalization, and current use of psychotropic medication showed hormonal contraceptive use was not linked to an increased risk of attempted suicide overall, at an odds ratio of 0.79 (95% confidence interval, 0.56-1.11).

However, when they looked specifically at women without a history of psychiatric illness, the association became significant, at an OR of 0.73 for attempted suicide among hormonal contraceptive users (95% CI, 0.58-0.91), while the relationship remained nonsignificant in women with a history of psychiatric disorders.

Further analysis suggested the significant association was confined to women taking combined hormonal contraceptives, at an OR of 0.57 for suicide attempt versus nonusers (95% CI, 0.44-0.75), and those use EE-containing preparations (OR, 0.54; 95% CI, 0.40-0.73).

There was a suggestion in the data that hormonal contraceptives containing desogestrel or drospirenone alongside EE may offer the greatest reduction in attempted suicide risk, but that did not survive multivariate analysis.

Dr. Toffol also noted that they were not able to capture data on use of intrauterine devices in their analysis.

“There is a growing number of municipalities in Finland that are providing free-of-charge contraception to young women” that is often an intrauterine device, she said. The researchers hope to include these women in a future analysis.
 

‘Age matters’

Commenting on the findings, Alexis C. Edwards, PhD, Virginia Institute for Psychiatric and Behavioral Genetics, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, said the current study’s findings “made a lot of sense.” Dr. Edwards wasn’t involved with this study but conducted a previous study of 216,702 Swedish women aged 15-22 years that showed use of combination or progestin-only oral contraceptives was associated with an increased risk for suicidal behavior.

She agreed with Dr. Toffol that the “much larger age range” in the new study may have played a role in showing the opposite result.

“The trajectory that we saw if we had been able to continue following the women for longer – which we couldn’t, due to limitations of the registries – [was that] using hormonal contraceptives was going to end up being protective, so I do think that it matters what age you’re looking at,” she said.

Dr. Edwards noted the takeaway from both studies “is that, even if there is a slight increase in risk from using hormonal contraceptives, it’s short lived and it’s probably specific to young women, which is important.”

She suggested the hormonal benefit from extended contraceptive use could come from the regulation of mood, as it offers a “more stable hormonal course than what their body might be putting them through in the absence of using the pill.”

Overall, it is “really lovely to see very well-executed studies on this, providing more empirical evidence on this question, because it is something that’s relevant to anyone who’s potentially going to be using hormonal contraception,” Dr. Edwards said.
 

Clinical implications?

Andrea Fiorillo, MD, PhD, department of psychiatry, University of Campania “Luigi Vanvitelli,” Naples, Italy, said in a press release that the “striking” findings of the current study need “careful evaluation.”

They also need to be replicated in “different cohorts of women and controlled for the impact of several psychosocial stressors, such as economic upheavals, social insecurity, and uncertainty due to the COVID pandemic,” said Dr. Fiorillo, who was not involved with the research.

Nevertheless, she believes the “clinical implications of the study are obvious and may help to destigmatize the use of hormonal contraceptives.”

The study was funded by the Jane and Aatos Erkko Foundation, the Avohoidon Tsukimis äätiö (Foundation for Primary Care Research), the Yrj ö Jahnsson Foundation, and the Finnish Cultural Foundation. No relevant financial relationships were reported.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Surgeons may significantly underestimate how long it will take women to return to normal activities following sling surgery to correct stress urinary incontinence, a new study has found.

The researchers found that just over 40% of women reported returning to work and other normal activities within 2 weeks of having undergone midurethral sling procedures – a much less optimistic forecast than what surgeons typically provide in these cases.

“This is in contrast to a published survey of physicians that showed the majority of surgeons suggested patients return to work within 2 weeks,” Rui Wang, MD, a fellow in female pelvic medicine and reconstructive surgery at Hartford Hospital, Conn., said in an interview.

Dr. Wang referred to a published survey of 135 physicians that was conducted at a 2018 meeting of the Society of Gynecologic Surgeons. In that survey, 88% of respondents indicated that patients could return to sedentary work within 2 weeks after undergoing sling surgery. Most recommended longer waits before returning to manual labor.

The authors of the survey noted a lack of consensus guidelines and wide variations in recommendations for postoperative restrictions after minimally invasive gynecologic and pelvic reconstructive surgery, which the researchers called a “largely unstudied field.”

Dr. Wang said, “The majority of patients may need more than 2 weeks to return to work and normal activities even following minimally invasive outpatient surgeries such as midurethral sling.”

Dr. Wang is scheduled to present the findings June 18 at the annual meeting of the American Urogynecologic Society.

For the new study, Dr. Wang and a colleague examined how patients answered questions about their activity levels during recovery after sling procedures. The patients were enrolled in the Trial of Mid-Urethral Slings (TOMUS), a randomized controlled trial that compared two types of midurethral slings used for the treatment of stress urinary incontinence: the retropubic midurethral mesh sling and the transobturator midurethral sling. Results of the trial were published in 2010.

Of 597 women enrolled in TOMUS, 441 were included in the new analysis. Patients who underwent another surgery at the same time as their sling procedure were excluded from the analysis.

As part of the trial, patients were asked how many paid workdays they took off after surgery; whether they had returned to full normal activities of daily life, including work, if applicable; and how much time it took for them to fully return to normal activities of daily life, including work.

The researchers found that 183 (41.5%) returned to normal activities within 2 weeks of the procedure. Among those patients, the median recovery time was 6 days. Within 6 weeks of surgery, 308 (70%) had returned to normal activities, including work. After 6 months, 407 (98.3%) were back to their normal routines, the study showed.

Multivariate regression analysis yielded no factor that predicted the timing of returning to normal activity and work. Nor did the researchers observe any significant differences in failure rates and adverse outcomes between patients who returned within 2 weeks or after 2 weeks.
 

Essential information for patient planning

Dr. Wang said she expects that the findings will help physicians in counseling patients and setting postoperative recovery expectations. “For patients planning elective surgery, one of the most important quality-of-life issues is the time they will need to take off from work and recover,” she said.

Although most patients needed more than 2 weeks to recover, the median paid time off after surgery was 4 days. “Many patients would have taken unpaid days off or used vacation time for their postoperative recovery,” Dr. Wang said.

She added that more research is needed to explore whether that discrepancy disproportionately affects women in jobs with fewer employee benefits. “We did not find that age, race/ethnicity, marital status, occupation, symptom severity, and duration of surgery significantly predicted the timing of return to work or normal activities,” she said. “But are there other factors, such as geographic location, insurance status, [or] income, that may affect this timing?”

Sarah Boyd, MD, an assistant professor in the Division of Female Pelvic Medicine and Reconstructive Surgery at Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, said the new findings add concrete information that can guide patients in planning their recovery.

“Previously, surgeons could only provide general estimates to these patients based on the experience of their patients,” Dr. Boyd, who was not involved in the study, told this news organization.

The analysis has not been published in a peer-reviewed journal, and Dr. Boyd said that the findings may not pertain to all individuals who undergo midurethral sling procedures, such as people who have had prior surgery for incontinence or those who undergo surgery for other pelvic floor disorders at the same time.

Dr. Wang and Dr. Boyd reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Surgeons may significantly underestimate how long it will take women to return to normal activities following sling surgery to correct stress urinary incontinence, a new study has found.

The researchers found that just over 40% of women reported returning to work and other normal activities within 2 weeks of having undergone midurethral sling procedures – a much less optimistic forecast than what surgeons typically provide in these cases.

“This is in contrast to a published survey of physicians that showed the majority of surgeons suggested patients return to work within 2 weeks,” Rui Wang, MD, a fellow in female pelvic medicine and reconstructive surgery at Hartford Hospital, Conn., said in an interview.

Dr. Wang referred to a published survey of 135 physicians that was conducted at a 2018 meeting of the Society of Gynecologic Surgeons. In that survey, 88% of respondents indicated that patients could return to sedentary work within 2 weeks after undergoing sling surgery. Most recommended longer waits before returning to manual labor.

The authors of the survey noted a lack of consensus guidelines and wide variations in recommendations for postoperative restrictions after minimally invasive gynecologic and pelvic reconstructive surgery, which the researchers called a “largely unstudied field.”

Dr. Wang said, “The majority of patients may need more than 2 weeks to return to work and normal activities even following minimally invasive outpatient surgeries such as midurethral sling.”

Dr. Wang is scheduled to present the findings June 18 at the annual meeting of the American Urogynecologic Society.

For the new study, Dr. Wang and a colleague examined how patients answered questions about their activity levels during recovery after sling procedures. The patients were enrolled in the Trial of Mid-Urethral Slings (TOMUS), a randomized controlled trial that compared two types of midurethral slings used for the treatment of stress urinary incontinence: the retropubic midurethral mesh sling and the transobturator midurethral sling. Results of the trial were published in 2010.

Of 597 women enrolled in TOMUS, 441 were included in the new analysis. Patients who underwent another surgery at the same time as their sling procedure were excluded from the analysis.

As part of the trial, patients were asked how many paid workdays they took off after surgery; whether they had returned to full normal activities of daily life, including work, if applicable; and how much time it took for them to fully return to normal activities of daily life, including work.

The researchers found that 183 (41.5%) returned to normal activities within 2 weeks of the procedure. Among those patients, the median recovery time was 6 days. Within 6 weeks of surgery, 308 (70%) had returned to normal activities, including work. After 6 months, 407 (98.3%) were back to their normal routines, the study showed.

Multivariate regression analysis yielded no factor that predicted the timing of returning to normal activity and work. Nor did the researchers observe any significant differences in failure rates and adverse outcomes between patients who returned within 2 weeks or after 2 weeks.
 

Essential information for patient planning

Dr. Wang said she expects that the findings will help physicians in counseling patients and setting postoperative recovery expectations. “For patients planning elective surgery, one of the most important quality-of-life issues is the time they will need to take off from work and recover,” she said.

Although most patients needed more than 2 weeks to recover, the median paid time off after surgery was 4 days. “Many patients would have taken unpaid days off or used vacation time for their postoperative recovery,” Dr. Wang said.

She added that more research is needed to explore whether that discrepancy disproportionately affects women in jobs with fewer employee benefits. “We did not find that age, race/ethnicity, marital status, occupation, symptom severity, and duration of surgery significantly predicted the timing of return to work or normal activities,” she said. “But are there other factors, such as geographic location, insurance status, [or] income, that may affect this timing?”

Sarah Boyd, MD, an assistant professor in the Division of Female Pelvic Medicine and Reconstructive Surgery at Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, said the new findings add concrete information that can guide patients in planning their recovery.

“Previously, surgeons could only provide general estimates to these patients based on the experience of their patients,” Dr. Boyd, who was not involved in the study, told this news organization.

The analysis has not been published in a peer-reviewed journal, and Dr. Boyd said that the findings may not pertain to all individuals who undergo midurethral sling procedures, such as people who have had prior surgery for incontinence or those who undergo surgery for other pelvic floor disorders at the same time.

Dr. Wang and Dr. Boyd reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Surgeons may significantly underestimate how long it will take women to return to normal activities following sling surgery to correct stress urinary incontinence, a new study has found.

The researchers found that just over 40% of women reported returning to work and other normal activities within 2 weeks of having undergone midurethral sling procedures – a much less optimistic forecast than what surgeons typically provide in these cases.

“This is in contrast to a published survey of physicians that showed the majority of surgeons suggested patients return to work within 2 weeks,” Rui Wang, MD, a fellow in female pelvic medicine and reconstructive surgery at Hartford Hospital, Conn., said in an interview.

Dr. Wang referred to a published survey of 135 physicians that was conducted at a 2018 meeting of the Society of Gynecologic Surgeons. In that survey, 88% of respondents indicated that patients could return to sedentary work within 2 weeks after undergoing sling surgery. Most recommended longer waits before returning to manual labor.

The authors of the survey noted a lack of consensus guidelines and wide variations in recommendations for postoperative restrictions after minimally invasive gynecologic and pelvic reconstructive surgery, which the researchers called a “largely unstudied field.”

Dr. Wang said, “The majority of patients may need more than 2 weeks to return to work and normal activities even following minimally invasive outpatient surgeries such as midurethral sling.”

Dr. Wang is scheduled to present the findings June 18 at the annual meeting of the American Urogynecologic Society.

For the new study, Dr. Wang and a colleague examined how patients answered questions about their activity levels during recovery after sling procedures. The patients were enrolled in the Trial of Mid-Urethral Slings (TOMUS), a randomized controlled trial that compared two types of midurethral slings used for the treatment of stress urinary incontinence: the retropubic midurethral mesh sling and the transobturator midurethral sling. Results of the trial were published in 2010.

Of 597 women enrolled in TOMUS, 441 were included in the new analysis. Patients who underwent another surgery at the same time as their sling procedure were excluded from the analysis.

As part of the trial, patients were asked how many paid workdays they took off after surgery; whether they had returned to full normal activities of daily life, including work, if applicable; and how much time it took for them to fully return to normal activities of daily life, including work.

The researchers found that 183 (41.5%) returned to normal activities within 2 weeks of the procedure. Among those patients, the median recovery time was 6 days. Within 6 weeks of surgery, 308 (70%) had returned to normal activities, including work. After 6 months, 407 (98.3%) were back to their normal routines, the study showed.

Multivariate regression analysis yielded no factor that predicted the timing of returning to normal activity and work. Nor did the researchers observe any significant differences in failure rates and adverse outcomes between patients who returned within 2 weeks or after 2 weeks.
 

Essential information for patient planning

Dr. Wang said she expects that the findings will help physicians in counseling patients and setting postoperative recovery expectations. “For patients planning elective surgery, one of the most important quality-of-life issues is the time they will need to take off from work and recover,” she said.

Although most patients needed more than 2 weeks to recover, the median paid time off after surgery was 4 days. “Many patients would have taken unpaid days off or used vacation time for their postoperative recovery,” Dr. Wang said.

She added that more research is needed to explore whether that discrepancy disproportionately affects women in jobs with fewer employee benefits. “We did not find that age, race/ethnicity, marital status, occupation, symptom severity, and duration of surgery significantly predicted the timing of return to work or normal activities,” she said. “But are there other factors, such as geographic location, insurance status, [or] income, that may affect this timing?”

Sarah Boyd, MD, an assistant professor in the Division of Female Pelvic Medicine and Reconstructive Surgery at Penn State College of Medicine, Hershey, said the new findings add concrete information that can guide patients in planning their recovery.

“Previously, surgeons could only provide general estimates to these patients based on the experience of their patients,” Dr. Boyd, who was not involved in the study, told this news organization.

The analysis has not been published in a peer-reviewed journal, and Dr. Boyd said that the findings may not pertain to all individuals who undergo midurethral sling procedures, such as people who have had prior surgery for incontinence or those who undergo surgery for other pelvic floor disorders at the same time.

Dr. Wang and Dr. Boyd reported no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Infants exposed to SARS-CoV-2 in utero are at increased risk for neurodevelopmental disorders in the first year of life, new research suggests.

But whether it is exposure to the pandemic or maternal exposure to the virus itself that may harm early childhood neurodevelopment is unclear, caution investigators, led by Roy Perlis, MD, MSc, with Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston.

“In this analysis of 222 offspring of mothers infected with SARS-CoV-2, compared with the offspring of 7,550 mothers in the control group (not infected) delivered during the same period, we observed neurodevelopmental diagnoses to be significantly more common among exposed offspring, particularly those exposed to third-trimester maternal infection,” they write.

The study was published online in JAMA Network Open.
 

Speech and language disorders

The study included 7,772 mostly singleton live births across six hospitals in Massachusetts between March and September 2020, including 222 (2.9%) births to mothers with SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by polymerase chain reaction testing during pregnancy.

In all, 14 of 222 children born to SARS-CoV-2–infected mothers (6.3%) were diagnosed with a neurodevelopmental disorder in the first year of life versus 227 of 7,550 unexposed offspring (3%) (unadjusted odds ratio, 2.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-3.79; P = .006).

In models adjusted for preterm delivery, as well as race, ethnicity, insurance status, child sex, and maternal age, COVID-exposed offspring were significantly more likely to receive a neurodevelopmental diagnosis in the first year of life (adjusted OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.03-3.36; P = .04).

The magnitude of the association with neurodevelopmental disorders was greater with third-trimester SARS-CoV-2 infection (aOR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.23-4.44; P = .01).

The majority of these diagnoses reflected developmental disorders of motor function or speech and language.

The researchers noted that the finding of an association between prenatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure and neurodevelopmental diagnoses at 12 months is in line with a “large body of literature” linking maternal viral infection and maternal immune activation with offspring neurodevelopmental disorders later in life.

They cautioned, however, that whether a definitive connection exists between prenatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure and adverse neurodevelopment in offspring is not yet known, in part because children born to women infected in the first wave of the pandemic haven’t reached their second birthday – a time when neurodevelopment disorders such as autism are typically diagnosed.

There is also the risk for ascertainment bias arising from greater concern for offspring of infected mothers who were ill during pregnancy. These parents may be more inclined to seek evaluation, and clinicians may be more inclined to diagnose or refer for evaluation, the researchers noted.

Nonetheless, as reported by this news organization, the study results support those of research released at the European Psychiatric Association 2022 Congress; those results also showed an association between maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection and impaired neurodevelopment in 6-week-old infants.
 

Hypothesis generating

In an accompanying commentary, Torri D. Metz, MD, MS, with University of Utah Health, Salt Lake City, said the preliminary findings of Dr. Perlis and colleagues are “critically important, yet many questions remain.”

“Essentially all of what we know now about the effects of in utero exposure to maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection is from children who were exposed to the early and Alpha variants of SARS-CoV-2, as those are the only children now old enough to undergo rigorous neurodevelopmental assessments,” Dr. Metz pointed out.

Ultimately, Dr. Metz said it’s not surprising that the pandemic and in utero exposure to maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection may adversely affect neurodevelopmental outcomes in young children.

Yet, as a retrospective cohort study, the study can only demonstrate associations, not causality.

“This type of work is intended to be hypothesis generating, and that goal has been accomplished as these preliminary findings generate numerous additional research questions to explore,” Dr. Metz wrote.

Among them: Are there genetic predispositions to adverse outcomes? Will we observe differential effects by SARS-CoV-2 variant, by severity of infection, and by trimester of infection? Is it the virus itself or all of the societal changes that occurred during this period, including differences in how those changes were experienced among those with and without SARS-CoV-2?

“Perhaps the most important question is how do we intervene to help mitigate the adverse effects of the pandemic on young children,” Dr. Metz noted.

“Prospective studies to validate these findings, tease out some of the nuance, and identify those at highest risk will help health care practitioners appropriately dedicate resources to improve outcomes as we follow the life course of this generation of children born during the COVID-19 pandemic,” she added.

The study was supported by the National Institute of Mental Health and the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Dr. Perlis is an associate editor for JAMA Network Open but was not involved in the editorial review or decision for the study. Dr. Metz reported receiving personal fees and grants from Pfizer and grants from GestVision.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Infants exposed to SARS-CoV-2 in utero are at increased risk for neurodevelopmental disorders in the first year of life, new research suggests.

But whether it is exposure to the pandemic or maternal exposure to the virus itself that may harm early childhood neurodevelopment is unclear, caution investigators, led by Roy Perlis, MD, MSc, with Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston.

“In this analysis of 222 offspring of mothers infected with SARS-CoV-2, compared with the offspring of 7,550 mothers in the control group (not infected) delivered during the same period, we observed neurodevelopmental diagnoses to be significantly more common among exposed offspring, particularly those exposed to third-trimester maternal infection,” they write.

The study was published online in JAMA Network Open.
 

Speech and language disorders

The study included 7,772 mostly singleton live births across six hospitals in Massachusetts between March and September 2020, including 222 (2.9%) births to mothers with SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by polymerase chain reaction testing during pregnancy.

In all, 14 of 222 children born to SARS-CoV-2–infected mothers (6.3%) were diagnosed with a neurodevelopmental disorder in the first year of life versus 227 of 7,550 unexposed offspring (3%) (unadjusted odds ratio, 2.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-3.79; P = .006).

In models adjusted for preterm delivery, as well as race, ethnicity, insurance status, child sex, and maternal age, COVID-exposed offspring were significantly more likely to receive a neurodevelopmental diagnosis in the first year of life (adjusted OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.03-3.36; P = .04).

The magnitude of the association with neurodevelopmental disorders was greater with third-trimester SARS-CoV-2 infection (aOR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.23-4.44; P = .01).

The majority of these diagnoses reflected developmental disorders of motor function or speech and language.

The researchers noted that the finding of an association between prenatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure and neurodevelopmental diagnoses at 12 months is in line with a “large body of literature” linking maternal viral infection and maternal immune activation with offspring neurodevelopmental disorders later in life.

They cautioned, however, that whether a definitive connection exists between prenatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure and adverse neurodevelopment in offspring is not yet known, in part because children born to women infected in the first wave of the pandemic haven’t reached their second birthday – a time when neurodevelopment disorders such as autism are typically diagnosed.

There is also the risk for ascertainment bias arising from greater concern for offspring of infected mothers who were ill during pregnancy. These parents may be more inclined to seek evaluation, and clinicians may be more inclined to diagnose or refer for evaluation, the researchers noted.

Nonetheless, as reported by this news organization, the study results support those of research released at the European Psychiatric Association 2022 Congress; those results also showed an association between maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection and impaired neurodevelopment in 6-week-old infants.
 

Hypothesis generating

In an accompanying commentary, Torri D. Metz, MD, MS, with University of Utah Health, Salt Lake City, said the preliminary findings of Dr. Perlis and colleagues are “critically important, yet many questions remain.”

“Essentially all of what we know now about the effects of in utero exposure to maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection is from children who were exposed to the early and Alpha variants of SARS-CoV-2, as those are the only children now old enough to undergo rigorous neurodevelopmental assessments,” Dr. Metz pointed out.

Ultimately, Dr. Metz said it’s not surprising that the pandemic and in utero exposure to maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection may adversely affect neurodevelopmental outcomes in young children.

Yet, as a retrospective cohort study, the study can only demonstrate associations, not causality.

“This type of work is intended to be hypothesis generating, and that goal has been accomplished as these preliminary findings generate numerous additional research questions to explore,” Dr. Metz wrote.

Among them: Are there genetic predispositions to adverse outcomes? Will we observe differential effects by SARS-CoV-2 variant, by severity of infection, and by trimester of infection? Is it the virus itself or all of the societal changes that occurred during this period, including differences in how those changes were experienced among those with and without SARS-CoV-2?

“Perhaps the most important question is how do we intervene to help mitigate the adverse effects of the pandemic on young children,” Dr. Metz noted.

“Prospective studies to validate these findings, tease out some of the nuance, and identify those at highest risk will help health care practitioners appropriately dedicate resources to improve outcomes as we follow the life course of this generation of children born during the COVID-19 pandemic,” she added.

The study was supported by the National Institute of Mental Health and the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Dr. Perlis is an associate editor for JAMA Network Open but was not involved in the editorial review or decision for the study. Dr. Metz reported receiving personal fees and grants from Pfizer and grants from GestVision.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Infants exposed to SARS-CoV-2 in utero are at increased risk for neurodevelopmental disorders in the first year of life, new research suggests.

But whether it is exposure to the pandemic or maternal exposure to the virus itself that may harm early childhood neurodevelopment is unclear, caution investigators, led by Roy Perlis, MD, MSc, with Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston.

“In this analysis of 222 offspring of mothers infected with SARS-CoV-2, compared with the offspring of 7,550 mothers in the control group (not infected) delivered during the same period, we observed neurodevelopmental diagnoses to be significantly more common among exposed offspring, particularly those exposed to third-trimester maternal infection,” they write.

The study was published online in JAMA Network Open.
 

Speech and language disorders

The study included 7,772 mostly singleton live births across six hospitals in Massachusetts between March and September 2020, including 222 (2.9%) births to mothers with SARS-CoV-2 infection confirmed by polymerase chain reaction testing during pregnancy.

In all, 14 of 222 children born to SARS-CoV-2–infected mothers (6.3%) were diagnosed with a neurodevelopmental disorder in the first year of life versus 227 of 7,550 unexposed offspring (3%) (unadjusted odds ratio, 2.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.24-3.79; P = .006).

In models adjusted for preterm delivery, as well as race, ethnicity, insurance status, child sex, and maternal age, COVID-exposed offspring were significantly more likely to receive a neurodevelopmental diagnosis in the first year of life (adjusted OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.03-3.36; P = .04).

The magnitude of the association with neurodevelopmental disorders was greater with third-trimester SARS-CoV-2 infection (aOR, 2.34; 95% CI, 1.23-4.44; P = .01).

The majority of these diagnoses reflected developmental disorders of motor function or speech and language.

The researchers noted that the finding of an association between prenatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure and neurodevelopmental diagnoses at 12 months is in line with a “large body of literature” linking maternal viral infection and maternal immune activation with offspring neurodevelopmental disorders later in life.

They cautioned, however, that whether a definitive connection exists between prenatal SARS-CoV-2 exposure and adverse neurodevelopment in offspring is not yet known, in part because children born to women infected in the first wave of the pandemic haven’t reached their second birthday – a time when neurodevelopment disorders such as autism are typically diagnosed.

There is also the risk for ascertainment bias arising from greater concern for offspring of infected mothers who were ill during pregnancy. These parents may be more inclined to seek evaluation, and clinicians may be more inclined to diagnose or refer for evaluation, the researchers noted.

Nonetheless, as reported by this news organization, the study results support those of research released at the European Psychiatric Association 2022 Congress; those results also showed an association between maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection and impaired neurodevelopment in 6-week-old infants.
 

Hypothesis generating

In an accompanying commentary, Torri D. Metz, MD, MS, with University of Utah Health, Salt Lake City, said the preliminary findings of Dr. Perlis and colleagues are “critically important, yet many questions remain.”

“Essentially all of what we know now about the effects of in utero exposure to maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection is from children who were exposed to the early and Alpha variants of SARS-CoV-2, as those are the only children now old enough to undergo rigorous neurodevelopmental assessments,” Dr. Metz pointed out.

Ultimately, Dr. Metz said it’s not surprising that the pandemic and in utero exposure to maternal SARS-CoV-2 infection may adversely affect neurodevelopmental outcomes in young children.

Yet, as a retrospective cohort study, the study can only demonstrate associations, not causality.

“This type of work is intended to be hypothesis generating, and that goal has been accomplished as these preliminary findings generate numerous additional research questions to explore,” Dr. Metz wrote.

Among them: Are there genetic predispositions to adverse outcomes? Will we observe differential effects by SARS-CoV-2 variant, by severity of infection, and by trimester of infection? Is it the virus itself or all of the societal changes that occurred during this period, including differences in how those changes were experienced among those with and without SARS-CoV-2?

“Perhaps the most important question is how do we intervene to help mitigate the adverse effects of the pandemic on young children,” Dr. Metz noted.

“Prospective studies to validate these findings, tease out some of the nuance, and identify those at highest risk will help health care practitioners appropriately dedicate resources to improve outcomes as we follow the life course of this generation of children born during the COVID-19 pandemic,” she added.

The study was supported by the National Institute of Mental Health and the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development. Dr. Perlis is an associate editor for JAMA Network Open but was not involved in the editorial review or decision for the study. Dr. Metz reported receiving personal fees and grants from Pfizer and grants from GestVision.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

ATLANTA – Potential once-daily male oral contraceptives have passed a first clinical hurdle, showing a degree of testosterone suppression that should be sufficient for a contraceptive effect without causing symptomatic hypogonadism, according to phase 1 study results to be presented at the annual meeting of the Endocrine Society.

Credit: Flickr/Marco Verch Professional Photographer/CC by 2.0

There are two pills in development and the studies so far suggest that both or a combination might be able to provide an acceptable balance of efficacy and tolerability, according to Tamar Jacobsohn, a researcher in the Contraceptive Development Program, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Md.

The two drugs evaluated in this study are dimethandrolone undecanoate (DMAU) and 11b-methyl-19-nortestosterone-17b-dodecylcarbonate (11b-MNTDC). Both are bifunctional prodrugs with androgenic and progestogenic effects. The prodrugs are designed to be cleaved after ingestion so that the active hormones are released over 24 hours, permitting once-daily dosing.

“As potent androgens, these steroids suppress gonadotropin secretion, leading to markedly decreased serum testosterone production,” explained Ms. Jacobsohn in an interview.

However, she noted that there is still a long way to go on this research path. While the phase 1 studies have shown tolerability, the biology involved in suppressing sperm production suggests that men would need to take these pills daily for about 3 months at the very beginning of contraceptive treatment, until adequate sperm suppression is achieved to prevent pregnancy.

“We are working toward a phase 2 trial that will include a contraceptive efficacy endpoint, but there are lots of steps to get there, including more early phase studies,” she noted.

“There is a huge unmet need in terms of male contraceptive methods,” said Arthi Thirumalai, MBBS, an endocrinologist and assistant professor of medicine at the University of Washington School of Medicine in Seattle.

Senior author of a 2020 review article on male contraception, Dr. Thirumalai said in an interview that prodrugs and other hormonal methods to lower testosterone and suppress sperm production are attractive because of convenience, efficacy, and reversibility,

“We hope that oral formulations can be used to address this need,” said Dr. Thirumalai, who has participated in several experimental and clinical studies of male contraception methods. She is, in fact, one of the many coauthors of the data presented by Ms. Jacobsohn.

Ms. Jacobsohn emphasized: “Development of an effective, reversible male contraceptive method will improve reproductive options for men and women, have a major impact on public health by decreasing unintended pregnancy, and allow men to have an increasingly active role in family planning.”

Phase 1 results with DMAU and MNTDC

The work that led to phase 1 studies suggested that each of the drugs — DMAU and MNTDC — might provide adequate hormone suppression to reduce sperm counts without inducing unacceptable symptoms of hypogonadism. To test this potential, dose-ranging phase 1 studies with an endpoint of testosterone suppression were conducted with each one.

In the two placebo-controlled phase 1a studies, which are to be presented in a poster on June 13, healthy male subjects were randomly assigned to two pills of active therapy, four pills of active therapy, or placebo. In the two studies combined, 39 subjects received DMAU, 30 received 11b-MNTDC, and 28 received placebo.

Efficacy was evaluated by measuring testosterone levels. Tolerability was largely based on patient questionnaires.

At the end of 7 days, testosterone levels remained at reference levels (400 to 600 ng/dL) in those who received placebo. The levels fell to less than 100 ng/dL in all subjects assigned to an active agent regardless of which agent or dose was used.

From day 7 to 28, there was less median suppression of testosterone on 200 mg than 400 mg daily (92.7 ng/dL vs. 49.6 ng/dL; P < .001), but both remained below the target of 100 ng/dL, Ms. Jacobsohn reported.

The difference in degree of testosterone suppression did not appear to influence tolerability.

Subjects on four vs. two daily pills “did not report a significant difference in general satisfaction or their willingness to use the pills in the future or recommend them to other men,” said Ms. Jacobson, presenting P values for these outcomes among subjects on active therapy relative to placebo that were not significant, ranging from 0.48 to 0.85.

Overall, there were no serious adverse events. Mild side effects associated with hypogonadism did occur, but “all resolved by the end of the study,” she said.

Zero sperm production is not the goal. Lowering it sufficiently is

Dr. Thirumalai said the need for a male contraceptive is strong. While condoms have a substantial failure rate, vasectomy is not reliably reversible even though the majority of men agree that the responsibility for preventing pregnancy should be shared, she said.

Dr. Thirumalai’s earlier review article found that clinical trials of hormonal suppression to provide male contraception have been conducted for at least 30 years. The challenge has been finding an effective therapy that is well tolerated.

Drugs that combine both androgenic and progestogenic activity might be the answer. By manipulating hormones that lower testosterone, sperm production is reduced without eliminating a man’s ability to ejaculate. Zero sperm production is not the goal, according to data in Dr. Thirumalai’s review article.

Rather, studies suggest that when ejaculate contains less than 1 million sperm per mL (levels typically range from 15 to 200 million sperm/mL), the antipregnancy efficacy is similar to that achieved with female oral contraceptives.

However, clinical trials to demonstrate that this can be achieved safely have yet to be conducted.

Ms. Jacobsohn said that sperm half-life is about 3 months. This means that patients would need to be on hormonal therapy for a period of about this duration before reliable contraception is achieved.

In other words, the efficacy endpoint used in this current study [of 28 days duration] does not ensure effective contraception, but Ms. Jacobsohn suggested this is nevertheless an important step forward in clinical development.

Ms. Jacobsohn and Dr. Thirumalai report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com .

ATLANTA – Potential once-daily male oral contraceptives have passed a first clinical hurdle, showing a degree of testosterone suppression that should be sufficient for a contraceptive effect without causing symptomatic hypogonadism, according to phase 1 study results to be presented at the annual meeting of the Endocrine Society.

Credit: Flickr/Marco Verch Professional Photographer/CC by 2.0

There are two pills in development and the studies so far suggest that both or a combination might be able to provide an acceptable balance of efficacy and tolerability, according to Tamar Jacobsohn, a researcher in the Contraceptive Development Program, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Md.

The two drugs evaluated in this study are dimethandrolone undecanoate (DMAU) and 11b-methyl-19-nortestosterone-17b-dodecylcarbonate (11b-MNTDC). Both are bifunctional prodrugs with androgenic and progestogenic effects. The prodrugs are designed to be cleaved after ingestion so that the active hormones are released over 24 hours, permitting once-daily dosing.

“As potent androgens, these steroids suppress gonadotropin secretion, leading to markedly decreased serum testosterone production,” explained Ms. Jacobsohn in an interview.

However, she noted that there is still a long way to go on this research path. While the phase 1 studies have shown tolerability, the biology involved in suppressing sperm production suggests that men would need to take these pills daily for about 3 months at the very beginning of contraceptive treatment, until adequate sperm suppression is achieved to prevent pregnancy.

“We are working toward a phase 2 trial that will include a contraceptive efficacy endpoint, but there are lots of steps to get there, including more early phase studies,” she noted.

“There is a huge unmet need in terms of male contraceptive methods,” said Arthi Thirumalai, MBBS, an endocrinologist and assistant professor of medicine at the University of Washington School of Medicine in Seattle.

Senior author of a 2020 review article on male contraception, Dr. Thirumalai said in an interview that prodrugs and other hormonal methods to lower testosterone and suppress sperm production are attractive because of convenience, efficacy, and reversibility,

“We hope that oral formulations can be used to address this need,” said Dr. Thirumalai, who has participated in several experimental and clinical studies of male contraception methods. She is, in fact, one of the many coauthors of the data presented by Ms. Jacobsohn.

Ms. Jacobsohn emphasized: “Development of an effective, reversible male contraceptive method will improve reproductive options for men and women, have a major impact on public health by decreasing unintended pregnancy, and allow men to have an increasingly active role in family planning.”

Phase 1 results with DMAU and MNTDC

The work that led to phase 1 studies suggested that each of the drugs — DMAU and MNTDC — might provide adequate hormone suppression to reduce sperm counts without inducing unacceptable symptoms of hypogonadism. To test this potential, dose-ranging phase 1 studies with an endpoint of testosterone suppression were conducted with each one.

In the two placebo-controlled phase 1a studies, which are to be presented in a poster on June 13, healthy male subjects were randomly assigned to two pills of active therapy, four pills of active therapy, or placebo. In the two studies combined, 39 subjects received DMAU, 30 received 11b-MNTDC, and 28 received placebo.

Efficacy was evaluated by measuring testosterone levels. Tolerability was largely based on patient questionnaires.

At the end of 7 days, testosterone levels remained at reference levels (400 to 600 ng/dL) in those who received placebo. The levels fell to less than 100 ng/dL in all subjects assigned to an active agent regardless of which agent or dose was used.

From day 7 to 28, there was less median suppression of testosterone on 200 mg than 400 mg daily (92.7 ng/dL vs. 49.6 ng/dL; P < .001), but both remained below the target of 100 ng/dL, Ms. Jacobsohn reported.

The difference in degree of testosterone suppression did not appear to influence tolerability.

Subjects on four vs. two daily pills “did not report a significant difference in general satisfaction or their willingness to use the pills in the future or recommend them to other men,” said Ms. Jacobson, presenting P values for these outcomes among subjects on active therapy relative to placebo that were not significant, ranging from 0.48 to 0.85.

Overall, there were no serious adverse events. Mild side effects associated with hypogonadism did occur, but “all resolved by the end of the study,” she said.

Zero sperm production is not the goal. Lowering it sufficiently is

Dr. Thirumalai said the need for a male contraceptive is strong. While condoms have a substantial failure rate, vasectomy is not reliably reversible even though the majority of men agree that the responsibility for preventing pregnancy should be shared, she said.

Dr. Thirumalai’s earlier review article found that clinical trials of hormonal suppression to provide male contraception have been conducted for at least 30 years. The challenge has been finding an effective therapy that is well tolerated.

Drugs that combine both androgenic and progestogenic activity might be the answer. By manipulating hormones that lower testosterone, sperm production is reduced without eliminating a man’s ability to ejaculate. Zero sperm production is not the goal, according to data in Dr. Thirumalai’s review article.

Rather, studies suggest that when ejaculate contains less than 1 million sperm per mL (levels typically range from 15 to 200 million sperm/mL), the antipregnancy efficacy is similar to that achieved with female oral contraceptives.

However, clinical trials to demonstrate that this can be achieved safely have yet to be conducted.

Ms. Jacobsohn said that sperm half-life is about 3 months. This means that patients would need to be on hormonal therapy for a period of about this duration before reliable contraception is achieved.

In other words, the efficacy endpoint used in this current study [of 28 days duration] does not ensure effective contraception, but Ms. Jacobsohn suggested this is nevertheless an important step forward in clinical development.

Ms. Jacobsohn and Dr. Thirumalai report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com .

ATLANTA – Potential once-daily male oral contraceptives have passed a first clinical hurdle, showing a degree of testosterone suppression that should be sufficient for a contraceptive effect without causing symptomatic hypogonadism, according to phase 1 study results to be presented at the annual meeting of the Endocrine Society.

Credit: Flickr/Marco Verch Professional Photographer/CC by 2.0

There are two pills in development and the studies so far suggest that both or a combination might be able to provide an acceptable balance of efficacy and tolerability, according to Tamar Jacobsohn, a researcher in the Contraceptive Development Program, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, Bethesda, Md.

The two drugs evaluated in this study are dimethandrolone undecanoate (DMAU) and 11b-methyl-19-nortestosterone-17b-dodecylcarbonate (11b-MNTDC). Both are bifunctional prodrugs with androgenic and progestogenic effects. The prodrugs are designed to be cleaved after ingestion so that the active hormones are released over 24 hours, permitting once-daily dosing.

“As potent androgens, these steroids suppress gonadotropin secretion, leading to markedly decreased serum testosterone production,” explained Ms. Jacobsohn in an interview.

However, she noted that there is still a long way to go on this research path. While the phase 1 studies have shown tolerability, the biology involved in suppressing sperm production suggests that men would need to take these pills daily for about 3 months at the very beginning of contraceptive treatment, until adequate sperm suppression is achieved to prevent pregnancy.

“We are working toward a phase 2 trial that will include a contraceptive efficacy endpoint, but there are lots of steps to get there, including more early phase studies,” she noted.

“There is a huge unmet need in terms of male contraceptive methods,” said Arthi Thirumalai, MBBS, an endocrinologist and assistant professor of medicine at the University of Washington School of Medicine in Seattle.

Senior author of a 2020 review article on male contraception, Dr. Thirumalai said in an interview that prodrugs and other hormonal methods to lower testosterone and suppress sperm production are attractive because of convenience, efficacy, and reversibility,

“We hope that oral formulations can be used to address this need,” said Dr. Thirumalai, who has participated in several experimental and clinical studies of male contraception methods. She is, in fact, one of the many coauthors of the data presented by Ms. Jacobsohn.

Ms. Jacobsohn emphasized: “Development of an effective, reversible male contraceptive method will improve reproductive options for men and women, have a major impact on public health by decreasing unintended pregnancy, and allow men to have an increasingly active role in family planning.”

Phase 1 results with DMAU and MNTDC

The work that led to phase 1 studies suggested that each of the drugs — DMAU and MNTDC — might provide adequate hormone suppression to reduce sperm counts without inducing unacceptable symptoms of hypogonadism. To test this potential, dose-ranging phase 1 studies with an endpoint of testosterone suppression were conducted with each one.

In the two placebo-controlled phase 1a studies, which are to be presented in a poster on June 13, healthy male subjects were randomly assigned to two pills of active therapy, four pills of active therapy, or placebo. In the two studies combined, 39 subjects received DMAU, 30 received 11b-MNTDC, and 28 received placebo.

Efficacy was evaluated by measuring testosterone levels. Tolerability was largely based on patient questionnaires.

At the end of 7 days, testosterone levels remained at reference levels (400 to 600 ng/dL) in those who received placebo. The levels fell to less than 100 ng/dL in all subjects assigned to an active agent regardless of which agent or dose was used.

From day 7 to 28, there was less median suppression of testosterone on 200 mg than 400 mg daily (92.7 ng/dL vs. 49.6 ng/dL; P < .001), but both remained below the target of 100 ng/dL, Ms. Jacobsohn reported.

The difference in degree of testosterone suppression did not appear to influence tolerability.

Subjects on four vs. two daily pills “did not report a significant difference in general satisfaction or their willingness to use the pills in the future or recommend them to other men,” said Ms. Jacobson, presenting P values for these outcomes among subjects on active therapy relative to placebo that were not significant, ranging from 0.48 to 0.85.

Overall, there were no serious adverse events. Mild side effects associated with hypogonadism did occur, but “all resolved by the end of the study,” she said.

Zero sperm production is not the goal. Lowering it sufficiently is

Dr. Thirumalai said the need for a male contraceptive is strong. While condoms have a substantial failure rate, vasectomy is not reliably reversible even though the majority of men agree that the responsibility for preventing pregnancy should be shared, she said.

Dr. Thirumalai’s earlier review article found that clinical trials of hormonal suppression to provide male contraception have been conducted for at least 30 years. The challenge has been finding an effective therapy that is well tolerated.

Drugs that combine both androgenic and progestogenic activity might be the answer. By manipulating hormones that lower testosterone, sperm production is reduced without eliminating a man’s ability to ejaculate. Zero sperm production is not the goal, according to data in Dr. Thirumalai’s review article.

Rather, studies suggest that when ejaculate contains less than 1 million sperm per mL (levels typically range from 15 to 200 million sperm/mL), the antipregnancy efficacy is similar to that achieved with female oral contraceptives.

However, clinical trials to demonstrate that this can be achieved safely have yet to be conducted.

Ms. Jacobsohn said that sperm half-life is about 3 months. This means that patients would need to be on hormonal therapy for a period of about this duration before reliable contraception is achieved.

In other words, the efficacy endpoint used in this current study [of 28 days duration] does not ensure effective contraception, but Ms. Jacobsohn suggested this is nevertheless an important step forward in clinical development.

Ms. Jacobsohn and Dr. Thirumalai report no relevant financial relationships.

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com .

NATIONAL HARBOR, MD – Just 2 days before she spoke in a presentation at the annual meeting of the Consortium of Multiple Sclerosis Centers, University of Colorado neurologist Anna Shah, MD, asked a 26-year-old patient with MS about whether she planned to have children. Absolutely not, the young woman replied. “I read online that I can give birth to a baby with MS, which is crazy.”

The patient didn’t understand the risk of having a child with MS – it’s thought to be 2%-5% if one parent has the condition – but she wouldn’t have learned the facts if Dr. Shah hadn’t asked the right questions. “It’s really important for us as a community to know how to be proactive with discussions [about pregnancy],” she said.

As she noted, an estimated 75% of patients with MS are women, most are diagnosed during prime child-bearing years, and many pregnancies in general – an estimated half – are not planned. And while a higher percentage of women with MS are having children than in the past, she said, misinformation remains common. In fact, physicians can be part of the problem.

Dr. Shaw highlighted a 2019 Italian survey that found that 16% of 395 people with MS reported that they were discouraged from having children, mainly by medical professionals, after their diagnosis. Seven percent said they never wanted to become parents because of their MS. A 2021 survey of 332 patients with MS in the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Spain, found that 56% reported that MS played a role in their decisions about family planning, and 14% of those decided not to have children.

In regard to women of child-bearing age, Dr. Shah recommends that family planning and contraception should be discussed at the initial visit and every subsequent visit. Open-ended, individualized questions are key. “We don’t know what patients don’t share with us,” she said.

Make sure to consider the timing of any plans to have children, she said. If the patient wants to have children within a year, talk about matters such as whether disease activity is well-controlled (6-12 months of good control is ideal) and whether current disease-modifying therapies are safe. Make sure to get a baseline prepartum MRI scan, she said.

If the patients don’t want to have children, make sure they are using a reliable strategy to avoid conception. Be aware that modafinil – “not one that immediately comes to mind” – may decrease the efficacy of oral contraceptives, she said, as can anticonvulsants (phenytoin, carbamazepine, oxcarbazepine, topiramate, and primidone). Oral contraceptives, meanwhile, may decrease levels of lamotrigine.

What if a patient has trouble conceiving? There are some hints in research that MS may boost the risk of infertility in women, Dr. Shah said. That’s why she recommends that colleagues consider referring a patient to an infertility specialist after attempting conception for 6 months as opposed to the general recommendation for 12 months.

Dr. Shah disclosed advisory board service (Genentech) and development of nonbranded educational programming through Novartis and the National Committee for Quality Assurance.

NATIONAL HARBOR, MD – Just 2 days before she spoke in a presentation at the annual meeting of the Consortium of Multiple Sclerosis Centers, University of Colorado neurologist Anna Shah, MD, asked a 26-year-old patient with MS about whether she planned to have children. Absolutely not, the young woman replied. “I read online that I can give birth to a baby with MS, which is crazy.”

The patient didn’t understand the risk of having a child with MS – it’s thought to be 2%-5% if one parent has the condition – but she wouldn’t have learned the facts if Dr. Shah hadn’t asked the right questions. “It’s really important for us as a community to know how to be proactive with discussions [about pregnancy],” she said.

As she noted, an estimated 75% of patients with MS are women, most are diagnosed during prime child-bearing years, and many pregnancies in general – an estimated half – are not planned. And while a higher percentage of women with MS are having children than in the past, she said, misinformation remains common. In fact, physicians can be part of the problem.

Dr. Shaw highlighted a 2019 Italian survey that found that 16% of 395 people with MS reported that they were discouraged from having children, mainly by medical professionals, after their diagnosis. Seven percent said they never wanted to become parents because of their MS. A 2021 survey of 332 patients with MS in the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Spain, found that 56% reported that MS played a role in their decisions about family planning, and 14% of those decided not to have children.

In regard to women of child-bearing age, Dr. Shah recommends that family planning and contraception should be discussed at the initial visit and every subsequent visit. Open-ended, individualized questions are key. “We don’t know what patients don’t share with us,” she said.

Make sure to consider the timing of any plans to have children, she said. If the patient wants to have children within a year, talk about matters such as whether disease activity is well-controlled (6-12 months of good control is ideal) and whether current disease-modifying therapies are safe. Make sure to get a baseline prepartum MRI scan, she said.

If the patients don’t want to have children, make sure they are using a reliable strategy to avoid conception. Be aware that modafinil – “not one that immediately comes to mind” – may decrease the efficacy of oral contraceptives, she said, as can anticonvulsants (phenytoin, carbamazepine, oxcarbazepine, topiramate, and primidone). Oral contraceptives, meanwhile, may decrease levels of lamotrigine.

What if a patient has trouble conceiving? There are some hints in research that MS may boost the risk of infertility in women, Dr. Shah said. That’s why she recommends that colleagues consider referring a patient to an infertility specialist after attempting conception for 6 months as opposed to the general recommendation for 12 months.

Dr. Shah disclosed advisory board service (Genentech) and development of nonbranded educational programming through Novartis and the National Committee for Quality Assurance.

NATIONAL HARBOR, MD – Just 2 days before she spoke in a presentation at the annual meeting of the Consortium of Multiple Sclerosis Centers, University of Colorado neurologist Anna Shah, MD, asked a 26-year-old patient with MS about whether she planned to have children. Absolutely not, the young woman replied. “I read online that I can give birth to a baby with MS, which is crazy.”

The patient didn’t understand the risk of having a child with MS – it’s thought to be 2%-5% if one parent has the condition – but she wouldn’t have learned the facts if Dr. Shah hadn’t asked the right questions. “It’s really important for us as a community to know how to be proactive with discussions [about pregnancy],” she said.

As she noted, an estimated 75% of patients with MS are women, most are diagnosed during prime child-bearing years, and many pregnancies in general – an estimated half – are not planned. And while a higher percentage of women with MS are having children than in the past, she said, misinformation remains common. In fact, physicians can be part of the problem.

Dr. Shaw highlighted a 2019 Italian survey that found that 16% of 395 people with MS reported that they were discouraged from having children, mainly by medical professionals, after their diagnosis. Seven percent said they never wanted to become parents because of their MS. A 2021 survey of 332 patients with MS in the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Spain, found that 56% reported that MS played a role in their decisions about family planning, and 14% of those decided not to have children.

In regard to women of child-bearing age, Dr. Shah recommends that family planning and contraception should be discussed at the initial visit and every subsequent visit. Open-ended, individualized questions are key. “We don’t know what patients don’t share with us,” she said.

Make sure to consider the timing of any plans to have children, she said. If the patient wants to have children within a year, talk about matters such as whether disease activity is well-controlled (6-12 months of good control is ideal) and whether current disease-modifying therapies are safe. Make sure to get a baseline prepartum MRI scan, she said.

If the patients don’t want to have children, make sure they are using a reliable strategy to avoid conception. Be aware that modafinil – “not one that immediately comes to mind” – may decrease the efficacy of oral contraceptives, she said, as can anticonvulsants (phenytoin, carbamazepine, oxcarbazepine, topiramate, and primidone). Oral contraceptives, meanwhile, may decrease levels of lamotrigine.

What if a patient has trouble conceiving? There are some hints in research that MS may boost the risk of infertility in women, Dr. Shah said. That’s why she recommends that colleagues consider referring a patient to an infertility specialist after attempting conception for 6 months as opposed to the general recommendation for 12 months.

Dr. Shah disclosed advisory board service (Genentech) and development of nonbranded educational programming through Novartis and the National Committee for Quality Assurance.

Angela Intili, MD, an ob.gyn., was used to seeing her medical malpractice insurance premium rise slightly every couple of years. But she was shocked by the drastic rise she recently experienced.

In the last 2 years, Dr. Intili’s premiums shot from $60,000 to $130,000, she said.

“After 30 years of practice, this is the first time I’ve asked myself if I can even afford to continue practicing obstetrics and gynecology,” said Dr. Intili, 62, of Joliet, Ill. “It’s gotten very difficult to make ends meet as far as overhead because of the liability costs. I still love what I’m doing but I don’t know if I can afford to do it anymore.”

Even more frustrating for Dr. Intili was learning that claims in Illinois have sharply declined. From 2016 to 2020, tort filings in Illinois decreased by 43%, according to a state report.

“If claims are going down, I don’t understand why premium payments are going up,” she said.

Physicians across the country are experiencing a similar paradox. Claims are down, yet premiums are rising.

Medscape’s Malpractice Report 2021 found that 42% of primary care physicians were sued in 2020 through mid-2021, down from 52% in 2019. Fifty-six percent of specialists were sued in 2020 through mid-2021 compared with 62% in 2019, the report found. The pandemic was undoubtedly behind the decrease in suits, according to legal experts.

Yet, physicians paid higher premiums in 2021 and are on track for increases again in 2022, according to data and analysts.

According to Conning, direct premiums written for physicians increased 7.0% in 2021 (from $5.01 billion to $5.36 billion). Conning, an investment management firm that serves the insurance industry, analyzes annual financial reports filed by insurers to state insurance departments. The Medical Liability Monitor’s 2021 report found that premiums for internists, surgeons, and ob.gyns. in states without Patient Compensation Funds rose by an average of 2% in 2021.

The disparities raise questions about why physicians are paying higher premiums when having fewer claims is likely saving insurers’ money. Shouldn’t physicians’ rates reflect the reduction in claims?
 

Cases plummet during pandemic

During the pandemic, the volume of new medical malpractice claims dwindled to nearly nothing, said Michael Matray, editor of the Medical Liability Monitor, a national publication that analyzes medical liability insurance premiums.

“The court system closed for a while,” he said. “No elective procedures were being done in 2020 and the early parts of 2021. If you have no treatment, you have no malpractice, so of course, claims frequency tumbled down to a trickle.”

The number of large awards also decreased during the pandemic, noted Bill Burns, a director of insurance research at Conning.

“For claims that were already in the system, many of them could not be resolved because of the court closures, inability to take statements and depositions, etc.,” he said. “This resulted in a drop in verdicts.”

In 2021, there were 16 medical malpractice verdicts of $10 million or more in the United States, according to TransRe, an international reinsurance company that tracks large verdicts. In 2020, there were six verdicts of $10 million or more, TransRe research found. This is down from 52 verdicts of $10 million or more in 2019 and 46 verdicts of $10 million or more in 2018.

But although the pandemic lowered claims and decreased the number of payouts, one important aspect was untouched by the COVID era, said Richard E. Anderson, MD, chairman and CEO for The Doctors Company, a national medical liability insurer, and TDC Group.

“It’s a fair question: If claims are down, why are premiums continuing to go up?” Dr. Anderson said. “The answer is severity.”
 

High-dollar verdicts pave expensive path

The upward trend in severity has continued for about 6 years and has not slowed, Dr. Anderson said. Severity refers to high-dollar verdicts and settlements.

“We’re seeing record-high verdicts all over the country,” he said. “We used to have maps that showed the top 10 medical malpractice verdicts or awards, and they would be clustered where you’d expect them to be, New York, Florida, Illinois, and so forth. Now, if you look at those top 10 verdicts, they could be anywhere in the country.”

In Minnesota for instance, a jury awarded a record $111 million in damages to a college student in May after finding a hospital and an orthopedic surgeon negligent in treating his broken leg. In April, a Kansas City jury awarded a family $25 million after finding that an ob.gyn. and hospital failed to properly treat a mother in labor, causing brain damage to her infant.  

Such record payouts factor into premium costs, said Ned Rand Jr., CEO for ProAssurance, a national medical liability insurer. Though only a minority of claims reach that level, when a high award occurs, it puts pressure on the ultimate cost to resolve claims, he said. The frequency of claims filed is also expected to soon rebound, he noted.

“As we price the product sitting here today, we have to factor both of those in,” Mr. Rand said. “That’s why we, as an industry, continue to see, by and large, rates going up. And we fell behind. Some of this severity, in particular, as an industry, we weren’t pricing fully for, so we’ve been playing catch-up.”

High-dollar awards – also called nuclear verdicts – set the arena for future settlements in similar cases, Dr. Anderson added.

“If it was an orthopedic case for instance, and there was a similar injury in another case, that’s the trial lawyers’ starting point for the award,” he said. “Now, they’re not going to get it, but it distorts the negotiations. As we have more and more nuclear verdicts, it becomes harder to settle claims for reasonable amounts.”
 

What does 2022 have in store?

Analysts say the backlog of malpractice claims in the court system could prove calamitous for premiums and the liability landscape.

Courts are slogging through the pileup caused by the pandemic, but it’s estimated that there is still about a one-third larger case backlog than normal, according to Mr. Matray.

Such delayed claims may end up costing more because of social inflation, said Mr. Burns.

“People look at the world differently than they did 2 years ago,” he said. “A jury may have awarded $5 million for a claim a few years ago. But then the pandemic hits, and we have the George Floyd incident, and we have people out of work and a shortage in baby formula. Yet, companies are still making a lot of money and many insurance companies are turning record profits. Today, that jury may look at a sympathetic malpractice victim and award $10 million for the same claim.”

Concerns also exist about a potential surge of new malpractice claims. Mr. Rand compares the possible wave to a large bubble.

“I liken it to a cartoon, when one character grabs the hose and a big bubble forms as the water builds up,” he said. “Then the character releases, and water comes flooding out. As an industry, we wait, wondering: Is there going to be this flood of claims as the court systems reopen and the statute of limitations approach around some of these claims? That’s an ongoing concern.”

As for impending premiums, physicians can expect rises in 2022 and again in 2023, according to Chris Wojciechowski, a partner at TigerRisk Partners, a reinsurance broker.

“In general, there is a lot of uncertainty around the state of the economy, the tort environment, litigation post COVID, and overall volatility across the capital markets,” he said. “Furthermore, thanks to social and financial inflation, the potential for very severe verdicts has increased dramatically, and as courthouses reopen, the trends are not looking favorable. While many of the physician carriers have strong balance sheets, they can’t lose money on an underwriting basis forever.”

For Dr. Intili, the Illinois ob.gyn., news of another impending increase in 2022 is distressing. She expects another 10%-20% rise in 2022, she said. If she were younger and earlier in her career, she might’ve considered moving, she said, but her family lives in Illinois and she cares for her older parents.

“I’m not ready to retire,” Dr. Intili said. “I’m looking into options, possibly becoming a hospitalist or doing locum tenens work. I’ve been a solo practitioner for 27 years and I love the autonomy. But these high premiums are making it almost impossible to continue.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Angela Intili, MD, an ob.gyn., was used to seeing her medical malpractice insurance premium rise slightly every couple of years. But she was shocked by the drastic rise she recently experienced.

In the last 2 years, Dr. Intili’s premiums shot from $60,000 to $130,000, she said.

“After 30 years of practice, this is the first time I’ve asked myself if I can even afford to continue practicing obstetrics and gynecology,” said Dr. Intili, 62, of Joliet, Ill. “It’s gotten very difficult to make ends meet as far as overhead because of the liability costs. I still love what I’m doing but I don’t know if I can afford to do it anymore.”

Even more frustrating for Dr. Intili was learning that claims in Illinois have sharply declined. From 2016 to 2020, tort filings in Illinois decreased by 43%, according to a state report.

“If claims are going down, I don’t understand why premium payments are going up,” she said.

Physicians across the country are experiencing a similar paradox. Claims are down, yet premiums are rising.

Medscape’s Malpractice Report 2021 found that 42% of primary care physicians were sued in 2020 through mid-2021, down from 52% in 2019. Fifty-six percent of specialists were sued in 2020 through mid-2021 compared with 62% in 2019, the report found. The pandemic was undoubtedly behind the decrease in suits, according to legal experts.

Yet, physicians paid higher premiums in 2021 and are on track for increases again in 2022, according to data and analysts.

According to Conning, direct premiums written for physicians increased 7.0% in 2021 (from $5.01 billion to $5.36 billion). Conning, an investment management firm that serves the insurance industry, analyzes annual financial reports filed by insurers to state insurance departments. The Medical Liability Monitor’s 2021 report found that premiums for internists, surgeons, and ob.gyns. in states without Patient Compensation Funds rose by an average of 2% in 2021.

The disparities raise questions about why physicians are paying higher premiums when having fewer claims is likely saving insurers’ money. Shouldn’t physicians’ rates reflect the reduction in claims?
 

Cases plummet during pandemic

During the pandemic, the volume of new medical malpractice claims dwindled to nearly nothing, said Michael Matray, editor of the Medical Liability Monitor, a national publication that analyzes medical liability insurance premiums.

“The court system closed for a while,” he said. “No elective procedures were being done in 2020 and the early parts of 2021. If you have no treatment, you have no malpractice, so of course, claims frequency tumbled down to a trickle.”

The number of large awards also decreased during the pandemic, noted Bill Burns, a director of insurance research at Conning.

“For claims that were already in the system, many of them could not be resolved because of the court closures, inability to take statements and depositions, etc.,” he said. “This resulted in a drop in verdicts.”

In 2021, there were 16 medical malpractice verdicts of $10 million or more in the United States, according to TransRe, an international reinsurance company that tracks large verdicts. In 2020, there were six verdicts of $10 million or more, TransRe research found. This is down from 52 verdicts of $10 million or more in 2019 and 46 verdicts of $10 million or more in 2018.

But although the pandemic lowered claims and decreased the number of payouts, one important aspect was untouched by the COVID era, said Richard E. Anderson, MD, chairman and CEO for The Doctors Company, a national medical liability insurer, and TDC Group.

“It’s a fair question: If claims are down, why are premiums continuing to go up?” Dr. Anderson said. “The answer is severity.”
 

High-dollar verdicts pave expensive path

The upward trend in severity has continued for about 6 years and has not slowed, Dr. Anderson said. Severity refers to high-dollar verdicts and settlements.

“We’re seeing record-high verdicts all over the country,” he said. “We used to have maps that showed the top 10 medical malpractice verdicts or awards, and they would be clustered where you’d expect them to be, New York, Florida, Illinois, and so forth. Now, if you look at those top 10 verdicts, they could be anywhere in the country.”

In Minnesota for instance, a jury awarded a record $111 million in damages to a college student in May after finding a hospital and an orthopedic surgeon negligent in treating his broken leg. In April, a Kansas City jury awarded a family $25 million after finding that an ob.gyn. and hospital failed to properly treat a mother in labor, causing brain damage to her infant.  

Such record payouts factor into premium costs, said Ned Rand Jr., CEO for ProAssurance, a national medical liability insurer. Though only a minority of claims reach that level, when a high award occurs, it puts pressure on the ultimate cost to resolve claims, he said. The frequency of claims filed is also expected to soon rebound, he noted.

“As we price the product sitting here today, we have to factor both of those in,” Mr. Rand said. “That’s why we, as an industry, continue to see, by and large, rates going up. And we fell behind. Some of this severity, in particular, as an industry, we weren’t pricing fully for, so we’ve been playing catch-up.”

High-dollar awards – also called nuclear verdicts – set the arena for future settlements in similar cases, Dr. Anderson added.

“If it was an orthopedic case for instance, and there was a similar injury in another case, that’s the trial lawyers’ starting point for the award,” he said. “Now, they’re not going to get it, but it distorts the negotiations. As we have more and more nuclear verdicts, it becomes harder to settle claims for reasonable amounts.”
 

What does 2022 have in store?

Analysts say the backlog of malpractice claims in the court system could prove calamitous for premiums and the liability landscape.

Courts are slogging through the pileup caused by the pandemic, but it’s estimated that there is still about a one-third larger case backlog than normal, according to Mr. Matray.

Such delayed claims may end up costing more because of social inflation, said Mr. Burns.

“People look at the world differently than they did 2 years ago,” he said. “A jury may have awarded $5 million for a claim a few years ago. But then the pandemic hits, and we have the George Floyd incident, and we have people out of work and a shortage in baby formula. Yet, companies are still making a lot of money and many insurance companies are turning record profits. Today, that jury may look at a sympathetic malpractice victim and award $10 million for the same claim.”

Concerns also exist about a potential surge of new malpractice claims. Mr. Rand compares the possible wave to a large bubble.

“I liken it to a cartoon, when one character grabs the hose and a big bubble forms as the water builds up,” he said. “Then the character releases, and water comes flooding out. As an industry, we wait, wondering: Is there going to be this flood of claims as the court systems reopen and the statute of limitations approach around some of these claims? That’s an ongoing concern.”

As for impending premiums, physicians can expect rises in 2022 and again in 2023, according to Chris Wojciechowski, a partner at TigerRisk Partners, a reinsurance broker.

“In general, there is a lot of uncertainty around the state of the economy, the tort environment, litigation post COVID, and overall volatility across the capital markets,” he said. “Furthermore, thanks to social and financial inflation, the potential for very severe verdicts has increased dramatically, and as courthouses reopen, the trends are not looking favorable. While many of the physician carriers have strong balance sheets, they can’t lose money on an underwriting basis forever.”

For Dr. Intili, the Illinois ob.gyn., news of another impending increase in 2022 is distressing. She expects another 10%-20% rise in 2022, she said. If she were younger and earlier in her career, she might’ve considered moving, she said, but her family lives in Illinois and she cares for her older parents.

“I’m not ready to retire,” Dr. Intili said. “I’m looking into options, possibly becoming a hospitalist or doing locum tenens work. I’ve been a solo practitioner for 27 years and I love the autonomy. But these high premiums are making it almost impossible to continue.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.

Angela Intili, MD, an ob.gyn., was used to seeing her medical malpractice insurance premium rise slightly every couple of years. But she was shocked by the drastic rise she recently experienced.

In the last 2 years, Dr. Intili’s premiums shot from $60,000 to $130,000, she said.

“After 30 years of practice, this is the first time I’ve asked myself if I can even afford to continue practicing obstetrics and gynecology,” said Dr. Intili, 62, of Joliet, Ill. “It’s gotten very difficult to make ends meet as far as overhead because of the liability costs. I still love what I’m doing but I don’t know if I can afford to do it anymore.”

Even more frustrating for Dr. Intili was learning that claims in Illinois have sharply declined. From 2016 to 2020, tort filings in Illinois decreased by 43%, according to a state report.

“If claims are going down, I don’t understand why premium payments are going up,” she said.

Physicians across the country are experiencing a similar paradox. Claims are down, yet premiums are rising.

Medscape’s Malpractice Report 2021 found that 42% of primary care physicians were sued in 2020 through mid-2021, down from 52% in 2019. Fifty-six percent of specialists were sued in 2020 through mid-2021 compared with 62% in 2019, the report found. The pandemic was undoubtedly behind the decrease in suits, according to legal experts.

Yet, physicians paid higher premiums in 2021 and are on track for increases again in 2022, according to data and analysts.

According to Conning, direct premiums written for physicians increased 7.0% in 2021 (from $5.01 billion to $5.36 billion). Conning, an investment management firm that serves the insurance industry, analyzes annual financial reports filed by insurers to state insurance departments. The Medical Liability Monitor’s 2021 report found that premiums for internists, surgeons, and ob.gyns. in states without Patient Compensation Funds rose by an average of 2% in 2021.

The disparities raise questions about why physicians are paying higher premiums when having fewer claims is likely saving insurers’ money. Shouldn’t physicians’ rates reflect the reduction in claims?
 

Cases plummet during pandemic

During the pandemic, the volume of new medical malpractice claims dwindled to nearly nothing, said Michael Matray, editor of the Medical Liability Monitor, a national publication that analyzes medical liability insurance premiums.

“The court system closed for a while,” he said. “No elective procedures were being done in 2020 and the early parts of 2021. If you have no treatment, you have no malpractice, so of course, claims frequency tumbled down to a trickle.”

The number of large awards also decreased during the pandemic, noted Bill Burns, a director of insurance research at Conning.

“For claims that were already in the system, many of them could not be resolved because of the court closures, inability to take statements and depositions, etc.,” he said. “This resulted in a drop in verdicts.”

In 2021, there were 16 medical malpractice verdicts of $10 million or more in the United States, according to TransRe, an international reinsurance company that tracks large verdicts. In 2020, there were six verdicts of $10 million or more, TransRe research found. This is down from 52 verdicts of $10 million or more in 2019 and 46 verdicts of $10 million or more in 2018.

But although the pandemic lowered claims and decreased the number of payouts, one important aspect was untouched by the COVID era, said Richard E. Anderson, MD, chairman and CEO for The Doctors Company, a national medical liability insurer, and TDC Group.

“It’s a fair question: If claims are down, why are premiums continuing to go up?” Dr. Anderson said. “The answer is severity.”
 

High-dollar verdicts pave expensive path

The upward trend in severity has continued for about 6 years and has not slowed, Dr. Anderson said. Severity refers to high-dollar verdicts and settlements.

“We’re seeing record-high verdicts all over the country,” he said. “We used to have maps that showed the top 10 medical malpractice verdicts or awards, and they would be clustered where you’d expect them to be, New York, Florida, Illinois, and so forth. Now, if you look at those top 10 verdicts, they could be anywhere in the country.”

In Minnesota for instance, a jury awarded a record $111 million in damages to a college student in May after finding a hospital and an orthopedic surgeon negligent in treating his broken leg. In April, a Kansas City jury awarded a family $25 million after finding that an ob.gyn. and hospital failed to properly treat a mother in labor, causing brain damage to her infant.  

Such record payouts factor into premium costs, said Ned Rand Jr., CEO for ProAssurance, a national medical liability insurer. Though only a minority of claims reach that level, when a high award occurs, it puts pressure on the ultimate cost to resolve claims, he said. The frequency of claims filed is also expected to soon rebound, he noted.

“As we price the product sitting here today, we have to factor both of those in,” Mr. Rand said. “That’s why we, as an industry, continue to see, by and large, rates going up. And we fell behind. Some of this severity, in particular, as an industry, we weren’t pricing fully for, so we’ve been playing catch-up.”

High-dollar awards – also called nuclear verdicts – set the arena for future settlements in similar cases, Dr. Anderson added.

“If it was an orthopedic case for instance, and there was a similar injury in another case, that’s the trial lawyers’ starting point for the award,” he said. “Now, they’re not going to get it, but it distorts the negotiations. As we have more and more nuclear verdicts, it becomes harder to settle claims for reasonable amounts.”
 

What does 2022 have in store?

Analysts say the backlog of malpractice claims in the court system could prove calamitous for premiums and the liability landscape.

Courts are slogging through the pileup caused by the pandemic, but it’s estimated that there is still about a one-third larger case backlog than normal, according to Mr. Matray.

Such delayed claims may end up costing more because of social inflation, said Mr. Burns.

“People look at the world differently than they did 2 years ago,” he said. “A jury may have awarded $5 million for a claim a few years ago. But then the pandemic hits, and we have the George Floyd incident, and we have people out of work and a shortage in baby formula. Yet, companies are still making a lot of money and many insurance companies are turning record profits. Today, that jury may look at a sympathetic malpractice victim and award $10 million for the same claim.”

Concerns also exist about a potential surge of new malpractice claims. Mr. Rand compares the possible wave to a large bubble.

“I liken it to a cartoon, when one character grabs the hose and a big bubble forms as the water builds up,” he said. “Then the character releases, and water comes flooding out. As an industry, we wait, wondering: Is there going to be this flood of claims as the court systems reopen and the statute of limitations approach around some of these claims? That’s an ongoing concern.”

As for impending premiums, physicians can expect rises in 2022 and again in 2023, according to Chris Wojciechowski, a partner at TigerRisk Partners, a reinsurance broker.

“In general, there is a lot of uncertainty around the state of the economy, the tort environment, litigation post COVID, and overall volatility across the capital markets,” he said. “Furthermore, thanks to social and financial inflation, the potential for very severe verdicts has increased dramatically, and as courthouses reopen, the trends are not looking favorable. While many of the physician carriers have strong balance sheets, they can’t lose money on an underwriting basis forever.”

For Dr. Intili, the Illinois ob.gyn., news of another impending increase in 2022 is distressing. She expects another 10%-20% rise in 2022, she said. If she were younger and earlier in her career, she might’ve considered moving, she said, but her family lives in Illinois and she cares for her older parents.

“I’m not ready to retire,” Dr. Intili said. “I’m looking into options, possibly becoming a hospitalist or doing locum tenens work. I’ve been a solo practitioner for 27 years and I love the autonomy. But these high premiums are making it almost impossible to continue.”

A version of this article first appeared on Medscape.com.